Liga Nacional·
Apertura - 3·08/03/2025·05:00 PM
Aurora
Aurora
LWDWW
1-1
Finished
HT0-0
Marquense
Marquense
DLLDL
📍 Estadio Guillermo Slowing, Amatitlán
Last 10Liga Nacional
Aurora10matchesMarquense10matches

Season just started — only a handful of league matches played so far. Every panel below reflects each team's most recent matches across all competitions.

Coverage varies by leaguetop-tier competitions have richer per-match data; lower divisions and smaller leagues track fewer metrics, so some panels may be sparse or missing entirely.
Pre-match snapshotevery value reflects each team's state going into kick-off — frozen before the match starts, not updated live.

Overall

Overallteam-strength snapshot
65%
Overall

Composite team strength — average of LTQ and Hype.

39%
1502
ELO

Chess-style strength rating going into kick-off.

1301
67%
LTQ

Long-term quality across all competitions.

47%
62%
Hype

Short-term fixture buzz / excitement signal.

30%
2.18
Momentum

Recent goal-scoring trend (weighted goals signal).

1.63

Match Outcome

Match Outcomeresults breakdown
1010
2.00
Points per Game

Average points per match across the sampled games (max 3).

1.20
60%
Win Rate

Share of sampled matches won.

30%
20%
Draw Rate

Share of sampled matches that ended level.

30%
20%
Loss Rate

Share of sampled matches lost (lower is better).

40%
60%
Clean Sheet55%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

50%
10%
Failed to Score

Share of matches where the team didn't score (lower is better).

50%

Goal Scoring

Goal Scoringattacking output
1010
1.60
Avg Goals Scored

Goals scored per match across the sampled games.

0.70
90%
Scored > 0.570%

Share of matches where the team scored at least once.

50%
60%
Over 1.555%

Share of matches with total goals > 1.5.

50%
50%
Over 2.535%

Share of matches with total goals > 2.5.

20%
20%
Over 3.510%

Share of matches with total goals > 3.5 — high-scoring affairs.

0%
40%
BTTS30%

Share of matches where both teams scored.

20%
10%
BTTS & Win

Share of matches won while both teams scored — strong attack with a defensive lapse.

0%
33%
Scored Both Halves22%

Share of matches with a goal in both the 1st and 2nd half.

10%

Defensive Solidity

Defensive Soliditygoals & shots conceded
1010
0.80
Avg Goals Conceded

Goals conceded per match (lower is better).

0.80
60%
Clean Sheet55%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

50%

xG Trends

xG TrendsEWMA-smoothed performance
1010
1.94
EWMAxG For

Smoothed expected goals created per match — top attacks hit > 2.5/match, mid-table sits around 1.4.

0.87
1.28
EWMAxG Against

Smoothed expected goals conceded per match — elite defenses < 1.0, struggling sides > 2.0.

1.23
0.66
EWMAxG Diff

Net xG: attack minus defense. ±1 is dominant/poor; ±2 is title-contender or crisis-level.

-0.36
-0.55
EWMAFinishing Edge

Goals scored minus xG. +0.3 is clinical, −0.3 is wasteful; ±1 is statistical outlier.

-0.12

HT / FT Patterns

HT / FT Patternshalf-time vs full-time outcomes
1010
44%4/9
Leading at HT37%

Share of matches the team led at halftime — fast-start signal.

30%3/10
44%4/9
Level at HT

Share of matches level at halftime — balanced or low-tempo openings.

40%4/10
11%1/9
Trailing at HT

Share of matches the team trailed at halftime — slow starts (lower is better).

30%3/10
33%3/9
HT/FT Same Outcome62%

Share of matches where the W/D/L state at halftime matched the full-time result — game-state stability.

90%9/10
50%2/4
Led at HT → Won75%

Of matches led at HT, share converted into a full-time win — closing strength.

100%3/3
0%0/1
Trailed at HT → Recovered0%

Of matches trailing at HT, share rescued to a draw or win — comeback resilience.

0%0/3

Goal Timing

Goal Timingwhen goals happen
events 2/1010/101010
0%
0-15'21%

Hot starts — share of the team's goals scored in the opening 15 minutes.

43%
50%
16-30'32%

Early control — share scored between the 16th and 30th minute.

