Ligue 2·
Regular Season - 25·02/28/2025·14:00
PAU
PAU
DLLDD
1-0
Finished
HT0-0
Grenoble
Grenoble
DWDWL
📍 Stade Nouste Camp, Bizanos
Season statsLigue 2
PAU24matchesGrenoble24matches

Every panel below reflects each team's matches in Ligue 2.

Coverage varies by leaguetop-tier competitions have richer per-match data; lower divisions and smaller leagues track fewer metrics, so some panels may be sparse or missing entirely.
Pre-match snapshotevery value reflects each team's state going into kick-off — frozen before the match starts, not updated live.

Overall

Overallteam-strength snapshot
38%
Overall

Composite team strength — average of LTQ and Hype.

60%
1505
ELO

Chess-style strength rating going into kick-off.

1528
48%
LTQ

Long-term quality across all competitions.

54%
28%
Hype

Short-term fixture buzz / excitement signal.

65%
3.27
Momentum

Recent goal-scoring trend (weighted goals signal).

2.56

Match Outcome

Match Outcomeresults breakdown
2424
1.25
Points per Game

Average points per match across the sampled games (max 3).

1.46
29%
Win Rate

Share of sampled matches won.

42%
38%
Draw Rate

Share of sampled matches that ended level.

21%
33%
Loss Rate

Share of sampled matches lost (lower is better).

38%
29%
Clean Sheet31%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

33%
29%
Failed to Score

Share of matches where the team didn't score (lower is better).

38%

Goal Scoring

Goal Scoringattacking output
2424
1.13
Avg Goals Scored

Goals scored per match across the sampled games.

1.25
71%
Scored > 0.567%

Share of matches where the team scored at least once.

63%
71%
Over 1.573%

Share of matches with total goals > 1.5.

75%
42%
Over 2.546%

Share of matches with total goals > 2.5.

50%
33%
Over 3.527%

Share of matches with total goals > 3.5 — high-scoring affairs.

21%
50%
BTTS46%

Share of matches where both teams scored.

42%
8%
BTTS & Win

Share of matches won while both teams scored — strong attack with a defensive lapse.

21%
21%
Scored Both Halves23%

Share of matches with a goal in both the 1st and 2nd half.

25%

Defensive Solidity

Defensive Soliditygoals & shots conceded
2424
1.38
Avg Goals Conceded

Goals conceded per match (lower is better).

1.17
12.63
Avg Shots Conceded

Total shots faced per match — defensive pressure (> 17.5/match is heavy siege).

12.67
5.08
Avg SoT Conceded

Shots on target faced per match — quality of chances given up (> 5.5 is severe).

5.17
3.67
Avg Saves

Goalkeeper saves per match (> 4.5 means the keeper is doing heavy lifting).

4.22
23/24
72%
Save %75%

Share of opponent shots on target stopped by the keeper.

78%
29%
Clean Sheet31%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

33%

xG Trends

xG TrendsEWMA-smoothed performance
2424
1.43
EWMAxG For

Smoothed expected goals created per match — top attacks hit > 2.5/match, mid-table sits around 1.4.

1.64
1.95
EWMAxG Against

Smoothed expected goals conceded per match — elite defenses < 1.0, struggling sides > 2.0.

1.42
-0.52
EWMAxG Diff

Net xG: attack minus defense. ±1 is dominant/poor; ±2 is title-contender or crisis-level.

0.22
-0.21
EWMAFinishing Edge

Goals scored minus xG. +0.3 is clinical, −0.3 is wasteful; ±1 is statistical outlier.

-0.31
0.10
EWMAxG per Shot

Average chance quality per attempt — 0.10 is mid, 0.15+ means the team only shoots from dangerous spots.

0.14

Shots Quality

Shots Qualityvolume & accuracy
2424
13.79
Avg Shots

Total shots per match — pure attacking volume (> 16.5/match is elite).

