Primera División - Apertura·
Apertura - 8·04/13/2024·14:00
Progreso
Progreso
DWWDW
1-0
Finished
HT1-0
Boston River
Boston River
DWDWW
📍 Parque Abraham Paladino, Montevideo
Last 10Primera División - Apertura
Progreso10matchesRiver10matches

Not in either team's main domestic league — every panel below reflects each team's most recent matches across all competitions.

Coverage varies by leaguetop-tier competitions have richer per-match data; lower divisions and smaller leagues track fewer metrics, so some panels may be sparse or missing entirely.
Pre-match snapshotevery value reflects each team's state going into kick-off — frozen before the match starts, not updated live.

Overall

Overallteam-strength snapshot
1465
ELO

Chess-style strength rating going into kick-off.

1418

Match Outcome

Match Outcomeresults breakdown
1010
2.60
Points per Game

Average points per match across the sampled games (max 3).

1.50
80%
Win Rate

Share of sampled matches won.

40%
20%
Draw Rate

Share of sampled matches that ended level.

30%
0%
Loss Rate

Share of sampled matches lost (lower is better).

30%
20%
Clean Sheet20%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

20%
10%
Failed to Score

Share of matches where the team didn't score (lower is better).

30%

Goal Scoring

Goal Scoringattacking output
1010
2.80
Avg Goals Scored

Goals scored per match across the sampled games.

1.30
90%
Scored > 0.580%

Share of matches where the team scored at least once.

70%
90%
Over 1.585%

Share of matches with total goals > 1.5.

80%
80%
Over 2.565%

Share of matches with total goals > 2.5.

50%
80%
Over 3.550%

Share of matches with total goals > 3.5 — high-scoring affairs.

20%
80%
BTTS70%

Share of matches where both teams scored.

60%
70%
BTTS & Win

Share of matches won while both teams scored — strong attack with a defensive lapse.

30%
70%
Scored Both Halves45%

Share of matches with a goal in both the 1st and 2nd half.

20%

Defensive Solidity

Defensive Soliditygoals & shots conceded
1010
1.40
Avg Goals Conceded

Goals conceded per match (lower is better).

1.20
5.00
Avg Shots Conceded

Total shots faced per match — defensive pressure (> 17.5/match is heavy siege).

7.00
1/104/10
5.00
Avg SoT Conceded

Shots on target faced per match — quality of chances given up (> 5.5 is severe).

1.75
1/104/10
2.00
Avg Saves

Goalkeeper saves per match (> 4.5 means the keeper is doing heavy lifting).

1.50
1/102/10
40%
Save %41%

Share of opponent shots on target stopped by the keeper.

43%
1/104/10
20%
Clean Sheet20%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

20%

xG Trends

xG TrendsEWMA-smoothed performance
1010
2.60
EWMAxG For

Smoothed expected goals created per match — top attacks hit > 2.5/match, mid-table sits around 1.4.

1.60
1.51
EWMAxG Against

Smoothed expected goals conceded per match — elite defenses < 1.0, struggling sides > 2.0.

1.33
1.08
EWMAxG Diff

Net xG: attack minus defense. ±1 is dominant/poor; ±2 is title-contender or crisis-level.

0.27
-0.34
EWMAFinishing Edge

Goals scored minus xG. +0.3 is clinical, −0.3 is wasteful; ±1 is statistical outlier.

-0.29
0.37
EWMAxG per Shot

Average chance quality per attempt — 0.10 is mid, 0.15+ means the team only shoots from dangerous spots.

0.20

Shots Quality

Shots Qualityvolume & accuracy
1010
7.00
Avg Shots

Total shots per match — pure attacking volume (> 16.5/match is elite).

7.50
1/104/10
5.00
Avg Shots on Target

Shots on target per match — strikes the keeper had to handle (> 5.5/match is heavy).

2.75
1/104/10
0%
Box Shot %0%

Share of shots taken from inside the box — chance-selection quality. Mid sits ~60%, elite > 75%.

0%
1/104/10
71%
On-Target %54%

Share of shots that hit the target — striking accuracy. Mid ~33%, elite > 40%.

37%
1/104/10
57%
Shot Conversion39%

Goals per shot taken — clinical efficiency. ~10% is league average, > 15% is elite finishing.

20%
1/104/10

Possession & Passing

Possession & Passingball control
1010
55%
Avg Possession

Share of match time with the ball. > 55% is dominant, < 40% is reactive.

49%
1/101/10
0.10
EWMAPossession Trend

Smoothed possession differential — team minus opponent. ±0.1 is normal, ±0.2 is strong dominance.

-0.04

HT / FT Patterns

HT / FT Patternshalf-time vs full-time outcomes
1010
50%5/10
Leading at HT35%

Share of matches the team led at halftime — fast-start signal.

20%2/10
20%2/10
Level at HT

Share of matches level at halftime — balanced or low-tempo openings.

60%6/10
30%3/10
Trailing at HT

Share of matches the team trailed at halftime — slow starts (lower is better).

20%2/10
60%6/10
HT/FT Same Outcome40%

Share of matches where the W/D/L state at halftime matched the full-time result — game-state stability.

20%2/10
100%5/5
Led at HT → Won75%

Of matches led at HT, share converted into a full-time win — closing strength.

50%1/2
100%3/3
Trailed at HT → Recovered100%

Of matches trailing at HT, share rescued to a draw or win — comeback resilience.

100%2/2

Goal Timing

Goal Timingwhen goals happen
events 10/1010/101010
12%
0-15'12%

Hot starts — share of the team's goals scored in the opening 15 minutes.

13%
15%
16-30'8%

Early control — share scored between the 16th and 30th minute.

