Premier League·
Regular Season - 23·01/25/2025·10:00
Bournemouth
Bournemouth
WDWWD
5-0
Finished
HT1-0
Nottingham Forest
Nottingham Forest
WDWWW
📍 Vitality Stadium, Bournemouth, Dorset
Season statsPremier League
Bournemouth22matchesForest22matches

Every panel below reflects each team's matches in Premier League.

Coverage varies by leaguetop-tier competitions have richer per-match data; lower divisions and smaller leagues track fewer metrics, so some panels may be sparse or missing entirely.
Pre-match snapshotevery value reflects each team's state going into kick-off — frozen before the match starts, not updated live.

Overall

Overallteam-strength snapshot
78%
Overall

Composite team strength — average of LTQ and Hype.

78%
1820
ELO

Chess-style strength rating going into kick-off.

1800
73%
LTQ

Long-term quality across all competitions.

75%
83%
Hype

Short-term fixture buzz / excitement signal.

80%
3.52
Momentum

Recent goal-scoring trend (weighted goals signal).

2.66

Match Outcome

Match Outcomeresults breakdown
2222
1.68
Points per Game

Average points per match across the sampled games (max 3).

2.00
45%
Win Rate

Share of sampled matches won.

59%
32%
Draw Rate

Share of sampled matches that ended level.

23%
23%
Loss Rate

Share of sampled matches lost (lower is better).

18%
23%
Clean Sheet32%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

41%
18%
Failed to Score

Share of matches where the team didn't score (lower is better).

14%

Goal Scoring

Goal Scoringattacking output
2222
1.64
Avg Goals Scored

Goals scored per match across the sampled games.

1.50
82%
Scored > 0.584%

Share of matches where the team scored at least once.

86%
77%
Over 1.575%

Share of matches with total goals > 1.5.

73%
55%
Over 2.550%

Share of matches with total goals > 2.5.

45%
32%
Over 3.527%

Share of matches with total goals > 3.5 — high-scoring affairs.

23%
64%
BTTS55%

Share of matches where both teams scored.

45%
27%
BTTS & Win

Share of matches won while both teams scored — strong attack with a defensive lapse.

18%
23%
Scored Both Halves27%

Share of matches with a goal in both the 1st and 2nd half.

32%

Defensive Solidity

Defensive Soliditygoals & shots conceded
2222
1.18
Avg Goals Conceded

Goals conceded per match (lower is better).

1.00
13.55
Avg Shots Conceded

Total shots faced per match — defensive pressure (> 17.5/match is heavy siege).

13.27
5.09
Avg SoT Conceded

Shots on target faced per match — quality of chances given up (> 5.5 is severe).

4.27
3.82
Avg Saves

Goalkeeper saves per match (> 4.5 means the keeper is doing heavy lifting).

2.91
75%
Save %72%

Share of opponent shots on target stopped by the keeper.

68%
23%
Clean Sheet32%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

41%

xG Trends

xG TrendsEWMA-smoothed performance
2222
2.25
EWMAxG For

Smoothed expected goals created per match — top attacks hit > 2.5/match, mid-table sits around 1.4.

1.40
1.29
EWMAxG Against

Smoothed expected goals conceded per match — elite defenses < 1.0, struggling sides > 2.0.

1.09
0.95
EWMAxG Diff

Net xG: attack minus defense. ±1 is dominant/poor; ±2 is title-contender or crisis-level.

0.31
-0.29
EWMAFinishing Edge

Goals scored minus xG. +0.3 is clinical, −0.3 is wasteful; ±1 is statistical outlier.

0.26
0.14
EWMAxG per Shot

Average chance quality per attempt — 0.10 is mid, 0.15+ means the team only shoots from dangerous spots.

0.12

Shots Quality

Shots Qualityvolume & accuracy
2222
16.32
Avg Shots

Total shots per match — pure attacking volume (> 16.5/match is elite).

