NM Cupen·
1st Round·04/11/2024·12:00
Ullern
Ullern
LLLLL
0-2
Finished
HT0-1
Bærum
Bærum
WLLLD
📍 Ullern kunstgress, Oslo
Last 10NM Cupen
Ullern10matchesBærum10matches

Not in either team's main domestic league — every panel below reflects each team's most recent matches across all competitions.

Coverage varies by leaguetop-tier competitions have richer per-match data; lower divisions and smaller leagues track fewer metrics, so some panels may be sparse or missing entirely.
Pre-match snapshotevery value reflects each team's state going into kick-off — frozen before the match starts, not updated live.

Overall

Overallteam-strength snapshot
1157
ELO

Chess-style strength rating going into kick-off.

1194

Match Outcome

Match Outcomeresults breakdown
1010
0.60
Points per Game

Average points per match across the sampled games (max 3).

1.10
10%
Win Rate

Share of sampled matches won.

30%
30%
Draw Rate

Share of sampled matches that ended level.

20%
60%
Loss Rate

Share of sampled matches lost (lower is better).

50%
10%
Clean Sheet20%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

30%
20%
Failed to Score

Share of matches where the team didn't score (lower is better).

30%

Goal Scoring

Goal Scoringattacking output
1010
1.50
Avg Goals Scored

Goals scored per match across the sampled games.

1.40
80%
Scored > 0.575%

Share of matches where the team scored at least once.

70%
100%
Over 1.585%

Share of matches with total goals > 1.5.

70%
70%
Over 2.565%

Share of matches with total goals > 2.5.

60%
70%
Over 3.555%

Share of matches with total goals > 3.5 — high-scoring affairs.

40%
70%
BTTS60%

Share of matches where both teams scored.

50%
0%
BTTS & Win

Share of matches won while both teams scored — strong attack with a defensive lapse.

10%
30%
Scored Both Halves30%

Share of matches with a goal in both the 1st and 2nd half.

30%

Defensive Solidity

Defensive Soliditygoals & shots conceded
1010
2.40
Avg Goals Conceded

Goals conceded per match (lower is better).

1.50
10%
Clean Sheet20%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

30%

xG Trends

xG TrendsEWMA-smoothed performance
1010
0.76
EWMAxG For

Smoothed expected goals created per match — top attacks hit > 2.5/match, mid-table sits around 1.4.

1.22
1.65
EWMAxG Against

Smoothed expected goals conceded per match — elite defenses < 1.0, struggling sides > 2.0.

1.46
-0.89
EWMAxG Diff

Net xG: attack minus defense. ±1 is dominant/poor; ±2 is title-contender or crisis-level.

-0.24
0.46
EWMAFinishing Edge

Goals scored minus xG. +0.3 is clinical, −0.3 is wasteful; ±1 is statistical outlier.

0.40

HT / FT Patterns

HT / FT Patternshalf-time vs full-time outcomes
1010
20%2/10
Leading at HT30%

Share of matches the team led at halftime — fast-start signal.

40%4/10
50%5/10
Level at HT

Share of matches level at halftime — balanced or low-tempo openings.

50%5/10
30%3/10
Trailing at HT

Share of matches the team trailed at halftime — slow starts (lower is better).

10%1/10
70%7/10
HT/FT Same Outcome65%

Share of matches where the W/D/L state at halftime matched the full-time result — game-state stability.

60%6/10
50%1/2
Led at HT → Won63%

Of matches led at HT, share converted into a full-time win — closing strength.

75%3/4
0%0/3
Trailed at HT → Recovered0%

Of matches trailing at HT, share rescued to a draw or win — comeback resilience.

0%0/1

Goal Timing

Goal Timingwhen goals happen
events 10/1010/101010
7%
0-15'28%

Hot starts — share of the team's goals scored in the opening 15 minutes.

50%
33%
16-30'20%

Early control — share scored between the 16th and 30th minute.

7%
13%
31-45'14%

Pre-HT push — share scored in the run-up to halftime.

14%
7%
46-60'7%

Restart wave — share scored in the first 15 minutes after HT.

