DBU Pokalen·
1st Round·08/06/2025·12:30
Holstebro
Holstebro
LWWLW
2-4
Extra Time
HT0-2AET0-2
Odder
Odder
LWWLD
📍 Krøyer Park, Holstebro

Stats below use each team's main league —3. DivisionDenmark

Last 10DBU Pokalen
Holstebro10matchesOdder10matches

Not in either team's main domestic league — every panel below reflects each team's most recent matches across all competitions.

Coverage varies by leaguetop-tier competitions have richer per-match data; lower divisions and smaller leagues track fewer metrics, so some panels may be sparse or missing entirely.
Pre-match snapshotevery value reflects each team's state going into kick-off — frozen before the match starts, not updated live.

Overall

Overallteam-strength snapshot
63%
Overall

Composite team strength — average of LTQ and Hype.

52%
1377
ELO

Chess-style strength rating going into kick-off.

1373
61%
LTQ

Long-term quality across all competitions.

47%
64%
Hype

Short-term fixture buzz / excitement signal.

56%
4.04
Momentum

Recent goal-scoring trend (weighted goals signal).

4.05

Match Outcome

Match Outcomeresults breakdown
1010
1.90
Points per Game

Average points per match across the sampled games (max 3).

1.00
60%
Win Rate

Share of sampled matches won.

20%
10%
Draw Rate

Share of sampled matches that ended level.

40%
30%
Loss Rate

Share of sampled matches lost (lower is better).

40%
30%
Clean Sheet20%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

10%
10%
Failed to Score

Share of matches where the team didn't score (lower is better).

10%

Goal Scoring

Goal Scoringattacking output
1010
2.60
Avg Goals Scored

Goals scored per match across the sampled games.

1.60
90%
Scored > 0.590%

Share of matches where the team scored at least once.

90%
90%
Over 1.595%

Share of matches with total goals > 1.5.

100%
80%
Over 2.565%

Share of matches with total goals > 2.5.

50%
60%
Over 3.555%

Share of matches with total goals > 3.5 — high-scoring affairs.

50%
60%
BTTS70%

Share of matches where both teams scored.

80%
30%
BTTS & Win

Share of matches won while both teams scored — strong attack with a defensive lapse.

10%
60%
Scored Both Halves45%

Share of matches with a goal in both the 1st and 2nd half.

30%

Defensive Solidity

Defensive Soliditygoals & shots conceded
1010
2.00
Avg Goals Conceded

Goals conceded per match (lower is better).

2.20
30%
Clean Sheet20%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

10%

xG Trends

xG TrendsEWMA-smoothed performance
1010
1.53
EWMAxG For

Smoothed expected goals created per match — top attacks hit > 2.5/match, mid-table sits around 1.4.

0.84
1.35
EWMAxG Against

Smoothed expected goals conceded per match — elite defenses < 1.0, struggling sides > 2.0.

1.05
0.19
EWMAxG Diff

Net xG: attack minus defense. ±1 is dominant/poor; ±2 is title-contender or crisis-level.

-0.20
0.45
EWMAFinishing Edge

Goals scored minus xG. +0.3 is clinical, −0.3 is wasteful; ±1 is statistical outlier.

0.69

HT / FT Patterns

HT / FT Patternshalf-time vs full-time outcomes
1010
50%5/10
Leading at HT25%

Share of matches the team led at halftime — fast-start signal.

0%0/10
40%4/10
Level at HT

Share of matches level at halftime — balanced or low-tempo openings.

50%5/10
10%1/10
Trailing at HT

Share of matches the team trailed at halftime — slow starts (lower is better).

50%5/10
60%6/10
HT/FT Same Outcome60%

Share of matches where the W/D/L state at halftime matched the full-time result — game-state stability.

60%6/10
100%5/5
Led at HT → Won

Of matches led at HT, share converted into a full-time win — closing strength.

0/0
100%1/1
Trailed at HT → Recovered70%

Of matches trailing at HT, share rescued to a draw or win — comeback resilience.

