Ligue 1·
Regular Season - 15·12/15/2024·09:00
Montpellier
Montpellier
LDLWL
2-2
Finished
HT1-2
Nice
Nice
LWLLW
📍 Stade de la Mosson-Mondial 98, Montpellier
Season statsLigue 1
Montpellier14matchesNice14matches

Every panel below reflects each team's matches in Ligue 1.

Coverage varies by leaguetop-tier competitions have richer per-match data; lower divisions and smaller leagues track fewer metrics, so some panels may be sparse or missing entirely.
Pre-match snapshotevery value reflects each team's state going into kick-off — frozen before the match starts, not updated live.

Overall

Overallteam-strength snapshot
32%
Overall

Composite team strength — average of LTQ and Hype.

44%
1418
ELO

Chess-style strength rating going into kick-off.

1581
30%
LTQ

Long-term quality across all competitions.

50%
33%
Hype

Short-term fixture buzz / excitement signal.

37%
2.82
Momentum

Recent goal-scoring trend (weighted goals signal).

3.54

Match Outcome

Match Outcomeresults breakdown
1414
0.57
Points per Game

Average points per match across the sampled games (max 3).

1.64
14%
Win Rate

Share of sampled matches won.

43%
14%
Draw Rate

Share of sampled matches that ended level.

36%
71%
Loss Rate

Share of sampled matches lost (lower is better).

21%
0%
Clean Sheet11%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

21%
50%
Failed to Score

Share of matches where the team didn't score (lower is better).

14%

Goal Scoring

Goal Scoringattacking output
1414
0.93
Avg Goals Scored

Goals scored per match across the sampled games.

1.86
50%
Scored > 0.568%

Share of matches where the team scored at least once.

86%
86%
Over 1.586%

Share of matches with total goals > 1.5.

86%
71%
Over 2.564%

Share of matches with total goals > 2.5.

57%
50%
Over 3.539%

Share of matches with total goals > 3.5 — high-scoring affairs.

29%
50%
BTTS61%

Share of matches where both teams scored.

71%
14%
BTTS & Win

Share of matches won while both teams scored — strong attack with a defensive lapse.

29%
21%
Scored Both Halves21%

Share of matches with a goal in both the 1st and 2nd half.

21%

Defensive Solidity

Defensive Soliditygoals & shots conceded
1414
2.57
Avg Goals Conceded

Goals conceded per match (lower is better).

1.21
15.43
Avg Shots Conceded

Total shots faced per match — defensive pressure (> 17.5/match is heavy siege).

13.79
5.71
Avg SoT Conceded

Shots on target faced per match — quality of chances given up (> 5.5 is severe).

5.50
3.07
Avg Saves

Goalkeeper saves per match (> 4.5 means the keeper is doing heavy lifting).

4.07
54%
Save %64%

Share of opponent shots on target stopped by the keeper.

74%
0%
Clean Sheet11%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

21%

xG Trends

xG TrendsEWMA-smoothed performance
1414
1.19
EWMAxG For

Smoothed expected goals created per match — top attacks hit > 2.5/match, mid-table sits around 1.4.

1.59
1.97
EWMAxG Against

Smoothed expected goals conceded per match — elite defenses < 1.0, struggling sides > 2.0.

1.56
-0.78
EWMAxG Diff

Net xG: attack minus defense. ±1 is dominant/poor; ±2 is title-contender or crisis-level.

0.03
-0.09
EWMAFinishing Edge

Goals scored minus xG. +0.3 is clinical, −0.3 is wasteful; ±1 is statistical outlier.

-0.08
0.11
EWMAxG per Shot

Average chance quality per attempt — 0.10 is mid, 0.15+ means the team only shoots from dangerous spots.

0.11

Shots Quality

Shots Qualityvolume & accuracy
1414
10.79
Avg Shots

Total shots per match — pure attacking volume (> 16.5/match is elite).

