Primera División - Apertura·
Apertura - 4·03/10/2024·15:30
Progreso
Progreso
WWWWW
4-3
Finished
HT1-1
Racing Montevideo
Racing Montevideo
WLWDL
📍 Parque Abraham Paladino, Montevideo
Last 10Primera División - Apertura
Progreso10matchesMontevideo10matches

Not in either team's main domestic league — every panel below reflects each team's most recent matches across all competitions.

Coverage varies by leaguetop-tier competitions have richer per-match data; lower divisions and smaller leagues track fewer metrics, so some panels may be sparse or missing entirely.
Pre-match snapshotevery value reflects each team's state going into kick-off — frozen before the match starts, not updated live.

Overall

Overallteam-strength snapshot
1399
ELO

Chess-style strength rating going into kick-off.

1338

Match Outcome

Match Outcomeresults breakdown
1010
2.40
Points per Game

Average points per match across the sampled games (max 3).

2.00
70%
Win Rate

Share of sampled matches won.

60%
30%
Draw Rate

Share of sampled matches that ended level.

20%
0%
Loss Rate

Share of sampled matches lost (lower is better).

20%
20%
Clean Sheet35%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

50%
0%
Failed to Score

Share of matches where the team didn't score (lower is better).

10%

Goal Scoring

Goal Scoringattacking output
1010
2.30
Avg Goals Scored

Goals scored per match across the sampled games.

1.30
100%
Scored > 0.595%

Share of matches where the team scored at least once.

90%
100%
Over 1.575%

Share of matches with total goals > 1.5.

50%
60%
Over 2.545%

Share of matches with total goals > 2.5.

30%
50%
Over 3.535%

Share of matches with total goals > 3.5 — high-scoring affairs.

20%
80%
BTTS60%

Share of matches where both teams scored.

40%
50%
BTTS & Win

Share of matches won while both teams scored — strong attack with a defensive lapse.

10%
40%
Scored Both Halves30%

Share of matches with a goal in both the 1st and 2nd half.

20%

Defensive Solidity

Defensive Soliditygoals & shots conceded
1010
1.10
Avg Goals Conceded

Goals conceded per match (lower is better).

0.80
20%
Clean Sheet35%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

50%

xG Trends

xG TrendsEWMA-smoothed performance
1010
1.98
EWMAxG For

Smoothed expected goals created per match — top attacks hit > 2.5/match, mid-table sits around 1.4.

1.44
1.17
EWMAxG Against

Smoothed expected goals conceded per match — elite defenses < 1.0, struggling sides > 2.0.

1.15
0.80
EWMAxG Diff

Net xG: attack minus defense. ±1 is dominant/poor; ±2 is title-contender or crisis-level.

0.29
0.21
EWMAFinishing Edge

Goals scored minus xG. +0.3 is clinical, −0.3 is wasteful; ±1 is statistical outlier.

-0.25

HT / FT Patterns

HT / FT Patternshalf-time vs full-time outcomes
1010
40%4/10
Leading at HT30%

Share of matches the team led at halftime — fast-start signal.

20%2/10
30%3/10
Level at HT

Share of matches level at halftime — balanced or low-tempo openings.

70%7/10
30%3/10
Trailing at HT

Share of matches the team trailed at halftime — slow starts (lower is better).

10%1/10
60%6/10
HT/FT Same Outcome40%

Share of matches where the W/D/L state at halftime matched the full-time result — game-state stability.

20%2/10
100%4/4
Led at HT → Won75%

Of matches led at HT, share converted into a full-time win — closing strength.

50%1/2
100%3/3
Trailed at HT → Recovered100%

Of matches trailing at HT, share rescued to a draw or win — comeback resilience.

100%1/1

Goal Timing

Goal Timingwhen goals happen
events 10/1010/101010
11%
0-15'5%

Hot starts — share of the team's goals scored in the opening 15 minutes.

0%
14%
16-30'11%

Early control — share scored between the 16th and 30th minute.

8%
11%
31-45'14%

Pre-HT push — share scored in the run-up to halftime.

17%
11%
46-60'10%

Restart wave — share scored in the first 15 minutes after HT.

8%
14%
61-75'24%

Game-state shift — share scored between minutes 61 and 75.

33%
39%
76-90+'36%

Late-game finishers — share scored from the 76th minute onwards (incl. stoppage time).

33%

First-Goal Edge

First-Goal Edgewho strikes first
events 10/1010/101010
40%4/10
Scored First50%

Share of matches where the team opened the scoring — fast-start signal.

60%6/10
60%6/10
Conceded First

Share of matches where the team conceded the opening goal (lower is better).

