Championship·
Regular Season - 30·02/01/2025·10:00
Millwall
Millwall
WWDLW
2-1
Finished
HT2-1
QPR
QPR
LWWLW
📍 The Den, London
Season statsChampionship
Millwall29matchesQPR29matches

Every panel below reflects each team's matches in Championship.

Coverage varies by leaguetop-tier competitions have richer per-match data; lower divisions and smaller leagues track fewer metrics, so some panels may be sparse or missing entirely.
Pre-match snapshotevery value reflects each team's state going into kick-off — frozen before the match starts, not updated live.

Overall

Overallteam-strength snapshot
67%
Overall

Composite team strength — average of LTQ and Hype.

60%
1496
ELO

Chess-style strength rating going into kick-off.

1449
58%
LTQ

Long-term quality across all competitions.

59%
75%
Hype

Short-term fixture buzz / excitement signal.

61%
2.07
Momentum

Recent goal-scoring trend (weighted goals signal).

2.87

Match Outcome

Match Outcomeresults breakdown
2929
1.28
Points per Game

Average points per match across the sampled games (max 3).

1.31
31%
Win Rate

Share of sampled matches won.

31%
34%
Draw Rate

Share of sampled matches that ended level.

38%
34%
Loss Rate

Share of sampled matches lost (lower is better).

31%
38%
Clean Sheet31%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

24%
34%
Failed to Score

Share of matches where the team didn't score (lower is better).

28%

Goal Scoring

Goal Scoringattacking output
2929
0.97
Avg Goals Scored

Goals scored per match across the sampled games.

1.10
66%
Scored > 0.569%

Share of matches where the team scored at least once.

72%
41%
Over 1.564%

Share of matches with total goals > 1.5.

86%
24%
Over 2.533%

Share of matches with total goals > 2.5.

41%
17%
Over 3.517%

Share of matches with total goals > 3.5 — high-scoring affairs.

17%
38%
BTTS48%

Share of matches where both teams scored.

59%
3%
BTTS & Win

Share of matches won while both teams scored — strong attack with a defensive lapse.

17%
3%
Scored Both Halves9%

Share of matches with a goal in both the 1st and 2nd half.

14%

Defensive Solidity

Defensive Soliditygoals & shots conceded
2929
0.90
Avg Goals Conceded

Goals conceded per match (lower is better).

1.28
10.07
Avg Shots Conceded

Total shots faced per match — defensive pressure (> 17.5/match is heavy siege).

12.45
3.03
Avg SoT Conceded

Shots on target faced per match — quality of chances given up (> 5.5 is severe).

4.24
2.14
Avg Saves

Goalkeeper saves per match (> 4.5 means the keeper is doing heavy lifting).

2.97
70%
Save %70%

Share of opponent shots on target stopped by the keeper.

70%
38%
Clean Sheet31%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

24%

xG Trends

xG TrendsEWMA-smoothed performance
2929
1.22
EWMAxG For

Smoothed expected goals created per match — top attacks hit > 2.5/match, mid-table sits around 1.4.

1.25
1.00
EWMAxG Against

Smoothed expected goals conceded per match — elite defenses < 1.0, struggling sides > 2.0.

1.57
0.22
EWMAxG Diff

Net xG: attack minus defense. ±1 is dominant/poor; ±2 is title-contender or crisis-level.

-0.32
-0.22
EWMAFinishing Edge

Goals scored minus xG. +0.3 is clinical, −0.3 is wasteful; ±1 is statistical outlier.

0.01
0.11
EWMAxG per Shot

Average chance quality per attempt — 0.10 is mid, 0.15+ means the team only shoots from dangerous spots.

0.11

Shots Quality

Shots Qualityvolume & accuracy
2929
11.62
Avg Shots

Total shots per match — pure attacking volume (> 16.5/match is elite).

11.90
3.62
Avg Shots on Target

Shots on target per match — strikes the keeper had to handle (> 5.5/match is heavy).

