Ligue 2·
Regular Season - 22·02/10/2025·14:45
Caen
Caen
LLLLL
0-2
Finished
HT0-1
Dunkerque
Dunkerque
DLWWL
📍 Stade Michel d'Ornano, Caen
Season statsLigue 2
Caen21matchesDunkerque21matches

Every panel below reflects each team's matches in Ligue 2.

Coverage varies by leaguetop-tier competitions have richer per-match data; lower divisions and smaller leagues track fewer metrics, so some panels may be sparse or missing entirely.
Pre-match snapshotevery value reflects each team's state going into kick-off — frozen before the match starts, not updated live.

Overall

Overallteam-strength snapshot
21%
Overall

Composite team strength — average of LTQ and Hype.

60%
1414
ELO

Chess-style strength rating going into kick-off.

1594
32%
LTQ

Long-term quality across all competitions.

62%
10%
Hype

Short-term fixture buzz / excitement signal.

57%
2.40
Momentum

Recent goal-scoring trend (weighted goals signal).

1.90

Match Outcome

Match Outcomeresults breakdown
2121
0.71
Points per Game

Average points per match across the sampled games (max 3).

1.71
19%
Win Rate

Share of sampled matches won.

52%
14%
Draw Rate

Share of sampled matches that ended level.

14%
67%
Loss Rate

Share of sampled matches lost (lower is better).

33%
14%
Clean Sheet21%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

29%
43%
Failed to Score

Share of matches where the team didn't score (lower is better).

19%

Goal Scoring

Goal Scoringattacking output
2121
0.90
Avg Goals Scored

Goals scored per match across the sampled games.

1.43
57%
Scored > 0.569%

Share of matches where the team scored at least once.

81%
62%
Over 1.567%

Share of matches with total goals > 1.5.

71%
48%
Over 2.543%

Share of matches with total goals > 2.5.

38%
24%
Over 3.526%

Share of matches with total goals > 3.5 — high-scoring affairs.

29%
43%
BTTS48%

Share of matches where both teams scored.

52%
5%
BTTS & Win

Share of matches won while both teams scored — strong attack with a defensive lapse.

24%
19%
Scored Both Halves21%

Share of matches with a goal in both the 1st and 2nd half.

24%

Defensive Solidity

Defensive Soliditygoals & shots conceded
2121
1.52
Avg Goals Conceded

Goals conceded per match (lower is better).

1.19
12.29
Avg Shots Conceded

Total shots faced per match — defensive pressure (> 17.5/match is heavy siege).

8.86
4.62
Avg SoT Conceded

Shots on target faced per match — quality of chances given up (> 5.5 is severe).

3.00
3.10
Avg Saves

Goalkeeper saves per match (> 4.5 means the keeper is doing heavy lifting).

2.10
20/21
67%
Save %67%

Share of opponent shots on target stopped by the keeper.

67%
14%
Clean Sheet21%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

29%

xG Trends

xG TrendsEWMA-smoothed performance
2121
1.10
EWMAxG For

Smoothed expected goals created per match — top attacks hit > 2.5/match, mid-table sits around 1.4.

1.55
1.84
EWMAxG Against

Smoothed expected goals conceded per match — elite defenses < 1.0, struggling sides > 2.0.

1.08
-0.74
EWMAxG Diff

Net xG: attack minus defense. ±1 is dominant/poor; ±2 is title-contender or crisis-level.

0.47
0.07
EWMAFinishing Edge

Goals scored minus xG. +0.3 is clinical, −0.3 is wasteful; ±1 is statistical outlier.

-0.24
0.11
EWMAxG per Shot

Average chance quality per attempt — 0.10 is mid, 0.15+ means the team only shoots from dangerous spots.

0.14

Shots Quality

Shots Qualityvolume & accuracy
2121
10.57
Avg Shots

Total shots per match — pure attacking volume (> 16.5/match is elite).

