FKF Premier League·
Regular Season - 13·12/14/2025·07:00
Sofapaka
Sofapaka
LDLLW
0-2
Finished
HT0-0
Tusker
Tusker
WWLLW
📍 Kasarani Annex Stadium, Nairobi
Season statsFKF Premier League
Sofapaka12matchesTusker12matches

Every panel below reflects each team's matches in FKF Premier League.

Coverage varies by leaguetop-tier competitions have richer per-match data; lower divisions and smaller leagues track fewer metrics, so some panels may be sparse or missing entirely.
Pre-match snapshotevery value reflects each team's state going into kick-off — frozen before the match starts, not updated live.

Overall

Overallteam-strength snapshot
35%
Overall

Composite team strength — average of LTQ and Hype.

62%
1358
ELO

Chess-style strength rating going into kick-off.

1424
45%
LTQ

Long-term quality across all competitions.

59%
25%
Hype

Short-term fixture buzz / excitement signal.

64%
1.81
Momentum

Recent goal-scoring trend (weighted goals signal).

1.35

Match Outcome

Match Outcomeresults breakdown
1212
1.00
Points per Game

Average points per match across the sampled games (max 3).

1.50
25%
Win Rate

Share of sampled matches won.

42%
25%
Draw Rate

Share of sampled matches that ended level.

25%
50%
Loss Rate

Share of sampled matches lost (lower is better).

33%
25%
Clean Sheet33%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

42%
50%
Failed to Score

Share of matches where the team didn't score (lower is better).

25%

Goal Scoring

Goal Scoringattacking output
1212
0.92
Avg Goals Scored

Goals scored per match across the sampled games.

0.83
50%
Scored > 0.563%

Share of matches where the team scored at least once.

75%
67%
Over 1.558%

Share of matches with total goals > 1.5.

50%
33%
Over 2.529%

Share of matches with total goals > 2.5.

25%
17%
Over 3.58%

Share of matches with total goals > 3.5 — high-scoring affairs.

0%
33%
BTTS38%

Share of matches where both teams scored.

42%
8%
BTTS & Win

Share of matches won while both teams scored — strong attack with a defensive lapse.

8%
17%
Scored Both Halves13%

Share of matches with a goal in both the 1st and 2nd half.

8%

Defensive Solidity

Defensive Soliditygoals & shots conceded
1212
1.17
Avg Goals Conceded

Goals conceded per match (lower is better).

0.83
25%
Clean Sheet33%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

42%

xG Trends

xG TrendsEWMA-smoothed performance
1212
1.17
EWMAxG For

Smoothed expected goals created per match — top attacks hit > 2.5/match, mid-table sits around 1.4.

0.98
1.32
EWMAxG Against

Smoothed expected goals conceded per match — elite defenses < 1.0, struggling sides > 2.0.

0.99
-0.15
EWMAxG Diff

Net xG: attack minus defense. ±1 is dominant/poor; ±2 is title-contender or crisis-level.

-0.01
-0.16
EWMAFinishing Edge

Goals scored minus xG. +0.3 is clinical, −0.3 is wasteful; ±1 is statistical outlier.

-0.16

HT / FT Patterns

HT / FT Patternshalf-time vs full-time outcomes
1212
25%3/12
Leading at HT29%

Share of matches the team led at halftime — fast-start signal.

33%4/12
42%5/12
Level at HT

Share of matches level at halftime — balanced or low-tempo openings.

25%3/12
33%4/12
Trailing at HT

Share of matches the team trailed at halftime — slow starts (lower is better).

42%5/12
83%10/12
HT/FT Same Outcome83%

Share of matches where the W/D/L state at halftime matched the full-time result — game-state stability.

83%10/12
100%3/3
Led at HT → Won100%

Of matches led at HT, share converted into a full-time win — closing strength.

100%4/4
0%0/4
Trailed at HT → Recovered10%

Of matches trailing at HT, share rescued to a draw or win — comeback resilience.

