CONMEBOL Libertadores·
Group Stage - 1·04/03/2024·18:00
Botafogo
Botafogo
WWWDW
1-3
Finished
HT1-3
Junior
Junior
WLWWD
📍 Estádio Nilton Santos, Rio de Janeiro
Last 10CONMEBOL Libertadores
Botafogo10matchesJunior10matches

Not in either team's main domestic league — every panel below reflects each team's most recent matches across all competitions.

Coverage varies by leaguetop-tier competitions have richer per-match data; lower divisions and smaller leagues track fewer metrics, so some panels may be sparse or missing entirely.
Pre-match snapshotevery value reflects each team's state going into kick-off — frozen before the match starts, not updated live.

Overall

Overallteam-strength snapshot
1609
ELO

Chess-style strength rating going into kick-off.

1628

Match Outcome

Match Outcomeresults breakdown
1010
2.60
Points per Game

Average points per match across the sampled games (max 3).

1.40
80%
Win Rate

Share of sampled matches won.

40%
20%
Draw Rate

Share of sampled matches that ended level.

20%
0%
Loss Rate

Share of sampled matches lost (lower is better).

40%
40%
Clean Sheet40%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

40%
0%
Failed to Score

Share of matches where the team didn't score (lower is better).

50%

Goal Scoring

Goal Scoringattacking output
1010
2.60
Avg Goals Scored

Goals scored per match across the sampled games.

1.10
100%
Scored > 0.575%

Share of matches where the team scored at least once.

50%
100%
Over 1.580%

Share of matches with total goals > 1.5.

60%
60%
Over 2.545%

Share of matches with total goals > 2.5.

30%
30%
Over 3.525%

Share of matches with total goals > 3.5 — high-scoring affairs.

20%
60%
BTTS40%

Share of matches where both teams scored.

20%
40%
BTTS & Win

Share of matches won while both teams scored — strong attack with a defensive lapse.

10%
50%
Scored Both Halves45%

Share of matches with a goal in both the 1st and 2nd half.

40%

Defensive Solidity

Defensive Soliditygoals & shots conceded
1010
0.70
Avg Goals Conceded

Goals conceded per match (lower is better).

1.10
40%
Clean Sheet40%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

40%

xG Trends

xG TrendsEWMA-smoothed performance
1010
2.01
EWMAxG For

Smoothed expected goals created per match — top attacks hit > 2.5/match, mid-table sits around 1.4.

1.64
0.90
EWMAxG Against

Smoothed expected goals conceded per match — elite defenses < 1.0, struggling sides > 2.0.

1.13
1.12
EWMAxG Diff

Net xG: attack minus defense. ±1 is dominant/poor; ±2 is title-contender or crisis-level.

0.51
0.04
EWMAFinishing Edge

Goals scored minus xG. +0.3 is clinical, −0.3 is wasteful; ±1 is statistical outlier.

-0.21

HT / FT Patterns

HT / FT Patternshalf-time vs full-time outcomes
1010
50%5/10
Leading at HT50%

Share of matches the team led at halftime — fast-start signal.

50%5/10
40%4/10
Level at HT

Share of matches level at halftime — balanced or low-tempo openings.

10%1/10
10%1/10
Trailing at HT

Share of matches the team trailed at halftime — slow starts (lower is better).

40%4/10
50%5/10
HT/FT Same Outcome70%

Share of matches where the W/D/L state at halftime matched the full-time result — game-state stability.

90%9/10
80%4/5
Led at HT → Won80%

Of matches led at HT, share converted into a full-time win — closing strength.

80%4/5
100%1/1
Trailed at HT → Recovered50%

Of matches trailing at HT, share rescued to a draw or win — comeback resilience.

0%0/4

Goal Timing

Goal Timingwhen goals happen
events 10/1010/101010
19%
0-15'24%

Hot starts — share of the team's goals scored in the opening 15 minutes.

29%
11%
16-30'13%

Early control — share scored between the 16th and 30th minute.

14%
7%
31-45'14%

Pre-HT push — share scored in the run-up to halftime.

