Primera División - Apertura·
Apertura - 12·05/12/2024·14:00
Progreso
Progreso
LWDWD
1-4
Finished
HT0-1
Defensor Sporting
Defensor Sporting
WDLDW
📍 Parque Abraham Paladino, Montevideo
Last 10Primera División - Apertura
Progreso10matchesSporting10matches

Not in either team's main domestic league — every panel below reflects each team's most recent matches across all competitions.

Coverage varies by leaguetop-tier competitions have richer per-match data; lower divisions and smaller leagues track fewer metrics, so some panels may be sparse or missing entirely.
Pre-match snapshotevery value reflects each team's state going into kick-off — frozen before the match starts, not updated live.

Overall

Overallteam-strength snapshot
1414
ELO

Chess-style strength rating going into kick-off.

1406

Match Outcome

Match Outcomeresults breakdown
1010
2.10
Points per Game

Average points per match across the sampled games (max 3).

1.80
60%
Win Rate

Share of sampled matches won.

50%
30%
Draw Rate

Share of sampled matches that ended level.

30%
10%
Loss Rate

Share of sampled matches lost (lower is better).

20%
20%
Clean Sheet25%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

30%
20%
Failed to Score

Share of matches where the team didn't score (lower is better).

10%

Goal Scoring

Goal Scoringattacking output
1010
2.00
Avg Goals Scored

Goals scored per match across the sampled games.

1.40
80%
Scored > 0.585%

Share of matches where the team scored at least once.

90%
80%
Over 1.575%

Share of matches with total goals > 1.5.

70%
60%
Over 2.555%

Share of matches with total goals > 2.5.

50%
50%
Over 3.535%

Share of matches with total goals > 3.5 — high-scoring affairs.

20%
70%
BTTS65%

Share of matches where both teams scored.

60%
50%
BTTS & Win

Share of matches won while both teams scored — strong attack with a defensive lapse.

20%
50%
Scored Both Halves50%

Share of matches with a goal in both the 1st and 2nd half.

50%

Defensive Solidity

Defensive Soliditygoals & shots conceded
1010
1.40
Avg Goals Conceded

Goals conceded per match (lower is better).

1.00
5.00
Avg Shots Conceded

Total shots faced per match — defensive pressure (> 17.5/match is heavy siege).

1/100/10
5.00
Avg SoT Conceded

Shots on target faced per match — quality of chances given up (> 5.5 is severe).

1/100/10
2.00
Avg Saves

Goalkeeper saves per match (> 4.5 means the keeper is doing heavy lifting).

1/100/10
40%
Save %

Share of opponent shots on target stopped by the keeper.

1/100/10
20%
Clean Sheet25%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

30%

xG Trends

xG TrendsEWMA-smoothed performance
1010
2.32
EWMAxG For

Smoothed expected goals created per match — top attacks hit > 2.5/match, mid-table sits around 1.4.

1.87
1.60
EWMAxG Against

Smoothed expected goals conceded per match — elite defenses < 1.0, struggling sides > 2.0.

1.26
0.72
EWMAxG Diff

Net xG: attack minus defense. ±1 is dominant/poor; ±2 is title-contender or crisis-level.

0.61
-0.36
EWMAFinishing Edge

Goals scored minus xG. +0.3 is clinical, −0.3 is wasteful; ±1 is statistical outlier.

-0.33
0.33
EWMAxG per Shot

Average chance quality per attempt — 0.10 is mid, 0.15+ means the team only shoots from dangerous spots.

0.24

Shots Quality

Shots Qualityvolume & accuracy
1010
7.00
Avg Shots

Total shots per match — pure attacking volume (> 16.5/match is elite).

1/100/10
5.00
Avg Shots on Target

Shots on target per match — strikes the keeper had to handle (> 5.5/match is heavy).

1/100/10
0%
Box Shot %

Share of shots taken from inside the box — chance-selection quality. Mid sits ~60%, elite > 75%.

1/100/10
71%
On-Target %

Share of shots that hit the target — striking accuracy. Mid ~33%, elite > 40%.

1/100/10
57%
Shot Conversion

Goals per shot taken — clinical efficiency. ~10% is league average, > 15% is elite finishing.

1/100/10

Possession & Passing

Possession & Passingball control
1010
55%
Avg Possession

Share of match time with the ball. > 55% is dominant, < 40% is reactive.

1/100/10
0.10
EWMAPossession Trend

Smoothed possession differential — team minus opponent. ±0.1 is normal, ±0.2 is strong dominance.

0.12

HT / FT Patterns

HT / FT Patternshalf-time vs full-time outcomes
1010
30%3/10
Leading at HT40%

Share of matches the team led at halftime — fast-start signal.

50%5/10
40%4/10
Level at HT

Share of matches level at halftime — balanced or low-tempo openings.

50%5/10
30%3/10
Trailing at HT

Share of matches the team trailed at halftime — slow starts (lower is better).

0%0/10
50%5/10
HT/FT Same Outcome35%

Share of matches where the W/D/L state at halftime matched the full-time result — game-state stability.

20%2/10
100%3/3
Led at HT → Won70%

Of matches led at HT, share converted into a full-time win — closing strength.

40%2/5
100%3/3
Trailed at HT → Recovered

Of matches trailing at HT, share rescued to a draw or win — comeback resilience.

0/0

Goal Timing

Goal Timingwhen goals happen
events 10/1010/101010
17%
0-15'22%

Hot starts — share of the team's goals scored in the opening 15 minutes.

27%
11%
16-30'9%

Early control — share scored between the 16th and 30th minute.

