Ligue 1·
Regular Season - 16·01/03/2025·15:00
Nice
Nice
DDLWL
3-2
Finished
HT3-1
Rennes
Rennes
WWLWL
📍 Allianz Riviera, Nice
Season statsLigue 1
Nice15matchesRennes15matches

Every panel below reflects each team's matches in Ligue 1.

Coverage varies by leaguetop-tier competitions have richer per-match data; lower divisions and smaller leagues track fewer metrics, so some panels may be sparse or missing entirely.
Pre-match snapshotevery value reflects each team's state going into kick-off — frozen before the match starts, not updated live.

Overall

Overallteam-strength snapshot
48%
Overall

Composite team strength — average of LTQ and Hype.

56%
1569
ELO

Chess-style strength rating going into kick-off.

1574
52%
LTQ

Long-term quality across all competitions.

50%
43%
Hype

Short-term fixture buzz / excitement signal.

62%
3.46
Momentum

Recent goal-scoring trend (weighted goals signal).

2.59

Match Outcome

Match Outcomeresults breakdown
1515
1.60
Points per Game

Average points per match across the sampled games (max 3).

1.13
40%
Win Rate

Share of sampled matches won.

33%
40%
Draw Rate

Share of sampled matches that ended level.

13%
20%
Loss Rate

Share of sampled matches lost (lower is better).

53%
20%
Clean Sheet27%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

33%
13%
Failed to Score

Share of matches where the team didn't score (lower is better).

27%

Goal Scoring

Goal Scoringattacking output
1515
1.87
Avg Goals Scored

Goals scored per match across the sampled games.

1.33
87%
Scored > 0.580%

Share of matches where the team scored at least once.

73%
87%
Over 1.583%

Share of matches with total goals > 1.5.

80%
60%
Over 2.557%

Share of matches with total goals > 2.5.

53%
33%
Over 3.530%

Share of matches with total goals > 3.5 — high-scoring affairs.

27%
73%
BTTS57%

Share of matches where both teams scored.

40%
27%
BTTS & Win

Share of matches won while both teams scored — strong attack with a defensive lapse.

0%
20%
Scored Both Halves23%

Share of matches with a goal in both the 1st and 2nd half.

27%

Defensive Solidity

Defensive Soliditygoals & shots conceded
1515
1.27
Avg Goals Conceded

Goals conceded per match (lower is better).

1.33
14.27
Avg Shots Conceded

Total shots faced per match — defensive pressure (> 17.5/match is heavy siege).

10.27
5.67
Avg SoT Conceded

Shots on target faced per match — quality of chances given up (> 5.5 is severe).

3.13
4.20
Avg Saves

Goalkeeper saves per match (> 4.5 means the keeper is doing heavy lifting).

1.80
74%
Save %66%

Share of opponent shots on target stopped by the keeper.

57%
20%
Clean Sheet27%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

33%

xG Trends

xG TrendsEWMA-smoothed performance
1515
1.51
EWMAxG For

Smoothed expected goals created per match — top attacks hit > 2.5/match, mid-table sits around 1.4.

1.59
1.56
EWMAxG Against

Smoothed expected goals conceded per match — elite defenses < 1.0, struggling sides > 2.0.

1.09
-0.05
EWMAxG Diff

Net xG: attack minus defense. ±1 is dominant/poor; ±2 is title-contender or crisis-level.

0.50
-0.00
EWMAFinishing Edge

Goals scored minus xG. +0.3 is clinical, −0.3 is wasteful; ±1 is statistical outlier.

0.05
0.10
EWMAxG per Shot

Average chance quality per attempt — 0.10 is mid, 0.15+ means the team only shoots from dangerous spots.

0.13

Shots Quality

Shots Qualityvolume & accuracy
1515
14.13
Avg Shots

Total shots per match — pure attacking volume (> 16.5/match is elite).

