World Cup - Qualification Asia·
2nd Round - Group H - 4·03/26/2024·15:00
Bahrain
Bahrain
WLWWL
3-0
Finished
HT3-0
Nepal
Nepal
LLLLW
📍 Bahrain National Stadium, Riffa
Last 10World Cup - Qualification Asia
Bahrain10matchesNepal10matches

Not in either team's main domestic league — every panel below reflects each team's most recent matches across all competitions.

Coverage varies by leaguetop-tier competitions have richer per-match data; lower divisions and smaller leagues track fewer metrics, so some panels may be sparse or missing entirely.
Pre-match snapshotevery value reflects each team's state going into kick-off — frozen before the match starts, not updated live.

Overall

Overallteam-strength snapshot
1518
ELO

Chess-style strength rating going into kick-off.

1386

Match Outcome

Match Outcomeresults breakdown
1010
1.50
Points per Game

Average points per match across the sampled games (max 3).

0.80
50%
Win Rate

Share of sampled matches won.

20%
0%
Draw Rate

Share of sampled matches that ended level.

20%
50%
Loss Rate

Share of sampled matches lost (lower is better).

60%
50%
Clean Sheet40%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

30%
30%
Failed to Score

Share of matches where the team didn't score (lower is better).

60%

Goal Scoring

Goal Scoringattacking output
1010
1.20
Avg Goals Scored

Goals scored per match across the sampled games.

0.40
70%
Scored > 0.555%

Share of matches where the team scored at least once.

40%
70%
Over 1.565%

Share of matches with total goals > 1.5.

60%
30%
Over 2.530%

Share of matches with total goals > 2.5.

30%
30%
Over 3.530%

Share of matches with total goals > 3.5 — high-scoring affairs.

30%
20%
BTTS20%

Share of matches where both teams scored.

20%
0%
BTTS & Win

Share of matches won while both teams scored — strong attack with a defensive lapse.

0%
20%
Scored Both Halves10%

Share of matches with a goal in both the 1st and 2nd half.

0%

Defensive Solidity

Defensive Soliditygoals & shots conceded
1010
1.20
Avg Goals Conceded

Goals conceded per match (lower is better).

2.00
8.83
Avg Shots Conceded

Total shots faced per match — defensive pressure (> 17.5/match is heavy siege).

6/100/10
3.33
Avg SoT Conceded

Shots on target faced per match — quality of chances given up (> 5.5 is severe).

6/100/10
2.00
Avg Saves

Goalkeeper saves per match (> 4.5 means the keeper is doing heavy lifting).

6/100/10
60%
Save %

Share of opponent shots on target stopped by the keeper.

6/100/10
50%
Clean Sheet40%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

30%

xG Trends

xG TrendsEWMA-smoothed performance
1010
2.24
EWMAxG For

Smoothed expected goals created per match — top attacks hit > 2.5/match, mid-table sits around 1.4.

0.50
1.45
EWMAxG Against

Smoothed expected goals conceded per match — elite defenses < 1.0, struggling sides > 2.0.

2.85
0.79
EWMAxG Diff

Net xG: attack minus defense. ±1 is dominant/poor; ±2 is title-contender or crisis-level.

-2.35
-0.51
EWMAFinishing Edge

Goals scored minus xG. +0.3 is clinical, −0.3 is wasteful; ±1 is statistical outlier.

-0.06
0.25
EWMAxG per Shot

Average chance quality per attempt — 0.10 is mid, 0.15+ means the team only shoots from dangerous spots.

Shots Quality

Shots Qualityvolume & accuracy
1010
7.67
Avg Shots

Total shots per match — pure attacking volume (> 16.5/match is elite).

6/100/10
2.17
Avg Shots on Target

Shots on target per match — strikes the keeper had to handle (> 5.5/match is heavy).

6/100/10
2.83
Avg Shots in Box

Shots taken from inside the penalty area — proximity to goal (> 8.5/match means consistent box presence).

6/100/10
37%
Box Shot %

Share of shots taken from inside the box — chance-selection quality. Mid sits ~60%, elite > 75%.

6/100/10
28%
On-Target %

Share of shots that hit the target — striking accuracy. Mid ~33%, elite > 40%.

6/100/10
9%
Shot Conversion

Goals per shot taken — clinical efficiency. ~10% is league average, > 15% is elite finishing.

6/100/10

Possession & Passing

Possession & Passingball control
1010
44%
Avg Possession

Share of match time with the ball. > 55% is dominant, < 40% is reactive.

6/100/10
79%
Pass Accuracy

Share of passes completed — distribution quality. Mid sits ~80%, elite > 88%.

6/100/10
428.00
Avg Passes

Total passes attempted per match — distribution volume. Top sides > 550, bottom sides < 400.

6/100/10
-0.08
EWMAPossession Trend

Smoothed possession differential — team minus opponent. ±0.1 is normal, ±0.2 is strong dominance.

HT / FT Patterns

HT / FT Patternshalf-time vs full-time outcomes
1010
40%4/10
Leading at HT20%

Share of matches the team led at halftime — fast-start signal.

0%0/9
10%1/10
Level at HT

Share of matches level at halftime — balanced or low-tempo openings.

67%6/9
50%5/10
Trailing at HT

Share of matches the team trailed at halftime — slow starts (lower is better).

33%3/9
90%9/10
HT/FT Same Outcome62%

Share of matches where the W/D/L state at halftime matched the full-time result — game-state stability.

33%3/9
100%4/4
Led at HT → Won

Of matches led at HT, share converted into a full-time win — closing strength.

0/0
0%0/5
Trailed at HT → Recovered17%

Of matches trailing at HT, share rescued to a draw or win — comeback resilience.

