Serie B·
Regular Season - 26·09/14/2024·16:00
Brusque
Brusque
LDWLL
3-1
Finished
HT1-0
Vila Nova
Vila Nova
WLWWW
📍 Estádio Doutor Hercílio Luz, Itajaí, Santa Catarina
Season statsSerie B
Brusque25matchesNova25matches

Every panel below reflects each team's matches in Serie B.

Coverage varies by leaguetop-tier competitions have richer per-match data; lower divisions and smaller leagues track fewer metrics, so some panels may be sparse or missing entirely.
Pre-match snapshotevery value reflects each team's state going into kick-off — frozen before the match starts, not updated live.

Overall

Overallteam-strength snapshot
42%
Overall

Composite team strength — average of LTQ and Hype.

57%
1383
ELO

Chess-style strength rating going into kick-off.

1450
42%
LTQ

Long-term quality across all competitions.

54%
42%
Hype

Short-term fixture buzz / excitement signal.

61%
1.31
Momentum

Recent goal-scoring trend (weighted goals signal).

1.87

Match Outcome

Match Outcomeresults breakdown
2525
0.92
Points per Game

Average points per match across the sampled games (max 3).

1.68
16%
Win Rate

Share of sampled matches won.

48%
44%
Draw Rate

Share of sampled matches that ended level.

24%
40%
Loss Rate

Share of sampled matches lost (lower is better).

28%
36%
Clean Sheet34%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

32%
52%
Failed to Score

Share of matches where the team didn't score (lower is better).

28%

Goal Scoring

Goal Scoringattacking output
2525
0.64
Avg Goals Scored

Goals scored per match across the sampled games.

1.16
48%
Scored > 0.560%

Share of matches where the team scored at least once.

72%
48%
Over 1.558%

Share of matches with total goals > 1.5.

68%
28%
Over 2.530%

Share of matches with total goals > 2.5.

32%
24%
Over 3.522%

Share of matches with total goals > 3.5 — high-scoring affairs.

20%
36%
BTTS40%

Share of matches where both teams scored.

44%
4%
BTTS & Win

Share of matches won while both teams scored — strong attack with a defensive lapse.

20%
8%
Scored Both Halves14%

Share of matches with a goal in both the 1st and 2nd half.

20%

Defensive Solidity

Defensive Soliditygoals & shots conceded
2525
1.20
Avg Goals Conceded

Goals conceded per match (lower is better).

1.08
14.84
Avg Shots Conceded

Total shots faced per match — defensive pressure (> 17.5/match is heavy siege).

13.60
4.72
Avg SoT Conceded

Shots on target faced per match — quality of chances given up (> 5.5 is severe).

4.68
3.44
Avg Saves

Goalkeeper saves per match (> 4.5 means the keeper is doing heavy lifting).

3.67
24/25
73%
Save %74%

Share of opponent shots on target stopped by the keeper.

75%
36%
Clean Sheet34%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

32%

xG Trends

xG TrendsEWMA-smoothed performance
2525
0.67
EWMAxG For

Smoothed expected goals created per match — top attacks hit > 2.5/match, mid-table sits around 1.4.

1.32
1.34
EWMAxG Against

Smoothed expected goals conceded per match — elite defenses < 1.0, struggling sides > 2.0.

1.24
-0.67
EWMAxG Diff

Net xG: attack minus defense. ±1 is dominant/poor; ±2 is title-contender or crisis-level.

0.08
-0.05
EWMAFinishing Edge

Goals scored minus xG. +0.3 is clinical, −0.3 is wasteful; ±1 is statistical outlier.

-0.20
0.06
EWMAxG per Shot

Average chance quality per attempt — 0.10 is mid, 0.15+ means the team only shoots from dangerous spots.

0.12

Shots Quality

Shots Qualityvolume & accuracy
2525
10.96
Avg Shots

Total shots per match — pure attacking volume (> 16.5/match is elite).

