Primera División - Apertura·
Intermediate Round - 1·06/09/2024·14:00
Progreso
Progreso
LLLLL
1-0
Finished
HT1-0
CA River Plate
CA River Plate
DLLDL
📍 Parque Abraham Paladino, Montevideo
Last 10Primera División - Apertura
Progreso10matchesPlate10matches

Not in either team's main domestic league — every panel below reflects each team's most recent matches across all competitions.

Coverage varies by leaguetop-tier competitions have richer per-match data; lower divisions and smaller leagues track fewer metrics, so some panels may be sparse or missing entirely.
Pre-match snapshotevery value reflects each team's state going into kick-off — frozen before the match starts, not updated live.

Overall

Overallteam-strength snapshot
1421
ELO

Chess-style strength rating going into kick-off.

1361

Match Outcome

Match Outcomeresults breakdown
1010
1.10
Points per Game

Average points per match across the sampled games (max 3).

0.60
30%
Win Rate

Share of sampled matches won.

10%
20%
Draw Rate

Share of sampled matches that ended level.

30%
50%
Loss Rate

Share of sampled matches lost (lower is better).

60%
10%
Clean Sheet10%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

10%
30%
Failed to Score

Share of matches where the team didn't score (lower is better).

30%

Goal Scoring

Goal Scoringattacking output
1010
1.10
Avg Goals Scored

Goals scored per match across the sampled games.

1.40
70%
Scored > 0.570%

Share of matches where the team scored at least once.

70%
70%
Over 1.580%

Share of matches with total goals > 1.5.

90%
50%
Over 2.565%

Share of matches with total goals > 2.5.

80%
40%
Over 3.545%

Share of matches with total goals > 3.5 — high-scoring affairs.

50%
60%
BTTS65%

Share of matches where both teams scored.

70%
20%
BTTS & Win

Share of matches won while both teams scored — strong attack with a defensive lapse.

10%
20%
Scored Both Halves20%

Share of matches with a goal in both the 1st and 2nd half.

20%

Defensive Solidity

Defensive Soliditygoals & shots conceded
1010
1.60
Avg Goals Conceded

Goals conceded per match (lower is better).

2.10
10%
Clean Sheet10%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

10%

xG Trends

xG TrendsEWMA-smoothed performance
1010
1.73
EWMAxG For

Smoothed expected goals created per match — top attacks hit > 2.5/match, mid-table sits around 1.4.

1.56
1.94
EWMAxG Against

Smoothed expected goals conceded per match — elite defenses < 1.0, struggling sides > 2.0.

2.09
-0.20
EWMAxG Diff

Net xG: attack minus defense. ±1 is dominant/poor; ±2 is title-contender or crisis-level.

-0.53
-0.19
EWMAFinishing Edge

Goals scored minus xG. +0.3 is clinical, −0.3 is wasteful; ±1 is statistical outlier.

-0.30
0.25
EWMAxG per Shot

Average chance quality per attempt — 0.10 is mid, 0.15+ means the team only shoots from dangerous spots.

0.35

Possession & Passing

Possession & Passingball control
1010
0.10
EWMAPossession Trend

Smoothed possession differential — team minus opponent. ±0.1 is normal, ±0.2 is strong dominance.

-0.03

HT / FT Patterns

HT / FT Patternshalf-time vs full-time outcomes
1010
30%3/10
Leading at HT25%

Share of matches the team led at halftime — fast-start signal.

20%2/10
40%4/10
Level at HT

Share of matches level at halftime — balanced or low-tempo openings.

40%4/10
30%3/10
Trailing at HT

Share of matches the team trailed at halftime — slow starts (lower is better).

40%4/10
40%4/10
HT/FT Same Outcome50%

Share of matches where the W/D/L state at halftime matched the full-time result — game-state stability.

60%6/10
67%2/3
Led at HT → Won58%

Of matches led at HT, share converted into a full-time win — closing strength.

50%1/2
67%2/3
Trailed at HT → Recovered46%

Of matches trailing at HT, share rescued to a draw or win — comeback resilience.

25%1/4

Goal Timing

Goal Timingwhen goals happen
events 10/1010/101010
33%
0-15'27%

Hot starts — share of the team's goals scored in the opening 15 minutes.

20%
0%
16-30'10%

Early control — share scored between the 16th and 30th minute.