11.57
3.57
Avg Shots on Target

Shots on target per match — strikes the keeper had to handle (> 5.5/match is heavy).

4.48
7.43
Avg Shots in Box

Shots taken from inside the penalty area — proximity to goal (> 8.5/match means consistent box presence).

6.90
70%
Box Shot %65%

Share of shots taken from inside the box — chance-selection quality. Mid sits ~60%, elite > 75%.

60%
34%
On-Target %36%

Share of shots that hit the target — striking accuracy. Mid ~33%, elite > 40%.

39%
9%
Shot Conversion10%

Goals per shot taken — clinical efficiency. ~10% is league average, > 15% is elite finishing.

12%

Possession & Passing

Possession & Passingball control
2121
56%
Avg Possession

Share of match time with the ball. > 55% is dominant, < 40% is reactive.

55%
20/21
84%
Pass Accuracy

Share of passes completed — distribution quality. Mid sits ~80%, elite > 88%.

80%
20/21
482.76
Avg Passes

Total passes attempted per match — distribution volume. Top sides > 550, bottom sides < 400.

470.10
20/21
0.12
EWMAPossession Trend

Smoothed possession differential — team minus opponent. ±0.1 is normal, ±0.2 is strong dominance.

0.08

HT / FT Patterns

HT / FT Patternshalf-time vs full-time outcomes
2121
10%2/21
Leading at HT26%

Share of matches the team led at halftime — fast-start signal.

43%9/21
48%10/21
Level at HT

Share of matches level at halftime — balanced or low-tempo openings.

33%7/21
43%9/21
Trailing at HT

Share of matches the team trailed at halftime — slow starts (lower is better).

24%5/21
48%10/21
HT/FT Same Outcome45%

Share of matches where the W/D/L state at halftime matched the full-time result — game-state stability.

43%9/21
50%1/2
Led at HT → Won58%

Of matches led at HT, share converted into a full-time win — closing strength.

67%6/9
11%1/9
Trailed at HT → Recovered36%

Of matches trailing at HT, share rescued to a draw or win — comeback resilience.

60%3/5

Goal Timing

Goal Timingwhen goals happen
events 21/2121/212121
16%
0-15'11%

Hot starts — share of the team's goals scored in the opening 15 minutes.

7%
5%
16-30'10%

Early control — share scored between the 16th and 30th minute.

14%
11%
31-45'14%

Pre-HT push — share scored in the run-up to halftime.

18%
16%
46-60'17%

Restart wave — share scored in the first 15 minutes after HT.

18%
26%
61-75'27%

Game-state shift — share scored between minutes 61 and 75.

29%
26%
76-90+'20%

Late-game finishers — share scored from the 76th minute onwards (incl. stoppage time).

14%

First-Goal Edge

First-Goal Edgewho strikes first
events 21/2121/212121
38%8/21
Scored First48%

Share of matches where the team opened the scoring — fast-start signal.

57%12/21
62%13/21
Conceded First

Share of matches where the team conceded the opening goal (lower is better).

43%9/21
50%4/8
Win when Scoring First63%

Of matches the team scored first, share converted into a win — closing strength after the opener.

75%9/12
0%0/13
Win when Conceding First11%

Of matches conceding first, share rescued into a win — comeback strength.

22%2/9
36'
Avg Min. 1st Goal Scored

Average minute of the team's first goal — earlier means faster starters.

36'
40'
Avg Min. 1st Goal Conceded

Average minute of the first goal conceded — later is better (defense holds longer).

43'

Late-Game Strength

Late-Game Strengthafter the 75th minute
events 21/2121/212121
19%4/21
Scored after 75'19%

Share of matches with a late goal scored by the team — late finishers signal.

19%4/21
33%7/21
Conceded after 75'

Share of matches the team conceded a late goal — late-game vulnerability (lower is better).

33%7/21
67%2/3
Lead Saved after 75'78%

Of matches leading at 75', share closed out for a win — closing strength.