40%4/10
100%4/4
Win when Scoring First92%

Of matches the team scored first, share converted into a win — closing strength after the opener.

83%5/6
50%3/6
Win when Conceding First38%

Of matches conceding first, share rescued into a win — comeback strength.

25%1/4
24'
Avg Min. 1st Goal Scored

Average minute of the team's first goal — earlier means faster starters.

60'
13'
Avg Min. 1st Goal Conceded

Average minute of the first goal conceded — later is better (defense holds longer).

48'

Late-Game Strength

Late-Game Strengthafter the 75th minute
events 10/1010/101010
70%7/10
Scored after 75'55%

Share of matches with a late goal scored by the team — late finishers signal.

40%4/10
20%2/10
Conceded after 75'

Share of matches the team conceded a late goal — late-game vulnerability (lower is better).

20%2/10
100%5/5
Lead Saved after 75'90%

Of matches leading at 75', share closed out for a win — closing strength.

80%4/5
0%0/5
Lead Lost after 75'

Of matches leading at 75', share dropped to a draw or loss — late-game collapse risk.

20%1/5
20%2/10
Any Goal in Stoppage Time

Share of matches with any goal in stoppage time (90+) — late-drama frequency.

10%1/10

Set Pieces

Set Piecespenalty / own-goal share
events 10/1010/101010
75%21/28
Open-Play Share83%

Of the team's scored goals, share from open play — non-set-piece scoring quality.

92%11/12
25%7/28
Penalty Share

Of the team's scored goals, share from penalty kicks — penalty dependency.

8%1/12
0%0/28
Opp Own-Goal Bonus

Of the team's scored goals, share that were opponent own-goals — pressure / fortune.

0%0/12
27%4/15
Penalty Conceded Share

Of conceded goals, share from opponent penalties — defensive discipline (lower is better).

11%1/9
0%0/15
Own-Goal Cost

Of conceded goals, share that were the team's own goals — pressure-induced errors (lower is better).

11%1/9

Corners

Cornersset-piece pressure
1010
0.00
Avg Corners For

Average corners won per match — attacking territorial pressure (> 5.5 is heavy).

1/100/10
0.00
Avg Corners Against

Average corners conceded per match — territorial pressure faced (lower is better).

1/100/10
0.00
EWMACorners Diff

Smoothed corner differential per match — long-term territorial advantage (±2 is strong).

0%0/1
Match Corners > 8.5

Share of matches with total corners > 8.5 (Over 8.5 line) — high-tempo encounter signal.

0/0
1/100/10
0%0/1
Match Corners > 9.5

Share of matches with total corners > 9.5 (Over 9.5 line).

0/0
1/100/10
0%0/1
Match Corners > 10.5

Share of matches with total corners > 10.5 (Over 10.5 line) — corner-heavy clashes only.

0/0
1/100/10

Cards & Discipline

Cards & Disciplineyellows, reds & fouls
events 10/1010/101010
5.00
Avg Yellow Cards

Yellow cards picked up per match — discipline signal (lower is better).

1/100/10
0%0/1
Red Card Match Rate

Share of matches with at least one red card to the team — sending-off risk.

0/0
1/100/10
0.00
Avg Fouls

Fouls committed per match — aggression / tactical-foul tendency (lower is calmer).

1/100/10
80%4/5
Match Cards > 3.590%

Share of matches with total card points (both teams, yellow=1 / red=2, 2Y→R counted as 2) > 3.5 — Over 3.5 line.

100%10/10
5/10
40%2/5
Match Cards > 4.555%

Share of matches with total card points > 4.5 — Over 4.5 line.

70%7/10
5/10
70%
Cards in 2nd Half

Share of card events that occur after halftime — late-discipline tendency.

72%

Venue Edge

Venue EdgeProgreso at home · Montevideo on the road
44
2.00
PPG at Venue

Points per match at the venue — home team at home, away team away.

2.50
50%2/4
Win Rate63%

Share of sampled matches won.

75%3/4
0%0/4
Loss Rate

Share of sampled matches lost (lower is better).

0%0/4
1.75
Avg Goals Scored

Goals scored per match across the sampled games.

1.50
1.25
Avg Goals Conceded

Goals conceded per match (lower is better).

0.75
0%0/4
Clean Sheet25%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

50%2/4
100%4/4
BTTS75%

Share of matches where both teams scored.

50%2/4
50%2/4
Over 2.538%

Share of venue matches with total goals > 2.5.

25%1/4
1.42
EWMAAttack xG (EWMA)

Smoothed xG created at venue — long-term attacking strength in this fixture's venue context.

1.28
0.97
EWMADefense xG (EWMA)

Smoothed xG conceded at venue — defensive strength in this fixture's venue context (lower is better).

1.30