Serie B·
Regular Season - 18·07/26/2024·20:30
Ituano
Ituano
DLLWL
0-0
Finished
HT0-0
Vila Nova
Vila Nova
LDWWD
📍 Estádio Municipal Dr. Novelli Júnior, Itu, São Paulo
Season statsSerie B
Ituano17matchesNova17matches

Every panel below reflects each team's matches in Serie B.

Coverage varies by leaguetop-tier competitions have richer per-match data; lower divisions and smaller leagues track fewer metrics, so some panels may be sparse or missing entirely.
Pre-match snapshotevery value reflects each team's state going into kick-off — frozen before the match starts, not updated live.

Overall

Overallteam-strength snapshot
33%
Overall

Composite team strength — average of LTQ and Hype.

56%
1310
ELO

Chess-style strength rating going into kick-off.

1432
29%
LTQ

Long-term quality across all competitions.

57%
37%
Hype

Short-term fixture buzz / excitement signal.

56%
2.70
Momentum

Recent goal-scoring trend (weighted goals signal).

2.19

Match Outcome

Match Outcomeresults breakdown
1717
0.71
Points per Game

Average points per match across the sampled games (max 3).

1.65
18%
Win Rate

Share of sampled matches won.

47%
18%
Draw Rate

Share of sampled matches that ended level.

24%
65%
Loss Rate

Share of sampled matches lost (lower is better).

29%
18%
Clean Sheet21%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

24%
41%
Failed to Score

Share of matches where the team didn't score (lower is better).

24%

Goal Scoring

Goal Scoringattacking output
1717
1.12
Avg Goals Scored

Goals scored per match across the sampled games.

1.18
59%
Scored > 0.568%

Share of matches where the team scored at least once.

76%
76%
Over 1.574%

Share of matches with total goals > 1.5.

71%
41%
Over 2.538%

Share of matches with total goals > 2.5.

35%
41%
Over 3.529%

Share of matches with total goals > 3.5 — high-scoring affairs.

18%
47%
BTTS50%

Share of matches where both teams scored.

53%
6%
BTTS & Win

Share of matches won while both teams scored — strong attack with a defensive lapse.

24%
18%
Scored Both Halves18%

Share of matches with a goal in both the 1st and 2nd half.

18%

Defensive Solidity

Defensive Soliditygoals & shots conceded
1717
2.06
Avg Goals Conceded

Goals conceded per match (lower is better).

1.12
17.35
Avg Shots Conceded

Total shots faced per match — defensive pressure (> 17.5/match is heavy siege).

14.65
5.71
Avg SoT Conceded

Shots on target faced per match — quality of chances given up (> 5.5 is severe).

5.24
3.88
Avg Saves

Goalkeeper saves per match (> 4.5 means the keeper is doing heavy lifting).

4.19
16/17
68%
Save %72%

Share of opponent shots on target stopped by the keeper.

75%
18%
Clean Sheet21%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

24%

xG Trends

xG TrendsEWMA-smoothed performance
1717
1.38
EWMAxG For

Smoothed expected goals created per match — top attacks hit > 2.5/match, mid-table sits around 1.4.

1.37
2.29
EWMAxG Against

Smoothed expected goals conceded per match — elite defenses < 1.0, struggling sides > 2.0.

1.48
-0.91
EWMAxG Diff

Net xG: attack minus defense. ±1 is dominant/poor; ±2 is title-contender or crisis-level.

-0.11
-0.39
EWMAFinishing Edge

Goals scored minus xG. +0.3 is clinical, −0.3 is wasteful; ±1 is statistical outlier.

-0.24
0.14
EWMAxG per Shot

Average chance quality per attempt — 0.10 is mid, 0.15+ means the team only shoots from dangerous spots.

0.12

Shots Quality

Shots Qualityvolume & accuracy
1717
9.53
Avg Shots

Total shots per match — pure attacking volume (> 16.5/match is elite).

