Ligue 2·
Regular Season - 30·04/12/2025·08:00
Guingamp
Guingamp
LWWWL
1-2
Finished
HT0-0
Lorient
Lorient
WWWLW
📍 Stade du Roudourou, Guingamp
Season statsLigue 2
Guingamp29matchesLorient29matches

Every panel below reflects each team's matches in Ligue 2.

Coverage varies by leaguetop-tier competitions have richer per-match data; lower divisions and smaller leagues track fewer metrics, so some panels may be sparse or missing entirely.
Pre-match snapshotevery value reflects each team's state going into kick-off — frozen before the match starts, not updated live.

Overall

Overallteam-strength snapshot
56%
Overall

Composite team strength — average of LTQ and Hype.

80%
1574
ELO

Chess-style strength rating going into kick-off.

1634
58%
LTQ

Long-term quality across all competitions.

76%
55%
Hype

Short-term fixture buzz / excitement signal.

83%
2.98
Momentum

Recent goal-scoring trend (weighted goals signal).

3.76

Match Outcome

Match Outcomeresults breakdown
2929
1.66
Points per Game

Average points per match across the sampled games (max 3).

2.10
52%
Win Rate

Share of sampled matches won.

66%
10%
Draw Rate

Share of sampled matches that ended level.

14%
38%
Loss Rate

Share of sampled matches lost (lower is better).

21%
38%
Clean Sheet38%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

38%
17%
Failed to Score

Share of matches where the team didn't score (lower is better).

21%

Goal Scoring

Goal Scoringattacking output
2929
1.62
Avg Goals Scored

Goals scored per match across the sampled games.

1.93
83%
Scored > 0.581%

Share of matches where the team scored at least once.

79%
72%
Over 1.572%

Share of matches with total goals > 1.5.

72%
59%
Over 2.557%

Share of matches with total goals > 2.5.

55%
38%
Over 3.536%

Share of matches with total goals > 3.5 — high-scoring affairs.

34%
45%
BTTS47%

Share of matches where both teams scored.

48%
14%
BTTS & Win

Share of matches won while both teams scored — strong attack with a defensive lapse.

34%
34%
Scored Both Halves41%

Share of matches with a goal in both the 1st and 2nd half.

48%

Defensive Solidity

Defensive Soliditygoals & shots conceded
2929
1.24
Avg Goals Conceded

Goals conceded per match (lower is better).

0.93
11.66
Avg Shots Conceded

Total shots faced per match — defensive pressure (> 17.5/match is heavy siege).

7.90
4.62
Avg SoT Conceded

Shots on target faced per match — quality of chances given up (> 5.5 is severe).

2.86
3.34
Avg Saves

Goalkeeper saves per match (> 4.5 means the keeper is doing heavy lifting).

1.89
28/29
72%
Save %68%

Share of opponent shots on target stopped by the keeper.

64%
38%
Clean Sheet38%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

38%

xG Trends

xG TrendsEWMA-smoothed performance
2929
1.93
EWMAxG For

Smoothed expected goals created per match — top attacks hit > 2.5/match, mid-table sits around 1.4.

2.75
1.55
EWMAxG Against

Smoothed expected goals conceded per match — elite defenses < 1.0, struggling sides > 2.0.

1.08
0.38
EWMAxG Diff

Net xG: attack minus defense. ±1 is dominant/poor; ±2 is title-contender or crisis-level.

1.67
-0.29
EWMAFinishing Edge

Goals scored minus xG. +0.3 is clinical, −0.3 is wasteful; ±1 is statistical outlier.

-0.54
0.15
EWMAxG per Shot

Average chance quality per attempt — 0.10 is mid, 0.15+ means the team only shoots from dangerous spots.

0.19

Shots Quality

Shots Qualityvolume & accuracy
2929
12.93
Avg Shots

Total shots per match — pure attacking volume (> 16.5/match is elite).

