FAW Championship·
South - 6·08/26/2024·09:30
Caerau (Ely)
Caerau (Ely)
LLWDL
2-2
Finished
HT0-1
Trethomas Bluebirds
Trethomas Bluebirds
DWWWW
📍 Cwrt-yr-Ala, Caerdydd
Last 10FAW Championship
(Ely)10matchesBluebirds10matches

Season just started — only a handful of league matches played so far. Every panel below reflects each team's most recent matches across all competitions.

Coverage varies by leaguetop-tier competitions have richer per-match data; lower divisions and smaller leagues track fewer metrics, so some panels may be sparse or missing entirely.
Pre-match snapshotevery value reflects each team's state going into kick-off — frozen before the match starts, not updated live.

Overall

Overallteam-strength snapshot
46%
Overall

Composite team strength — average of LTQ and Hype.

76%
1386
ELO

Chess-style strength rating going into kick-off.

1492
54%
LTQ

Long-term quality across all competitions.

74%
37%
Hype

Short-term fixture buzz / excitement signal.

78%
2.98
Momentum

Recent goal-scoring trend (weighted goals signal).

3.95

Match Outcome

Match Outcomeresults breakdown
1010
1.30
Points per Game

Average points per match across the sampled games (max 3).

2.50
40%
Win Rate

Share of sampled matches won.

80%
10%
Draw Rate

Share of sampled matches that ended level.

10%
50%
Loss Rate

Share of sampled matches lost (lower is better).

10%
10%
Clean Sheet20%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

30%
20%
Failed to Score

Share of matches where the team didn't score (lower is better).

10%

Goal Scoring

Goal Scoringattacking output
1010
1.80
Avg Goals Scored

Goals scored per match across the sampled games.

2.80
80%
Scored > 0.585%

Share of matches where the team scored at least once.

90%
80%
Over 1.585%

Share of matches with total goals > 1.5.

90%
80%
Over 2.585%

Share of matches with total goals > 2.5.

90%
50%
Over 3.560%

Share of matches with total goals > 3.5 — high-scoring affairs.

70%
70%
BTTS65%

Share of matches where both teams scored.

60%
30%
BTTS & Win

Share of matches won while both teams scored — strong attack with a defensive lapse.

50%
50%
Scored Both Halves58%

Share of matches with a goal in both the 1st and 2nd half.

67%

Defensive Solidity

Defensive Soliditygoals & shots conceded
1010
1.80
Avg Goals Conceded

Goals conceded per match (lower is better).

1.60
10%
Clean Sheet20%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

30%

xG Trends

xG TrendsEWMA-smoothed performance
1010
2.22
EWMAxG For

Smoothed expected goals created per match — top attacks hit > 2.5/match, mid-table sits around 1.4.

2.80
2.02
EWMAxG Against

Smoothed expected goals conceded per match — elite defenses < 1.0, struggling sides > 2.0.

1.65
0.20
EWMAxG Diff

Net xG: attack minus defense. ±1 is dominant/poor; ±2 is title-contender or crisis-level.

1.15
-0.32
EWMAFinishing Edge

Goals scored minus xG. +0.3 is clinical, −0.3 is wasteful; ±1 is statistical outlier.

-0.09

HT / FT Patterns

HT / FT Patternshalf-time vs full-time outcomes
1010
30%3/10
Leading at HT48%

Share of matches the team led at halftime — fast-start signal.

67%6/9
40%4/10
Level at HT

Share of matches level at halftime — balanced or low-tempo openings.

11%1/9
30%3/10
Trailing at HT

Share of matches the team trailed at halftime — slow starts (lower is better).

22%2/9
50%5/10
HT/FT Same Outcome58%

Share of matches where the W/D/L state at halftime matched the full-time result — game-state stability.

67%6/9
100%3/3
Led at HT → Won92%

Of matches led at HT, share converted into a full-time win — closing strength.

83%5/6
33%1/3
Trailed at HT → Recovered42%

Of matches trailing at HT, share rescued to a draw or win — comeback resilience.

50%1/2

Goal Timing

Goal Timingwhen goals happen
events 10/108/101010
17%
0-15'17%

Hot starts — share of the team's goals scored in the opening 15 minutes.

17%
17%
16-30'19%

Early control — share scored between the 16th and 30th minute.