12.64
5.77
Avg Shots on Target

Shots on target per match — strikes the keeper had to handle (> 5.5/match is heavy).

4.59
11.18
Avg Shots in Box

Shots taken from inside the penalty area — proximity to goal (> 8.5/match means consistent box presence).

7.95
69%
Box Shot %66%

Share of shots taken from inside the box — chance-selection quality. Mid sits ~60%, elite > 75%.

63%
35%
On-Target %36%

Share of shots that hit the target — striking accuracy. Mid ~33%, elite > 40%.

36%
10%
Shot Conversion11%

Goals per shot taken — clinical efficiency. ~10% is league average, > 15% is elite finishing.

12%

Possession & Passing

Possession & Passingball control
2222
46%
Avg Possession

Share of match time with the ball. > 55% is dominant, < 40% is reactive.

39%
79%
Pass Accuracy

Share of passes completed — distribution quality. Mid sits ~80%, elite > 88%.

77%
378.91
Avg Passes

Total passes attempted per match — distribution volume. Top sides > 550, bottom sides < 400.

336.45
-0.06
EWMAPossession Trend

Smoothed possession differential — team minus opponent. ±0.1 is normal, ±0.2 is strong dominance.

-0.22

HT / FT Patterns

HT / FT Patternshalf-time vs full-time outcomes
2222
32%7/22
Leading at HT36%

Share of matches the team led at halftime — fast-start signal.

41%9/22
36%8/22
Level at HT

Share of matches level at halftime — balanced or low-tempo openings.

45%10/22
32%7/22
Trailing at HT

Share of matches the team trailed at halftime — slow starts (lower is better).

14%3/22
55%12/22
HT/FT Same Outcome50%

Share of matches where the W/D/L state at halftime matched the full-time result — game-state stability.

45%10/22
86%6/7
Led at HT → Won76%

Of matches led at HT, share converted into a full-time win — closing strength.

67%6/9
57%4/7
Trailed at HT → Recovered45%

Of matches trailing at HT, share rescued to a draw or win — comeback resilience.

33%1/3

Goal Timing

Goal Timingwhen goals happen
events 22/2222/222222
11%
0-15'16%

Hot starts — share of the team's goals scored in the opening 15 minutes.

21%
14%
16-30'16%

Early control — share scored between the 16th and 30th minute.

18%
11%
31-45'10%

Pre-HT push — share scored in the run-up to halftime.

9%
8%
46-60'15%

Restart wave — share scored in the first 15 minutes after HT.

21%
17%
61-75'17%

Game-state shift — share scored between minutes 61 and 75.

18%
39%
76-90+'26%

Late-game finishers — share scored from the 76th minute onwards (incl. stoppage time).

12%

First-Goal Edge

First-Goal Edgewho strikes first
events 22/2222/222222
48%10/21
Scored First65%

Share of matches where the team opened the scoring — fast-start signal.

82%18/22
52%11/21
Conceded First

Share of matches where the team conceded the opening goal (lower is better).

18%4/22
80%8/10
Win when Scoring First73%

Of matches the team scored first, share converted into a win — closing strength after the opener.

67%12/18
18%2/11
Win when Conceding First22%

Of matches conceding first, share rescued into a win — comeback strength.

25%1/4
28'
Avg Min. 1st Goal Scored

Average minute of the team's first goal — earlier means faster starters.

29'
40'
Avg Min. 1st Goal Conceded

Average minute of the first goal conceded — later is better (defense holds longer).

34'

Late-Game Strength

Late-Game Strengthafter the 75th minute
events 22/2222/222222
45%10/22
Scored after 75'30%

Share of matches with a late goal scored by the team — late finishers signal.

14%3/22
27%6/22
Conceded after 75'

Share of matches the team conceded a late goal — late-game vulnerability (lower is better).

18%4/22
78%7/9
Lead Saved after 75'85%

Of matches leading at 75', share closed out for a win — closing strength.