7%
6%
31-45'13%

Pre-HT push — share scored in the run-up to halftime.

20%
17%
46-60'12%

Restart wave — share scored in the first 15 minutes after HT.

7%
22%
61-75'24%

Game-state shift — share scored between minutes 61 and 75.

27%
28%
76-90+'21%

Late-game finishers — share scored from the 76th minute onwards (incl. stoppage time).

13%

First-Goal Edge

First-Goal Edgewho strikes first
events 10/1010/101010
33%3/9
Scored First62%

Share of matches where the team opened the scoring — fast-start signal.

90%9/10
67%6/9
Conceded First

Share of matches where the team conceded the opening goal (lower is better).

10%1/10
67%2/3
Win when Scoring First56%

Of matches the team scored first, share converted into a win — closing strength after the opener.

44%4/9
67%4/6
Win when Conceding First83%

Of matches conceding first, share rescued into a win — comeback strength.

100%1/1
7'
Avg Min. 1st Goal Scored

Average minute of the team's first goal — earlier means faster starters.

31'
23'
Avg Min. 1st Goal Conceded

Average minute of the first goal conceded — later is better (defense holds longer).

6'

Late-Game Strength

Late-Game Strengthafter the 75th minute
events 10/1010/101010
50%5/10
Scored after 75'35%

Share of matches with a late goal scored by the team — late finishers signal.

20%2/10
20%2/10
Conceded after 75'

Share of matches the team conceded a late goal — late-game vulnerability (lower is better).

20%2/10
100%2/2
Lead Saved after 75'90%

Of matches leading at 75', share closed out for a win — closing strength.

80%4/5
0%0/2
Lead Lost after 75'

Of matches leading at 75', share dropped to a draw or loss — late-game collapse risk.

20%1/5
40%4/10
Any Goal in Stoppage Time

Share of matches with any goal in stoppage time (90+) — late-drama frequency.

10%1/10

Set Pieces

Set Piecespenalty / own-goal share
events 10/1010/101010
83%15/18
Open-Play Share82%

Of the team's scored goals, share from open play — non-set-piece scoring quality.

80%12/15
17%3/18
Penalty Share

Of the team's scored goals, share from penalty kicks — penalty dependency.

20%3/15
0%0/18
Opp Own-Goal Bonus

Of the team's scored goals, share that were opponent own-goals — pressure / fortune.

0%0/15
13%2/16
Penalty Conceded Share

Of conceded goals, share from opponent penalties — defensive discipline (lower is better).

20%2/10
13%2/16
Own-Goal Cost

Of conceded goals, share that were the team's own goals — pressure-induced errors (lower is better).

0%0/10

Corners

Cornersset-piece pressure
1010
4.00
Avg Corners For

Average corners won per match — attacking territorial pressure (> 5.5 is heavy).

2/100/10
3.50
Avg Corners Against

Average corners conceded per match — territorial pressure faced (lower is better).

2/100/10
53%
Corner Share

Share of total corners in the team's matches that went to the team — territorial dominance ratio.

2/100/10
0.52
EWMACorners Diff

Smoothed corner differential per match — long-term territorial advantage (±2 is strong).

2.03
50%1/2
Match Corners > 8.5

Share of matches with total corners > 8.5 (Over 8.5 line) — high-tempo encounter signal.

0/0
2/100/10
50%1/2
Match Corners > 9.5

Share of matches with total corners > 9.5 (Over 9.5 line).

0/0
2/100/10
50%1/2
Match Corners > 10.5

Share of matches with total corners > 10.5 (Over 10.5 line) — corner-heavy clashes only.

0/0
2/100/10

Cards & Discipline

Cards & Disciplineyellows, reds & fouls
events 10/1010/101010
3.00
Avg Yellow Cards

Yellow cards picked up per match — discipline signal (lower is better).

2/100/10
0%0/2
Red Card Match Rate

Share of matches with at least one red card to the team — sending-off risk.

0/0
2/100/10
7.00
Avg Fouls

Fouls committed per match — aggression / tactical-foul tendency (lower is calmer).

2/100/10
80%8/10
Match Cards > 3.579%

Share of matches with total card points (both teams, yellow=1 / red=2, 2Y→R counted as 2) > 3.5 — Over 3.5 line.

78%7/9
9/10
70%7/10
Match Cards > 4.563%

Share of matches with total card points > 4.5 — Over 4.5 line.

56%5/9
9/10
70%
Cards in 2nd Half

Share of card events that occur after halftime — late-discipline tendency.

62%

Venue Edge

Venue EdgeProgreso at home · Sporting on the road
55
3.00
PPG at Venue

Points per match at the venue — home team at home, away team away.

1.00
100%5/5
Win Rate60%

Share of sampled matches won.

20%1/5
0%0/5
Loss Rate

Share of sampled matches lost (lower is better).

40%2/5
2.80
Avg Goals Scored

Goals scored per match across the sampled games.

1.20
1.40
Avg Goals Conceded

Goals conceded per match (lower is better).

1.20
20%1/5
Clean Sheet20%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

20%1/5
80%4/5
BTTS70%

Share of matches where both teams scored.

60%3/5
80%4/5
Over 2.560%

Share of venue matches with total goals > 2.5.

40%2/5
2.67
EWMAAttack xG (EWMA)

Smoothed xG created at venue — long-term attacking strength in this fixture's venue context.

1.45
1.57
EWMADefense xG (EWMA)

Smoothed xG conceded at venue — defensive strength in this fixture's venue context (lower is better).

1.38