LLDWL
1-0
Finished
WDLDL
📍 Stadio Comunale, Ascona
Not in either team's main domestic league — every panel below reflects each team's most recent matches across all competitions.
Chess-style strength rating going into kick-off.
Average points per match across the sampled games (max 3).
Share of sampled matches won.
Share of sampled matches that ended level.
Share of sampled matches lost (lower is better).
Share of matches with no goals conceded.
Share of matches where the team didn't score (lower is better).
Goals scored per match across the sampled games.
Share of matches where the team scored at least once.
Share of matches with total goals > 1.5.
Share of matches with total goals > 2.5.
Share of matches with total goals > 3.5 — high-scoring affairs.
Share of matches where both teams scored.
Share of matches won while both teams scored — strong attack with a defensive lapse.
Goals conceded per match (lower is better).
Share of matches with no goals conceded.
Smoothed expected goals created per match — top attacks hit > 2.5/match, mid-table sits around 1.4.
Smoothed expected goals conceded per match — elite defenses < 1.0, struggling sides > 2.0.
Net xG: attack minus defense. ±1 is dominant/poor; ±2 is title-contender or crisis-level.
Goals scored minus xG. +0.3 is clinical, −0.3 is wasteful; ±1 is statistical outlier.
Points per match at the venue — home team at home, away team away.
Share of sampled matches won.
Share of sampled matches lost (lower is better).
Goals scored per match across the sampled games.
Goals conceded per match (lower is better).
Share of matches with no goals conceded.
Share of matches where both teams scored.
Share of venue matches with total goals > 2.5.