Primera División - Apertura·
Apertura - 14·05/23/2024·19:00
Penarol
Penarol
WWWWD
3-1
Finished
HT0-1
Progreso
Progreso
LLLWD
📍 Estadio Campeón del Siglo, Montevideo
Last 10Primera División - Apertura
Penarol10matchesProgreso10matches

Not in either team's main domestic league — every panel below reflects each team's most recent matches across all competitions.

Coverage varies by leaguetop-tier competitions have richer per-match data; lower divisions and smaller leagues track fewer metrics, so some panels may be sparse or missing entirely.
Pre-match snapshotevery value reflects each team's state going into kick-off — frozen before the match starts, not updated live.

Overall

Overallteam-strength snapshot
1597
ELO

Chess-style strength rating going into kick-off.

1437

Match Outcome

Match Outcomeresults breakdown
1010
2.20
Points per Game

Average points per match across the sampled games (max 3).

1.50
70%
Win Rate

Share of sampled matches won.

40%
10%
Draw Rate

Share of sampled matches that ended level.

30%
20%
Loss Rate

Share of sampled matches lost (lower is better).

30%
60%
Clean Sheet40%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

20%
0%
Failed to Score

Share of matches where the team didn't score (lower is better).

30%

Goal Scoring

Goal Scoringattacking output
1010
1.90
Avg Goals Scored

Goals scored per match across the sampled games.

1.40
100%
Scored > 0.585%

Share of matches where the team scored at least once.

70%
80%
Over 1.575%

Share of matches with total goals > 1.5.

70%
50%
Over 2.550%

Share of matches with total goals > 2.5.

50%
40%
Over 3.540%

Share of matches with total goals > 3.5 — high-scoring affairs.

40%
40%
BTTS50%

Share of matches where both teams scored.

60%
10%
BTTS & Win

Share of matches won while both teams scored — strong attack with a defensive lapse.

30%
50%
Scored Both Halves40%

Share of matches with a goal in both the 1st and 2nd half.

30%

Defensive Solidity

Defensive Soliditygoals & shots conceded
1010
0.90
Avg Goals Conceded

Goals conceded per match (lower is better).

1.40
8.75
Avg Shots Conceded

Total shots faced per match — defensive pressure (> 17.5/match is heavy siege).

4/100/10
3.00
Avg SoT Conceded

Shots on target faced per match — quality of chances given up (> 5.5 is severe).

4/100/10
2.25
Avg Saves

Goalkeeper saves per match (> 4.5 means the keeper is doing heavy lifting).

4/100/10
75%
Save %

Share of opponent shots on target stopped by the keeper.

4/100/10
60%
Clean Sheet40%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

20%

xG Trends

xG TrendsEWMA-smoothed performance
1010
1.88
EWMAxG For

Smoothed expected goals created per match — top attacks hit > 2.5/match, mid-table sits around 1.4.

2.00
0.87
EWMAxG Against

Smoothed expected goals conceded per match — elite defenses < 1.0, struggling sides > 2.0.

1.84
1.00
EWMAxG Diff

Net xG: attack minus defense. ±1 is dominant/poor; ±2 is title-contender or crisis-level.

0.16
-0.09
EWMAFinishing Edge

Goals scored minus xG. +0.3 is clinical, −0.3 is wasteful; ±1 is statistical outlier.

-0.27
0.21
EWMAxG per Shot

Average chance quality per attempt — 0.10 is mid, 0.15+ means the team only shoots from dangerous spots.

0.29

Shots Quality

Shots Qualityvolume & accuracy
1010
9.75
Avg Shots

Total shots per match — pure attacking volume (> 16.5/match is elite).

4/100/10
4.00
Avg Shots on Target

Shots on target per match — strikes the keeper had to handle (> 5.5/match is heavy).

4/100/10
3.67
Avg Shots in Box

Shots taken from inside the penalty area — proximity to goal (> 8.5/match means consistent box presence).

3/100/10
28%
Box Shot %

Share of shots taken from inside the box — chance-selection quality. Mid sits ~60%, elite > 75%.

4/100/10
41%
On-Target %

Share of shots that hit the target — striking accuracy. Mid ~33%, elite > 40%.

4/100/10
18%
Shot Conversion

Goals per shot taken — clinical efficiency. ~10% is league average, > 15% is elite finishing.

4/100/10

Possession & Passing

Possession & Passingball control
1010
37%
Avg Possession

Share of match time with the ball. > 55% is dominant, < 40% is reactive.

4/100/10
71%
Pass Accuracy

Share of passes completed — distribution quality. Mid sits ~80%, elite > 88%.

4/100/10
303.25
Avg Passes

Total passes attempted per match — distribution volume. Top sides > 550, bottom sides < 400.

4/100/10
-0.17
EWMAPossession Trend

Smoothed possession differential — team minus opponent. ±0.1 is normal, ±0.2 is strong dominance.

0.10

HT / FT Patterns

HT / FT Patternshalf-time vs full-time outcomes
1010
50%5/10
Leading at HT40%

Share of matches the team led at halftime — fast-start signal.

30%3/10
20%2/10
Level at HT

Share of matches level at halftime — balanced or low-tempo openings.

40%4/10
30%3/10
Trailing at HT

Share of matches the team trailed at halftime — slow starts (lower is better).

30%3/10
70%7/10
HT/FT Same Outcome65%

Share of matches where the W/D/L state at halftime matched the full-time result — game-state stability.

60%6/10
100%5/5
Led at HT → Won100%

Of matches led at HT, share converted into a full-time win — closing strength.

100%3/3
33%1/3
Trailed at HT → Recovered50%

Of matches trailing at HT, share rescued to a draw or win — comeback resilience.

