NM Cupen·
1st Round·04/10/2024·13:00
Express
Express
WLLLW
1-2
Extra Time
HT0-0AET0-0
Arendal
Arendal
WWLLW
📍 RSA BIL Arena, Fevik
Last 10NM Cupen
Express10matchesArendal10matches

Not in either team's main domestic league — every panel below reflects each team's most recent matches across all competitions.

Coverage varies by leaguetop-tier competitions have richer per-match data; lower divisions and smaller leagues track fewer metrics, so some panels may be sparse or missing entirely.
Pre-match snapshotevery value reflects each team's state going into kick-off — frozen before the match starts, not updated live.

Overall

Overallteam-strength snapshot
1353
ELO

Chess-style strength rating going into kick-off.

1269

Match Outcome

Match Outcomeresults breakdown
1010
1.30
Points per Game

Average points per match across the sampled games (max 3).

1.30
40%
Win Rate

Share of sampled matches won.

30%
10%
Draw Rate

Share of sampled matches that ended level.

40%
50%
Loss Rate

Share of sampled matches lost (lower is better).

30%
30%
Clean Sheet25%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

20%
20%
Failed to Score

Share of matches where the team didn't score (lower is better).

30%

Goal Scoring

Goal Scoringattacking output
1010
1.50
Avg Goals Scored

Goals scored per match across the sampled games.

1.50
80%
Scored > 0.575%

Share of matches where the team scored at least once.

70%
70%
Over 1.575%

Share of matches with total goals > 1.5.

80%
50%
Over 2.540%

Share of matches with total goals > 2.5.

30%
40%
Over 3.535%

Share of matches with total goals > 3.5 — high-scoring affairs.

30%
50%
BTTS55%

Share of matches where both teams scored.

60%
10%
BTTS & Win

Share of matches won while both teams scored — strong attack with a defensive lapse.

20%
20%
Scored Both Halves23%

Share of matches with a goal in both the 1st and 2nd half.

25%

Defensive Solidity

Defensive Soliditygoals & shots conceded
1010
1.50
Avg Goals Conceded

Goals conceded per match (lower is better).

1.30
30%
Clean Sheet25%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

20%

xG Trends

xG TrendsEWMA-smoothed performance
1010
1.16
EWMAxG For

Smoothed expected goals created per match — top attacks hit > 2.5/match, mid-table sits around 1.4.

1.25
1.15
EWMAxG Against

Smoothed expected goals conceded per match — elite defenses < 1.0, struggling sides > 2.0.

0.86
0.01
EWMAxG Diff

Net xG: attack minus defense. ±1 is dominant/poor; ±2 is title-contender or crisis-level.

0.39
0.22
EWMAFinishing Edge

Goals scored minus xG. +0.3 is clinical, −0.3 is wasteful; ±1 is statistical outlier.

0.61

HT / FT Patterns

HT / FT Patternshalf-time vs full-time outcomes
1010
40%4/10
Leading at HT26%

Share of matches the team led at halftime — fast-start signal.

13%1/8
30%3/10
Level at HT

Share of matches level at halftime — balanced or low-tempo openings.

88%7/8
30%3/10
Trailing at HT

Share of matches the team trailed at halftime — slow starts (lower is better).

0%0/8
70%7/10
HT/FT Same Outcome66%

Share of matches where the W/D/L state at halftime matched the full-time result — game-state stability.

63%5/8
75%3/4
Led at HT → Won88%

Of matches led at HT, share converted into a full-time win — closing strength.

100%1/1
0%0/3
Trailed at HT → Recovered

Of matches trailing at HT, share rescued to a draw or win — comeback resilience.

0/0

Goal Timing

Goal Timingwhen goals happen
events 10/107/101010
7%
0-15'11%

Hot starts — share of the team's goals scored in the opening 15 minutes.

15%
13%
16-30'14%

Early control — share scored between the 16th and 30th minute.

15%
53%
31-45'34%

Pre-HT push — share scored in the run-up to halftime.

15%
13%
46-60'7%

Restart wave — share scored in the first 15 minutes after HT.

