First League·
Regular Season - 14·11/02/2025·08:15
Arda Kardzhali
Arda Kardzhali
WDLWL
0-3
Finished
HT0-1
Levski Sofia
Levski Sofia
WWWWW
📍 Arena Arda, Kardzhali
Season statsFirst League
Kardzhali13matchesSofia13matches

Every panel below reflects each team's matches in First League.

Coverage varies by leaguetop-tier competitions have richer per-match data; lower divisions and smaller leagues track fewer metrics, so some panels may be sparse or missing entirely.
Pre-match snapshotevery value reflects each team's state going into kick-off — frozen before the match starts, not updated live.

Overall

Overallteam-strength snapshot
50%
Overall

Composite team strength — average of LTQ and Hype.

83%
1540
ELO

Chess-style strength rating going into kick-off.

1714
46%
LTQ

Long-term quality across all competitions.

73%
53%
Hype

Short-term fixture buzz / excitement signal.

92%
1.98
Momentum

Recent goal-scoring trend (weighted goals signal).

2.84

Match Outcome

Match Outcomeresults breakdown
1313
1.00
Points per Game

Average points per match across the sampled games (max 3).

2.46
23%
Win Rate

Share of sampled matches won.

77%
31%
Draw Rate

Share of sampled matches that ended level.

15%
46%
Loss Rate

Share of sampled matches lost (lower is better).

8%
31%
Clean Sheet38%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

46%
54%
Failed to Score

Share of matches where the team didn't score (lower is better).

23%

Goal Scoring

Goal Scoringattacking output
1313
0.92
Avg Goals Scored

Goals scored per match across the sampled games.

1.92
46%
Scored > 0.562%

Share of matches where the team scored at least once.

77%
62%
Over 1.565%

Share of matches with total goals > 1.5.

69%
23%
Over 2.542%

Share of matches with total goals > 2.5.

62%
15%
Over 3.519%

Share of matches with total goals > 3.5 — high-scoring affairs.

23%
23%
BTTS35%

Share of matches where both teams scored.

46%
0%
BTTS & Win

Share of matches won while both teams scored — strong attack with a defensive lapse.

46%
15%
Scored Both Halves23%

Share of matches with a goal in both the 1st and 2nd half.

31%

Defensive Solidity

Defensive Soliditygoals & shots conceded
1313
1.08
Avg Goals Conceded

Goals conceded per match (lower is better).

0.54
Avg Shots Conceded

Total shots faced per match — defensive pressure (> 17.5/match is heavy siege).

17.00
0/131/13
Avg SoT Conceded

Shots on target faced per match — quality of chances given up (> 5.5 is severe).

11.00
0/131/13
Avg Saves

Goalkeeper saves per match (> 4.5 means the keeper is doing heavy lifting).

10.00
0/131/13
Save %

Share of opponent shots on target stopped by the keeper.

91%
0/131/13
31%
Clean Sheet38%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

46%

xG Trends

xG TrendsEWMA-smoothed performance
1313
1.24
EWMAxG For

Smoothed expected goals created per match — top attacks hit > 2.5/match, mid-table sits around 1.4.

1.95
1.29
EWMAxG Against

Smoothed expected goals conceded per match — elite defenses < 1.0, struggling sides > 2.0.

0.81
-0.05
EWMAxG Diff

Net xG: attack minus defense. ±1 is dominant/poor; ±2 is title-contender or crisis-level.

1.13
-0.17
EWMAFinishing Edge

Goals scored minus xG. +0.3 is clinical, −0.3 is wasteful; ±1 is statistical outlier.

-0.30
0.16
EWMAxG per Shot

Average chance quality per attempt — 0.10 is mid, 0.15+ means the team only shoots from dangerous spots.

0.15

Shots Quality

Shots Qualityvolume & accuracy
1313
Avg Shots

Total shots per match — pure attacking volume (> 16.5/match is elite).

