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FC Tokyo vs Cerezo Osaka | J1 League - Market Analysis

Statistical analysis and probabilities across all markets.

Japan

Japan

J1 League

FC Tokyo

D
L
D
W
L
W

vs

06 Jun 2026

05:00 (UTC+0)

Cerezo Osaka

D
W
W
W
D
D

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Stats Only

Based on xG, Elo ratings & historical game data. For live news & injury updates, check

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Portal Pulse

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Premium Feature

Top Mathematical Model Picks

Stats Only

Based on xG, Elo ratings & historical game data. For live news & injury updates, check

Game Intelligence — more accurate picks using live news, lineups & 50+ sources

Portal Pulse

16 portals analyzed

Consensus from 16+ prediction portals. Each chart shows how many portals agree on each outcome — higher % means stronger consensus.

Preview (full breakdown in Premium report)

Premium Feature

HEAD TO HEAD

Form & Performance

Japan

J1 League

All matches

Home only

/

Away only

Last 3

Most recent trend

43%

83%

67%

77%

Home only

Away only

Last 6

Short-term form

55%

78%

75%

55%

Home only

Away only

Last 10

Medium-term form

68%

73%

60%

53%

Home only

Away only

Last 20

Reliable baseline

68%

54%

57%

51%

Home only

Away only

Season

Full season average

69%

57%

61%

59%

Home only

Away only

Home vs Away Strength

Upgrade to Premium to unlock detailed home vs away advantages, surprise indices, Brier scores, and ROI insights.

3 days free · No credit card required

Fatigue Calendar

Mon

Tue

Wed

Thu

Fri

Sat

Sun

18/05
19/05
20/05
21/05
22/05

Away

1:0

23/05

24/05
25/05
26/05
27/05
28/05
29/05

Away

2:2

30/05

31/05
01/06
02/06
03/06
04/06
05/06

Home

?

06/06

07/06
08/06
09/06
10/06
11/06
12/06
13/06
14/06

Total Goals

average per game

Japan

J1 League

Good
Attack
Excellent
Good
Defense
Good

Last 6

Recent form across all competitions

Difference

-0.17
1
1.17

Scored

Conceded

2.67
1.5

Difference

+1.17

Home vs Away Last 6

Home games only vs away games only

Difference

+1
2
1

Scored

Conceded

2.67
1.17

Difference

+1.5

Last 10 (Trimmed)

Average of last 10 — highest & lowest removed

Difference

+0.5
1.5
1

Scored

Conceded

1.88
1.25

Difference

+0.62

Last 20

Larger sample for reliable trends

Difference

+0.6
1.55
0.95

Scored

Conceded

1.45
1.2

Difference

+0.25

Season

Full season averages

Difference

+0.63
1.58
0.95

Scored

Conceded

1.47
1.11

Difference

+0.37

League Average

Total Goals Momentum

Normal

Conservative (less goals)

Normal

Epic

Head to Head

Last 365 days

3 Matches

(33%)

1

Wins

Draws: 2

0

(0%)

1

(33%)

2

(67%)

Avg Goals per Match

2
1.67

Scored

Conceded

1.67
2

FC Tokyo

Cerezo Osaka

All Matches

31 Matches

(35%)

11

Wins

Draws: 10

10

(32%)

11

(35%)

10

(32%)

10

(32%)

Avg Goals per Match

1.32
1.06

Scored

Conceded

1.06
1.32

FC Tokyo

Cerezo Osaka

Japan | J1 League

30 May 26

Cerezo Osaka

2
2

FC Tokyo

6d ago

Japan | Emperor Cup

06 Aug 25

FC Tokyo

2
1

Cerezo Osaka

10mo ago

Japan | J1 League

14 Jun 25

FC Tokyo

2
2

Cerezo Osaka

1y ago

Total Goals

average per game

Japan

J1 League

Good
Attack
Excellent
Good
Defense
Good

Last 6

Recent form across all competitions

Difference

-0.17
1
1.17

Scored

Conceded

2.67
1.5

Difference

+1.17

Home vs Away Last 6

Home games only vs away games only

Difference

+1
2
1

Scored

Conceded

2.67
1.17

Difference

+1.5

Last 10 (Trimmed)