14.48
5.10
Avg Shots on Target

Shots on target per match — strikes the keeper had to handle (> 5.5/match is heavy).

5.41
8.69
Avg Shots in Box

Shots taken from inside the penalty area — proximity to goal (> 8.5/match means consistent box presence).

9.03
67%
Box Shot %65%

Share of shots taken from inside the box — chance-selection quality. Mid sits ~60%, elite > 75%.

62%
39%
On-Target %38%

Share of shots that hit the target — striking accuracy. Mid ~33%, elite > 40%.

37%
13%
Shot Conversion13%

Goals per shot taken — clinical efficiency. ~10% is league average, > 15% is elite finishing.

13%

Possession & Passing

Possession & Passingball control
2929
54%
Avg Possession

Share of match time with the ball. > 55% is dominant, < 40% is reactive.

56%
28/29
84%
Pass Accuracy

Share of passes completed — distribution quality. Mid sits ~80%, elite > 88%.

84%
28/29
492.07
Avg Passes

Total passes attempted per match — distribution volume. Top sides > 550, bottom sides < 400.

491.39
28/29
0.11
EWMAPossession Trend

Smoothed possession differential — team minus opponent. ±0.1 is normal, ±0.2 is strong dominance.

0.11

HT / FT Patterns

HT / FT Patternshalf-time vs full-time outcomes
2929
41%12/29
Leading at HT40%

Share of matches the team led at halftime — fast-start signal.

38%11/29
34%10/29
Level at HT

Share of matches level at halftime — balanced or low-tempo openings.

38%11/29
24%7/29
Trailing at HT

Share of matches the team trailed at halftime — slow starts (lower is better).

24%7/29
62%18/29
HT/FT Same Outcome59%

Share of matches where the W/D/L state at halftime matched the full-time result — game-state stability.

55%16/29
92%11/12
Led at HT → Won91%

Of matches led at HT, share converted into a full-time win — closing strength.

91%10/11
29%2/7
Trailed at HT → Recovered36%

Of matches trailing at HT, share rescued to a draw or win — comeback resilience.

43%3/7

Goal Timing

Goal Timingwhen goals happen
events 29/2929/292929
14%
0-15'14%

Hot starts — share of the team's goals scored in the opening 15 minutes.

15%
14%
16-30'14%

Early control — share scored between the 16th and 30th minute.

13%
16%
31-45'12%

Pre-HT push — share scored in the run-up to halftime.

7%
14%
46-60'14%

Restart wave — share scored in the first 15 minutes after HT.

13%
12%
61-75'17%

Game-state shift — share scored between minutes 61 and 75.

22%
29%
76-90+'30%

Late-game finishers — share scored from the 76th minute onwards (incl. stoppage time).

31%

First-Goal Edge

First-Goal Edgewho strikes first
events 29/2929/292929
55%16/29
Scored First54%

Share of matches where the team opened the scoring — fast-start signal.

52%14/27
45%13/29
Conceded First

Share of matches where the team conceded the opening goal (lower is better).

48%13/27
88%14/16
Win when Scoring First90%

Of matches the team scored first, share converted into a win — closing strength after the opener.

93%13/14
8%1/13
Win when Conceding First27%

Of matches conceding first, share rescued into a win — comeback strength.

46%6/13
29'
Avg Min. 1st Goal Scored

Average minute of the team's first goal — earlier means faster starters.

29'
31'
Avg Min. 1st Goal Conceded

Average minute of the first goal conceded — later is better (defense holds longer).

30'

Late-Game Strength

Late-Game Strengthafter the 75th minute
events 29/2929/292929
38%11/29
Scored after 75'41%

Share of matches with a late goal scored by the team — late finishers signal.

45%13/29
17%5/29
Conceded after 75'

Share of matches the team conceded a late goal — late-game vulnerability (lower is better).

21%6/29
100%12/12
Lead Saved after 75'97%

Of matches leading at 75', share closed out for a win — closing strength.