13.86
4.00
Avg Shots on Target

Shots on target per match — strikes the keeper had to handle (> 5.5/match is heavy).

5.57
6.07
Avg Shots in Box

Shots taken from inside the penalty area — proximity to goal (> 8.5/match means consistent box presence).

10.14
56%
Box Shot %65%

Share of shots taken from inside the box — chance-selection quality. Mid sits ~60%, elite > 75%.

73%
37%
On-Target %39%

Share of shots that hit the target — striking accuracy. Mid ~33%, elite > 40%.

40%
9%
Shot Conversion11%

Goals per shot taken — clinical efficiency. ~10% is league average, > 15% is elite finishing.

13%

Possession & Passing

Possession & Passingball control
1414
47%
Avg Possession

Share of match time with the ball. > 55% is dominant, < 40% is reactive.

48%
81%
Pass Accuracy

Share of passes completed — distribution quality. Mid sits ~80%, elite > 88%.

83%
396.50
Avg Passes

Total passes attempted per match — distribution volume. Top sides > 550, bottom sides < 400.

423.93
-0.07
EWMAPossession Trend

Smoothed possession differential — team minus opponent. ±0.1 is normal, ±0.2 is strong dominance.

-0.02

HT / FT Patterns

HT / FT Patternshalf-time vs full-time outcomes
1414
7%1/14
Leading at HT18%

Share of matches the team led at halftime — fast-start signal.

29%4/14
36%5/14
Level at HT

Share of matches level at halftime — balanced or low-tempo openings.

43%6/14
57%8/14
Trailing at HT

Share of matches the team trailed at halftime — slow starts (lower is better).

29%4/14
71%10/14
HT/FT Same Outcome64%

Share of matches where the W/D/L state at halftime matched the full-time result — game-state stability.

57%8/14
100%1/1
Led at HT → Won88%

Of matches led at HT, share converted into a full-time win — closing strength.

75%3/4
13%1/8
Trailed at HT → Recovered31%

Of matches trailing at HT, share rescued to a draw or win — comeback resilience.

50%2/4

Goal Timing

Goal Timingwhen goals happen
events 14/1414/141414
14%
0-15'11%

Hot starts — share of the team's goals scored in the opening 15 minutes.

8%
14%
16-30'18%

Early control — share scored between the 16th and 30th minute.

21%
14%
31-45'18%

Pre-HT push — share scored in the run-up to halftime.

21%
0%
46-60'8%

Restart wave — share scored in the first 15 minutes after HT.

17%
29%
61-75'25%

Game-state shift — share scored between minutes 61 and 75.

21%
29%
76-90+'21%

Late-game finishers — share scored from the 76th minute onwards (incl. stoppage time).

13%

First-Goal Edge

First-Goal Edgewho strikes first
events 14/1414/141414
14%2/14
Scored First30%

Share of matches where the team opened the scoring — fast-start signal.

46%6/13
86%12/14
Conceded First

Share of matches where the team conceded the opening goal (lower is better).

54%7/13
50%1/2
Win when Scoring First50%

Of matches the team scored first, share converted into a win — closing strength after the opener.

50%3/6
8%1/12
Win when Conceding First26%

Of matches conceding first, share rescued into a win — comeback strength.

43%3/7
11'
Avg Min. 1st Goal Scored

Average minute of the team's first goal — earlier means faster starters.

36'
29'
Avg Min. 1st Goal Conceded

Average minute of the first goal conceded — later is better (defense holds longer).

27'

Late-Game Strength

Late-Game Strengthafter the 75th minute
events 14/1414/141414
36%5/14
Scored after 75'32%

Share of matches with a late goal scored by the team — late finishers signal.

29%4/14
29%4/14
Conceded after 75'

Share of matches the team conceded a late goal — late-game vulnerability (lower is better).

14%2/14
100%1/1
Lead Saved after 75'100%

Of matches leading at 75', share closed out for a win — closing strength.

