Serie A·
Regular Season - 3·04/20/2024·17:30
Gremio
Gremio
WLLWL
1-0
Finished
HT1-0
Cuiaba
Cuiaba
LLWWD
📍 Arena do Grêmio, Porto Alegre, Rio Grande do Sul
Last 10Serie A
Gremio10matchesCuiaba10matches

Not in either team's main domestic league — every panel below reflects each team's most recent matches across all competitions.

Coverage varies by leaguetop-tier competitions have richer per-match data; lower divisions and smaller leagues track fewer metrics, so some panels may be sparse or missing entirely.
Pre-match snapshotevery value reflects each team's state going into kick-off — frozen before the match starts, not updated live.

Overall

Overallteam-strength snapshot
1586
ELO

Chess-style strength rating going into kick-off.

1616

Match Outcome

Match Outcomeresults breakdown
1010
1.90
Points per Game

Average points per match across the sampled games (max 3).

2.20
60%
Win Rate

Share of sampled matches won.

70%
10%
Draw Rate

Share of sampled matches that ended level.

10%
30%
Loss Rate

Share of sampled matches lost (lower is better).

20%
30%
Clean Sheet35%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

40%
30%
Failed to Score

Share of matches where the team didn't score (lower is better).

20%

Goal Scoring

Goal Scoringattacking output
1010
1.70
Avg Goals Scored

Goals scored per match across the sampled games.

1.80
70%
Scored > 0.575%

Share of matches where the team scored at least once.

80%
90%
Over 1.580%

Share of matches with total goals > 1.5.

70%
50%
Over 2.545%

Share of matches with total goals > 2.5.

40%
30%
Over 3.535%

Share of matches with total goals > 3.5 — high-scoring affairs.

40%
50%
BTTS45%

Share of matches where both teams scored.

40%
40%
BTTS & Win

Share of matches won while both teams scored — strong attack with a defensive lapse.

30%
50%
Scored Both Halves40%

Share of matches with a goal in both the 1st and 2nd half.

30%

Defensive Solidity

Defensive Soliditygoals & shots conceded
1010
1.10
Avg Goals Conceded

Goals conceded per match (lower is better).

1.20
30%
Clean Sheet35%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

40%

xG Trends

xG TrendsEWMA-smoothed performance
1010
2.02
EWMAxG For

Smoothed expected goals created per match — top attacks hit > 2.5/match, mid-table sits around 1.4.

2.06
1.40
EWMAxG Against

Smoothed expected goals conceded per match — elite defenses < 1.0, struggling sides > 2.0.

1.32
0.62
EWMAxG Diff

Net xG: attack minus defense. ±1 is dominant/poor; ±2 is title-contender or crisis-level.

0.74
-0.31
EWMAFinishing Edge

Goals scored minus xG. +0.3 is clinical, −0.3 is wasteful; ±1 is statistical outlier.

-0.30

HT / FT Patterns

HT / FT Patternshalf-time vs full-time outcomes
1010
50%5/10
Leading at HT55%

Share of matches the team led at halftime — fast-start signal.

60%6/10
20%2/10
Level at HT

Share of matches level at halftime — balanced or low-tempo openings.

20%2/10
30%3/10
Trailing at HT

Share of matches the team trailed at halftime — slow starts (lower is better).

20%2/10
90%9/10
HT/FT Same Outcome90%

Share of matches where the W/D/L state at halftime matched the full-time result — game-state stability.

90%9/10
100%5/5
Led at HT → Won100%

Of matches led at HT, share converted into a full-time win — closing strength.

100%6/6
0%0/3
Trailed at HT → Recovered0%

Of matches trailing at HT, share rescued to a draw or win — comeback resilience.

0%0/2

Goal Timing

Goal Timingwhen goals happen
events 10/1010/101010
5%
0-15'9%

Hot starts — share of the team's goals scored in the opening 15 minutes.

13%
21%
16-30'20%

Early control — share scored between the 16th and 30th minute.

19%
26%
31-45'26%

Pre-HT push — share scored in the run-up to halftime.

25%
16%
46-60'20%

Restart wave — share scored in the first 15 minutes after HT.

