Ligue 2·
Regular Season - 28·03/28/2025·15:00
Bastia
Bastia
LWLWD
2-0
Finished
HT1-0
Dunkerque
Dunkerque
LLWWW
📍 Stade Armand-Césari, Furiani
Season statsLigue 2
Bastia27matchesDunkerque27matches

Every panel below reflects each team's matches in Ligue 2.

Coverage varies by leaguetop-tier competitions have richer per-match data; lower divisions and smaller leagues track fewer metrics, so some panels may be sparse or missing entirely.
Pre-match snapshotevery value reflects each team's state going into kick-off — frozen before the match starts, not updated live.

Overall

Overallteam-strength snapshot
49%
Overall

Composite team strength — average of LTQ and Hype.

56%
1547
ELO

Chess-style strength rating going into kick-off.

1613
53%
LTQ

Long-term quality across all competitions.

65%
44%
Hype

Short-term fixture buzz / excitement signal.

48%
1.90
Momentum

Recent goal-scoring trend (weighted goals signal).

3.68

Match Outcome

Match Outcomeresults breakdown
2727
1.37
Points per Game

Average points per match across the sampled games (max 3).

1.78
30%
Win Rate

Share of sampled matches won.

56%
48%
Draw Rate

Share of sampled matches that ended level.

11%
22%
Loss Rate

Share of sampled matches lost (lower is better).

33%
41%
Clean Sheet37%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

33%
33%
Failed to Score

Share of matches where the team didn't score (lower is better).

15%

Goal Scoring

Goal Scoringattacking output
2727
1.07
Avg Goals Scored

Goals scored per match across the sampled games.

1.52
67%
Scored > 0.576%

Share of matches where the team scored at least once.

85%
63%
Over 1.569%

Share of matches with total goals > 1.5.

74%
33%
Over 2.539%

Share of matches with total goals > 2.5.

44%
26%
Over 3.528%

Share of matches with total goals > 3.5 — high-scoring affairs.

30%
44%
BTTS48%

Share of matches where both teams scored.

52%
7%
BTTS & Win

Share of matches won while both teams scored — strong attack with a defensive lapse.

22%
22%
Scored Both Halves26%

Share of matches with a goal in both the 1st and 2nd half.

30%

Defensive Solidity

Defensive Soliditygoals & shots conceded
2727
1.00
Avg Goals Conceded

Goals conceded per match (lower is better).

1.26
9.00
Avg Shots Conceded

Total shots faced per match — defensive pressure (> 17.5/match is heavy siege).

9.00
3.11
Avg SoT Conceded

Shots on target faced per match — quality of chances given up (> 5.5 is severe).

3.19
2.19
Avg Saves

Goalkeeper saves per match (> 4.5 means the keeper is doing heavy lifting).

2.15
26/2726/27
68%
Save %66%

Share of opponent shots on target stopped by the keeper.

65%
41%
Clean Sheet37%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

33%

xG Trends

xG TrendsEWMA-smoothed performance
2727
1.37
EWMAxG For

Smoothed expected goals created per match — top attacks hit > 2.5/match, mid-table sits around 1.4.

1.97
1.30
EWMAxG Against

Smoothed expected goals conceded per match — elite defenses < 1.0, struggling sides > 2.0.

1.66
0.07
EWMAxG Diff

Net xG: attack minus defense. ±1 is dominant/poor; ±2 is title-contender or crisis-level.

0.31
-0.17
EWMAFinishing Edge

Goals scored minus xG. +0.3 is clinical, −0.3 is wasteful; ±1 is statistical outlier.

-0.37
0.10
EWMAxG per Shot

Average chance quality per attempt — 0.10 is mid, 0.15+ means the team only shoots from dangerous spots.

0.17

Shots Quality

Shots Qualityvolume & accuracy
2727
13.22
Avg Shots

Total shots per match — pure attacking volume (> 16.5/match is elite).