33%1/3

Goal Timing

Goal Timingwhen goals happen
events 10/109/101010
17%
0-15'8%

Hot starts — share of the team's goals scored in the opening 15 minutes.

0%
8%
16-30'4%

Early control — share scored between the 16th and 30th minute.

0%
42%
31-45'21%

Pre-HT push — share scored in the run-up to halftime.

0%
8%
46-60'42%

Restart wave — share scored in the first 15 minutes after HT.

75%
0%
61-75'0%

Game-state shift — share scored between minutes 61 and 75.

0%
25%
76-90+'25%

Late-game finishers — share scored from the 76th minute onwards (incl. stoppage time).

25%

First-Goal Edge

First-Goal Edgewho strikes first
events 10/109/101010
70%7/10
Scored First52%

Share of matches where the team opened the scoring — fast-start signal.

33%3/9
30%3/10
Conceded First

Share of matches where the team conceded the opening goal (lower is better).

67%6/9
71%5/7
Win when Scoring First69%

Of matches the team scored first, share converted into a win — closing strength after the opener.

67%2/3
0%0/3
Win when Conceding First0%

Of matches conceding first, share rescued into a win — comeback strength.

0%0/6
36'
Avg Min. 1st Goal Scored

Average minute of the team's first goal — earlier means faster starters.

64'
35'
Avg Min. 1st Goal Conceded

Average minute of the first goal conceded — later is better (defense holds longer).

44'

Late-Game Strength

Late-Game Strengthafter the 75th minute
events 10/109/101010
20%2/10
Scored after 75'16%

Share of matches with a late goal scored by the team — late finishers signal.

11%1/9
10%1/10
Conceded after 75'

Share of matches the team conceded a late goal — late-game vulnerability (lower is better).

33%3/9
100%3/3
Lead Saved after 75'75%

Of matches leading at 75', share closed out for a win — closing strength.

50%1/2
0%0/3
Lead Lost after 75'

Of matches leading at 75', share dropped to a draw or loss — late-game collapse risk.

50%1/2
10%1/10
Any Goal in Stoppage Time

Share of matches with any goal in stoppage time (90+) — late-drama frequency.

0%0/9

Set Pieces

Set Piecespenalty / own-goal share
events 10/109/101010
75%9/12
Open-Play Share75%

Of the team's scored goals, share from open play — non-set-piece scoring quality.

75%3/4
8%1/12
Penalty Share

Of the team's scored goals, share from penalty kicks — penalty dependency.

25%1/4
17%2/12
Opp Own-Goal Bonus

Of the team's scored goals, share that were opponent own-goals — pressure / fortune.

0%0/4
8%1/12
Penalty Conceded Share

Of conceded goals, share from opponent penalties — defensive discipline (lower is better).

13%2/15
17%2/12
Own-Goal Cost

Of conceded goals, share that were the team's own goals — pressure-induced errors (lower is better).

0%0/15

Corners

Cornersset-piece pressure
1010
2.86
Avg Corners For

Average corners won per match — attacking territorial pressure (> 5.5 is heavy).

3.00
7/101/10
3.57
Avg Corners Against

Average corners conceded per match — territorial pressure faced (lower is better).

5.00
7/101/10
44%
Corner Share41%

Share of total corners in the team's matches that went to the team — territorial dominance ratio.

38%
7/101/10
-1.47
EWMACorners Diff

Smoothed corner differential per match — long-term territorial advantage (±2 is strong).

14%1/7
Match Corners > 8.57%

Share of matches with total corners > 8.5 (Over 8.5 line) — high-tempo encounter signal.

0%0/1
7/101/10
14%1/7
Match Corners > 9.57%

Share of matches with total corners > 9.5 (Over 9.5 line).

0%0/1
7/101/10
0%0/7
Match Corners > 10.50%

Share of matches with total corners > 10.5 (Over 10.5 line) — corner-heavy clashes only.

0%0/1
7/101/10

Cards & Discipline

Cards & Disciplineyellows, reds & fouls
events 10/109/101010
1.00
Avg Yellow Cards

Yellow cards picked up per match — discipline signal (lower is better).

2.00
7/101/10
0%0/7
Red Card Match Rate

Share of matches with at least one red card to the team — sending-off risk.

0%0/1
7/101/10
6.57
Avg Fouls

Fouls committed per match — aggression / tactical-foul tendency (lower is calmer).

0.00
7/101/10
38%3/8
Match Cards > 3.538%

Share of matches with total card points (both teams, yellow=1 / red=2, 2Y→R counted as 2) > 3.5 — Over 3.5 line.

38%3/8
8/108/10
13%1/8
Match Cards > 4.525%

Share of matches with total card points > 4.5 — Over 4.5 line.

38%3/8
8/108/10
63%
Cards in 2nd Half

Share of card events that occur after halftime — late-discipline tendency.

58%

Venue Edge

Venue EdgeBahrain at home · Nepal on the road
65
1.00
PPG at Venue

Points per match at the venue — home team at home, away team away.

0.80
33%2/6
Win Rate27%

Share of sampled matches won.

20%1/5
67%4/6
Loss Rate

Share of sampled matches lost (lower is better).

60%3/5
0.50
Avg Goals Scored

Goals scored per match across the sampled games.

0.40
1.50
Avg Goals Conceded

Goals conceded per match (lower is better).

2.00
33%2/6
Clean Sheet37%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

40%2/5
17%1/6
BTTS18%

Share of matches where both teams scored.

20%1/5
17%1/6
Over 2.528%

Share of venue matches with total goals > 2.5.

40%2/5
0.94
EWMAAttack xG (EWMA)

Smoothed xG created at venue — long-term attacking strength in this fixture's venue context.

0.75
2.20
EWMADefense xG (EWMA)

Smoothed xG conceded at venue — defensive strength in this fixture's venue context (lower is better).

2.86