0%
0%
61-75'15%

Game-state shift — share scored between minutes 61 and 75.

31%
13%
76-90+'18%

Late-game finishers — share scored from the 76th minute onwards (incl. stoppage time).

23%

First-Goal Edge

First-Goal Edgewho strikes first
events 10/107/101010
50%5/10
Scored First54%

Share of matches where the team opened the scoring — fast-start signal.

57%4/7
50%5/10
Conceded First

Share of matches where the team conceded the opening goal (lower is better).

43%3/7
80%4/5
Win when Scoring First78%

Of matches the team scored first, share converted into a win — closing strength after the opener.

75%3/4
0%0/5
Win when Conceding First0%

Of matches conceding first, share rescued into a win — comeback strength.

0%0/3
38'
Avg Min. 1st Goal Scored

Average minute of the team's first goal — earlier means faster starters.

26'
23'
Avg Min. 1st Goal Conceded

Average minute of the first goal conceded — later is better (defense holds longer).

61'

Late-Game Strength

Late-Game Strengthafter the 75th minute
events 10/107/101010
20%2/10
Scored after 75'24%

Share of matches with a late goal scored by the team — late finishers signal.

29%2/7
40%4/10
Conceded after 75'

Share of matches the team conceded a late goal — late-game vulnerability (lower is better).

0%0/7
67%4/6
Lead Saved after 75'83%

Of matches leading at 75', share closed out for a win — closing strength.

100%3/3
33%2/6
Lead Lost after 75'

Of matches leading at 75', share dropped to a draw or loss — late-game collapse risk.

0%0/3
20%2/10
Any Goal in Stoppage Time

Share of matches with any goal in stoppage time (90+) — late-drama frequency.

0%0/7

Set Pieces

Set Piecespenalty / own-goal share
events 10/107/101010
87%13/15
Open-Play Share86%

Of the team's scored goals, share from open play — non-set-piece scoring quality.

85%11/13
13%2/15
Penalty Share

Of the team's scored goals, share from penalty kicks — penalty dependency.

15%2/13
0%0/15
Opp Own-Goal Bonus

Of the team's scored goals, share that were opponent own-goals — pressure / fortune.

0%0/13
7%1/15
Penalty Conceded Share

Of conceded goals, share from opponent penalties — defensive discipline (lower is better).

0%0/7
0%0/15
Own-Goal Cost

Of conceded goals, share that were the team's own goals — pressure-induced errors (lower is better).

0%0/7

Cards & Discipline

Cards & Disciplineyellows, reds & fouls
events 10/107/101010
75%3/4
Match Cards > 3.588%

Share of matches with total card points (both teams, yellow=1 / red=2, 2Y→R counted as 2) > 3.5 — Over 3.5 line.

100%1/1
4/101/10
50%2/4
Match Cards > 4.575%

Share of matches with total card points > 4.5 — Over 4.5 line.

100%1/1
4/101/10
63%
Cards in 2nd Half

Share of card events that occur after halftime — late-discipline tendency.

63%

Venue Edge

Venue EdgeExpress at home · Arendal on the road
55
1.80
PPG at Venue

Points per match at the venue — home team at home, away team away.

1.60
60%3/5
Win Rate50%

Share of sampled matches won.

40%2/5
40%2/5
Loss Rate

Share of sampled matches lost (lower is better).

20%1/5
2.40
Avg Goals Scored

Goals scored per match across the sampled games.

1.40
1.60
Avg Goals Conceded

Goals conceded per match (lower is better).

1.00
40%2/5
Clean Sheet30%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

20%1/5
60%3/5
BTTS60%

Share of matches where both teams scored.

60%3/5
80%4/5
Over 2.550%

Share of venue matches with total goals > 2.5.

20%1/5
1.42
EWMAAttack xG (EWMA)

Smoothed xG created at venue — long-term attacking strength in this fixture's venue context.

1.40
0.91
EWMADefense xG (EWMA)

Smoothed xG conceded at venue — defensive strength in this fixture's venue context (lower is better).

1.18