3.86
8.38
Avg Shots in Box

Shots taken from inside the penalty area — proximity to goal (> 8.5/match means consistent box presence).

8.21
72%
Box Shot %71%

Share of shots taken from inside the box — chance-selection quality. Mid sits ~60%, elite > 75%.

69%
31%
On-Target %32%

Share of shots that hit the target — striking accuracy. Mid ~33%, elite > 40%.

32%
8%
Shot Conversion9%

Goals per shot taken — clinical efficiency. ~10% is league average, > 15% is elite finishing.

9%

Possession & Passing

Possession & Passingball control
2929
41%
Avg Possession

Share of match time with the ball. > 55% is dominant, < 40% is reactive.

45%
68%
Pass Accuracy

Share of passes completed — distribution quality. Mid sits ~80%, elite > 88%.

77%
300.62
Avg Passes

Total passes attempted per match — distribution volume. Top sides > 550, bottom sides < 400.

372.86
-0.14
EWMAPossession Trend

Smoothed possession differential — team minus opponent. ±0.1 is normal, ±0.2 is strong dominance.

-0.09

HT / FT Patterns

HT / FT Patternshalf-time vs full-time outcomes
2929
24%7/29
Leading at HT19%

Share of matches the team led at halftime — fast-start signal.

14%4/29
45%13/29
Level at HT

Share of matches level at halftime — balanced or low-tempo openings.

55%16/29
31%9/29
Trailing at HT

Share of matches the team trailed at halftime — slow starts (lower is better).

31%9/29
55%16/29
HT/FT Same Outcome52%

Share of matches where the W/D/L state at halftime matched the full-time result — game-state stability.

48%14/29
57%4/7
Led at HT → Won66%

Of matches led at HT, share converted into a full-time win — closing strength.

75%3/4
22%2/9
Trailed at HT → Recovered39%

Of matches trailing at HT, share rescued to a draw or win — comeback resilience.

56%5/9

Goal Timing

Goal Timingwhen goals happen
events 29/2929/292929
7%
0-15'8%

Hot starts — share of the team's goals scored in the opening 15 minutes.

10%
7%
16-30'10%

Early control — share scored between the 16th and 30th minute.

13%
21%
31-45'19%

Pre-HT push — share scored in the run-up to halftime.

17%
21%
46-60'20%

Restart wave — share scored in the first 15 minutes after HT.

20%
21%
61-75'24%

Game-state shift — share scored between minutes 61 and 75.

27%
24%
76-90+'19%

Late-game finishers — share scored from the 76th minute onwards (incl. stoppage time).

13%

First-Goal Edge

First-Goal Edgewho strikes first
events 29/2929/292929
54%14/26
Scored First48%

Share of matches where the team opened the scoring — fast-start signal.

42%11/26
46%12/26
Conceded First

Share of matches where the team conceded the opening goal (lower is better).

58%15/26
64%9/14
Win when Scoring First69%

Of matches the team scored first, share converted into a win — closing strength after the opener.

73%8/11
0%0/12
Win when Conceding First3%

Of matches conceding first, share rescued into a win — comeback strength.

7%1/15
47'
Avg Min. 1st Goal Scored

Average minute of the team's first goal — earlier means faster starters.

29'
29'
Avg Min. 1st Goal Conceded

Average minute of the first goal conceded — later is better (defense holds longer).

37'

Late-Game Strength

Late-Game Strengthafter the 75th minute
events 29/2929/292929
24%7/29
Scored after 75'19%

Share of matches with a late goal scored by the team — late finishers signal.

14%4/29
24%7/29
Conceded after 75'

Share of matches the team conceded a late goal — late-game vulnerability (lower is better).

21%6/29
64%7/11
Lead Saved after 75'82%

Of matches leading at 75', share closed out for a win — closing strength.

