Ligue 2·
Regular Season - 21·01/31/2025·14:00
PAU
PAU
DWDDW
1-1
Finished
HT0-0
Laval
Laval
WDLDW
📍 Stade Nouste Camp, Bizanos
Season statsLigue 2
PAU20matchesLaval20matches

Every panel below reflects each team's matches in Ligue 2.

Coverage varies by leaguetop-tier competitions have richer per-match data; lower divisions and smaller leagues track fewer metrics, so some panels may be sparse or missing entirely.
Pre-match snapshotevery value reflects each team's state going into kick-off — frozen before the match starts, not updated live.

Overall

Overallteam-strength snapshot
67%
Overall

Composite team strength — average of LTQ and Hype.

65%
1543
ELO

Chess-style strength rating going into kick-off.

1583
65%
LTQ

Long-term quality across all competitions.

69%
68%
Hype

Short-term fixture buzz / excitement signal.

60%
1.99
Momentum

Recent goal-scoring trend (weighted goals signal).

1.97

Match Outcome

Match Outcomeresults breakdown
2020
1.40
Points per Game

Average points per match across the sampled games (max 3).

1.65
35%
Win Rate

Share of sampled matches won.

45%
35%
Draw Rate

Share of sampled matches that ended level.

30%
30%
Loss Rate

Share of sampled matches lost (lower is better).

25%
35%
Clean Sheet32%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

30%
30%
Failed to Score

Share of matches where the team didn't score (lower is better).

20%

Goal Scoring

Goal Scoringattacking output
2020
1.15
Avg Goals Scored

Goals scored per match across the sampled games.

1.50
70%
Scored > 0.575%

Share of matches where the team scored at least once.

80%
65%
Over 1.570%

Share of matches with total goals > 1.5.

75%
35%
Over 2.540%

Share of matches with total goals > 2.5.

45%
25%
Over 3.525%

Share of matches with total goals > 3.5 — high-scoring affairs.

25%
45%
BTTS50%

Share of matches where both teams scored.

55%
10%
BTTS & Win

Share of matches won while both teams scored — strong attack with a defensive lapse.

20%
20%
Scored Both Halves23%

Share of matches with a goal in both the 1st and 2nd half.

25%

Defensive Solidity

Defensive Soliditygoals & shots conceded
2020
1.10
Avg Goals Conceded

Goals conceded per match (lower is better).

0.95
12.90
Avg Shots Conceded

Total shots faced per match — defensive pressure (> 17.5/match is heavy siege).

11.90
4.80
Avg SoT Conceded

Shots on target faced per match — quality of chances given up (> 5.5 is severe).

4.15
3.65
Avg Saves

Goalkeeper saves per match (> 4.5 means the keeper is doing heavy lifting).

3.58
19/20
76%
Save %79%

Share of opponent shots on target stopped by the keeper.

82%
35%
Clean Sheet32%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

30%

xG Trends

xG TrendsEWMA-smoothed performance
2020
1.52
EWMAxG For

Smoothed expected goals created per match — top attacks hit > 2.5/match, mid-table sits around 1.4.

1.53
1.24
EWMAxG Against

Smoothed expected goals conceded per match — elite defenses < 1.0, struggling sides > 2.0.

1.07
0.28
EWMAxG Diff

Net xG: attack minus defense. ±1 is dominant/poor; ±2 is title-contender or crisis-level.

0.46
-0.24
EWMAFinishing Edge

Goals scored minus xG. +0.3 is clinical, −0.3 is wasteful; ±1 is statistical outlier.

-0.26
0.11
EWMAxG per Shot

Average chance quality per attempt — 0.10 is mid, 0.15+ means the team only shoots from dangerous spots.

0.15

Shots Quality

Shots Qualityvolume & accuracy
2020
13.40
Avg Shots

Total shots per match — pure attacking volume (> 16.5/match is elite).

