Ligue 2·
Regular Season - 29·04/05/2025·14:00
Lorient
Lorient
WWLWL
5-0
Finished
HT1-0
PAU
PAU
WDLWD
📍 Stade du Moustoir - Yves Allainmat, Lorient
Season statsLigue 2
Lorient28matchesPAU28matches

Every panel below reflects each team's matches in Ligue 2.

Coverage varies by leaguetop-tier competitions have richer per-match data; lower divisions and smaller leagues track fewer metrics, so some panels may be sparse or missing entirely.
Pre-match snapshotevery value reflects each team's state going into kick-off — frozen before the match starts, not updated live.

Overall

Overallteam-strength snapshot
71%
Overall

Composite team strength — average of LTQ and Hype.

51%
1655
ELO

Chess-style strength rating going into kick-off.

1504
73%
LTQ

Long-term quality across all competitions.

52%
69%
Hype

Short-term fixture buzz / excitement signal.

50%
3.24
Momentum

Recent goal-scoring trend (weighted goals signal).

2.74

Match Outcome

Match Outcomeresults breakdown
2828
2.07
Points per Game

Average points per match across the sampled games (max 3).

1.32
64%
Win Rate

Share of sampled matches won.

32%
14%
Draw Rate

Share of sampled matches that ended level.

36%
21%
Loss Rate

Share of sampled matches lost (lower is better).

32%
36%
Clean Sheet34%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

32%
21%
Failed to Score

Share of matches where the team didn't score (lower is better).

29%

Goal Scoring

Goal Scoringattacking output
2828
1.82
Avg Goals Scored

Goals scored per match across the sampled games.

1.11
79%
Scored > 0.575%

Share of matches where the team scored at least once.

71%
71%
Over 1.570%

Share of matches with total goals > 1.5.

68%
54%
Over 2.546%

Share of matches with total goals > 2.5.

39%
32%
Over 3.532%

Share of matches with total goals > 3.5 — high-scoring affairs.

32%
50%
BTTS48%

Share of matches where both teams scored.

46%
36%
BTTS & Win

Share of matches won while both teams scored — strong attack with a defensive lapse.

7%
46%
Scored Both Halves32%

Share of matches with a goal in both the 1st and 2nd half.

18%

Defensive Solidity

Defensive Soliditygoals & shots conceded
2828
0.96
Avg Goals Conceded

Goals conceded per match (lower is better).

1.32
8.18
Avg Shots Conceded

Total shots faced per match — defensive pressure (> 17.5/match is heavy siege).

12.18
2.96
Avg SoT Conceded

Shots on target faced per match — quality of chances given up (> 5.5 is severe).

4.89
1.89
Avg Saves

Goalkeeper saves per match (> 4.5 means the keeper is doing heavy lifting).

3.54
64%
Save %68%

Share of opponent shots on target stopped by the keeper.

72%
36%
Clean Sheet34%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

32%

xG Trends

xG TrendsEWMA-smoothed performance
2828
2.40
EWMAxG For

Smoothed expected goals created per match — top attacks hit > 2.5/match, mid-table sits around 1.4.

1.35
1.20
EWMAxG Against

Smoothed expected goals conceded per match — elite defenses < 1.0, struggling sides > 2.0.

1.70
1.20
EWMAxG Diff

Net xG: attack minus defense. ±1 is dominant/poor; ±2 is title-contender or crisis-level.

-0.34
-0.44
EWMAFinishing Edge

Goals scored minus xG. +0.3 is clinical, −0.3 is wasteful; ±1 is statistical outlier.

-0.20
0.16
EWMAxG per Shot

Average chance quality per attempt — 0.10 is mid, 0.15+ means the team only shoots from dangerous spots.

0.10

Shots Quality

Shots Qualityvolume & accuracy
2828
15.00
Avg Shots

Total shots per match — pure attacking volume (> 16.5/match is elite).

