Ligue 1·
Regular Season - 33·05/10/2025·15:00
Rennes
Rennes
LLWWL
2-0
Finished
HT1-0
Nice
Nice
WWWDL
📍 Roazhon Park, Rennes
Season statsLigue 1
Rennes32matchesNice32matches

Every panel below reflects each team's matches in Ligue 1.

Coverage varies by leaguetop-tier competitions have richer per-match data; lower divisions and smaller leagues track fewer metrics, so some panels may be sparse or missing entirely.
Pre-match snapshotevery value reflects each team's state going into kick-off — frozen before the match starts, not updated live.

Overall

Overallteam-strength snapshot
47%
Overall

Composite team strength — average of LTQ and Hype.

69%
1584
ELO

Chess-style strength rating going into kick-off.

1711
50%
LTQ

Long-term quality across all competitions.

61%
44%
Hype

Short-term fixture buzz / excitement signal.

76%
3.40
Momentum

Recent goal-scoring trend (weighted goals signal).

2.92

Match Outcome

Match Outcomeresults breakdown
3232
1.19
Points per Game

Average points per match across the sampled games (max 3).

1.78
38%
Win Rate

Share of sampled matches won.

50%
6%
Draw Rate

Share of sampled matches that ended level.

28%
56%
Loss Rate

Share of sampled matches lost (lower is better).

22%
31%
Clean Sheet27%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

22%
22%
Failed to Score

Share of matches where the team didn't score (lower is better).

9%

Goal Scoring

Goal Scoringattacking output
3232
1.47
Avg Goals Scored

Goals scored per match across the sampled games.

1.88
78%
Scored > 0.584%

Share of matches where the team scored at least once.

91%
78%
Over 1.584%

Share of matches with total goals > 1.5.

91%
59%
Over 2.559%

Share of matches with total goals > 2.5.

59%
31%
Over 3.533%

Share of matches with total goals > 3.5 — high-scoring affairs.

34%
47%
BTTS59%

Share of matches where both teams scored.

72%
6%
BTTS & Win

Share of matches won while both teams scored — strong attack with a defensive lapse.

31%
34%
Scored Both Halves36%

Share of matches with a goal in both the 1st and 2nd half.

38%

Defensive Solidity

Defensive Soliditygoals & shots conceded
3232
1.44
Avg Goals Conceded

Goals conceded per match (lower is better).

1.22
10.78
Avg Shots Conceded

Total shots faced per match — defensive pressure (> 17.5/match is heavy siege).

13.72
3.91
Avg SoT Conceded

Shots on target faced per match — quality of chances given up (> 5.5 is severe).

5.00
2.44
Avg Saves

Goalkeeper saves per match (> 4.5 means the keeper is doing heavy lifting).

3.69
62%
Save %68%

Share of opponent shots on target stopped by the keeper.

74%
31%
Clean Sheet27%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

22%

xG Trends

xG TrendsEWMA-smoothed performance
3232
1.66
EWMAxG For

Smoothed expected goals created per match — top attacks hit > 2.5/match, mid-table sits around 1.4.

1.65
1.27
EWMAxG Against

Smoothed expected goals conceded per match — elite defenses < 1.0, struggling sides > 2.0.

1.26
0.39
EWMAxG Diff

Net xG: attack minus defense. ±1 is dominant/poor; ±2 is title-contender or crisis-level.

0.38
-0.08
EWMAFinishing Edge

Goals scored minus xG. +0.3 is clinical, −0.3 is wasteful; ±1 is statistical outlier.

-0.03
0.12
EWMAxG per Shot

Average chance quality per attempt — 0.10 is mid, 0.15+ means the team only shoots from dangerous spots.

0.11

Shots Quality

Shots Qualityvolume & accuracy
3232
12.88
Avg Shots

Total shots per match — pure attacking volume (> 16.5/match is elite).

