WWWDL
1-1
Finished
HT0-1
WLLLL
📍 Estadio Luis Franzini, Montevideo
Asian Handicap
Walk the full handicap ladder with cover probabilities and fair vs market odds on every line.
Defensor Sporting
22 Games
Progreso
16 Games
Defensor Sporting
20 Games · At home
Progreso
20 Games · Away
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Primera División - Apertura2y agoDefensor SportingCopa Uruguay3y agoProgresoCopa Uruguay3y agoDefensor SportingAvg margin
overall
+0.9
Defensor Sporting
Avg margin
overall
-0.6
Progreso
Avg xG-for minus xG-against per game — the deserve-rate version of margin.
How spread out a team's margins are. ≤1.5 reliable, ≤2.2 moderate, >2.2 swing risk.
Defensor Sporting is a +0.9 margin engine with moderate variance — covers but volatile.
Progreso is a -0.6 margin engine with low variance — covers consistently.
Primera División - AperturaDefensor SportingProgresoPrimera División - Apertura
Deportivo MaldonadoDefensor SportingPrimera División - AperturaDefensor Sporting
MiramarPrimera División - AperturaDefensor Sporting
Cerro LargoCopa Uruguay
Atletico TorqueDefensor SportingPrimera División - AperturaDefensor Sporting
PenarolPrimera División - AperturaProgresoDefensor SportingPrimera División - AperturaDefensor SportingProgresoPrimera División - AperturaProgreso
CA River PlatePrimera División - AperturaProgresoCerro LargoPrimera División - AperturaPenarolProgresoPrimera División - Apertura
FenixProgresoPrimera División - AperturaProgresoDefensor SportingPrimera División - Apertura
WanderersProgresoPrimera División - AperturaDefensor SportingProgresoPrimera División - AperturaDeportivo MaldonadoDefensor SportingPrimera División - AperturaDefensor SportingMiramarPrimera División - AperturaDefensor SportingCerro LargoCopa UruguayAtletico TorqueDefensor SportingPrimera División - AperturaDefensor SportingPenarolPrimera División - AperturaProgresoDefensor SportingPrimera División - AperturaDefensor SportingProgresoPrimera División - AperturaProgresoCA River PlatePrimera División - AperturaProgresoCerro LargoPrimera División - AperturaPenarolProgresoPrimera División - AperturaFenixProgresoPrimera División - AperturaProgresoDefensor SportingPrimera División - AperturaWanderersProgresoHistorical Probability
Compare implied odds against real historical win rates to spot where the market misprices outcomes.