11.53
3.29
Avg Shots on Target

Shots on target per match — strikes the keeper had to handle (> 5.5/match is heavy).

3.76
5.00
Avg Shots in Box

Shots taken from inside the penalty area — proximity to goal (> 8.5/match means consistent box presence).

7.06
15/1716/17
46%
Box Shot %52%

Share of shots taken from inside the box — chance-selection quality. Mid sits ~60%, elite > 75%.

58%
35%
On-Target %34%

Share of shots that hit the target — striking accuracy. Mid ~33%, elite > 40%.

33%
12%
Shot Conversion11%

Goals per shot taken — clinical efficiency. ~10% is league average, > 15% is elite finishing.

10%

Possession & Passing

Possession & Passingball control
1717
42%
Avg Possession

Share of match time with the ball. > 55% is dominant, < 40% is reactive.

50%
16/17
84%
Pass Accuracy

Share of passes completed — distribution quality. Mid sits ~80%, elite > 88%.

78%
16/1716/17
312.31
Avg Passes

Total passes attempted per match — distribution volume. Top sides > 550, bottom sides < 400.

362.06
16/1716/17
-0.17
EWMAPossession Trend

Smoothed possession differential — team minus opponent. ±0.1 is normal, ±0.2 is strong dominance.

-0.02

HT / FT Patterns

HT / FT Patternshalf-time vs full-time outcomes
1717
12%2/17
Leading at HT9%

Share of matches the team led at halftime — fast-start signal.

6%1/17
41%7/17
Level at HT

Share of matches level at halftime — balanced or low-tempo openings.

53%9/17
47%8/17
Trailing at HT

Share of matches the team trailed at halftime — slow starts (lower is better).

41%7/17
65%11/17
HT/FT Same Outcome62%

Share of matches where the W/D/L state at halftime matched the full-time result — game-state stability.

59%10/17
50%1/2
Led at HT → Won75%

Of matches led at HT, share converted into a full-time win — closing strength.

100%1/1
0%0/8
Trailed at HT → Recovered14%

Of matches trailing at HT, share rescued to a draw or win — comeback resilience.

29%2/7

Goal Timing

Goal Timingwhen goals happen
events 17/1717/171717
10%
0-15'10%

Hot starts — share of the team's goals scored in the opening 15 minutes.

11%
5%
16-30'5%

Early control — share scored between the 16th and 30th minute.

5%
25%
31-45'15%

Pre-HT push — share scored in the run-up to halftime.

5%
30%
46-60'28%

Restart wave — share scored in the first 15 minutes after HT.

26%
10%
61-75'18%

Game-state shift — share scored between minutes 61 and 75.

26%
20%
76-90+'23%

Late-game finishers — share scored from the 76th minute onwards (incl. stoppage time).

26%

First-Goal Edge

First-Goal Edgewho strikes first
events 17/1717/171717
38%6/16
Scored First45%

Share of matches where the team opened the scoring — fast-start signal.

53%9/17
63%10/16
Conceded First

Share of matches where the team conceded the opening goal (lower is better).

47%8/17
50%3/6
Win when Scoring First53%

Of matches the team scored first, share converted into a win — closing strength after the opener.

56%5/9
0%0/10
Win when Conceding First19%

Of matches conceding first, share rescued into a win — comeback strength.

38%3/8
39'
Avg Min. 1st Goal Scored

Average minute of the team's first goal — earlier means faster starters.

47'
33'
Avg Min. 1st Goal Conceded

Average minute of the first goal conceded — later is better (defense holds longer).

37'

Late-Game Strength

Late-Game Strengthafter the 75th minute
events 17/1717/171717
24%4/17
Scored after 75'26%

Share of matches with a late goal scored by the team — late finishers signal.

29%5/17
35%6/17
Conceded after 75'

Share of matches the team conceded a late goal — late-game vulnerability (lower is better).

29%5/17
75%3/4
Lead Saved after 75'79%

Of matches leading at 75', share closed out for a win — closing strength.