9.25
4.25
Avg Shots on Target

Shots on target per match — strikes the keeper had to handle (> 5.5/match is heavy).

3.55
8.05
Avg Shots in Box

Shots taken from inside the penalty area — proximity to goal (> 8.5/match means consistent box presence).

6.90
60%
Box Shot %67%

Share of shots taken from inside the box — chance-selection quality. Mid sits ~60%, elite > 75%.

75%
32%
On-Target %35%

Share of shots that hit the target — striking accuracy. Mid ~33%, elite > 40%.

38%
9%
Shot Conversion12%

Goals per shot taken — clinical efficiency. ~10% is league average, > 15% is elite finishing.

16%

Possession & Passing

Possession & Passingball control
2020
48%
Avg Possession

Share of match time with the ball. > 55% is dominant, < 40% is reactive.

41%
19/20
79%
Pass Accuracy

Share of passes completed — distribution quality. Mid sits ~80%, elite > 88%.

75%
19/20
401.05
Avg Passes

Total passes attempted per match — distribution volume. Top sides > 550, bottom sides < 400.

359.37
19/20
-0.03
EWMAPossession Trend

Smoothed possession differential — team minus opponent. ±0.1 is normal, ±0.2 is strong dominance.

-0.15

HT / FT Patterns

HT / FT Patternshalf-time vs full-time outcomes
2020
30%6/20
Leading at HT35%

Share of matches the team led at halftime — fast-start signal.

40%8/20
45%9/20
Level at HT

Share of matches level at halftime — balanced or low-tempo openings.

45%9/20
25%5/20
Trailing at HT

Share of matches the team trailed at halftime — slow starts (lower is better).

15%3/20
60%12/20
HT/FT Same Outcome63%

Share of matches where the W/D/L state at halftime matched the full-time result — game-state stability.

65%13/20
67%4/6
Led at HT → Won71%

Of matches led at HT, share converted into a full-time win — closing strength.

75%6/8
20%1/5
Trailed at HT → Recovered27%

Of matches trailing at HT, share rescued to a draw or win — comeback resilience.

33%1/3

Goal Timing

Goal Timingwhen goals happen
events 20/2020/202020
13%
0-15'19%

Hot starts — share of the team's goals scored in the opening 15 minutes.

25%
13%
16-30'13%

Early control — share scored between the 16th and 30th minute.

13%
17%
31-45'15%

Pre-HT push — share scored in the run-up to halftime.

13%
8%
46-60'7%

Restart wave — share scored in the first 15 minutes after HT.

6%
25%
61-75'20%

Game-state shift — share scored between minutes 61 and 75.

16%
25%
76-90+'27%

Late-game finishers — share scored from the 76th minute onwards (incl. stoppage time).

28%

First-Goal Edge

First-Goal Edgewho strikes first
events 20/2020/202020
50%9/18
Scored First57%

Share of matches where the team opened the scoring — fast-start signal.

63%12/19
50%9/18
Conceded First

Share of matches where the team conceded the opening goal (lower is better).

37%7/19
78%7/9
Win when Scoring First72%

Of matches the team scored first, share converted into a win — closing strength after the opener.

67%8/12
0%0/9
Win when Conceding First7%

Of matches conceding first, share rescued into a win — comeback strength.

14%1/7
27'
Avg Min. 1st Goal Scored

Average minute of the team's first goal — earlier means faster starters.

23'
31'
Avg Min. 1st Goal Conceded

Average minute of the first goal conceded — later is better (defense holds longer).

38'

Late-Game Strength

Late-Game Strengthafter the 75th minute
events 20/2020/202020
25%5/20
Scored after 75'28%

Share of matches with a late goal scored by the team — late finishers signal.

30%6/20
20%4/20
Conceded after 75'

Share of matches the team conceded a late goal — late-game vulnerability (lower is better).

25%5/20
86%6/7
Lead Saved after 75'82%

Of matches leading at 75', share closed out for a win — closing strength.