93%14/15
0%0/12
Lead Lost after 75'

Of matches leading at 75', share dropped to a draw or loss — late-game collapse risk.

7%1/15
24%7/29
Any Goal in Stoppage Time

Share of matches with any goal in stoppage time (90+) — late-drama frequency.

21%6/29

Set Pieces

Set Piecespenalty / own-goal share
events 29/2929/292929
90%44/49
Open-Play Share86%

Of the team's scored goals, share from open play — non-set-piece scoring quality.

82%45/55
8%4/49
Penalty Share

Of the team's scored goals, share from penalty kicks — penalty dependency.

18%10/55
2%1/49
Opp Own-Goal Bonus

Of the team's scored goals, share that were opponent own-goals — pressure / fortune.

0%0/55
14%5/36
Penalty Conceded Share

Of conceded goals, share from opponent penalties — defensive discipline (lower is better).

4%1/28
3%1/36
Own-Goal Cost

Of conceded goals, share that were the team's own goals — pressure-induced errors (lower is better).

4%1/28

Corners

Cornersset-piece pressure
2929
4.97
Avg Corners For

Average corners won per match — attacking territorial pressure (> 5.5 is heavy).

6.39
28/29
4.21
Avg Corners Against

Average corners conceded per match — territorial pressure faced (lower is better).

3.07
28/29
54%
Corner Share61%

Share of total corners in the team's matches that went to the team — territorial dominance ratio.

68%
28/29
2.04
EWMACorners Diff

Smoothed corner differential per match — long-term territorial advantage (±2 is strong).

2.98
59%17/29
Match Corners > 8.556%

Share of matches with total corners > 8.5 (Over 8.5 line) — high-tempo encounter signal.

54%15/28
28/29
52%15/29
Match Corners > 9.549%

Share of matches with total corners > 9.5 (Over 9.5 line).

46%13/28
28/29
38%11/29
Match Corners > 10.537%

Share of matches with total corners > 10.5 (Over 10.5 line) — corner-heavy clashes only.

36%10/28
28/29

Cards & Discipline

Cards & Disciplineyellows, reds & fouls
events 29/2929/292929
1.14
Avg Yellow Cards

Yellow cards picked up per match — discipline signal (lower is better).

1.28
7%2/29
Red Card Match Rate

Share of matches with at least one red card to the team — sending-off risk.

3%1/29
13.03
Avg Fouls

Fouls committed per match — aggression / tactical-foul tendency (lower is calmer).

12.79
64%14/22
Match Cards > 3.573%

Share of matches with total card points (both teams, yellow=1 / red=2, 2Y→R counted as 2) > 3.5 — Over 3.5 line.

83%15/18
22/2918/29
41%9/22
Match Cards > 4.545%

Share of matches with total card points > 4.5 — Over 4.5 line.

50%9/18
22/2918/29
62%
Cards in 2nd Half

Share of card events that occur after halftime — late-discipline tendency.

61%

Venue Edge

Venue EdgeGuingamp at home · Lorient on the road
1414
1.86
PPG at Venue

Points per match at the venue — home team at home, away team away.

1.50
57%8/14
Win Rate50%

Share of sampled matches won.

43%6/14
29%4/14
Loss Rate

Share of sampled matches lost (lower is better).

36%5/14
2.00
Avg Goals Scored

Goals scored per match across the sampled games.

1.14
1.00
Avg Goals Conceded

Goals conceded per match (lower is better).

1.14
43%6/14
Clean Sheet36%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

29%4/14
36%5/14
BTTS43%

Share of matches where both teams scored.

50%7/14
64%9/14
Over 2.554%

Share of venue matches with total goals > 2.5.

43%6/14
2.15
EWMAAttack xG (EWMA)

Smoothed xG created at venue — long-term attacking strength in this fixture's venue context.

1.78
1.27
EWMADefense xG (EWMA)

Smoothed xG conceded at venue — defensive strength in this fixture's venue context (lower is better).

1.40