Serie A·
Regular Season - 2·04/16/2024·20:30
Bahia
Bahia
LWDLL
2-1
Finished
HT1-1
Fluminense
Fluminense
DWDDL
📍 Arena Fonte Nova, Salvador, Bahia
Last 10Serie A
Bahia10matchesFluminense10matches

Not in either team's main domestic league — every panel below reflects each team's most recent matches across all competitions.

Coverage varies by leaguetop-tier competitions have richer per-match data; lower divisions and smaller leagues track fewer metrics, so some panels may be sparse or missing entirely.
Pre-match snapshotevery value reflects each team's state going into kick-off — frozen before the match starts, not updated live.

Overall

Overallteam-strength snapshot
1597
ELO

Chess-style strength rating going into kick-off.

1663

Match Outcome

Match Outcomeresults breakdown
1010
1.70
Points per Game

Average points per match across the sampled games (max 3).

1.20
50%
Win Rate

Share of sampled matches won.

30%
20%
Draw Rate

Share of sampled matches that ended level.

30%
30%
Loss Rate

Share of sampled matches lost (lower is better).

40%
30%
Clean Sheet30%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

30%
10%
Failed to Score

Share of matches where the team didn't score (lower is better).

40%

Goal Scoring

Goal Scoringattacking output
1010
1.70
Avg Goals Scored

Goals scored per match across the sampled games.

1.00
90%
Scored > 0.575%

Share of matches where the team scored at least once.

60%
80%
Over 1.575%

Share of matches with total goals > 1.5.

70%
70%
Over 2.550%

Share of matches with total goals > 2.5.

30%
40%
Over 3.530%

Share of matches with total goals > 3.5 — high-scoring affairs.

20%
60%
BTTS50%

Share of matches where both teams scored.

40%
20%
BTTS & Win

Share of matches won while both teams scored — strong attack with a defensive lapse.

10%
10%
Scored Both Halves20%

Share of matches with a goal in both the 1st and 2nd half.

30%

Defensive Solidity

Defensive Soliditygoals & shots conceded
1010
1.40
Avg Goals Conceded

Goals conceded per match (lower is better).

1.30
30%
Clean Sheet30%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

30%

xG Trends

xG TrendsEWMA-smoothed performance
1010
2.20
EWMAxG For

Smoothed expected goals created per match — top attacks hit > 2.5/match, mid-table sits around 1.4.

1.49
1.47
EWMAxG Against

Smoothed expected goals conceded per match — elite defenses < 1.0, struggling sides > 2.0.

1.45
0.73
EWMAxG Diff

Net xG: attack minus defense. ±1 is dominant/poor; ±2 is title-contender or crisis-level.

0.05
-0.34
EWMAFinishing Edge

Goals scored minus xG. +0.3 is clinical, −0.3 is wasteful; ±1 is statistical outlier.

-0.24
EWMAxG per Shot

Average chance quality per attempt — 0.10 is mid, 0.15+ means the team only shoots from dangerous spots.

0.16

Possession & Passing

Possession & Passingball control
1010
EWMAPossession Trend

Smoothed possession differential — team minus opponent. ±0.1 is normal, ±0.2 is strong dominance.

0.09

HT / FT Patterns

HT / FT Patternshalf-time vs full-time outcomes
1010
30%3/10
Leading at HT20%

Share of matches the team led at halftime — fast-start signal.

10%1/10
70%7/10
Level at HT

Share of matches level at halftime — balanced or low-tempo openings.

60%6/10
0%0/10
Trailing at HT

Share of matches the team trailed at halftime — slow starts (lower is better).

30%3/10
30%3/10
HT/FT Same Outcome30%

Share of matches where the W/D/L state at halftime matched the full-time result — game-state stability.

30%3/10
67%2/3
Led at HT → Won33%

Of matches led at HT, share converted into a full-time win — closing strength.

0%0/1
0/0
Trailed at HT → Recovered

Of matches trailing at HT, share rescued to a draw or win — comeback resilience.

33%1/3

Goal Timing

Goal Timingwhen goals happen
events 10/1010/101010
7%
0-15'8%

Hot starts — share of the team's goals scored in the opening 15 minutes.

10%
13%
16-30'12%

Early control — share scored between the 16th and 30th minute.

10%
27%
31-45'18%

Pre-HT push — share scored in the run-up to halftime.

10%
20%
46-60'15%

Restart wave — share scored in the first 15 minutes after HT.

10%
27%
61-75'28%

Game-state shift — share scored between minutes 61 and 75.

30%
7%
76-90+'18%

Late-game finishers — share scored from the 76th minute onwards (incl. stoppage time).

30%

First-Goal Edge

First-Goal Edgewho strikes first
events 10/1010/101010
60%6/10
Scored First47%

Share of matches where the team opened the scoring — fast-start signal.

33%3/9
40%4/10
Conceded First

Share of matches where the team conceded the opening goal (lower is better).