11.63
4.85
Avg Shots on Target

Shots on target per match — strikes the keeper had to handle (> 5.5/match is heavy).

4.48
7.89
Avg Shots in Box

Shots taken from inside the penalty area — proximity to goal (> 8.5/match means consistent box presence).

7.22
60%
Box Shot %61%

Share of shots taken from inside the box — chance-selection quality. Mid sits ~60%, elite > 75%.

62%
37%
On-Target %38%

Share of shots that hit the target — striking accuracy. Mid ~33%, elite > 40%.

39%
8%
Shot Conversion11%

Goals per shot taken — clinical efficiency. ~10% is league average, > 15% is elite finishing.

13%

Possession & Passing

Possession & Passingball control
2727
52%
Avg Possession

Share of match time with the ball. > 55% is dominant, < 40% is reactive.

56%
26/2726/27
79%
Pass Accuracy

Share of passes completed — distribution quality. Mid sits ~80%, elite > 88%.

82%
26/27
392.41
Avg Passes

Total passes attempted per match — distribution volume. Top sides > 550, bottom sides < 400.

480.08
26/27
0.03
EWMAPossession Trend

Smoothed possession differential — team minus opponent. ±0.1 is normal, ±0.2 is strong dominance.

0.11

HT / FT Patterns

HT / FT Patternshalf-time vs full-time outcomes
2727
30%8/27
Leading at HT39%

Share of matches the team led at halftime — fast-start signal.

48%13/27
48%13/27
Level at HT

Share of matches level at halftime — balanced or low-tempo openings.

30%8/27
22%6/27
Trailing at HT

Share of matches the team trailed at halftime — slow starts (lower is better).

22%6/27
56%15/27
HT/FT Same Outcome52%

Share of matches where the W/D/L state at halftime matched the full-time result — game-state stability.

48%13/27
50%4/8
Led at HT → Won60%

Of matches led at HT, share converted into a full-time win — closing strength.

69%9/13
50%3/6
Trailed at HT → Recovered50%

Of matches trailing at HT, share rescued to a draw or win — comeback resilience.

50%3/6

Goal Timing

Goal Timingwhen goals happen
events 27/2727/272727
11%
0-15'9%

Hot starts — share of the team's goals scored in the opening 15 minutes.

8%
18%
16-30'17%

Early control — share scored between the 16th and 30th minute.

15%
25%
31-45'21%

Pre-HT push — share scored in the run-up to halftime.

18%
21%
46-60'21%

Restart wave — share scored in the first 15 minutes after HT.

21%
11%
61-75'17%

Game-state shift — share scored between minutes 61 and 75.

23%
14%
76-90+'15%

Late-game finishers — share scored from the 76th minute onwards (incl. stoppage time).

15%

First-Goal Edge

First-Goal Edgewho strikes first
events 27/2727/272727
55%12/22
Scored First59%

Share of matches where the team opened the scoring — fast-start signal.

63%17/27
45%10/22
Conceded First

Share of matches where the team conceded the opening goal (lower is better).

37%10/27
50%6/12
Win when Scoring First63%

Of matches the team scored first, share converted into a win — closing strength after the opener.

76%13/17
20%2/10
Win when Conceding First20%

Of matches conceding first, share rescued into a win — comeback strength.

20%2/10
32'
Avg Min. 1st Goal Scored

Average minute of the team's first goal — earlier means faster starters.

36'
27'
Avg Min. 1st Goal Conceded

Average minute of the first goal conceded — later is better (defense holds longer).

42'

Late-Game Strength

Late-Game Strengthafter the 75th minute
events 27/2727/272727
15%4/27
Scored after 75'19%

Share of matches with a late goal scored by the team — late finishers signal.

22%6/27
26%7/27
Conceded after 75'

Share of matches the team conceded a late goal — late-game vulnerability (lower is better).

33%9/27
73%8/11
Lead Saved after 75'83%

Of matches leading at 75', share closed out for a win — closing strength.