Average of last 10 — highest & lowest removed

Difference

+0.5
1.5
1

Scored

Conceded

1.88
1.25

Difference

+0.62

Last 20

Larger sample for reliable trends

Difference

+0.6
1.55
0.95

Scored

Conceded

1.45
1.2

Difference

+0.25

Season

Full season averages

Difference

+0.63
1.58
0.95

Scored

Conceded

1.47
1.11

Difference

+0.37

League Average

Total Goals Momentum

Normal

Conservative (less goals)

Normal

Epic

Head to Head

Last 365 days

3 Matches

(33%)

1

Wins

Draws: 2

0

(0%)

1

(33%)

2

(67%)

Avg Goals per Match

2
1.67

Scored

Conceded

1.67
2

FC Tokyo

Cerezo Osaka

All Matches

31 Matches

(35%)

11

Wins

Draws: 10

10

(32%)

11

(35%)

10

(32%)

10

(32%)

Avg Goals per Match

1.32
1.06

Scored

Conceded

1.06
1.32

FC Tokyo

Cerezo Osaka

Japan | J1 League

30 May 26

Cerezo Osaka

2
2

FC Tokyo

6d ago

Japan | Emperor Cup

06 Aug 25

FC Tokyo

2
1

Cerezo Osaka

10mo ago

Japan | J1 League

14 Jun 25

FC Tokyo

2
2

Cerezo Osaka

1y ago

Form & Performance

Japan

J1 League

All matches

Home only

/

Away only

Last 3

Most recent trend

43%

83%

67%

77%

Home only

Away only

Last 6

Short-term form

55%

78%

75%

55%

Home only

Away only

Last 10

Medium-term form

68%

73%

60%

53%

Home only

Away only

Last 20

Reliable baseline

68%

54%

57%

51%

Home only

Away only

Season

Full season average

69%

57%

61%

59%

Home only

Away only

Home vs Away Strength

Upgrade to Premium to unlock detailed home vs away advantages, surprise indices, Brier scores, and ROI insights.

3 days free · No credit card required

Fatigue Calendar

Mon

Tue

Wed

Thu

Fri

Sat

Sun

18/05
19/05
20/05
21/05
22/05

Away

1:0

23/05

24/05
25/05
26/05
27/05
28/05
29/05

Away

2:2

30/05

31/05
01/06
02/06
03/06
04/06
05/06

Home

?

06/06

07/06
08/06
09/06
10/06
11/06
12/06
13/06
14/06

Unlock In-Depth Sports Data Insights!

Filter by Competition, Period, Teams, and Half-Times for Tailored Analysis

Competition

Period

Side

FT/HT

PERFORMANCE TRENDS

Change of Long Term Quality

Shows the change of long term quality in past.

FC Tokyo

Cerezo Osaka

Goals History

FC Tokyo

Cerezo Osaka

Overall Form

68%
Overall Form
76%
5
Wins
5
3
Draws
4
2
Losses
1

Rankings

Current Season

2
East
2
18
Played
18
2.06
Points per Match
1.72

Quality

67%
Team Quality
67%
54%
Avg Opponent Quality
57%

Goals Performance

58%
Goals Performance
63%
1.7
Scored Goals
2.1
1.1
Conceded Goals
1.1
0.6
Goals Difference
(Scored - Conceded)
1
2.8
Total Goals
(Scored + Conceded)
3.2

Average Goals per Match

vs

MATCH HISTORY

Last Matches (1X2)