11.32
3.24
Avg Shots on Target

Shots on target per match — strikes the keeper had to handle (> 5.5/match is heavy).

3.64
5.38
Avg Shots in Box

Shots taken from inside the penalty area — proximity to goal (> 8.5/match means consistent box presence).

6.46
24/2524/25
47%
Box Shot %51%

Share of shots taken from inside the box — chance-selection quality. Mid sits ~60%, elite > 75%.

55%
30%
On-Target %31%

Share of shots that hit the target — striking accuracy. Mid ~33%, elite > 40%.

32%
6%
Shot Conversion8%

Goals per shot taken — clinical efficiency. ~10% is league average, > 15% is elite finishing.

10%

Possession & Passing

Possession & Passingball control
2525
48%
Avg Possession

Share of match time with the ball. > 55% is dominant, < 40% is reactive.

50%
24/25
80%
Pass Accuracy

Share of passes completed — distribution quality. Mid sits ~80%, elite > 88%.

77%
24/25
373.04
Avg Passes

Total passes attempted per match — distribution volume. Top sides > 550, bottom sides < 400.

355.54
24/25
-0.06
EWMAPossession Trend

Smoothed possession differential — team minus opponent. ±0.1 is normal, ±0.2 is strong dominance.

-0.02

HT / FT Patterns

HT / FT Patternshalf-time vs full-time outcomes
2525
16%4/25
Leading at HT12%

Share of matches the team led at halftime — fast-start signal.

8%2/25
52%13/25
Level at HT

Share of matches level at halftime — balanced or low-tempo openings.

56%14/25
32%8/25
Trailing at HT

Share of matches the team trailed at halftime — slow starts (lower is better).

36%9/25
76%19/25
HT/FT Same Outcome66%

Share of matches where the W/D/L state at halftime matched the full-time result — game-state stability.

56%14/25
75%3/4
Led at HT → Won88%

Of matches led at HT, share converted into a full-time win — closing strength.

100%2/2
13%1/8
Trailed at HT → Recovered23%

Of matches trailing at HT, share rescued to a draw or win — comeback resilience.

33%3/9

Goal Timing

Goal Timingwhen goals happen
events 25/2525/252525
19%
0-15'13%

Hot starts — share of the team's goals scored in the opening 15 minutes.

7%
6%
16-30'7%

Early control — share scored between the 16th and 30th minute.

7%
13%
31-45'10%

Pre-HT push — share scored in the run-up to halftime.

7%
19%
46-60'22%

Restart wave — share scored in the first 15 minutes after HT.

25%
19%
61-75'22%

Game-state shift — share scored between minutes 61 and 75.

25%
25%
76-90+'27%

Late-game finishers — share scored from the 76th minute onwards (incl. stoppage time).

29%

First-Goal Edge

First-Goal Edgewho strikes first
events 25/2525/252525
32%6/19
Scored First41%

Share of matches where the team opened the scoring — fast-start signal.

50%12/24
68%13/19
Conceded First

Share of matches where the team conceded the opening goal (lower is better).

50%12/24
67%4/6
Win when Scoring First67%

Of matches the team scored first, share converted into a win — closing strength after the opener.

67%8/12
0%0/13
Win when Conceding First17%

Of matches conceding first, share rescued into a win — comeback strength.

33%4/12
28'
Avg Min. 1st Goal Scored

Average minute of the team's first goal — earlier means faster starters.

51'
39'
Avg Min. 1st Goal Conceded

Average minute of the first goal conceded — later is better (defense holds longer).

33'

Late-Game Strength

Late-Game Strengthafter the 75th minute
events 25/2525/252525
16%4/25
Scored after 75'24%

Share of matches with a late goal scored by the team — late finishers signal.

32%8/25
24%6/25
Conceded after 75'

Share of matches the team conceded a late goal — late-game vulnerability (lower is better).

32%8/25
75%3/4
Lead Saved after 75'78%

Of matches leading at 75', share closed out for a win — closing strength.