17.00
0/131/13
Avg Shots on Target

Shots on target per match — strikes the keeper had to handle (> 5.5/match is heavy).

7.00
0/131/13
Avg Shots in Box

Shots taken from inside the penalty area — proximity to goal (> 8.5/match means consistent box presence).

13.00
0/131/13
Box Shot %

Share of shots taken from inside the box — chance-selection quality. Mid sits ~60%, elite > 75%.

76%
0/131/13
On-Target %

Share of shots that hit the target — striking accuracy. Mid ~33%, elite > 40%.

41%
0/131/13
Shot Conversion

Goals per shot taken — clinical efficiency. ~10% is league average, > 15% is elite finishing.

18%
0/131/13

Possession & Passing

Possession & Passingball control
1313
Avg Possession

Share of match time with the ball. > 55% is dominant, < 40% is reactive.

50%
0/131/13
Pass Accuracy

Share of passes completed — distribution quality. Mid sits ~80%, elite > 88%.

76%
0/131/13
Avg Passes

Total passes attempted per match — distribution volume. Top sides > 550, bottom sides < 400.

313.00
0/131/13
0.07
EWMAPossession Trend

Smoothed possession differential — team minus opponent. ±0.1 is normal, ±0.2 is strong dominance.

0.08

HT / FT Patterns

HT / FT Patternshalf-time vs full-time outcomes
1313
23%3/13
Leading at HT35%

Share of matches the team led at halftime — fast-start signal.

46%6/13
38%5/13
Level at HT

Share of matches level at halftime — balanced or low-tempo openings.

31%4/13
38%5/13
Trailing at HT

Share of matches the team trailed at halftime — slow starts (lower is better).

23%3/13
77%10/13
HT/FT Same Outcome73%

Share of matches where the W/D/L state at halftime matched the full-time result — game-state stability.

69%9/13
67%2/3
Led at HT → Won83%

Of matches led at HT, share converted into a full-time win — closing strength.

100%6/6
0%0/5
Trailed at HT → Recovered33%

Of matches trailing at HT, share rescued to a draw or win — comeback resilience.

67%2/3

Goal Timing

Goal Timingwhen goals happen
events 13/1313/131313
14%
0-15'18%

Hot starts — share of the team's goals scored in the opening 15 minutes.

21%
14%
16-30'9%

Early control — share scored between the 16th and 30th minute.

4%
29%
31-45'23%

Pre-HT push — share scored in the run-up to halftime.

17%
0%
46-60'4%

Restart wave — share scored in the first 15 minutes after HT.

8%
14%
61-75'20%

Game-state shift — share scored between minutes 61 and 75.

25%
29%
76-90+'27%

Late-game finishers — share scored from the 76th minute onwards (incl. stoppage time).

25%

First-Goal Edge

First-Goal Edgewho strikes first
events 13/1313/131313
50%6/12
Scored First61%

Share of matches where the team opened the scoring — fast-start signal.

73%8/11
50%6/12
Conceded First

Share of matches where the team conceded the opening goal (lower is better).

27%3/11
50%3/6
Win when Scoring First75%

Of matches the team scored first, share converted into a win — closing strength after the opener.

100%8/8
0%0/6
Win when Conceding First33%

Of matches conceding first, share rescued into a win — comeback strength.

67%2/3
38'
Avg Min. 1st Goal Scored

Average minute of the team's first goal — earlier means faster starters.

29'
25'
Avg Min. 1st Goal Conceded

Average minute of the first goal conceded — later is better (defense holds longer).

33'

Late-Game Strength

Late-Game Strengthafter the 75th minute
events 13/1313/131313
23%3/13
Scored after 75'35%

Share of matches with a late goal scored by the team — late finishers signal.

46%6/13
15%2/13
Conceded after 75'

Share of matches the team conceded a late goal — late-game vulnerability (lower is better).

8%1/13
50%2/4
Lead Saved after 75'75%

Of matches leading at 75', share closed out for a win — closing strength.