25%
21%
61-75'11%

Game-state shift — share scored between minutes 61 and 75.

0%
11%
76-90+'15%

Late-game finishers — share scored from the 76th minute onwards (incl. stoppage time).

19%

First-Goal Edge

First-Goal Edgewho strikes first
events 10/1010/101010
56%5/9
Scored First63%

Share of matches where the team opened the scoring — fast-start signal.

70%7/10
44%4/9
Conceded First

Share of matches where the team conceded the opening goal (lower is better).

30%3/10
100%5/5
Win when Scoring First93%

Of matches the team scored first, share converted into a win — closing strength after the opener.

86%6/7
25%1/4
Win when Conceding First29%

Of matches conceding first, share rescued into a win — comeback strength.

33%1/3
23'
Avg Min. 1st Goal Scored

Average minute of the team's first goal — earlier means faster starters.

30'
15'
Avg Min. 1st Goal Conceded

Average minute of the first goal conceded — later is better (defense holds longer).

35'

Late-Game Strength

Late-Game Strengthafter the 75th minute
events 10/1010/101010
20%2/10
Scored after 75'20%

Share of matches with a late goal scored by the team — late finishers signal.

20%2/10
10%1/10
Conceded after 75'

Share of matches the team conceded a late goal — late-game vulnerability (lower is better).

50%5/10
100%6/6
Lead Saved after 75'93%

Of matches leading at 75', share closed out for a win — closing strength.

86%6/7
0%0/6
Lead Lost after 75'

Of matches leading at 75', share dropped to a draw or loss — late-game collapse risk.

14%1/7
0%0/10
Any Goal in Stoppage Time

Share of matches with any goal in stoppage time (90+) — late-drama frequency.

20%2/10

Set Pieces

Set Piecespenalty / own-goal share
events 10/1010/101010
84%16/19
Open-Play Share89%

Of the team's scored goals, share from open play — non-set-piece scoring quality.

94%15/16
5%1/19
Penalty Share

Of the team's scored goals, share from penalty kicks — penalty dependency.

6%1/16
11%2/19
Opp Own-Goal Bonus

Of the team's scored goals, share that were opponent own-goals — pressure / fortune.

0%0/16
0%0/9
Penalty Conceded Share

Of conceded goals, share from opponent penalties — defensive discipline (lower is better).

0%0/14
0%0/9
Own-Goal Cost

Of conceded goals, share that were the team's own goals — pressure-induced errors (lower is better).

14%2/14

Corners

Cornersset-piece pressure
1010
EWMACorners Diff

Smoothed corner differential per match — long-term territorial advantage (±2 is strong).

3.00

Cards & Discipline

Cards & Disciplineyellows, reds & fouls
events 10/1010/101010
100%8/8
Match Cards > 3.5100%

Share of matches with total card points (both teams, yellow=1 / red=2, 2Y→R counted as 2) > 3.5 — Over 3.5 line.

100%1/1
8/101/10
88%7/8
Match Cards > 4.594%

Share of matches with total card points > 4.5 — Over 4.5 line.

100%1/1
8/101/10
64%
Cards in 2nd Half

Share of card events that occur after halftime — late-discipline tendency.

80%

Venue Edge

Venue EdgeGremio at home · Cuiaba on the road
66
2.50
PPG at Venue

Points per match at the venue — home team at home, away team away.

2.00
83%5/6
Win Rate75%

Share of sampled matches won.

67%4/6
17%1/6
Loss Rate

Share of sampled matches lost (lower is better).

33%2/6
2.33
Avg Goals Scored

Goals scored per match across the sampled games.

1.33
1.00
Avg Goals Conceded

Goals conceded per match (lower is better).

1.17
33%2/6
Clean Sheet42%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

50%3/6
50%3/6
BTTS33%

Share of matches where both teams scored.

17%1/6
50%3/6
Over 2.542%

Share of venue matches with total goals > 2.5.

33%2/6
2.64
EWMAAttack xG (EWMA)

Smoothed xG created at venue — long-term attacking strength in this fixture's venue context.

1.63
1.07
EWMADefense xG (EWMA)

Smoothed xG conceded at venue — defensive strength in this fixture's venue context (lower is better).

1.24