92%12/13
27%3/11
Lead Lost after 75'

Of matches leading at 75', share dropped to a draw or loss — late-game collapse risk.

8%1/13
19%5/27
Any Goal in Stoppage Time

Share of matches with any goal in stoppage time (90+) — late-drama frequency.

7%2/27

Set Pieces

Set Piecespenalty / own-goal share
events 27/2727/272727
75%21/28
Open-Play Share82%

Of the team's scored goals, share from open play — non-set-piece scoring quality.

90%35/39
21%6/28
Penalty Share

Of the team's scored goals, share from penalty kicks — penalty dependency.

10%4/39
4%1/28
Opp Own-Goal Bonus

Of the team's scored goals, share that were opponent own-goals — pressure / fortune.

0%0/39
18%5/28
Penalty Conceded Share

Of conceded goals, share from opponent penalties — defensive discipline (lower is better).

3%1/36
7%2/28
Own-Goal Cost

Of conceded goals, share that were the team's own goals — pressure-induced errors (lower is better).

6%2/36

Corners

Cornersset-piece pressure
2727
4.62
Avg Corners For

Average corners won per match — attacking territorial pressure (> 5.5 is heavy).

4.27
26/2726/27
4.42
Avg Corners Against

Average corners conceded per match — territorial pressure faced (lower is better).

4.12
26/2726/27
51%
Corner Share51%

Share of total corners in the team's matches that went to the team — territorial dominance ratio.

51%
26/2726/27
0.41
EWMACorners Diff

Smoothed corner differential per match — long-term territorial advantage (±2 is strong).

-0.27
65%17/26
Match Corners > 8.554%

Share of matches with total corners > 8.5 (Over 8.5 line) — high-tempo encounter signal.

42%11/26
26/2726/27
58%15/26
Match Corners > 9.548%

Share of matches with total corners > 9.5 (Over 9.5 line).

38%10/26
26/2726/27
42%11/26
Match Corners > 10.535%

Share of matches with total corners > 10.5 (Over 10.5 line) — corner-heavy clashes only.

27%7/26
26/2726/27

Cards & Discipline

Cards & Disciplineyellows, reds & fouls
events 27/2727/272727
2.37
Avg Yellow Cards

Yellow cards picked up per match — discipline signal (lower is better).

1.96
15%4/27
Red Card Match Rate

Share of matches with at least one red card to the team — sending-off risk.

7%2/27
13.19
Avg Fouls

Fouls committed per match — aggression / tactical-foul tendency (lower is calmer).

12.74
96%25/26
Match Cards > 3.586%

Share of matches with total card points (both teams, yellow=1 / red=2, 2Y→R counted as 2) > 3.5 — Over 3.5 line.

75%18/24
26/2724/27
73%19/26
Match Cards > 4.564%

Share of matches with total card points > 4.5 — Over 4.5 line.

54%13/24
26/2724/27
57%
Cards in 2nd Half

Share of card events that occur after halftime — late-discipline tendency.

73%

Venue Edge

Venue EdgeBastia at home · Dunkerque on the road
1313
1.92
PPG at Venue

Points per match at the venue — home team at home, away team away.

1.38
46%6/13
Win Rate42%

Share of sampled matches won.

38%5/13
0%0/13
Loss Rate

Share of sampled matches lost (lower is better).

38%5/13
1.38
Avg Goals Scored

Goals scored per match across the sampled games.

1.38
0.62
Avg Goals Conceded

Goals conceded per match (lower is better).

1.62
54%7/13
Clean Sheet42%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

31%4/13
46%6/13
BTTS54%

Share of matches where both teams scored.

62%8/13
38%5/13
Over 2.538%

Share of venue matches with total goals > 2.5.

38%5/13
1.85
EWMAAttack xG (EWMA)

Smoothed xG created at venue — long-term attacking strength in this fixture's venue context.

1.85
0.67
EWMADefense xG (EWMA)

Smoothed xG conceded at venue — defensive strength in this fixture's venue context (lower is better).

1.67