78%7/9
14%1/7
Lead Lost after 75'

Of matches leading at 75', share dropped to a draw or loss — late-game collapse risk.

22%2/9
10%2/20
Any Goal in Stoppage Time

Share of matches with any goal in stoppage time (90+) — late-drama frequency.

15%3/20

Set Pieces

Set Piecespenalty / own-goal share
events 20/2020/202020
88%21/24
Open-Play Share86%

Of the team's scored goals, share from open play — non-set-piece scoring quality.

84%27/32
8%2/24
Penalty Share

Of the team's scored goals, share from penalty kicks — penalty dependency.

9%3/32
4%1/24
Opp Own-Goal Bonus

Of the team's scored goals, share that were opponent own-goals — pressure / fortune.

6%2/32
14%3/21
Penalty Conceded Share

Of conceded goals, share from opponent penalties — defensive discipline (lower is better).

0%0/17
0%0/21
Own-Goal Cost

Of conceded goals, share that were the team's own goals — pressure-induced errors (lower is better).

0%0/17

Corners

Cornersset-piece pressure
2020
5.15
Avg Corners For

Average corners won per match — attacking territorial pressure (> 5.5 is heavy).

5.26
19/20
4.55
Avg Corners Against

Average corners conceded per match — territorial pressure faced (lower is better).

4.63
19/20
53%
Corner Share53%

Share of total corners in the team's matches that went to the team — territorial dominance ratio.

53%
19/20
0.35
EWMACorners Diff

Smoothed corner differential per match — long-term territorial advantage (±2 is strong).

0.27
55%11/20
Match Corners > 8.554%

Share of matches with total corners > 8.5 (Over 8.5 line) — high-tempo encounter signal.

53%10/19
19/20
50%10/20
Match Corners > 9.551%

Share of matches with total corners > 9.5 (Over 9.5 line).

53%10/19
19/20
35%7/20
Match Corners > 10.541%

Share of matches with total corners > 10.5 (Over 10.5 line) — corner-heavy clashes only.

47%9/19
19/20

Cards & Discipline

Cards & Disciplineyellows, reds & fouls
events 20/2020/202020
2.40
Avg Yellow Cards

Yellow cards picked up per match — discipline signal (lower is better).

1.70
10%2/20
Red Card Match Rate

Share of matches with at least one red card to the team — sending-off risk.

0%0/20
13.85
Avg Fouls

Fouls committed per match — aggression / tactical-foul tendency (lower is calmer).

13.90
78%14/18
Match Cards > 3.564%

Share of matches with total card points (both teams, yellow=1 / red=2, 2Y→R counted as 2) > 3.5 — Over 3.5 line.

50%9/18
18/2018/20
56%10/18
Match Cards > 4.542%

Share of matches with total card points > 4.5 — Over 4.5 line.

28%5/18
18/2018/20
60%
Cards in 2nd Half

Share of card events that occur after halftime — late-discipline tendency.

63%

Venue Edge

Venue EdgePAU at home · Laval on the road
910
2.00
PPG at Venue

Points per match at the venue — home team at home, away team away.

1.50
56%5/9
Win Rate48%

Share of sampled matches won.

40%4/10
11%1/9
Loss Rate

Share of sampled matches lost (lower is better).

30%3/10
1.33
Avg Goals Scored

Goals scored per match across the sampled games.

1.50
0.56
Avg Goals Conceded

Goals conceded per match (lower is better).

0.90
56%5/9
Clean Sheet43%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

30%3/10
33%3/9
BTTS42%

Share of matches where both teams scored.

50%5/10
22%2/9
Over 2.536%

Share of venue matches with total goals > 2.5.

50%5/10
1.65
EWMAAttack xG (EWMA)

Smoothed xG created at venue — long-term attacking strength in this fixture's venue context.

1.36
1.01
EWMADefense xG (EWMA)

Smoothed xG conceded at venue — defensive strength in this fixture's venue context (lower is better).

1.13