14.34
4.91
Avg Shots on Target

Shots on target per match — strikes the keeper had to handle (> 5.5/match is heavy).

5.59
8.50
Avg Shots in Box

Shots taken from inside the penalty area — proximity to goal (> 8.5/match means consistent box presence).

10.19
66%
Box Shot %69%

Share of shots taken from inside the box — chance-selection quality. Mid sits ~60%, elite > 75%.

71%
38%
On-Target %39%

Share of shots that hit the target — striking accuracy. Mid ~33%, elite > 40%.

39%
11%
Shot Conversion12%

Goals per shot taken — clinical efficiency. ~10% is league average, > 15% is elite finishing.

13%

Possession & Passing

Possession & Passingball control
3232
52%
Avg Possession

Share of match time with the ball. > 55% is dominant, < 40% is reactive.

48%
84%
Pass Accuracy

Share of passes completed — distribution quality. Mid sits ~80%, elite > 88%.

83%
459.50
Avg Passes

Total passes attempted per match — distribution volume. Top sides > 550, bottom sides < 400.

434.31
0.07
EWMAPossession Trend

Smoothed possession differential — team minus opponent. ±0.1 is normal, ±0.2 is strong dominance.

-0.02

HT / FT Patterns

HT / FT Patternshalf-time vs full-time outcomes
3232
34%11/32
Leading at HT45%

Share of matches the team led at halftime — fast-start signal.

56%18/32
31%10/32
Level at HT

Share of matches level at halftime — balanced or low-tempo openings.

28%9/32
34%11/32
Trailing at HT

Share of matches the team trailed at halftime — slow starts (lower is better).

16%5/32
69%22/32
HT/FT Same Outcome61%

Share of matches where the W/D/L state at halftime matched the full-time result — game-state stability.

53%17/32
91%10/11
Led at HT → Won76%

Of matches led at HT, share converted into a full-time win — closing strength.

61%11/18
0%0/11
Trailed at HT → Recovered20%

Of matches trailing at HT, share rescued to a draw or win — comeback resilience.

40%2/5

Goal Timing

Goal Timingwhen goals happen
events 32/3232/323232
18%
0-15'16%

Hot starts — share of the team's goals scored in the opening 15 minutes.

14%
14%
16-30'18%

Early control — share scored between the 16th and 30th minute.

21%
12%
31-45'18%

Pre-HT push — share scored in the run-up to halftime.

23%
18%
46-60'15%

Restart wave — share scored in the first 15 minutes after HT.

13%
14%
61-75'16%

Game-state shift — share scored between minutes 61 and 75.

18%
22%
76-90+'17%

Late-game finishers — share scored from the 76th minute onwards (incl. stoppage time).

11%

First-Goal Edge

First-Goal Edgewho strikes first
events 32/3232/323232
47%15/32
Scored First57%

Share of matches where the team opened the scoring — fast-start signal.

68%21/31
53%17/32
Conceded First

Share of matches where the team conceded the opening goal (lower is better).

32%10/31
80%12/15
Win when Scoring First71%

Of matches the team scored first, share converted into a win — closing strength after the opener.

62%13/21
0%0/17
Win when Conceding First15%

Of matches conceding first, share rescued into a win — comeback strength.

30%3/10
28'
Avg Min. 1st Goal Scored

Average minute of the team's first goal — earlier means faster starters.

26'
37'
Avg Min. 1st Goal Conceded

Average minute of the first goal conceded — later is better (defense holds longer).

28'

Late-Game Strength

Late-Game Strengthafter the 75th minute
events 32/3232/323232
38%12/32
Scored after 75'30%

Share of matches with a late goal scored by the team — late finishers signal.

22%7/32
25%8/32
Conceded after 75'

Share of matches the team conceded a late goal — late-game vulnerability (lower is better).

19%6/32
92%11/12
Lead Saved after 75'86%

Of matches leading at 75', share closed out for a win — closing strength.