13.61
5.61
Avg Shots on Target

Shots on target per match — strikes the keeper had to handle (> 5.5/match is heavy).

4.39
9.36
Avg Shots in Box

Shots taken from inside the penalty area — proximity to goal (> 8.5/match means consistent box presence).

8.64
62%
Box Shot %63%

Share of shots taken from inside the box — chance-selection quality. Mid sits ~60%, elite > 75%.

64%
37%
On-Target %35%

Share of shots that hit the target — striking accuracy. Mid ~33%, elite > 40%.

32%
12%
Shot Conversion10%

Goals per shot taken — clinical efficiency. ~10% is league average, > 15% is elite finishing.

8%

Possession & Passing

Possession & Passingball control
2828
56%
Avg Possession

Share of match time with the ball. > 55% is dominant, < 40% is reactive.

49%
84%
Pass Accuracy

Share of passes completed — distribution quality. Mid sits ~80%, elite > 88%.

80%
491.39
Avg Passes

Total passes attempted per match — distribution volume. Top sides > 550, bottom sides < 400.

410.46
0.11
EWMAPossession Trend

Smoothed possession differential — team minus opponent. ±0.1 is normal, ±0.2 is strong dominance.

-0.01

HT / FT Patterns

HT / FT Patternshalf-time vs full-time outcomes
2828
36%10/28
Leading at HT29%

Share of matches the team led at halftime — fast-start signal.

21%6/28
39%11/28
Level at HT

Share of matches level at halftime — balanced or low-tempo openings.

54%15/28
25%7/28
Trailing at HT

Share of matches the team trailed at halftime — slow starts (lower is better).

25%7/28
54%15/28
HT/FT Same Outcome54%

Share of matches where the W/D/L state at halftime matched the full-time result — game-state stability.

54%15/28
90%9/10
Led at HT → Won78%

Of matches led at HT, share converted into a full-time win — closing strength.

67%4/6
43%3/7
Trailed at HT → Recovered36%

Of matches trailing at HT, share rescued to a draw or win — comeback resilience.

29%2/7

Goal Timing

Goal Timingwhen goals happen
events 28/2828/282828
14%
0-15'15%

Hot starts — share of the team's goals scored in the opening 15 minutes.

16%
14%
16-30'12%

Early control — share scored between the 16th and 30th minute.

9%
8%
31-45'10%

Pre-HT push — share scored in the run-up to halftime.

13%
12%
46-60'14%

Restart wave — share scored in the first 15 minutes after HT.

16%
22%
61-75'22%

Game-state shift — share scored between minutes 61 and 75.

22%
30%
76-90+'28%

Late-game finishers — share scored from the 76th minute onwards (incl. stoppage time).

25%

First-Goal Edge

First-Goal Edgewho strikes first
events 28/2828/282828
50%13/26
Scored First50%

Share of matches where the team opened the scoring — fast-start signal.

50%13/26
50%13/26
Conceded First

Share of matches where the team conceded the opening goal (lower is better).

50%13/26
92%12/13
Win when Scoring First81%

Of matches the team scored first, share converted into a win — closing strength after the opener.

69%9/13
46%6/13
Win when Conceding First23%

Of matches conceding first, share rescued into a win — comeback strength.

0%0/13
30'
Avg Min. 1st Goal Scored

Average minute of the team's first goal — earlier means faster starters.

31'
30'
Avg Min. 1st Goal Conceded

Average minute of the first goal conceded — later is better (defense holds longer).

31'

Late-Game Strength

Late-Game Strengthafter the 75th minute
events 28/2828/282828
43%12/28
Scored after 75'34%

Share of matches with a late goal scored by the team — late finishers signal.

25%7/28
21%6/28
Conceded after 75'

Share of matches the team conceded a late goal — late-game vulnerability (lower is better).

25%7/28
93%13/14
Lead Saved after 75'85%

Of matches leading at 75', share closed out for a win — closing strength.