100%6/6
50%2/4
Lead Lost after 75'

Of matches leading at 75', share dropped to a draw or loss — late-game collapse risk.

0%0/6
0%0/13
Any Goal in Stoppage Time

Share of matches with any goal in stoppage time (90+) — late-drama frequency.

0%0/13

Set Pieces

Set Piecespenalty / own-goal share
events 13/1313/131313
86%12/14
Open-Play Share87%

Of the team's scored goals, share from open play — non-set-piece scoring quality.

88%21/24
7%1/14
Penalty Share

Of the team's scored goals, share from penalty kicks — penalty dependency.

13%3/24
7%1/14
Opp Own-Goal Bonus

Of the team's scored goals, share that were opponent own-goals — pressure / fortune.

0%0/24
8%1/13
Penalty Conceded Share

Of conceded goals, share from opponent penalties — defensive discipline (lower is better).

0%0/8
0%0/13
Own-Goal Cost

Of conceded goals, share that were the team's own goals — pressure-induced errors (lower is better).

13%1/8

Corners

Cornersset-piece pressure
1313
Avg Corners For

Average corners won per match — attacking territorial pressure (> 5.5 is heavy).

4.00
0/131/13
Avg Corners Against

Average corners conceded per match — territorial pressure faced (lower is better).

8.00
0/131/13
Corner Share

Share of total corners in the team's matches that went to the team — territorial dominance ratio.

33%
0/131/13
0.04
EWMACorners Diff

Smoothed corner differential per match — long-term territorial advantage (±2 is strong).

1.02
0/0
Match Corners > 8.5

Share of matches with total corners > 8.5 (Over 8.5 line) — high-tempo encounter signal.

100%1/1
0/131/13
0/0
Match Corners > 9.5

Share of matches with total corners > 9.5 (Over 9.5 line).

100%1/1
0/131/13
0/0
Match Corners > 10.5

Share of matches with total corners > 10.5 (Over 10.5 line) — corner-heavy clashes only.

100%1/1
0/131/13

Cards & Discipline

Cards & Disciplineyellows, reds & fouls
events 13/1313/131313
Avg Yellow Cards

Yellow cards picked up per match — discipline signal (lower is better).

1.00
0/131/13
0/0
Red Card Match Rate

Share of matches with at least one red card to the team — sending-off risk.

0%0/1
0/131/13
Avg Fouls

Fouls committed per match — aggression / tactical-foul tendency (lower is calmer).

14.00
0/131/13
92%11/12
Match Cards > 3.580%

Share of matches with total card points (both teams, yellow=1 / red=2, 2Y→R counted as 2) > 3.5 — Over 3.5 line.

69%9/13
12/13
83%10/12
Match Cards > 4.565%

Share of matches with total card points > 4.5 — Over 4.5 line.

46%6/13
12/13
72%
Cards in 2nd Half

Share of card events that occur after halftime — late-discipline tendency.

67%

Venue Edge

Venue EdgeKardzhali at home · Sofia on the road
76
0.86
PPG at Venue

Points per match at the venue — home team at home, away team away.

2.17
14%1/7
Win Rate40%

Share of sampled matches won.

67%4/6
43%3/7
Loss Rate

Share of sampled matches lost (lower is better).

17%1/6
0.57
Avg Goals Scored

Goals scored per match across the sampled games.

1.33
1.00
Avg Goals Conceded

Goals conceded per match (lower is better).

0.67
29%2/7
Clean Sheet31%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

33%2/6
29%2/7
BTTS39%

Share of matches where both teams scored.

50%3/6
14%1/7
Over 2.532%

Share of venue matches with total goals > 2.5.

50%3/6
1.04
EWMAAttack xG (EWMA)

Smoothed xG created at venue — long-term attacking strength in this fixture's venue context.

1.60
1.17
EWMADefense xG (EWMA)

Smoothed xG conceded at venue — defensive strength in this fixture's venue context (lower is better).

0.91