100%8/8
36%4/11
Lead Lost after 75'

Of matches leading at 75', share dropped to a draw or loss — late-game collapse risk.

0%0/8
10%3/29
Any Goal in Stoppage Time

Share of matches with any goal in stoppage time (90+) — late-drama frequency.

14%4/29

Set Pieces

Set Piecespenalty / own-goal share
events 29/2929/292929
93%27/29
Open-Play Share93%

Of the team's scored goals, share from open play — non-set-piece scoring quality.

93%28/30
3%1/29
Penalty Share

Of the team's scored goals, share from penalty kicks — penalty dependency.

3%1/30
3%1/29
Opp Own-Goal Bonus

Of the team's scored goals, share that were opponent own-goals — pressure / fortune.

3%1/30
0%0/25
Penalty Conceded Share

Of conceded goals, share from opponent penalties — defensive discipline (lower is better).

3%1/39
0%0/25
Own-Goal Cost

Of conceded goals, share that were the team's own goals — pressure-induced errors (lower is better).

8%3/39

Corners

Cornersset-piece pressure
2929
5.03
Avg Corners For

Average corners won per match — attacking territorial pressure (> 5.5 is heavy).

5.17
5.07
Avg Corners Against

Average corners conceded per match — territorial pressure faced (lower is better).

6.17
50%
Corner Share48%

Share of total corners in the team's matches that went to the team — territorial dominance ratio.

46%
-0.04
EWMACorners Diff

Smoothed corner differential per match — long-term territorial advantage (±2 is strong).

-0.85
69%20/29
Match Corners > 8.569%

Share of matches with total corners > 8.5 (Over 8.5 line) — high-tempo encounter signal.

69%20/29
66%19/29
Match Corners > 9.566%

Share of matches with total corners > 9.5 (Over 9.5 line).

66%19/29
45%13/29
Match Corners > 10.552%

Share of matches with total corners > 10.5 (Over 10.5 line) — corner-heavy clashes only.

59%17/29

Cards & Discipline

Cards & Disciplineyellows, reds & fouls
events 29/2929/292929
2.00
Avg Yellow Cards

Yellow cards picked up per match — discipline signal (lower is better).

2.07
3%1/29
Red Card Match Rate

Share of matches with at least one red card to the team — sending-off risk.

7%2/29
13.00
Avg Fouls

Fouls committed per match — aggression / tactical-foul tendency (lower is calmer).

10.21
71%17/24
Match Cards > 3.571%

Share of matches with total card points (both teams, yellow=1 / red=2, 2Y→R counted as 2) > 3.5 — Over 3.5 line.

72%18/25
24/2925/29
29%7/24
Match Cards > 4.535%

Share of matches with total card points > 4.5 — Over 4.5 line.

40%10/25
24/2925/29
80%
Cards in 2nd Half

Share of card events that occur after halftime — late-discipline tendency.

66%

Venue Edge

Venue EdgeMillwall at home · QPR on the road
1514
1.40
PPG at Venue

Points per match at the venue — home team at home, away team away.

1.29
40%6/15
Win Rate34%

Share of sampled matches won.

29%4/14
40%6/15
Loss Rate

Share of sampled matches lost (lower is better).

29%4/14
1.07
Avg Goals Scored

Goals scored per match across the sampled games.

0.86
0.87
Avg Goals Conceded

Goals conceded per match (lower is better).

1.14
33%5/15
Clean Sheet31%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

29%4/14
33%5/15
BTTS38%

Share of matches where both teams scored.

43%6/14
27%4/15
Over 2.528%

Share of venue matches with total goals > 2.5.

29%4/14
1.25
EWMAAttack xG (EWMA)

Smoothed xG created at venue — long-term attacking strength in this fixture's venue context.

1.13
0.76
EWMADefense xG (EWMA)

Smoothed xG conceded at venue — defensive strength in this fixture's venue context (lower is better).

1.83