100%5/5
0%0/1
Lead Lost after 75'

Of matches leading at 75', share dropped to a draw or loss — late-game collapse risk.

0%0/5
29%4/14
Any Goal in Stoppage Time

Share of matches with any goal in stoppage time (90+) — late-drama frequency.

21%3/14

Set Pieces

Set Piecespenalty / own-goal share
events 14/1414/141414
79%11/14
Open-Play Share85%

Of the team's scored goals, share from open play — non-set-piece scoring quality.

92%22/24
14%2/14
Penalty Share

Of the team's scored goals, share from penalty kicks — penalty dependency.

8%2/24
7%1/14
Opp Own-Goal Bonus

Of the team's scored goals, share that were opponent own-goals — pressure / fortune.

0%0/24
14%5/35
Penalty Conceded Share

Of conceded goals, share from opponent penalties — defensive discipline (lower is better).

11%2/19
0%0/35
Own-Goal Cost

Of conceded goals, share that were the team's own goals — pressure-induced errors (lower is better).

11%2/19

Corners

Cornersset-piece pressure
1414
5.36
Avg Corners For

Average corners won per match — attacking territorial pressure (> 5.5 is heavy).

4.64
4.43
Avg Corners Against

Average corners conceded per match — territorial pressure faced (lower is better).

5.57
55%
Corner Share50%

Share of total corners in the team's matches that went to the team — territorial dominance ratio.

45%
0.45
EWMACorners Diff

Smoothed corner differential per match — long-term territorial advantage (±2 is strong).

-0.23
64%9/14
Match Corners > 8.561%

Share of matches with total corners > 8.5 (Over 8.5 line) — high-tempo encounter signal.

57%8/14
50%7/14
Match Corners > 9.550%

Share of matches with total corners > 9.5 (Over 9.5 line).

50%7/14
36%5/14
Match Corners > 10.543%

Share of matches with total corners > 10.5 (Over 10.5 line) — corner-heavy clashes only.

50%7/14

Cards & Discipline

Cards & Disciplineyellows, reds & fouls
events 14/1414/141414
3.14
Avg Yellow Cards

Yellow cards picked up per match — discipline signal (lower is better).

1.93
29%4/14
Red Card Match Rate

Share of matches with at least one red card to the team — sending-off risk.

7%1/14
12.43
Avg Fouls

Fouls committed per match — aggression / tactical-foul tendency (lower is calmer).

10.50
93%13/14
Match Cards > 3.587%

Share of matches with total card points (both teams, yellow=1 / red=2, 2Y→R counted as 2) > 3.5 — Over 3.5 line.

82%9/11
11/14
79%11/14
Match Cards > 4.562%

Share of matches with total card points > 4.5 — Over 4.5 line.

45%5/11
11/14
69%
Cards in 2nd Half

Share of card events that occur after halftime — late-discipline tendency.

63%

Venue Edge

Venue EdgeMontpellier at home · Nice on the road
77
1.14
PPG at Venue

Points per match at the venue — home team at home, away team away.

1.14
29%2/7
Win Rate29%

Share of sampled matches won.

29%2/7
43%3/7
Loss Rate

Share of sampled matches lost (lower is better).

43%3/7
1.43
Avg Goals Scored

Goals scored per match across the sampled games.

1.14
2.43
Avg Goals Conceded

Goals conceded per match (lower is better).

1.43
0%0/7
Clean Sheet14%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

29%2/7
71%5/7
BTTS64%

Share of matches where both teams scored.

57%4/7
86%6/7
Over 2.564%

Share of venue matches with total goals > 2.5.

43%3/7
1.49
EWMAAttack xG (EWMA)

Smoothed xG created at venue — long-term attacking strength in this fixture's venue context.

1.45
1.77
EWMADefense xG (EWMA)

Smoothed xG conceded at venue — defensive strength in this fixture's venue context (lower is better).

1.77