40%2/5

Goal Timing

Goal Timingwhen goals happen
events 9/1010/101010
18%
0-15'12%

Hot starts — share of the team's goals scored in the opening 15 minutes.

6%
14%
16-30'10%

Early control — share scored between the 16th and 30th minute.

6%
25%
31-45'25%

Pre-HT push — share scored in the run-up to halftime.

25%
4%
46-60'11%

Restart wave — share scored in the first 15 minutes after HT.

19%
11%
61-75'15%

Game-state shift — share scored between minutes 61 and 75.

19%
29%
76-90+'27%

Late-game finishers — share scored from the 76th minute onwards (incl. stoppage time).

25%

First-Goal Edge

First-Goal Edgewho strikes first
events 9/1010/101010
89%8/9
Scored First64%

Share of matches where the team opened the scoring — fast-start signal.

40%4/10
11%1/9
Conceded First

Share of matches where the team conceded the opening goal (lower is better).

60%6/10
63%5/8
Win when Scoring First56%

Of matches the team scored first, share converted into a win — closing strength after the opener.

50%2/4
100%1/1
Win when Conceding First50%

Of matches conceding first, share rescued into a win — comeback strength.

0%0/6
24'
Avg Min. 1st Goal Scored

Average minute of the team's first goal — earlier means faster starters.

30'
4'
Avg Min. 1st Goal Conceded

Average minute of the first goal conceded — later is better (defense holds longer).

22'

Late-Game Strength

Late-Game Strengthafter the 75th minute
events 9/1010/101010
78%7/9
Scored after 75'59%

Share of matches with a late goal scored by the team — late finishers signal.

40%4/10
33%3/9
Conceded after 75'

Share of matches the team conceded a late goal — late-game vulnerability (lower is better).

20%2/10
86%6/7
Lead Saved after 75'93%

Of matches leading at 75', share closed out for a win — closing strength.

100%1/1
14%1/7
Lead Lost after 75'

Of matches leading at 75', share dropped to a draw or loss — late-game collapse risk.

0%0/1
56%5/9
Any Goal in Stoppage Time

Share of matches with any goal in stoppage time (90+) — late-drama frequency.

10%1/10

Set Pieces

Set Piecespenalty / own-goal share
events 9/1010/101010
93%26/28
Open-Play Share96%

Of the team's scored goals, share from open play — non-set-piece scoring quality.

100%16/16
0%0/28
Penalty Share

Of the team's scored goals, share from penalty kicks — penalty dependency.

0%0/16
7%2/28
Opp Own-Goal Bonus

Of the team's scored goals, share that were opponent own-goals — pressure / fortune.

0%0/16
0%0/13
Penalty Conceded Share

Of conceded goals, share from opponent penalties — defensive discipline (lower is better).

0%0/22
0%0/13
Own-Goal Cost

Of conceded goals, share that were the team's own goals — pressure-induced errors (lower is better).

0%0/22

Cards & Discipline

Cards & Disciplineyellows, reds & fouls
events 9/1010/101010
100%
Cards in 2nd Half

Share of card events that occur after halftime — late-discipline tendency.

0%

Venue Edge

Venue EdgeHolstebro at home · Odder on the road
45
2.50
PPG at Venue

Points per match at the venue — home team at home, away team away.

1.00
75%3/4
Win Rate48%

Share of sampled matches won.

20%1/5
0%0/4
Loss Rate

Share of sampled matches lost (lower is better).

40%2/5
3.50
Avg Goals Scored

Goals scored per match across the sampled games.

1.00
1.75
Avg Goals Conceded

Goals conceded per match (lower is better).

2.00
25%1/4
Clean Sheet23%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

20%1/5
75%3/4
BTTS68%

Share of matches where both teams scored.

60%3/5
75%3/4
Over 2.548%

Share of venue matches with total goals > 2.5.

20%1/5
1.32
EWMAAttack xG (EWMA)

Smoothed xG created at venue — long-term attacking strength in this fixture's venue context.

0.70
1.45
EWMADefense xG (EWMA)

Smoothed xG conceded at venue — defensive strength in this fixture's venue context (lower is better).

0.99