21%
15%
46-60'15%

Restart wave — share scored in the first 15 minutes after HT.

14%
11%
61-75'9%

Game-state shift — share scored between minutes 61 and 75.

7%
37%
76-90+'26%

Late-game finishers — share scored from the 76th minute onwards (incl. stoppage time).

14%

First-Goal Edge

First-Goal Edgewho strikes first
events 10/1010/101010
90%9/10
Scored First84%

Share of matches where the team opened the scoring — fast-start signal.

78%7/9
10%1/10
Conceded First

Share of matches where the team conceded the opening goal (lower is better).

22%2/9
78%7/9
Win when Scoring First67%

Of matches the team scored first, share converted into a win — closing strength after the opener.

57%4/7
100%1/1
Win when Conceding First50%

Of matches conceding first, share rescued into a win — comeback strength.

0%0/2
33'
Avg Min. 1st Goal Scored

Average minute of the team's first goal — earlier means faster starters.

21'
22'
Avg Min. 1st Goal Conceded

Average minute of the first goal conceded — later is better (defense holds longer).

34'

Late-Game Strength

Late-Game Strengthafter the 75th minute
events 10/1010/101010
60%6/10
Scored after 75'40%

Share of matches with a late goal scored by the team — late finishers signal.

20%2/10
20%2/10
Conceded after 75'

Share of matches the team conceded a late goal — late-game vulnerability (lower is better).

20%2/10
86%6/7
Lead Saved after 75'76%

Of matches leading at 75', share closed out for a win — closing strength.

67%4/6
14%1/7
Lead Lost after 75'

Of matches leading at 75', share dropped to a draw or loss — late-game collapse risk.

33%2/6
40%4/10
Any Goal in Stoppage Time

Share of matches with any goal in stoppage time (90+) — late-drama frequency.

20%2/10

Set Pieces

Set Piecespenalty / own-goal share
events 10/1010/101010
85%23/27
Open-Play Share78%

Of the team's scored goals, share from open play — non-set-piece scoring quality.

71%10/14
15%4/27
Penalty Share

Of the team's scored goals, share from penalty kicks — penalty dependency.

14%2/14
0%0/27
Opp Own-Goal Bonus

Of the team's scored goals, share that were opponent own-goals — pressure / fortune.

14%2/14
20%1/5
Penalty Conceded Share

Of conceded goals, share from opponent penalties — defensive discipline (lower is better).

0%0/8
0%0/5
Own-Goal Cost

Of conceded goals, share that were the team's own goals — pressure-induced errors (lower is better).

0%0/8

Cards & Discipline

Cards & Disciplineyellows, reds & fouls
events 10/1010/101010
78%7/9
Match Cards > 3.583%

Share of matches with total card points (both teams, yellow=1 / red=2, 2Y→R counted as 2) > 3.5 — Over 3.5 line.

88%7/8
9/108/10
78%7/9
Match Cards > 4.570%

Share of matches with total card points > 4.5 — Over 4.5 line.

63%5/8
9/108/10
59%
Cards in 2nd Half

Share of card events that occur after halftime — late-discipline tendency.

53%

Venue Edge

Venue EdgeBotafogo at home · Junior on the road
45
3.00
PPG at Venue

Points per match at the venue — home team at home, away team away.

0.80
100%4/4
Win Rate60%

Share of sampled matches won.

20%1/5
0%0/4
Loss Rate

Share of sampled matches lost (lower is better).

60%3/5
3.00
Avg Goals Scored

Goals scored per match across the sampled games.

1.00
0.50
Avg Goals Conceded

Goals conceded per match (lower is better).

1.80
50%2/4
Clean Sheet35%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

20%1/5
50%2/4
BTTS35%

Share of matches where both teams scored.

20%1/5
75%3/4
Over 2.557%

Share of venue matches with total goals > 2.5.

40%2/5
2.09
EWMAAttack xG (EWMA)

Smoothed xG created at venue — long-term attacking strength in this fixture's venue context.

1.33
1.13
EWMADefense xG (EWMA)

Smoothed xG conceded at venue — defensive strength in this fixture's venue context (lower is better).

1.60