67%2/3

Goal Timing

Goal Timingwhen goals happen
events 10/1010/101010
17%
0-15'21%

Hot starts — share of the team's goals scored in the opening 15 minutes.

25%
17%
16-30'13%

Early control — share scored between the 16th and 30th minute.

8%
11%
31-45'6%

Pre-HT push — share scored in the run-up to halftime.

0%
11%
46-60'14%

Restart wave — share scored in the first 15 minutes after HT.

17%
17%
61-75'17%

Game-state shift — share scored between minutes 61 and 75.

17%
28%
76-90+'31%

Late-game finishers — share scored from the 76th minute onwards (incl. stoppage time).

33%

First-Goal Edge

First-Goal Edgewho strikes first
events 10/1010/101010
80%8/10
Scored First57%

Share of matches where the team opened the scoring — fast-start signal.

33%3/9
20%2/10
Conceded First

Share of matches where the team conceded the opening goal (lower is better).

67%6/9
88%7/8
Win when Scoring First77%

Of matches the team scored first, share converted into a win — closing strength after the opener.

67%2/3
0%0/2
Win when Conceding First17%

Of matches conceding first, share rescued into a win — comeback strength.

33%2/6
32'
Avg Min. 1st Goal Scored

Average minute of the team's first goal — earlier means faster starters.

7'
12'
Avg Min. 1st Goal Conceded

Average minute of the first goal conceded — later is better (defense holds longer).

39'

Late-Game Strength

Late-Game Strengthafter the 75th minute
events 10/1010/101010
50%5/10
Scored after 75'45%

Share of matches with a late goal scored by the team — late finishers signal.

40%4/10
0%0/10
Conceded after 75'

Share of matches the team conceded a late goal — late-game vulnerability (lower is better).

20%2/10
100%6/6
Lead Saved after 75'100%

Of matches leading at 75', share closed out for a win — closing strength.

100%1/1
0%0/6
Lead Lost after 75'

Of matches leading at 75', share dropped to a draw or loss — late-game collapse risk.

0%0/1
20%2/10
Any Goal in Stoppage Time

Share of matches with any goal in stoppage time (90+) — late-drama frequency.

40%4/10

Set Pieces

Set Piecespenalty / own-goal share
events 10/1010/101010
89%16/18
Open-Play Share90%

Of the team's scored goals, share from open play — non-set-piece scoring quality.

92%11/12
11%2/18
Penalty Share

Of the team's scored goals, share from penalty kicks — penalty dependency.

8%1/12
0%0/18
Opp Own-Goal Bonus

Of the team's scored goals, share that were opponent own-goals — pressure / fortune.

0%0/12
10%1/10
Penalty Conceded Share

Of conceded goals, share from opponent penalties — defensive discipline (lower is better).

6%1/16
10%1/10
Own-Goal Cost

Of conceded goals, share that were the team's own goals — pressure-induced errors (lower is better).

13%2/16

Corners

Cornersset-piece pressure
1010
3.00
Avg Corners For

Average corners won per match — attacking territorial pressure (> 5.5 is heavy).

4/100/10
4.50
Avg Corners Against

Average corners conceded per match — territorial pressure faced (lower is better).

4/100/10
40%
Corner Share

Share of total corners in the team's matches that went to the team — territorial dominance ratio.

4/100/10
0.45
EWMACorners Diff

Smoothed corner differential per match — long-term territorial advantage (±2 is strong).

0.52
25%1/4
Match Corners > 8.5

Share of matches with total corners > 8.5 (Over 8.5 line) — high-tempo encounter signal.

0/0
4/100/10
25%1/4
Match Corners > 9.5

Share of matches with total corners > 9.5 (Over 9.5 line).

0/0
4/100/10
25%1/4
Match Corners > 10.5

Share of matches with total corners > 10.5 (Over 10.5 line) — corner-heavy clashes only.

0/0
4/100/10

Cards & Discipline

Cards & Disciplineyellows, reds & fouls
events 10/1010/101010
1.75
Avg Yellow Cards

Yellow cards picked up per match — discipline signal (lower is better).

4/100/10
0%0/4
Red Card Match Rate

Share of matches with at least one red card to the team — sending-off risk.

0/0
4/100/10
10.50
Avg Fouls

Fouls committed per match — aggression / tactical-foul tendency (lower is calmer).

4/100/10
90%9/10
Match Cards > 3.590%

Share of matches with total card points (both teams, yellow=1 / red=2, 2Y→R counted as 2) > 3.5 — Over 3.5 line.

90%9/10
80%8/10
Match Cards > 4.580%

Share of matches with total card points > 4.5 — Over 4.5 line.

80%8/10
69%
Cards in 2nd Half

Share of card events that occur after halftime — late-discipline tendency.

75%

Venue Edge

Venue EdgePenarol at home · Progreso on the road
55
2.40
PPG at Venue

Points per match at the venue — home team at home, away team away.

0.60
80%4/5
Win Rate40%

Share of sampled matches won.

0%0/5
20%1/5
Loss Rate

Share of sampled matches lost (lower is better).

40%2/5
1.80
Avg Goals Scored

Goals scored per match across the sampled games.

0.60
0.60
Avg Goals Conceded

Goals conceded per match (lower is better).

1.20
80%4/5
Clean Sheet50%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

20%1/5
20%1/5
BTTS30%

Share of matches where both teams scored.

40%2/5
40%2/5
Over 2.530%

Share of venue matches with total goals > 2.5.

20%1/5
2.01
EWMAAttack xG (EWMA)

Smoothed xG created at venue — long-term attacking strength in this fixture's venue context.

1.79
0.59
EWMADefense xG (EWMA)

Smoothed xG conceded at venue — defensive strength in this fixture's venue context (lower is better).

1.55