0%
12%
31-45'12%

Pre-HT push — share scored in the run-up to halftime.

13%
15%
46-60'14%

Restart wave — share scored in the first 15 minutes after HT.

13%
15%
61-75'18%

Game-state shift — share scored between minutes 61 and 75.

20%
31%
76-90+'35%

Late-game finishers — share scored from the 76th minute onwards (incl. stoppage time).

40%

First-Goal Edge

First-Goal Edgewho strikes first
events 10/1010/101010
33%3/9
Scored First44%

Share of matches where the team opened the scoring — fast-start signal.

56%5/9
67%6/9
Conceded First

Share of matches where the team conceded the opening goal (lower is better).

44%4/9
100%3/3
Win when Scoring First90%

Of matches the team scored first, share converted into a win — closing strength after the opener.

80%4/5
83%5/6
Win when Conceding First42%

Of matches conceding first, share rescued into a win — comeback strength.

0%0/4
11'
Avg Min. 1st Goal Scored

Average minute of the team's first goal — earlier means faster starters.

35'
7'
Avg Min. 1st Goal Conceded

Average minute of the first goal conceded — later is better (defense holds longer).

36'

Late-Game Strength

Late-Game Strengthafter the 75th minute
events 10/1010/101010
80%8/10
Scored after 75'65%

Share of matches with a late goal scored by the team — late finishers signal.

50%5/10
20%2/10
Conceded after 75'

Share of matches the team conceded a late goal — late-game vulnerability (lower is better).

30%3/10
100%4/4
Lead Saved after 75'100%

Of matches leading at 75', share closed out for a win — closing strength.

100%3/3
0%0/4
Lead Lost after 75'

Of matches leading at 75', share dropped to a draw or loss — late-game collapse risk.

0%0/3
30%3/10
Any Goal in Stoppage Time

Share of matches with any goal in stoppage time (90+) — late-drama frequency.

10%1/10

Set Pieces

Set Piecespenalty / own-goal share
events 10/1010/101010
92%24/26
Open-Play Share86%

Of the team's scored goals, share from open play — non-set-piece scoring quality.

80%12/15
8%2/26
Penalty Share

Of the team's scored goals, share from penalty kicks — penalty dependency.

13%2/15
0%0/26
Opp Own-Goal Bonus

Of the team's scored goals, share that were opponent own-goals — pressure / fortune.

7%1/15
6%1/16
Penalty Conceded Share

Of conceded goals, share from opponent penalties — defensive discipline (lower is better).

9%1/11
13%2/16
Own-Goal Cost

Of conceded goals, share that were the team's own goals — pressure-induced errors (lower is better).

0%0/11

Corners

Cornersset-piece pressure
1010
4.00
Avg Corners For

Average corners won per match — attacking territorial pressure (> 5.5 is heavy).

5.75
2/104/10
3.50
Avg Corners Against

Average corners conceded per match — territorial pressure faced (lower is better).

6.25
2/104/10
53%
Corner Share51%

Share of total corners in the team's matches that went to the team — territorial dominance ratio.

48%
2/104/10
0.52
EWMACorners Diff

Smoothed corner differential per match — long-term territorial advantage (±2 is strong).

1.07
50%1/2
Match Corners > 8.563%

Share of matches with total corners > 8.5 (Over 8.5 line) — high-tempo encounter signal.

75%3/4
2/104/10
50%1/2
Match Corners > 9.563%

Share of matches with total corners > 9.5 (Over 9.5 line).

75%3/4
2/104/10
50%1/2
Match Corners > 10.550%

Share of matches with total corners > 10.5 (Over 10.5 line) — corner-heavy clashes only.

50%2/4
2/104/10

Cards & Discipline

Cards & Disciplineyellows, reds & fouls
events 10/1010/101010
3.00
Avg Yellow Cards

Yellow cards picked up per match — discipline signal (lower is better).

3.25
2/104/10
0%0/2
Red Card Match Rate

Share of matches with at least one red card to the team — sending-off risk.

25%1/4
2/104/10
7.00
Avg Fouls

Fouls committed per match — aggression / tactical-foul tendency (lower is calmer).

12.50
2/104/10
88%7/8
Match Cards > 3.588%

Share of matches with total card points (both teams, yellow=1 / red=2, 2Y→R counted as 2) > 3.5 — Over 3.5 line.

88%7/8
8/108/10
50%4/8
Match Cards > 4.563%

Share of matches with total card points > 4.5 — Over 4.5 line.

75%6/8
8/108/10
69%
Cards in 2nd Half

Share of card events that occur after halftime — late-discipline tendency.

71%

Venue Edge

Venue EdgeProgreso at home · River on the road
46
3.00
PPG at Venue

Points per match at the venue — home team at home, away team away.

2.00
100%4/4
Win Rate83%

Share of sampled matches won.

67%4/6
0%0/4
Loss Rate

Share of sampled matches lost (lower is better).

33%2/6
3.50
Avg Goals Scored

Goals scored per match across the sampled games.

1.67
2.00
Avg Goals Conceded

Goals conceded per match (lower is better).

1.33
0%0/4
Clean Sheet8%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

17%1/6
100%4/4
BTTS83%

Share of matches where both teams scored.

67%4/6
100%4/4
Over 2.583%

Share of venue matches with total goals > 2.5.

67%4/6
2.68
EWMAAttack xG (EWMA)

Smoothed xG created at venue — long-term attacking strength in this fixture's venue context.

1.76
1.65
EWMADefense xG (EWMA)

Smoothed xG conceded at venue — defensive strength in this fixture's venue context (lower is better).

1.55