22%
22%
31-45'17%

Pre-HT push — share scored in the run-up to halftime.

11%
11%
46-60'22%

Restart wave — share scored in the first 15 minutes after HT.

33%
6%
61-75'11%

Game-state shift — share scored between minutes 61 and 75.

17%
28%
76-90+'14%

Late-game finishers — share scored from the 76th minute onwards (incl. stoppage time).

0%

First-Goal Edge

First-Goal Edgewho strikes first
events 10/108/101010
70%7/10
Scored First79%

Share of matches where the team opened the scoring — fast-start signal.

88%7/8
30%3/10
Conceded First

Share of matches where the team conceded the opening goal (lower is better).

13%1/8
57%4/7
Win when Scoring First71%

Of matches the team scored first, share converted into a win — closing strength after the opener.

86%6/7
0%0/3
Win when Conceding First0%

Of matches conceding first, share rescued into a win — comeback strength.

0%0/1
19'
Avg Min. 1st Goal Scored

Average minute of the team's first goal — earlier means faster starters.

29'
19'
Avg Min. 1st Goal Conceded

Average minute of the first goal conceded — later is better (defense holds longer).

30'

Late-Game Strength

Late-Game Strengthafter the 75th minute
events 10/108/101010
40%4/10
Scored after 75'20%

Share of matches with a late goal scored by the team — late finishers signal.

0%0/8
10%1/10
Conceded after 75'

Share of matches the team conceded a late goal — late-game vulnerability (lower is better).

50%4/8
100%4/4
Lead Saved after 75'93%

Of matches leading at 75', share closed out for a win — closing strength.

86%6/7
0%0/4
Lead Lost after 75'

Of matches leading at 75', share dropped to a draw or loss — late-game collapse risk.

14%1/7
0%0/10
Any Goal in Stoppage Time

Share of matches with any goal in stoppage time (90+) — late-drama frequency.

25%2/8

Set Pieces

Set Piecespenalty / own-goal share
events 10/108/101010
83%15/18
Open-Play Share86%

Of the team's scored goals, share from open play — non-set-piece scoring quality.

89%16/18
17%3/18
Penalty Share

Of the team's scored goals, share from penalty kicks — penalty dependency.

11%2/18
0%0/18
Opp Own-Goal Bonus

Of the team's scored goals, share that were opponent own-goals — pressure / fortune.

0%0/18
0%0/18
Penalty Conceded Share

Of conceded goals, share from opponent penalties — defensive discipline (lower is better).

0%0/14
0%0/18
Own-Goal Cost

Of conceded goals, share that were the team's own goals — pressure-induced errors (lower is better).

0%0/14

Cards & Discipline

Cards & Disciplineyellows, reds & fouls
events 10/108/101010
100%1/1
Match Cards > 3.5100%

Share of matches with total card points (both teams, yellow=1 / red=2, 2Y→R counted as 2) > 3.5 — Over 3.5 line.

100%1/1
1/101/10
100%1/1
Match Cards > 4.550%

Share of matches with total card points > 4.5 — Over 4.5 line.

0%0/1
1/101/10
100%
Cards in 2nd Half

Share of card events that occur after halftime — late-discipline tendency.

50%

Venue Edge

Venue Edge(Ely) at home · Bluebirds on the road
44
1.75
PPG at Venue

Points per match at the venue — home team at home, away team away.

2.25
50%2/4
Win Rate63%

Share of sampled matches won.

75%3/4
25%1/4
Loss Rate

Share of sampled matches lost (lower is better).

25%1/4
2.00
Avg Goals Scored

Goals scored per match across the sampled games.

1.75
1.50
Avg Goals Conceded

Goals conceded per match (lower is better).

2.75
0%0/4
Clean Sheet13%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

25%1/4
100%4/4
BTTS75%

Share of matches where both teams scored.

50%2/4
100%4/4
Over 2.588%

Share of venue matches with total goals > 2.5.

75%3/4
2.84
EWMAAttack xG (EWMA)

Smoothed xG created at venue — long-term attacking strength in this fixture's venue context.

2.01
1.98
EWMADefense xG (EWMA)

Smoothed xG conceded at venue — defensive strength in this fixture's venue context (lower is better).

2.83