90%9/10
33%1/3
Lead Lost after 75'

Of matches leading at 75', share dropped to a draw or loss — late-game collapse risk.

10%1/10
10%2/21
Any Goal in Stoppage Time

Share of matches with any goal in stoppage time (90+) — late-drama frequency.

5%1/21

Set Pieces

Set Piecespenalty / own-goal share
events 21/2121/212121
95%18/19
Open-Play Share90%

Of the team's scored goals, share from open play — non-set-piece scoring quality.

86%24/28
5%1/19
Penalty Share

Of the team's scored goals, share from penalty kicks — penalty dependency.

14%4/28
0%0/19
Opp Own-Goal Bonus

Of the team's scored goals, share that were opponent own-goals — pressure / fortune.

0%0/28
9%3/32
Penalty Conceded Share

Of conceded goals, share from opponent penalties — defensive discipline (lower is better).

4%1/27
0%0/32
Own-Goal Cost

Of conceded goals, share that were the team's own goals — pressure-induced errors (lower is better).

7%2/27

Corners

Cornersset-piece pressure
2121
4.71
Avg Corners For

Average corners won per match — attacking territorial pressure (> 5.5 is heavy).

4.00
20/21
4.90
Avg Corners Against

Average corners conceded per match — territorial pressure faced (lower is better).

4.30
20/21
49%
Corner Share49%

Share of total corners in the team's matches that went to the team — territorial dominance ratio.

48%
20/21
-0.86
EWMACorners Diff

Smoothed corner differential per match — long-term territorial advantage (±2 is strong).

-0.83
57%12/21
Match Corners > 8.551%

Share of matches with total corners > 8.5 (Over 8.5 line) — high-tempo encounter signal.

45%9/20
20/21
52%11/21
Match Corners > 9.546%

Share of matches with total corners > 9.5 (Over 9.5 line).

40%8/20
20/21
48%10/21
Match Corners > 10.536%

Share of matches with total corners > 10.5 (Over 10.5 line) — corner-heavy clashes only.

25%5/20
20/21

Cards & Discipline

Cards & Disciplineyellows, reds & fouls
events 21/2121/212121
2.00
Avg Yellow Cards

Yellow cards picked up per match — discipline signal (lower is better).

2.00
5%1/21
Red Card Match Rate

Share of matches with at least one red card to the team — sending-off risk.

5%1/21
13.00
Avg Fouls

Fouls committed per match — aggression / tactical-foul tendency (lower is calmer).

12.67
63%12/19
Match Cards > 3.576%

Share of matches with total card points (both teams, yellow=1 / red=2, 2Y→R counted as 2) > 3.5 — Over 3.5 line.

89%17/19
19/2119/21
47%9/19
Match Cards > 4.547%

Share of matches with total card points > 4.5 — Over 4.5 line.

47%9/19
19/2119/21
62%
Cards in 2nd Half

Share of card events that occur after halftime — late-discipline tendency.

76%

Venue Edge

Venue EdgeCaen at home · Dunkerque on the road
1110
1.00
PPG at Venue

Points per match at the venue — home team at home, away team away.

1.20
27%3/11
Win Rate29%

Share of sampled matches won.

30%3/10
55%6/11
Loss Rate

Share of sampled matches lost (lower is better).

40%4/10
0.91
Avg Goals Scored

Goals scored per match across the sampled games.

1.30
1.18
Avg Goals Conceded

Goals conceded per match (lower is better).

1.50
18%2/11
Clean Sheet24%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

30%3/10
36%4/11
BTTS48%

Share of matches where both teams scored.

60%6/10
27%3/11
Over 2.529%

Share of venue matches with total goals > 2.5.

30%3/10
1.15
EWMAAttack xG (EWMA)

Smoothed xG created at venue — long-term attacking strength in this fixture's venue context.

1.59
1.23
EWMADefense xG (EWMA)

Smoothed xG conceded at venue — defensive strength in this fixture's venue context (lower is better).

1.13