92%12/13
22%2/9
Lead Lost after 75'

Of matches leading at 75', share dropped to a draw or loss — late-game collapse risk.

8%1/13
27%6/22
Any Goal in Stoppage Time

Share of matches with any goal in stoppage time (90+) — late-drama frequency.

14%3/22

Set Pieces

Set Piecespenalty / own-goal share
events 22/2222/222222
83%30/36
Open-Play Share89%

Of the team's scored goals, share from open play — non-set-piece scoring quality.

94%31/33
17%6/36
Penalty Share

Of the team's scored goals, share from penalty kicks — penalty dependency.

6%2/33
0%0/36
Opp Own-Goal Bonus

Of the team's scored goals, share that were opponent own-goals — pressure / fortune.

0%0/33
4%1/26
Penalty Conceded Share

Of conceded goals, share from opponent penalties — defensive discipline (lower is better).

5%1/22
0%0/26
Own-Goal Cost

Of conceded goals, share that were the team's own goals — pressure-induced errors (lower is better).

0%0/22

Corners

Cornersset-piece pressure
2222
6.41
Avg Corners For

Average corners won per match — attacking territorial pressure (> 5.5 is heavy).

4.18
5.32
Avg Corners Against

Average corners conceded per match — territorial pressure faced (lower is better).

6.45
55%
Corner Share47%

Share of total corners in the team's matches that went to the team — territorial dominance ratio.

39%
0.81
EWMACorners Diff

Smoothed corner differential per match — long-term territorial advantage (±2 is strong).

-2.51
77%17/22
Match Corners > 8.580%

Share of matches with total corners > 8.5 (Over 8.5 line) — high-tempo encounter signal.

82%18/22
68%15/22
Match Corners > 9.561%

Share of matches with total corners > 9.5 (Over 9.5 line).

55%12/22
59%13/22
Match Corners > 10.548%

Share of matches with total corners > 10.5 (Over 10.5 line) — corner-heavy clashes only.

36%8/22

Cards & Discipline

Cards & Disciplineyellows, reds & fouls
events 22/2222/222222
2.59
Avg Yellow Cards

Yellow cards picked up per match — discipline signal (lower is better).

2.32
0%0/22
Red Card Match Rate

Share of matches with at least one red card to the team — sending-off risk.

9%2/22
13.64
Avg Fouls

Fouls committed per match — aggression / tactical-foul tendency (lower is calmer).

10.64
90%19/21
Match Cards > 3.585%

Share of matches with total card points (both teams, yellow=1 / red=2, 2Y→R counted as 2) > 3.5 — Over 3.5 line.

80%16/20
21/2220/22
52%11/21
Match Cards > 4.561%

Share of matches with total card points > 4.5 — Over 4.5 line.

70%14/20
21/2220/22
61%
Cards in 2nd Half

Share of card events that occur after halftime — late-discipline tendency.

65%

Venue Edge

Venue EdgeBournemouth at home · Forest on the road
1011
1.80
PPG at Venue

Points per match at the venue — home team at home, away team away.

2.09
50%5/10
Win Rate57%

Share of sampled matches won.

64%7/11
20%2/10
Loss Rate

Share of sampled matches lost (lower is better).

18%2/11
1.20
Avg Goals Scored

Goals scored per match across the sampled games.

1.64
0.70
Avg Goals Conceded

Goals conceded per match (lower is better).

1.09
40%4/10
Clean Sheet43%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

45%5/11
50%5/10
BTTS43%

Share of matches where both teams scored.

36%4/11
30%3/10
Over 2.542%

Share of venue matches with total goals > 2.5.

55%6/11
2.32
EWMAAttack xG (EWMA)

Smoothed xG created at venue — long-term attacking strength in this fixture's venue context.

1.30
1.06
EWMADefense xG (EWMA)

Smoothed xG conceded at venue — defensive strength in this fixture's venue context (lower is better).

1.31