81%13/16
8%1/12
Lead Lost after 75'

Of matches leading at 75', share dropped to a draw or loss — late-game collapse risk.

19%3/16
19%6/32
Any Goal in Stoppage Time

Share of matches with any goal in stoppage time (90+) — late-drama frequency.

19%6/32

Set Pieces

Set Piecespenalty / own-goal share
events 32/3232/323232
86%42/49
Open-Play Share88%

Of the team's scored goals, share from open play — non-set-piece scoring quality.

91%51/56
12%6/49
Penalty Share

Of the team's scored goals, share from penalty kicks — penalty dependency.

9%5/56
2%1/49
Opp Own-Goal Bonus

Of the team's scored goals, share that were opponent own-goals — pressure / fortune.

0%0/56
4%2/45
Penalty Conceded Share

Of conceded goals, share from opponent penalties — defensive discipline (lower is better).

7%3/44
0%0/45
Own-Goal Cost

Of conceded goals, share that were the team's own goals — pressure-induced errors (lower is better).

9%4/44

Corners

Cornersset-piece pressure
3232
5.13
Avg Corners For

Average corners won per match — attacking territorial pressure (> 5.5 is heavy).

5.00
3.69
Avg Corners Against

Average corners conceded per match — territorial pressure faced (lower is better).

5.53
58%
Corner Share53%

Share of total corners in the team's matches that went to the team — territorial dominance ratio.

47%
0.88
EWMACorners Diff

Smoothed corner differential per match — long-term territorial advantage (±2 is strong).

0.23
47%15/32
Match Corners > 8.556%

Share of matches with total corners > 8.5 (Over 8.5 line) — high-tempo encounter signal.

66%21/32
41%13/32
Match Corners > 9.548%

Share of matches with total corners > 9.5 (Over 9.5 line).

56%18/32
34%11/32
Match Corners > 10.542%

Share of matches with total corners > 10.5 (Over 10.5 line) — corner-heavy clashes only.

50%16/32

Cards & Discipline

Cards & Disciplineyellows, reds & fouls
events 32/3232/323232
1.97
Avg Yellow Cards

Yellow cards picked up per match — discipline signal (lower is better).

1.81
6%2/32
Red Card Match Rate

Share of matches with at least one red card to the team — sending-off risk.

16%5/32
13.38
Avg Fouls

Fouls committed per match — aggression / tactical-foul tendency (lower is calmer).

11.41
79%22/28
Match Cards > 3.572%

Share of matches with total card points (both teams, yellow=1 / red=2, 2Y→R counted as 2) > 3.5 — Over 3.5 line.

66%19/29
28/3229/32
54%15/28
Match Cards > 4.544%

Share of matches with total card points > 4.5 — Over 4.5 line.

34%10/29
28/3229/32
58%
Cards in 2nd Half

Share of card events that occur after halftime — late-discipline tendency.

65%

Venue Edge

Venue EdgeRennes at home · Nice on the road
1616
1.56
PPG at Venue

Points per match at the venue — home team at home, away team away.

1.44
50%8/16
Win Rate44%

Share of sampled matches won.

38%6/16
44%7/16
Loss Rate

Share of sampled matches lost (lower is better).

31%5/16
1.44
Avg Goals Scored

Goals scored per match across the sampled games.

1.75
1.06
Avg Goals Conceded

Goals conceded per match (lower is better).

1.50
44%7/16
Clean Sheet28%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

13%2/16
38%6/16
BTTS59%

Share of matches where both teams scored.

81%13/16
50%8/16
Over 2.559%

Share of venue matches with total goals > 2.5.

69%11/16
1.59
EWMAAttack xG (EWMA)

Smoothed xG created at venue — long-term attacking strength in this fixture's venue context.

1.45
1.27
EWMADefense xG (EWMA)

Smoothed xG conceded at venue — defensive strength in this fixture's venue context (lower is better).

1.56