7%
13%
61-75'10%

Game-state shift — share scored between minutes 61 and 75.

7%
27%
76-90+'20%

Late-game finishers — share scored from the 76th minute onwards (incl. stoppage time).

14%

First-Goal Edge

First-Goal Edgewho strikes first
events 10/1010/101010
40%4/10
Scored First48%

Share of matches where the team opened the scoring — fast-start signal.

56%5/9
60%6/10
Conceded First

Share of matches where the team conceded the opening goal (lower is better).

44%4/9
25%1/4
Win when Scoring First43%

Of matches the team scored first, share converted into a win — closing strength after the opener.

60%3/5
0%0/6
Win when Conceding First0%

Of matches conceding first, share rescued into a win — comeback strength.

0%0/4
24'
Avg Min. 1st Goal Scored

Average minute of the team's first goal — earlier means faster starters.

6'
27'
Avg Min. 1st Goal Conceded

Average minute of the first goal conceded — later is better (defense holds longer).

48'

Late-Game Strength

Late-Game Strengthafter the 75th minute
events 10/1010/101010
30%3/10
Scored after 75'25%

Share of matches with a late goal scored by the team — late finishers signal.

20%2/10
20%2/10
Conceded after 75'

Share of matches the team conceded a late goal — late-game vulnerability (lower is better).

30%3/10
100%1/1
Lead Saved after 75'100%

Of matches leading at 75', share closed out for a win — closing strength.

100%3/3
0%0/1
Lead Lost after 75'

Of matches leading at 75', share dropped to a draw or loss — late-game collapse risk.

0%0/3
10%1/10
Any Goal in Stoppage Time

Share of matches with any goal in stoppage time (90+) — late-drama frequency.

20%2/10

Set Pieces

Set Piecespenalty / own-goal share
events 10/1010/101010
93%14/15
Open-Play Share97%

Of the team's scored goals, share from open play — non-set-piece scoring quality.

100%14/14
7%1/15
Penalty Share

Of the team's scored goals, share from penalty kicks — penalty dependency.

0%0/14
0%0/15
Opp Own-Goal Bonus

Of the team's scored goals, share that were opponent own-goals — pressure / fortune.

0%0/14
4%1/24
Penalty Conceded Share

Of conceded goals, share from opponent penalties — defensive discipline (lower is better).

0%0/15
0%0/24
Own-Goal Cost

Of conceded goals, share that were the team's own goals — pressure-induced errors (lower is better).

0%0/15

Cards & Discipline

Cards & Disciplineyellows, reds & fouls
events 10/1010/101010
83%5/6
Match Cards > 3.563%

Share of matches with total card points (both teams, yellow=1 / red=2, 2Y→R counted as 2) > 3.5 — Over 3.5 line.

43%3/7
6/107/10
67%4/6
Match Cards > 4.533%

Share of matches with total card points > 4.5 — Over 4.5 line.

0%0/7
6/107/10
87%
Cards in 2nd Half

Share of card events that occur after halftime — late-discipline tendency.

70%

Venue Edge

Venue EdgeUllern at home · Bærum on the road
55
1.00
PPG at Venue

Points per match at the venue — home team at home, away team away.

0.40
20%1/5
Win Rate10%

Share of sampled matches won.

0%0/5
40%2/5
Loss Rate

Share of sampled matches lost (lower is better).

60%3/5
1.80
Avg Goals Scored

Goals scored per match across the sampled games.

1.00
2.00
Avg Goals Conceded

Goals conceded per match (lower is better).

2.00
20%1/5
Clean Sheet20%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

20%1/5
60%3/5
BTTS70%

Share of matches where both teams scored.

80%4/5
60%3/5
Over 2.560%

Share of venue matches with total goals > 2.5.

60%3/5
0.80
EWMAAttack xG (EWMA)

Smoothed xG created at venue — long-term attacking strength in this fixture's venue context.

0.86
1.14
EWMADefense xG (EWMA)

Smoothed xG conceded at venue — defensive strength in this fixture's venue context (lower is better).

1.77