83%5/6
25%1/4
Lead Lost after 75'

Of matches leading at 75', share dropped to a draw or loss — late-game collapse risk.

17%1/6
24%4/17
Any Goal in Stoppage Time

Share of matches with any goal in stoppage time (90+) — late-drama frequency.

35%6/17

Set Pieces

Set Piecespenalty / own-goal share
events 17/1717/171717
85%17/20
Open-Play Share87%

Of the team's scored goals, share from open play — non-set-piece scoring quality.

89%17/19
10%2/20
Penalty Share

Of the team's scored goals, share from penalty kicks — penalty dependency.

11%2/19
5%1/20
Opp Own-Goal Bonus

Of the team's scored goals, share that were opponent own-goals — pressure / fortune.

0%0/19
3%1/34
Penalty Conceded Share

Of conceded goals, share from opponent penalties — defensive discipline (lower is better).

10%2/20
0%0/34
Own-Goal Cost

Of conceded goals, share that were the team's own goals — pressure-induced errors (lower is better).

5%1/20

Corners

Cornersset-piece pressure
1717
3.76
Avg Corners For

Average corners won per match — attacking territorial pressure (> 5.5 is heavy).

4.75
16/17
8.00
Avg Corners Against

Average corners conceded per match — territorial pressure faced (lower is better).

7.44
16/17
32%
Corner Share35%

Share of total corners in the team's matches that went to the team — territorial dominance ratio.

39%
16/17
-3.64
EWMACorners Diff

Smoothed corner differential per match — long-term territorial advantage (±2 is strong).

-2.71
76%13/17
Match Corners > 8.579%

Share of matches with total corners > 8.5 (Over 8.5 line) — high-tempo encounter signal.

81%13/16
16/17
76%13/17
Match Corners > 9.576%

Share of matches with total corners > 9.5 (Over 9.5 line).

75%12/16
16/17
71%12/17
Match Corners > 10.567%

Share of matches with total corners > 10.5 (Over 10.5 line) — corner-heavy clashes only.

63%10/16
16/17

Cards & Discipline

Cards & Disciplineyellows, reds & fouls
events 17/1717/171717
2.88
Avg Yellow Cards

Yellow cards picked up per match — discipline signal (lower is better).

2.59
24%4/17
Red Card Match Rate

Share of matches with at least one red card to the team — sending-off risk.

6%1/17
11.29
Avg Fouls

Fouls committed per match — aggression / tactical-foul tendency (lower is calmer).

12.59
100%14/14
Match Cards > 3.597%

Share of matches with total card points (both teams, yellow=1 / red=2, 2Y→R counted as 2) > 3.5 — Over 3.5 line.

93%14/15
14/1715/17
100%14/14
Match Cards > 4.593%

Share of matches with total card points > 4.5 — Over 4.5 line.

87%13/15
14/1715/17
67%
Cards in 2nd Half

Share of card events that occur after halftime — late-discipline tendency.

62%

Venue Edge

Venue EdgeItuano at home · Nova on the road
98
1.22
PPG at Venue

Points per match at the venue — home team at home, away team away.

0.62
33%3/9
Win Rate23%

Share of sampled matches won.

13%1/8
44%4/9
Loss Rate

Share of sampled matches lost (lower is better).

63%5/8
1.22
Avg Goals Scored

Goals scored per match across the sampled games.

0.63
1.56
Avg Goals Conceded

Goals conceded per match (lower is better).

1.50
33%3/9
Clean Sheet17%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

0%0/8
44%4/9
BTTS47%

Share of matches where both teams scored.

50%4/8
33%3/9
Over 2.529%

Share of venue matches with total goals > 2.5.

25%2/8
1.46
EWMAAttack xG (EWMA)

Smoothed xG created at venue — long-term attacking strength in this fixture's venue context.

0.95
1.72
EWMADefense xG (EWMA)

Smoothed xG conceded at venue — defensive strength in this fixture's venue context (lower is better).

1.92