11.40
5.60
Avg Shots on Target

Shots on target per match — strikes the keeper had to handle (> 5.5/match is heavy).

4.53
10.13
Avg Shots in Box

Shots taken from inside the penalty area — proximity to goal (> 8.5/match means consistent box presence).

7.27
72%
Box Shot %68%

Share of shots taken from inside the box — chance-selection quality. Mid sits ~60%, elite > 75%.

64%
40%
On-Target %40%

Share of shots that hit the target — striking accuracy. Mid ~33%, elite > 40%.

40%
13%
Shot Conversion12%

Goals per shot taken — clinical efficiency. ~10% is league average, > 15% is elite finishing.

12%

Possession & Passing

Possession & Passingball control
1515
48%
Avg Possession

Share of match time with the ball. > 55% is dominant, < 40% is reactive.

52%
84%
Pass Accuracy

Share of passes completed — distribution quality. Mid sits ~80%, elite > 88%.

83%
420.67
Avg Passes

Total passes attempted per match — distribution volume. Top sides > 550, bottom sides < 400.

454.47
-0.02
EWMAPossession Trend

Smoothed possession differential — team minus opponent. ±0.1 is normal, ±0.2 is strong dominance.

0.07

HT / FT Patterns

HT / FT Patternshalf-time vs full-time outcomes
1515
33%5/15
Leading at HT33%

Share of matches the team led at halftime — fast-start signal.

33%5/15
40%6/15
Level at HT

Share of matches level at halftime — balanced or low-tempo openings.

27%4/15
27%4/15
Trailing at HT

Share of matches the team trailed at halftime — slow starts (lower is better).

40%6/15
53%8/15
HT/FT Same Outcome63%

Share of matches where the W/D/L state at halftime matched the full-time result — game-state stability.

73%11/15
60%3/5
Led at HT → Won70%

Of matches led at HT, share converted into a full-time win — closing strength.

80%4/5
50%2/4
Trailed at HT → Recovered25%

Of matches trailing at HT, share rescued to a draw or win — comeback resilience.

0%0/6

Goal Timing

Goal Timingwhen goals happen
events 15/1515/151515
8%
0-15'9%

Hot starts — share of the team's goals scored in the opening 15 minutes.

10%
27%
16-30'23%

Early control — share scored between the 16th and 30th minute.

19%
19%
31-45'19%

Pre-HT push — share scored in the run-up to halftime.

19%
15%
46-60'17%

Restart wave — share scored in the first 15 minutes after HT.

19%
19%
61-75'17%

Game-state shift — share scored between minutes 61 and 75.

14%
12%
76-90+'15%

Late-game finishers — share scored from the 76th minute onwards (incl. stoppage time).

19%

First-Goal Edge

First-Goal Edgewho strikes first
events 15/1515/151515
50%7/14
Scored First48%

Share of matches where the team opened the scoring — fast-start signal.

47%7/15
50%7/14
Conceded First

Share of matches where the team conceded the opening goal (lower is better).

53%8/15
43%3/7
Win when Scoring First57%

Of matches the team scored first, share converted into a win — closing strength after the opener.

71%5/7
43%3/7
Win when Conceding First21%

Of matches conceding first, share rescued into a win — comeback strength.

0%0/8
33'
Avg Min. 1st Goal Scored

Average minute of the team's first goal — earlier means faster starters.

29'
27'
Avg Min. 1st Goal Conceded

Average minute of the first goal conceded — later is better (defense holds longer).

36'

Late-Game Strength

Late-Game Strengthafter the 75th minute
events 15/1515/151515
27%4/15
Scored after 75'30%

Share of matches with a late goal scored by the team — late finishers signal.

33%5/15
20%3/15
Conceded after 75'

Share of matches the team conceded a late goal — late-game vulnerability (lower is better).

20%3/15
83%5/6
Lead Saved after 75'83%

Of matches leading at 75', share closed out for a win — closing strength.