20%
0%
31-45'10%

Pre-HT push — share scored in the run-up to halftime.

20%
0%
46-60'0%

Restart wave — share scored in the first 15 minutes after HT.

0%
22%
61-75'21%

Game-state shift — share scored between minutes 61 and 75.

20%
44%
76-90+'32%

Late-game finishers — share scored from the 76th minute onwards (incl. stoppage time).

20%

First-Goal Edge

First-Goal Edgewho strikes first
events 10/1010/101010
30%3/10
Scored First32%

Share of matches where the team opened the scoring — fast-start signal.

33%3/9
70%7/10
Conceded First

Share of matches where the team conceded the opening goal (lower is better).

67%6/9
67%2/3
Win when Scoring First33%

Of matches the team scored first, share converted into a win — closing strength after the opener.

0%0/3
14%1/7
Win when Conceding First15%

Of matches conceding first, share rescued into a win — comeback strength.

17%1/6
7'
Avg Min. 1st Goal Scored

Average minute of the team's first goal — earlier means faster starters.

7'
51'
Avg Min. 1st Goal Conceded

Average minute of the first goal conceded — later is better (defense holds longer).

12'

Late-Game Strength

Late-Game Strengthafter the 75th minute
events 10/1010/101010
40%4/10
Scored after 75'30%

Share of matches with a late goal scored by the team — late finishers signal.

20%2/10
40%4/10
Conceded after 75'

Share of matches the team conceded a late goal — late-game vulnerability (lower is better).

10%1/10
100%1/1
Lead Saved after 75'100%

Of matches leading at 75', share closed out for a win — closing strength.

100%1/1
0%0/1
Lead Lost after 75'

Of matches leading at 75', share dropped to a draw or loss — late-game collapse risk.

0%0/1
50%5/10
Any Goal in Stoppage Time

Share of matches with any goal in stoppage time (90+) — late-drama frequency.

20%2/10

Set Pieces

Set Piecespenalty / own-goal share
events 10/1010/101010
89%8/9
Open-Play Share81%

Of the team's scored goals, share from open play — non-set-piece scoring quality.

73%11/15
11%1/9
Penalty Share

Of the team's scored goals, share from penalty kicks — penalty dependency.

20%3/15
0%0/9
Opp Own-Goal Bonus

Of the team's scored goals, share that were opponent own-goals — pressure / fortune.

7%1/15
6%1/18
Penalty Conceded Share

Of conceded goals, share from opponent penalties — defensive discipline (lower is better).

15%3/20
11%2/18
Own-Goal Cost

Of conceded goals, share that were the team's own goals — pressure-induced errors (lower is better).

0%0/20

Corners

Cornersset-piece pressure
1010
0.52
EWMACorners Diff

Smoothed corner differential per match — long-term territorial advantage (±2 is strong).

-2.49

Cards & Discipline

Cards & Disciplineyellows, reds & fouls
events 10/1010/101010
100%9/9
Match Cards > 3.595%

Share of matches with total card points (both teams, yellow=1 / red=2, 2Y→R counted as 2) > 3.5 — Over 3.5 line.

90%9/10
9/10
100%9/9
Match Cards > 4.580%

Share of matches with total card points > 4.5 — Over 4.5 line.

60%6/10
9/10
79%
Cards in 2nd Half

Share of card events that occur after halftime — late-discipline tendency.

67%

Venue Edge

Venue EdgeProgreso at home · Plate on the road
55
1.80
PPG at Venue

Points per match at the venue — home team at home, away team away.

0.20
60%3/5
Win Rate30%

Share of sampled matches won.

0%0/5
40%2/5
Loss Rate

Share of sampled matches lost (lower is better).

80%4/5
1.40
Avg Goals Scored

Goals scored per match across the sampled games.

0.80
1.40
Avg Goals Conceded

Goals conceded per match (lower is better).

2.00
20%1/5
Clean Sheet20%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

20%1/5
60%3/5
BTTS60%

Share of matches where both teams scored.

60%3/5
60%3/5
Over 2.570%

Share of venue matches with total goals > 2.5.

80%4/5
2.21
EWMAAttack xG (EWMA)

Smoothed xG created at venue — long-term attacking strength in this fixture's venue context.

1.13
1.89
EWMADefense xG (EWMA)

Smoothed xG conceded at venue — defensive strength in this fixture's venue context (lower is better).

1.60