CONMEBOL Libertadores·
2nd Round·02/28/2024·19:30
Botafogo
Botafogo
WDLWL
6-0
Finished
HT3-0
Aurora
Aurora
WDDWW
📍 Estádio Nilton Santos, Rio de Janeiro
Last 10CONMEBOL Libertadores
Botafogo10matchesAurora10matches

Not in either team's main domestic league — every panel below reflects each team's most recent matches across all competitions.

Coverage varies by leaguetop-tier competitions have richer per-match data; lower divisions and smaller leagues track fewer metrics, so some panels may be sparse or missing entirely.
Pre-match snapshotevery value reflects each team's state going into kick-off — frozen before the match starts, not updated live.

Overall

Overallteam-strength snapshot
1527
ELO

Chess-style strength rating going into kick-off.

1363

Match Outcome

Match Outcomeresults breakdown
1010
1.50
Points per Game

Average points per match across the sampled games (max 3).

2.30
40%
Win Rate

Share of sampled matches won.

70%
30%
Draw Rate

Share of sampled matches that ended level.

20%
30%
Loss Rate

Share of sampled matches lost (lower is better).

10%
40%
Clean Sheet50%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

60%
20%
Failed to Score

Share of matches where the team didn't score (lower is better).

0%

Goal Scoring

Goal Scoringattacking output
1010
1.50
Avg Goals Scored

Goals scored per match across the sampled games.

1.50
80%
Scored > 0.590%

Share of matches where the team scored at least once.

100%
80%
Over 1.565%

Share of matches with total goals > 1.5.

50%
30%
Over 2.530%

Share of matches with total goals > 2.5.

30%
20%
Over 3.520%

Share of matches with total goals > 3.5 — high-scoring affairs.

20%
40%
BTTS40%

Share of matches where both teams scored.

40%
0%
BTTS & Win

Share of matches won while both teams scored — strong attack with a defensive lapse.

10%
50%
Scored Both Halves35%

Share of matches with a goal in both the 1st and 2nd half.

20%

Defensive Solidity

Defensive Soliditygoals & shots conceded
1010
1.00
Avg Goals Conceded

Goals conceded per match (lower is better).

0.60
Avg Shots Conceded

Total shots faced per match — defensive pressure (> 17.5/match is heavy siege).

14.00
0/102/10
Avg SoT Conceded

Shots on target faced per match — quality of chances given up (> 5.5 is severe).

5.00
0/102/10
Avg Saves

Goalkeeper saves per match (> 4.5 means the keeper is doing heavy lifting).

5.00
0/102/10
Save %

Share of opponent shots on target stopped by the keeper.

100%
0/102/10
40%
Clean Sheet50%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

60%

xG Trends

xG TrendsEWMA-smoothed performance
1010
1.22
EWMAxG For

Smoothed expected goals created per match — top attacks hit > 2.5/match, mid-table sits around 1.4.

1.26
1.12
EWMAxG Against

Smoothed expected goals conceded per match — elite defenses < 1.0, struggling sides > 2.0.

0.78
0.10
EWMAxG Diff

Net xG: attack minus defense. ±1 is dominant/poor; ±2 is title-contender or crisis-level.

0.48
0.19
EWMAFinishing Edge

Goals scored minus xG. +0.3 is clinical, −0.3 is wasteful; ±1 is statistical outlier.

0.02
EWMAxG per Shot

Average chance quality per attempt — 0.10 is mid, 0.15+ means the team only shoots from dangerous spots.

0.13

Shots Quality

Shots Qualityvolume & accuracy
1010
Avg Shots

Total shots per match — pure attacking volume (> 16.5/match is elite).

11.00
0/102/10
Avg Shots on Target

Shots on target per match — strikes the keeper had to handle (> 5.5/match is heavy).

3.00
0/102/10
Avg Shots in Box

Shots taken from inside the penalty area — proximity to goal (> 8.5/match means consistent box presence).

5.00
0/102/10
Box Shot %

Share of shots taken from inside the box — chance-selection quality. Mid sits ~60%, elite > 75%.

45%
0/102/10
On-Target %

Share of shots that hit the target — striking accuracy. Mid ~33%, elite > 40%.

27%
0/102/10
Shot Conversion

Goals per shot taken — clinical efficiency. ~10% is league average, > 15% is elite finishing.

9%
0/102/10

Possession & Passing

Possession & Passingball control
1010
Avg Possession

Share of match time with the ball. > 55% is dominant, < 40% is reactive.

53%
0/102/10
Pass Accuracy

Share of passes completed — distribution quality. Mid sits ~80%, elite > 88%.

76%
0/102/10
Avg Passes

Total passes attempted per match — distribution volume. Top sides > 550, bottom sides < 400.

358.50
0/102/10
EWMAPossession Trend

Smoothed possession differential — team minus opponent. ±0.1 is normal, ±0.2 is strong dominance.

-0.03

HT / FT Patterns

HT / FT Patternshalf-time vs full-time outcomes
1010
60%6/10
Leading at HT50%

Share of matches the team led at halftime — fast-start signal.

40%4/10
30%3/10
Level at HT

Share of matches level at halftime — balanced or low-tempo openings.

50%5/10
10%1/10
Trailing at HT

Share of matches the team trailed at halftime — slow starts (lower is better).

10%1/10
40%4/10
HT/FT Same Outcome45%

Share of matches where the W/D/L state at halftime matched the full-time result — game-state stability.

50%5/10
50%3/6
Led at HT → Won75%

Of matches led at HT, share converted into a full-time win — closing strength.

100%4/4
0%0/1
Trailed at HT → Recovered50%

Of matches trailing at HT, share rescued to a draw or win — comeback resilience.

