Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar·
Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar - 3·08/16/2025·07:00
Diefflen
Diefflen
LDLLW
3-1
Finished
HT0-1
Eppelborn
Eppelborn
LDLWD
📍 Stadion Babelsberg, Dillingen
Last 10Oberliga - Rheinland-Pfalz / Saar
Diefflen10matchesEppelborn10matches

Season just started — only a handful of league matches played so far. Every panel below reflects each team's most recent matches across all competitions.

Coverage varies by leaguetop-tier competitions have richer per-match data; lower divisions and smaller leagues track fewer metrics, so some panels may be sparse or missing entirely.
Pre-match snapshotevery value reflects each team's state going into kick-off — frozen before the match starts, not updated live.

Overall

Overallteam-strength snapshot
39%
Overall

Composite team strength — average of LTQ and Hype.

40%
1287
ELO

Chess-style strength rating going into kick-off.

1241
48%
LTQ

Long-term quality across all competitions.

44%
30%
Hype

Short-term fixture buzz / excitement signal.

35%
5.22
Momentum

Recent goal-scoring trend (weighted goals signal).

3.61

Match Outcome

Match Outcomeresults breakdown
1010
1.10
Points per Game

Average points per match across the sampled games (max 3).

0.90
20%
Win Rate

Share of sampled matches won.

20%
50%
Draw Rate

Share of sampled matches that ended level.

30%
30%
Loss Rate

Share of sampled matches lost (lower is better).

50%
10%
Clean Sheet15%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

20%
10%
Failed to Score

Share of matches where the team didn't score (lower is better).

20%

Goal Scoring

Goal Scoringattacking output
1010
2.10
Avg Goals Scored

Goals scored per match across the sampled games.

1.10
90%
Scored > 0.585%

Share of matches where the team scored at least once.

80%
100%
Over 1.595%

Share of matches with total goals > 1.5.

90%
70%
Over 2.570%

Share of matches with total goals > 2.5.

70%
70%
Over 3.565%

Share of matches with total goals > 3.5 — high-scoring affairs.

60%
80%
BTTS70%

Share of matches where both teams scored.

60%
10%
BTTS & Win

Share of matches won while both teams scored — strong attack with a defensive lapse.

0%
40%
Scored Both Halves35%

Share of matches with a goal in both the 1st and 2nd half.

30%

Defensive Solidity

Defensive Soliditygoals & shots conceded
1010
2.40
Avg Goals Conceded

Goals conceded per match (lower is better).

2.50
10%
Clean Sheet15%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

20%

xG Trends

xG TrendsEWMA-smoothed performance
1010
2.34
EWMAxG For

Smoothed expected goals created per match — top attacks hit > 2.5/match, mid-table sits around 1.4.

1.34
3.14
EWMAxG Against

Smoothed expected goals conceded per match — elite defenses < 1.0, struggling sides > 2.0.

3.10
-0.80
EWMAxG Diff

Net xG: attack minus defense. ±1 is dominant/poor; ±2 is title-contender or crisis-level.

-1.77
-0.42
EWMAFinishing Edge

Goals scored minus xG. +0.3 is clinical, −0.3 is wasteful; ±1 is statistical outlier.

-0.18

HT / FT Patterns

HT / FT Patternshalf-time vs full-time outcomes
1010
60%6/10
Leading at HT45%

Share of matches the team led at halftime — fast-start signal.

30%3/10
20%2/10
Level at HT

Share of matches level at halftime — balanced or low-tempo openings.

20%2/10
20%2/10
Trailing at HT

Share of matches the team trailed at halftime — slow starts (lower is better).

50%5/10
50%5/10
HT/FT Same Outcome70%

Share of matches where the W/D/L state at halftime matched the full-time result — game-state stability.

90%9/10
33%2/6
Led at HT → Won50%

Of matches led at HT, share converted into a full-time win — closing strength.

67%2/3
0%0/2
Trailed at HT → Recovered0%

Of matches trailing at HT, share rescued to a draw or win — comeback resilience.