20%1/5

Goal Timing

Goal Timingwhen goals happen
events 11/1211/121212
27%
0-15'27%

Hot starts — share of the team's goals scored in the opening 15 minutes.

27%
18%
16-30'9%

Early control — share scored between the 16th and 30th minute.

0%
9%
31-45'18%

Pre-HT push — share scored in the run-up to halftime.

27%
0%
46-60'5%

Restart wave — share scored in the first 15 minutes after HT.

9%
18%
61-75'14%

Game-state shift — share scored between minutes 61 and 75.

9%
27%
76-90+'27%

Late-game finishers — share scored from the 76th minute onwards (incl. stoppage time).

27%

First-Goal Edge

First-Goal Edgewho strikes first
events 11/1211/121212
50%5/10
Scored First57%

Share of matches where the team opened the scoring — fast-start signal.

64%7/11
50%5/10
Conceded First

Share of matches where the team conceded the opening goal (lower is better).

36%4/11
60%3/5
Win when Scoring First66%

Of matches the team scored first, share converted into a win — closing strength after the opener.

71%5/7
0%0/5
Win when Conceding First0%

Of matches conceding first, share rescued into a win — comeback strength.

0%0/4
14'
Avg Min. 1st Goal Scored

Average minute of the team's first goal — earlier means faster starters.

35'
38'
Avg Min. 1st Goal Conceded

Average minute of the first goal conceded — later is better (defense holds longer).

14'

Late-Game Strength

Late-Game Strengthafter the 75th minute
events 11/1211/121212
18%2/11
Scored after 75'23%

Share of matches with a late goal scored by the team — late finishers signal.

27%3/11
9%1/11
Conceded after 75'

Share of matches the team conceded a late goal — late-game vulnerability (lower is better).

18%2/11
100%3/3
Lead Saved after 75'83%

Of matches leading at 75', share closed out for a win — closing strength.

67%4/6
0%0/3
Lead Lost after 75'

Of matches leading at 75', share dropped to a draw or loss — late-game collapse risk.

33%2/6
18%2/11
Any Goal in Stoppage Time

Share of matches with any goal in stoppage time (90+) — late-drama frequency.

9%1/11

Set Pieces

Set Piecespenalty / own-goal share
events 11/1211/121212
100%11/11
Open-Play Share86%

Of the team's scored goals, share from open play — non-set-piece scoring quality.

73%8/11
0%0/11
Penalty Share

Of the team's scored goals, share from penalty kicks — penalty dependency.

18%2/11
0%0/11
Opp Own-Goal Bonus

Of the team's scored goals, share that were opponent own-goals — pressure / fortune.

9%1/11
0%0/12
Penalty Conceded Share

Of conceded goals, share from opponent penalties — defensive discipline (lower is better).

0%0/9
0%0/12
Own-Goal Cost

Of conceded goals, share that were the team's own goals — pressure-induced errors (lower is better).

0%0/9

Cards & Discipline

Cards & Disciplineyellows, reds & fouls
events 11/1211/121212
100%
Cards in 2nd Half

Share of card events that occur after halftime — late-discipline tendency.

Venue Edge

Venue EdgeSofapaka at home · Tusker on the road
66
0.83
PPG at Venue

Points per match at the venue — home team at home, away team away.

1.67
17%1/6
Win Rate33%

Share of sampled matches won.

50%3/6
50%3/6
Loss Rate

Share of sampled matches lost (lower is better).

33%2/6
0.83
Avg Goals Scored

Goals scored per match across the sampled games.

0.83
1.33
Avg Goals Conceded

Goals conceded per match (lower is better).

0.67
33%2/6
Clean Sheet42%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

50%3/6
33%2/6
BTTS33%

Share of matches where both teams scored.

33%2/6
33%2/6
Over 2.525%

Share of venue matches with total goals > 2.5.

17%1/6
1.54
EWMAAttack xG (EWMA)

Smoothed xG created at venue — long-term attacking strength in this fixture's venue context.

0.91
1.32
EWMADefense xG (EWMA)

Smoothed xG conceded at venue — defensive strength in this fixture's venue context (lower is better).

1.27