11.08
4.33
Avg Shots on Target

Shots on target per match — strikes the keeper had to handle (> 5.5/match is heavy).

4.17
8.75
Avg Shots in Box

Shots taken from inside the penalty area — proximity to goal (> 8.5/match means consistent box presence).

6.75
63%
Box Shot %62%

Share of shots taken from inside the box — chance-selection quality. Mid sits ~60%, elite > 75%.

61%
31%
On-Target %35%

Share of shots that hit the target — striking accuracy. Mid ~33%, elite > 40%.

38%
8%
Shot Conversion10%

Goals per shot taken — clinical efficiency. ~10% is league average, > 15% is elite finishing.

11%

Possession & Passing

Possession & Passingball control
2424
49%
Avg Possession

Share of match time with the ball. > 55% is dominant, < 40% is reactive.

47%
23/24
80%
Pass Accuracy

Share of passes completed — distribution quality. Mid sits ~80%, elite > 88%.

80%
23/24
406.08
Avg Passes

Total passes attempted per match — distribution volume. Top sides > 550, bottom sides < 400.

426.48
23/24
-0.02
EWMAPossession Trend

Smoothed possession differential — team minus opponent. ±0.1 is normal, ±0.2 is strong dominance.

-0.09

HT / FT Patterns

HT / FT Patternshalf-time vs full-time outcomes
2424
25%6/24
Leading at HT27%

Share of matches the team led at halftime — fast-start signal.

29%7/24
50%12/24
Level at HT

Share of matches level at halftime — balanced or low-tempo openings.

54%13/24
25%6/24
Trailing at HT

Share of matches the team trailed at halftime — slow starts (lower is better).

17%4/24
63%15/24
HT/FT Same Outcome58%

Share of matches where the W/D/L state at halftime matched the full-time result — game-state stability.

54%13/24
67%4/6
Led at HT → Won69%

Of matches led at HT, share converted into a full-time win — closing strength.

71%5/7
17%1/6
Trailed at HT → Recovered8%

Of matches trailing at HT, share rescued to a draw or win — comeback resilience.

0%0/4

Goal Timing

Goal Timingwhen goals happen
events 24/2424/242424
18%
0-15'12%

Hot starts — share of the team's goals scored in the opening 15 minutes.

6%
11%
16-30'9%

Early control — share scored between the 16th and 30th minute.

6%
14%
31-45'20%

Pre-HT push — share scored in the run-up to halftime.

26%
7%
46-60'13%

Restart wave — share scored in the first 15 minutes after HT.

19%
25%
61-75'24%

Game-state shift — share scored between minutes 61 and 75.

23%
25%
76-90+'22%

Late-game finishers — share scored from the 76th minute onwards (incl. stoppage time).

19%

First-Goal Edge

First-Goal Edgewho strikes first
events 24/2424/242424
50%11/22
Scored First51%

Share of matches where the team opened the scoring — fast-start signal.

52%11/21
50%11/22
Conceded First

Share of matches where the team conceded the opening goal (lower is better).

48%10/21
64%7/11
Win when Scoring First68%

Of matches the team scored first, share converted into a win — closing strength after the opener.

73%8/11
0%0/11
Win when Conceding First10%

Of matches conceding first, share rescued into a win — comeback strength.

20%2/10
23'
Avg Min. 1st Goal Scored

Average minute of the team's first goal — earlier means faster starters.

44'
30'
Avg Min. 1st Goal Conceded

Average minute of the first goal conceded — later is better (defense holds longer).

33'

Late-Game Strength

Late-Game Strengthafter the 75th minute
events 24/2424/242424
25%6/24
Scored after 75'23%

Share of matches with a late goal scored by the team — late finishers signal.

21%5/24
25%6/24
Conceded after 75'

Share of matches the team conceded a late goal — late-game vulnerability (lower is better).

13%3/24
86%6/7
Lead Saved after 75'93%

Of matches leading at 75', share closed out for a win — closing strength.