67%6/9
50%3/6
Win when Scoring First75%

Of matches the team scored first, share converted into a win — closing strength after the opener.

100%3/3
50%2/4
Win when Conceding First25%

Of matches conceding first, share rescued into a win — comeback strength.

0%0/6
53'
Avg Min. 1st Goal Scored

Average minute of the team's first goal — earlier means faster starters.

47'
35'
Avg Min. 1st Goal Conceded

Average minute of the first goal conceded — later is better (defense holds longer).

46'

Late-Game Strength

Late-Game Strengthafter the 75th minute
events 10/1010/101010
10%1/10
Scored after 75'15%

Share of matches with a late goal scored by the team — late finishers signal.

20%2/10
50%5/10
Conceded after 75'

Share of matches the team conceded a late goal — late-game vulnerability (lower is better).

40%4/10
60%3/5
Lead Saved after 75'80%

Of matches leading at 75', share closed out for a win — closing strength.

100%2/2
40%2/5
Lead Lost after 75'

Of matches leading at 75', share dropped to a draw or loss — late-game collapse risk.

0%0/2
20%2/10
Any Goal in Stoppage Time

Share of matches with any goal in stoppage time (90+) — late-drama frequency.

30%3/10

Set Pieces

Set Piecespenalty / own-goal share
events 10/1010/101010
93%14/15
Open-Play Share87%

Of the team's scored goals, share from open play — non-set-piece scoring quality.

80%8/10
0%0/15
Penalty Share

Of the team's scored goals, share from penalty kicks — penalty dependency.

20%2/10
7%1/15
Opp Own-Goal Bonus

Of the team's scored goals, share that were opponent own-goals — pressure / fortune.

0%0/10
0%0/14
Penalty Conceded Share

Of conceded goals, share from opponent penalties — defensive discipline (lower is better).

8%1/13
7%1/14
Own-Goal Cost

Of conceded goals, share that were the team's own goals — pressure-induced errors (lower is better).

0%0/13

Corners

Cornersset-piece pressure
1010
4.00
Avg Corners For

Average corners won per match — attacking territorial pressure (> 5.5 is heavy).

1/100/10
2.00
Avg Corners Against

Average corners conceded per match — territorial pressure faced (lower is better).

1/100/10
67%
Corner Share

Share of total corners in the team's matches that went to the team — territorial dominance ratio.

1/100/10
2.00
EWMACorners Diff

Smoothed corner differential per match — long-term territorial advantage (±2 is strong).

-0.56
0%0/1
Match Corners > 8.5

Share of matches with total corners > 8.5 (Over 8.5 line) — high-tempo encounter signal.

0/0
1/100/10
0%0/1
Match Corners > 9.5

Share of matches with total corners > 9.5 (Over 9.5 line).

0/0
1/100/10
0%0/1
Match Corners > 10.5

Share of matches with total corners > 10.5 (Over 10.5 line) — corner-heavy clashes only.

0/0
1/100/10

Cards & Discipline

Cards & Disciplineyellows, reds & fouls
events 10/1010/101010
6.00
Avg Yellow Cards

Yellow cards picked up per match — discipline signal (lower is better).

1/100/10
0%0/1
Red Card Match Rate

Share of matches with at least one red card to the team — sending-off risk.

0/0
1/100/10
0.00
Avg Fouls

Fouls committed per match — aggression / tactical-foul tendency (lower is calmer).

1/100/10
56%5/9
Match Cards > 3.572%

Share of matches with total card points (both teams, yellow=1 / red=2, 2Y→R counted as 2) > 3.5 — Over 3.5 line.

89%8/9
9/109/10
56%5/9
Match Cards > 4.572%

Share of matches with total card points > 4.5 — Over 4.5 line.

89%8/9
9/109/10
56%
Cards in 2nd Half

Share of card events that occur after halftime — late-discipline tendency.

63%

Venue Edge

Venue EdgeBahia at home · Fluminense on the road
55
2.60
PPG at Venue

Points per match at the venue — home team at home, away team away.

1.00
80%4/5
Win Rate50%

Share of sampled matches won.

20%1/5
0%0/5
Loss Rate

Share of sampled matches lost (lower is better).

40%2/5
2.20
Avg Goals Scored

Goals scored per match across the sampled games.

0.40
0.60
Avg Goals Conceded

Goals conceded per match (lower is better).

0.80
40%2/5
Clean Sheet40%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

40%2/5
60%3/5
BTTS40%

Share of matches where both teams scored.

20%1/5
60%3/5
Over 2.530%

Share of venue matches with total goals > 2.5.

0%0/5
2.65
EWMAAttack xG (EWMA)

Smoothed xG created at venue — long-term attacking strength in this fixture's venue context.

0.83
0.65
EWMADefense xG (EWMA)

Smoothed xG conceded at venue — defensive strength in this fixture's venue context (lower is better).

1.33