14%
0%
31-45'14%

Pre-HT push — share scored in the run-up to halftime.

29%
0%
46-60'7%

Restart wave — share scored in the first 15 minutes after HT.

14%
0%
61-75'0%

Game-state shift — share scored between minutes 61 and 75.

0%
50%
76-90+'25%

Late-game finishers — share scored from the 76th minute onwards (incl. stoppage time).

0%

First-Goal Edge

First-Goal Edgewho strikes first
events 2/1010/101010
100%2/2
Scored First81%

Share of matches where the team opened the scoring — fast-start signal.

63%5/8
0%0/2
Conceded First

Share of matches where the team conceded the opening goal (lower is better).

38%3/8
50%1/2
Win when Scoring First55%

Of matches the team scored first, share converted into a win — closing strength after the opener.

60%3/5
0/0
Win when Conceding First

Of matches conceding first, share rescued into a win — comeback strength.

0%0/3
61'
Avg Min. 1st Goal Scored

Average minute of the team's first goal — earlier means faster starters.

17'
Avg Min. 1st Goal Conceded

Average minute of the first goal conceded — later is better (defense holds longer).

23'

Late-Game Strength

Late-Game Strengthafter the 75th minute
events 2/1010/101010
50%1/2
Scored after 75'25%

Share of matches with a late goal scored by the team — late finishers signal.

0%0/10
0%0/2
Conceded after 75'

Share of matches the team conceded a late goal — late-game vulnerability (lower is better).

10%1/10
0/0
Lead Saved after 75'

Of matches leading at 75', share closed out for a win — closing strength.

100%3/3
0/0
Lead Lost after 75'

Of matches leading at 75', share dropped to a draw or loss — late-game collapse risk.

0%0/3
50%1/2
Any Goal in Stoppage Time

Share of matches with any goal in stoppage time (90+) — late-drama frequency.

0%0/10

Set Pieces

Set Piecespenalty / own-goal share
events 2/1010/101010
100%2/2
Open-Play Share93%

Of the team's scored goals, share from open play — non-set-piece scoring quality.

86%6/7
0%0/2
Penalty Share

Of the team's scored goals, share from penalty kicks — penalty dependency.

14%1/7
0%0/2
Opp Own-Goal Bonus

Of the team's scored goals, share that were opponent own-goals — pressure / fortune.

0%0/7
0%0/2
Penalty Conceded Share

Of conceded goals, share from opponent penalties — defensive discipline (lower is better).

13%1/8
0%0/2
Own-Goal Cost

Of conceded goals, share that were the team's own goals — pressure-induced errors (lower is better).

0%0/8

Cards & Discipline

Cards & Disciplineyellows, reds & fouls
events 2/1010/101010
100%2/2
Match Cards > 3.594%

Share of matches with total card points (both teams, yellow=1 / red=2, 2Y→R counted as 2) > 3.5 — Over 3.5 line.

89%8/9
2/109/10
0%0/2
Match Cards > 4.533%

Share of matches with total card points > 4.5 — Over 4.5 line.

67%6/9
2/109/10
75%
Cards in 2nd Half

Share of card events that occur after halftime — late-discipline tendency.

75%

Venue Edge

Venue EdgeAurora at home · Marquense on the road
55
2.60
PPG at Venue

Points per match at the venue — home team at home, away team away.

0.20
80%4/5
Win Rate40%

Share of sampled matches won.

0%0/5
0%0/5
Loss Rate

Share of sampled matches lost (lower is better).

80%4/5
1.60
Avg Goals Scored

Goals scored per match across the sampled games.

0.20
0.40
Avg Goals Conceded

Goals conceded per match (lower is better).

1.40
80%4/5
Clean Sheet50%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

20%1/5
20%1/5
BTTS20%

Share of matches where both teams scored.

20%1/5
20%1/5
Over 2.530%

Share of venue matches with total goals > 2.5.

40%2/5
2.09
EWMAAttack xG (EWMA)

Smoothed xG created at venue — long-term attacking strength in this fixture's venue context.

0.57
0.94
EWMADefense xG (EWMA)

Smoothed xG conceded at venue — defensive strength in this fixture's venue context (lower is better).

1.91