80%8/10
25%1/4
Lead Lost after 75'

Of matches leading at 75', share dropped to a draw or loss — late-game collapse risk.

20%2/10
8%2/25
Any Goal in Stoppage Time

Share of matches with any goal in stoppage time (90+) — late-drama frequency.

28%7/25

Set Pieces

Set Piecespenalty / own-goal share
events 25/2525/252525
88%14/16
Open-Play Share90%

Of the team's scored goals, share from open play — non-set-piece scoring quality.

93%26/28
6%1/16
Penalty Share

Of the team's scored goals, share from penalty kicks — penalty dependency.

7%2/28
6%1/16
Opp Own-Goal Bonus

Of the team's scored goals, share that were opponent own-goals — pressure / fortune.

0%0/28
19%6/31
Penalty Conceded Share

Of conceded goals, share from opponent penalties — defensive discipline (lower is better).

7%2/28
3%1/31
Own-Goal Cost

Of conceded goals, share that were the team's own goals — pressure-induced errors (lower is better).

4%1/28

Corners

Cornersset-piece pressure
2525
4.08
Avg Corners For

Average corners won per match — attacking territorial pressure (> 5.5 is heavy).

4.50
24/25
6.16
Avg Corners Against

Average corners conceded per match — territorial pressure faced (lower is better).

7.04
24/25
40%
Corner Share39%

Share of total corners in the team's matches that went to the team — territorial dominance ratio.

39%
24/25
-2.07
EWMACorners Diff

Smoothed corner differential per match — long-term territorial advantage (±2 is strong).

-2.50
64%16/25
Match Corners > 8.572%

Share of matches with total corners > 8.5 (Over 8.5 line) — high-tempo encounter signal.

79%19/24
24/25
60%15/25
Match Corners > 9.563%

Share of matches with total corners > 9.5 (Over 9.5 line).

67%16/24
24/25
44%11/25
Match Corners > 10.551%

Share of matches with total corners > 10.5 (Over 10.5 line) — corner-heavy clashes only.

58%14/24
24/25

Cards & Discipline

Cards & Disciplineyellows, reds & fouls
events 25/2525/252525
2.80
Avg Yellow Cards

Yellow cards picked up per match — discipline signal (lower is better).

2.64
20%5/25
Red Card Match Rate

Share of matches with at least one red card to the team — sending-off risk.

4%1/25
14.60
Avg Fouls

Fouls committed per match — aggression / tactical-foul tendency (lower is calmer).

13.36
96%22/23
Match Cards > 3.596%

Share of matches with total card points (both teams, yellow=1 / red=2, 2Y→R counted as 2) > 3.5 — Over 3.5 line.

96%22/23
23/2523/25
87%20/23
Match Cards > 4.585%

Share of matches with total card points > 4.5 — Over 4.5 line.

83%19/23
23/2523/25
64%
Cards in 2nd Half

Share of card events that occur after halftime — late-discipline tendency.

63%

Venue Edge

Venue EdgeBrusque at home · Nova on the road
1212
1.42
PPG at Venue

Points per match at the venue — home team at home, away team away.

0.75
33%4/12
Win Rate25%

Share of sampled matches won.

17%2/12
25%3/12
Loss Rate

Share of sampled matches lost (lower is better).

58%7/12
0.50
Avg Goals Scored

Goals scored per match across the sampled games.

0.67
0.42
Avg Goals Conceded

Goals conceded per match (lower is better).

1.50
67%8/12
Clean Sheet38%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

8%1/12
8%1/12
BTTS25%

Share of matches where both teams scored.

42%5/12
8%1/12
Over 2.517%

Share of venue matches with total goals > 2.5.

25%3/12
0.67
EWMAAttack xG (EWMA)

Smoothed xG created at venue — long-term attacking strength in this fixture's venue context.

0.98
0.61
EWMADefense xG (EWMA)

Smoothed xG conceded at venue — defensive strength in this fixture's venue context (lower is better).

2.01