0%0/5

Goal Timing

Goal Timingwhen goals happen
events 8/108/101010
11%
0-15'12%

Hot starts — share of the team's goals scored in the opening 15 minutes.

13%
33%
16-30'23%

Early control — share scored between the 16th and 30th minute.

13%
28%
31-45'33%

Pre-HT push — share scored in the run-up to halftime.

38%
6%
46-60'15%

Restart wave — share scored in the first 15 minutes after HT.

25%
0%
61-75'0%

Game-state shift — share scored between minutes 61 and 75.

0%
22%
76-90+'17%

Late-game finishers — share scored from the 76th minute onwards (incl. stoppage time).

13%

First-Goal Edge

First-Goal Edgewho strikes first
events 8/108/101010
88%7/8
Scored First63%

Share of matches where the team opened the scoring — fast-start signal.

38%3/8
13%1/8
Conceded First

Share of matches where the team conceded the opening goal (lower is better).

63%5/8
29%2/7
Win when Scoring First48%

Of matches the team scored first, share converted into a win — closing strength after the opener.

67%2/3
0%0/1
Win when Conceding First0%

Of matches conceding first, share rescued into a win — comeback strength.

0%0/5
29'
Avg Min. 1st Goal Scored

Average minute of the team's first goal — earlier means faster starters.

28'
9'
Avg Min. 1st Goal Conceded

Average minute of the first goal conceded — later is better (defense holds longer).

15'

Late-Game Strength

Late-Game Strengthafter the 75th minute
events 8/108/101010
50%4/8
Scored after 75'31%

Share of matches with a late goal scored by the team — late finishers signal.

13%1/8
50%4/8
Conceded after 75'

Share of matches the team conceded a late goal — late-game vulnerability (lower is better).

38%3/8
50%2/4
Lead Saved after 75'75%

Of matches leading at 75', share closed out for a win — closing strength.

100%2/2
50%2/4
Lead Lost after 75'

Of matches leading at 75', share dropped to a draw or loss — late-game collapse risk.

0%0/2
38%3/8
Any Goal in Stoppage Time

Share of matches with any goal in stoppage time (90+) — late-drama frequency.

13%1/8

Set Pieces

Set Piecespenalty / own-goal share
events 8/108/101010
89%16/18
Open-Play Share94%

Of the team's scored goals, share from open play — non-set-piece scoring quality.

100%8/8
11%2/18
Penalty Share

Of the team's scored goals, share from penalty kicks — penalty dependency.

0%0/8
0%0/18
Opp Own-Goal Bonus

Of the team's scored goals, share that were opponent own-goals — pressure / fortune.

0%0/8
0%0/19
Penalty Conceded Share

Of conceded goals, share from opponent penalties — defensive discipline (lower is better).

0%0/22
0%0/19
Own-Goal Cost

Of conceded goals, share that were the team's own goals — pressure-induced errors (lower is better).

0%0/22

Venue Edge

Venue EdgeDiefflen at home · Eppelborn on the road
46
1.25
PPG at Venue

Points per match at the venue — home team at home, away team away.

0.83
25%1/4
Win Rate21%

Share of sampled matches won.

17%1/6
25%1/4
Loss Rate

Share of sampled matches lost (lower is better).

50%3/6
2.50
Avg Goals Scored

Goals scored per match across the sampled games.

1.17
2.00
Avg Goals Conceded

Goals conceded per match (lower is better).

2.50
25%1/4
Clean Sheet21%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

17%1/6
75%3/4
BTTS71%

Share of matches where both teams scored.

67%4/6
75%3/4
Over 2.579%

Share of venue matches with total goals > 2.5.

83%5/6
2.65
EWMAAttack xG (EWMA)

Smoothed xG created at venue — long-term attacking strength in this fixture's venue context.

1.07
2.44
EWMADefense xG (EWMA)

Smoothed xG conceded at venue — defensive strength in this fixture's venue context (lower is better).

3.72