78%7/9
7%1/14
Lead Lost after 75'

Of matches leading at 75', share dropped to a draw or loss — late-game collapse risk.

22%2/9
18%5/28
Any Goal in Stoppage Time

Share of matches with any goal in stoppage time (90+) — late-drama frequency.

11%3/28

Set Pieces

Set Piecespenalty / own-goal share
events 28/2828/282828
80%40/50
Open-Play Share79%

Of the team's scored goals, share from open play — non-set-piece scoring quality.

78%25/32
20%10/50
Penalty Share

Of the team's scored goals, share from penalty kicks — penalty dependency.

19%6/32
0%0/50
Opp Own-Goal Bonus

Of the team's scored goals, share that were opponent own-goals — pressure / fortune.

3%1/32
4%1/28
Penalty Conceded Share

Of conceded goals, share from opponent penalties — defensive discipline (lower is better).

8%3/36
4%1/28
Own-Goal Cost

Of conceded goals, share that were the team's own goals — pressure-induced errors (lower is better).

0%0/36

Corners

Cornersset-piece pressure
2828
6.39
Avg Corners For

Average corners won per match — attacking territorial pressure (> 5.5 is heavy).

5.18
3.07
Avg Corners Against

Average corners conceded per match — territorial pressure faced (lower is better).

4.54
68%
Corner Share60%

Share of total corners in the team's matches that went to the team — territorial dominance ratio.

53%
2.98
EWMACorners Diff

Smoothed corner differential per match — long-term territorial advantage (±2 is strong).

0.30
54%15/28
Match Corners > 8.552%

Share of matches with total corners > 8.5 (Over 8.5 line) — high-tempo encounter signal.

50%14/28
46%13/28
Match Corners > 9.546%

Share of matches with total corners > 9.5 (Over 9.5 line).

46%13/28
36%10/28
Match Corners > 10.534%

Share of matches with total corners > 10.5 (Over 10.5 line) — corner-heavy clashes only.

32%9/28

Cards & Discipline

Cards & Disciplineyellows, reds & fouls
events 28/2828/282828
1.32
Avg Yellow Cards

Yellow cards picked up per match — discipline signal (lower is better).

2.39
4%1/28
Red Card Match Rate

Share of matches with at least one red card to the team — sending-off risk.

11%3/28
13.25
Avg Fouls

Fouls committed per match — aggression / tactical-foul tendency (lower is calmer).

14.29
78%14/18
Match Cards > 3.579%

Share of matches with total card points (both teams, yellow=1 / red=2, 2Y→R counted as 2) > 3.5 — Over 3.5 line.

80%20/25
18/2825/28
50%9/18
Match Cards > 4.555%

Share of matches with total card points > 4.5 — Over 4.5 line.

60%15/25
18/2825/28
60%
Cards in 2nd Half

Share of card events that occur after halftime — late-discipline tendency.

57%

Venue Edge

Venue EdgeLorient at home · PAU on the road
1414
2.64
PPG at Venue

Points per match at the venue — home team at home, away team away.

0.86
86%12/14
Win Rate50%

Share of sampled matches won.

14%2/14
7%1/14
Loss Rate

Share of sampled matches lost (lower is better).

43%6/14
2.50
Avg Goals Scored

Goals scored per match across the sampled games.

1.14
0.79
Avg Goals Conceded

Goals conceded per match (lower is better).

1.71
43%6/14
Clean Sheet29%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

14%2/14
50%7/14
BTTS57%

Share of matches where both teams scored.

64%9/14
64%9/14
Over 2.561%

Share of venue matches with total goals > 2.5.

57%8/14
2.93
EWMAAttack xG (EWMA)

Smoothed xG created at venue — long-term attacking strength in this fixture's venue context.

1.67
0.96
EWMADefense xG (EWMA)

Smoothed xG conceded at venue — defensive strength in this fixture's venue context (lower is better).

1.98