83%5/6
17%1/6
Lead Lost after 75'

Of matches leading at 75', share dropped to a draw or loss — late-game collapse risk.

17%1/6
20%3/15
Any Goal in Stoppage Time

Share of matches with any goal in stoppage time (90+) — late-drama frequency.

27%4/15

Set Pieces

Set Piecespenalty / own-goal share
events 15/1515/151515
92%24/26
Open-Play Share84%

Of the team's scored goals, share from open play — non-set-piece scoring quality.

76%16/21
8%2/26
Penalty Share

Of the team's scored goals, share from penalty kicks — penalty dependency.

19%4/21
0%0/26
Opp Own-Goal Bonus

Of the team's scored goals, share that were opponent own-goals — pressure / fortune.

5%1/21
10%2/21
Penalty Conceded Share

Of conceded goals, share from opponent penalties — defensive discipline (lower is better).

11%2/19
10%2/21
Own-Goal Cost

Of conceded goals, share that were the team's own goals — pressure-induced errors (lower is better).

0%0/19

Corners

Cornersset-piece pressure
1515
4.60
Avg Corners For

Average corners won per match — attacking territorial pressure (> 5.5 is heavy).

5.67
5.80
Avg Corners Against

Average corners conceded per match — territorial pressure faced (lower is better).

3.13
44%
Corner Share54%

Share of total corners in the team's matches that went to the team — territorial dominance ratio.

64%
-0.62
EWMACorners Diff

Smoothed corner differential per match — long-term territorial advantage (±2 is strong).

2.15
60%9/15
Match Corners > 8.550%

Share of matches with total corners > 8.5 (Over 8.5 line) — high-tempo encounter signal.

40%6/15
53%8/15
Match Corners > 9.547%

Share of matches with total corners > 9.5 (Over 9.5 line).

40%6/15
53%8/15
Match Corners > 10.540%

Share of matches with total corners > 10.5 (Over 10.5 line) — corner-heavy clashes only.

27%4/15

Cards & Discipline

Cards & Disciplineyellows, reds & fouls
events 15/1515/151515
1.93
Avg Yellow Cards

Yellow cards picked up per match — discipline signal (lower is better).

2.00
7%1/15
Red Card Match Rate

Share of matches with at least one red card to the team — sending-off risk.

7%1/15
10.67
Avg Fouls

Fouls committed per match — aggression / tactical-foul tendency (lower is calmer).

13.73
75%9/12
Match Cards > 3.577%

Share of matches with total card points (both teams, yellow=1 / red=2, 2Y→R counted as 2) > 3.5 — Over 3.5 line.

79%11/14
12/1514/15
42%5/12
Match Cards > 4.542%

Share of matches with total card points > 4.5 — Over 4.5 line.

43%6/14
12/1514/15
63%
Cards in 2nd Half

Share of card events that occur after halftime — late-discipline tendency.

59%

Venue Edge

Venue EdgeNice at home · Rennes on the road
77
2.14
PPG at Venue

Points per match at the venue — home team at home, away team away.

0.14
57%4/7
Win Rate29%

Share of sampled matches won.

0%0/7
0%0/7
Loss Rate

Share of sampled matches lost (lower is better).

86%6/7
2.57
Avg Goals Scored

Goals scored per match across the sampled games.

0.57
1.00
Avg Goals Conceded

Goals conceded per match (lower is better).

2.14
14%1/7
Clean Sheet7%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

0%0/7
86%6/7
BTTS71%

Share of matches where both teams scored.

57%4/7
71%5/7
Over 2.564%

Share of venue matches with total goals > 2.5.

57%4/7
1.78
EWMAAttack xG (EWMA)

Smoothed xG created at venue — long-term attacking strength in this fixture's venue context.

1.58
1.07
EWMADefense xG (EWMA)

Smoothed xG conceded at venue — defensive strength in this fixture's venue context (lower is better).

1.44