100%1/1

Goal Timing

Goal Timingwhen goals happen
events 10/1010/101010
19%
0-15'18%

Hot starts — share of the team's goals scored in the opening 15 minutes.

17%
31%
16-30'24%

Early control — share scored between the 16th and 30th minute.

17%
6%
31-45'20%

Pre-HT push — share scored in the run-up to halftime.

33%
13%
46-60'10%

Restart wave — share scored in the first 15 minutes after HT.

8%
6%
61-75'3%

Game-state shift — share scored between minutes 61 and 75.

0%
25%
76-90+'25%

Late-game finishers — share scored from the 76th minute onwards (incl. stoppage time).

25%

First-Goal Edge

First-Goal Edgewho strikes first
events 10/1010/101010
89%8/9
Scored First84%

Share of matches where the team opened the scoring — fast-start signal.

80%8/10
11%1/9
Conceded First

Share of matches where the team conceded the opening goal (lower is better).

20%2/10
50%4/8
Win when Scoring First63%

Of matches the team scored first, share converted into a win — closing strength after the opener.

75%6/8
0%0/1
Win when Conceding First25%

Of matches conceding first, share rescued into a win — comeback strength.

50%1/2
23'
Avg Min. 1st Goal Scored

Average minute of the team's first goal — earlier means faster starters.

37'
35'
Avg Min. 1st Goal Conceded

Average minute of the first goal conceded — later is better (defense holds longer).

55'

Late-Game Strength

Late-Game Strengthafter the 75th minute
events 10/1010/101010
40%4/10
Scored after 75'35%

Share of matches with a late goal scored by the team — late finishers signal.

30%3/10
20%2/10
Conceded after 75'

Share of matches the team conceded a late goal — late-game vulnerability (lower is better).

10%1/10
67%4/6
Lead Saved after 75'83%

Of matches leading at 75', share closed out for a win — closing strength.

100%3/3
33%2/6
Lead Lost after 75'

Of matches leading at 75', share dropped to a draw or loss — late-game collapse risk.

0%0/3
30%3/10
Any Goal in Stoppage Time

Share of matches with any goal in stoppage time (90+) — late-drama frequency.

0%0/10

Set Pieces

Set Piecespenalty / own-goal share
events 10/1010/101010
88%14/16
Open-Play Share85%

Of the team's scored goals, share from open play — non-set-piece scoring quality.

83%10/12
13%2/16
Penalty Share

Of the team's scored goals, share from penalty kicks — penalty dependency.

17%2/12
0%0/16
Opp Own-Goal Bonus

Of the team's scored goals, share that were opponent own-goals — pressure / fortune.

0%0/12
13%1/8
Penalty Conceded Share

Of conceded goals, share from opponent penalties — defensive discipline (lower is better).

11%1/9
0%0/8
Own-Goal Cost

Of conceded goals, share that were the team's own goals — pressure-induced errors (lower is better).

22%2/9

Corners

Cornersset-piece pressure
1010
Avg Corners For

Average corners won per match — attacking territorial pressure (> 5.5 is heavy).

3.50
0/102/10
Avg Corners Against

Average corners conceded per match — territorial pressure faced (lower is better).

8.00
0/102/10
Corner Share

Share of total corners in the team's matches that went to the team — territorial dominance ratio.

30%
0/102/10
EWMACorners Diff

Smoothed corner differential per match — long-term territorial advantage (±2 is strong).

-1.20
0/0
Match Corners > 8.5

Share of matches with total corners > 8.5 (Over 8.5 line) — high-tempo encounter signal.

50%1/2
0/102/10
0/0
Match Corners > 9.5

Share of matches with total corners > 9.5 (Over 9.5 line).

50%1/2
0/102/10
0/0
Match Corners > 10.5

Share of matches with total corners > 10.5 (Over 10.5 line) — corner-heavy clashes only.

50%1/2
0/102/10

Cards & Discipline

Cards & Disciplineyellows, reds & fouls
events 10/1010/101010
Avg Yellow Cards

Yellow cards picked up per match — discipline signal (lower is better).

3.50
0/102/10
0/0
Red Card Match Rate

Share of matches with at least one red card to the team — sending-off risk.

0%0/2
0/102/10
Avg Fouls

Fouls committed per match — aggression / tactical-foul tendency (lower is calmer).

20.00
0/102/10
88%7/8
Match Cards > 3.583%

Share of matches with total card points (both teams, yellow=1 / red=2, 2Y→R counted as 2) > 3.5 — Over 3.5 line.

78%7/9
8/109/10
75%6/8
Match Cards > 4.571%

Share of matches with total card points > 4.5 — Over 4.5 line.

67%6/9
8/109/10
62%
Cards in 2nd Half

Share of card events that occur after halftime — late-discipline tendency.

54%

Venue Edge

Venue EdgeBotafogo at home · Aurora on the road
54
1.60
PPG at Venue

Points per match at the venue — home team at home, away team away.

1.75
40%2/5
Win Rate45%

Share of sampled matches won.

50%2/4
20%1/5
Loss Rate

Share of sampled matches lost (lower is better).

25%1/4
1.80
Avg Goals Scored

Goals scored per match across the sampled games.

1.00
1.40
Avg Goals Conceded

Goals conceded per match (lower is better).

1.00
40%2/5
Clean Sheet45%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

50%2/4
60%3/5
BTTS55%

Share of matches where both teams scored.

50%2/4
40%2/5
Over 2.533%

Share of venue matches with total goals > 2.5.

25%1/4
1.55
EWMAAttack xG (EWMA)

Smoothed xG created at venue — long-term attacking strength in this fixture's venue context.

0.91
1.37
EWMADefense xG (EWMA)

Smoothed xG conceded at venue — defensive strength in this fixture's venue context (lower is better).

1.08