100%9/9
14%1/7
Lead Lost after 75'

Of matches leading at 75', share dropped to a draw or loss — late-game collapse risk.

0%0/9
13%3/24
Any Goal in Stoppage Time

Share of matches with any goal in stoppage time (90+) — late-drama frequency.

21%5/24

Set Pieces

Set Piecespenalty / own-goal share
events 24/2424/242424
79%22/28
Open-Play Share84%

Of the team's scored goals, share from open play — non-set-piece scoring quality.

90%28/31
18%5/28
Penalty Share

Of the team's scored goals, share from penalty kicks — penalty dependency.

6%2/31
4%1/28
Opp Own-Goal Bonus

Of the team's scored goals, share that were opponent own-goals — pressure / fortune.

3%1/31
9%3/32
Penalty Conceded Share

Of conceded goals, share from opponent penalties — defensive discipline (lower is better).

0%0/27
0%0/32
Own-Goal Cost

Of conceded goals, share that were the team's own goals — pressure-induced errors (lower is better).

0%0/27

Corners

Cornersset-piece pressure
2424
5.17
Avg Corners For

Average corners won per match — attacking territorial pressure (> 5.5 is heavy).

4.26
23/24
4.46
Avg Corners Against

Average corners conceded per match — territorial pressure faced (lower is better).

5.87
23/24
54%
Corner Share48%

Share of total corners in the team's matches that went to the team — territorial dominance ratio.

42%
23/24
0.55
EWMACorners Diff

Smoothed corner differential per match — long-term territorial advantage (±2 is strong).

-1.58
54%13/24
Match Corners > 8.558%

Share of matches with total corners > 8.5 (Over 8.5 line) — high-tempo encounter signal.

61%14/23
23/24
50%12/24
Match Corners > 9.551%

Share of matches with total corners > 9.5 (Over 9.5 line).

52%12/23
23/24
33%8/24
Match Corners > 10.543%

Share of matches with total corners > 10.5 (Over 10.5 line) — corner-heavy clashes only.

52%12/23
23/24

Cards & Discipline

Cards & Disciplineyellows, reds & fouls
events 24/2424/242424
2.42
Avg Yellow Cards

Yellow cards picked up per match — discipline signal (lower is better).

1.50
13%3/24
Red Card Match Rate

Share of matches with at least one red card to the team — sending-off risk.

8%2/24
13.96
Avg Fouls

Fouls committed per match — aggression / tactical-foul tendency (lower is calmer).

12.54
82%18/22
Match Cards > 3.574%

Share of matches with total card points (both teams, yellow=1 / red=2, 2Y→R counted as 2) > 3.5 — Over 3.5 line.

67%14/21
22/2421/24
55%12/22
Match Cards > 4.549%

Share of matches with total card points > 4.5 — Over 4.5 line.

43%9/21
22/2421/24
59%
Cards in 2nd Half

Share of card events that occur after halftime — late-discipline tendency.

65%

Venue Edge

Venue EdgePAU at home · Grenoble on the road
1111
1.73
PPG at Venue

Points per match at the venue — home team at home, away team away.

0.91
45%5/11
Win Rate36%

Share of sampled matches won.

27%3/11
18%2/11
Loss Rate

Share of sampled matches lost (lower is better).

64%7/11
1.18
Avg Goals Scored

Goals scored per match across the sampled games.

1.09
1.00
Avg Goals Conceded

Goals conceded per match (lower is better).

1.64
45%5/11
Clean Sheet36%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

27%3/11
36%4/11
BTTS36%

Share of matches where both teams scored.

36%4/11
27%3/11
Over 2.545%

Share of venue matches with total goals > 2.5.

64%7/11
1.43
EWMAAttack xG (EWMA)

Smoothed xG created at venue — long-term attacking strength in this fixture's venue context.

1.71
1.55
EWMADefense xG (EWMA)

Smoothed xG conceded at venue — defensive strength in this fixture's venue context (lower is better).

1.93