Fulltime

Date
Teams
Odds
Result
Japan

Japan | J1 League

06/06

05:00

FC Tokyo
Cerezo Osaka

H

1.87

D

3.57

A

3.84

?
Japan

Japan | J1 League

FT

30/05

06:00

Cerezo Osaka
FC Tokyo
2
2
D
Japan

Japan | J1 League

FT

23/05

08:30

Kashima
FC Tokyo
1
0

H

2.45

D

3.18

A

2.85

L
Japan

Japan | J1 League

PN

16/05

07:00

Urawa
FC Tokyo
0
0

H

2.80

D

3.14

A

2.50

D
Japan

Japan | J1 League

FT

10/05

06:00

FC Tokyo
Tokyo Verdy
2
1

H

1.84

D

3.28

A

4.43

W
Japan

Japan | J1 League

FT

06/05

06:00

FC Tokyo
JEF United Chiba
0
3

H

1.42

D

4.44

A

7.04

L
Japan

Japan | J1 League

FT

02/05

05:00

FC Tokyo
Kawasaki Frontale
2
0

H

1.89

D

3.55

A

3.79

W
Wins
Draws
Losses
Easy
Average
Hard

FC Tokyo

Date
Teams
Odds
Result
Japan

Japan | J1 League

06/06

05:00

FC Tokyo
Cerezo Osaka

H

1.87

D

3.57

A

3.84

?
Japan

Japan | J1 League

FT

30/05

06:00

Cerezo Osaka
FC Tokyo
2
2
D
Japan

Japan | J1 League

FT

23/05

08:30

Kashima
FC Tokyo
1
0

H

2.45

D

3.18

A

2.85

L
Japan

Japan | J1 League

PN

16/05

07:00

Urawa
FC Tokyo
0
0

H

2.80

D

3.14

A

2.50

D
Japan

Japan | J1 League

FT

10/05

06:00

FC Tokyo
Tokyo Verdy
2
1

H

1.84

D

3.28

A

4.43

W
Japan

Japan | J1 League

FT

06/05

06:00

FC Tokyo
JEF United Chiba
0
3

H

1.42

D

4.44

A

7.04

L
Japan

Japan | J1 League

FT

02/05

05:00

FC Tokyo
Kawasaki Frontale
2
0

H

1.89

D

3.55

A

3.79

W
Wins
Draws
Losses
Easy
Average
Hard

Cerezo Osaka

Date
Teams
Odds
Result
Japan

Japan | J1 League

06/06

05:00

FC Tokyo
Cerezo Osaka

H

1.87

D

3.57

A

3.84

?
Japan

Japan | J1 League

FT

30/05

06:00

Cerezo Osaka
FC Tokyo
2
2
D
Japan

Japan | J1 League

FT

24/05

03:55

Fagiano Okayama
Cerezo Osaka
2
3

H

2.77

D

3.29

A

2.46

W
Japan

Japan | J1 League

FT

17/05

06:00

Cerezo Osaka
Nagoya Grampus
6
1

H

2.32

D

3.42

A

2.85

W
Japan

Japan | J1 League

FT

09/05

07:00

Cerezo Osaka
V-varen Nagasaki
3
2

H

1.88

D

3.62

A

3.79

W
Japan

Japan | J1 League

PN

06/05

04:03

Shimizu S-pulse
Cerezo Osaka
1
1

H

2.62

D

3.27

A

2.59

D
Japan

Japan | J1 League

PN

03/05

06:00

Cerezo Osaka
Avispa Fukuoka
1
1

H

1.77

D

3.64

A

4.30

D
Wins
Draws
Losses
Easy
Average
Hard

Statistics

Average Statistics per Game

2.21
Expected Goals
Missing Data (5 | 3)
1.7
15.5
Total Shots
11.8
5.6
Shots on Goal
4.9
10.7
Shots Inside Box
7.5
4.8
Shots Outside Box
4.3
51%
Possession
51%
81%
Passes %
79%

TACTICAL OVERVIEW

Lineups

Previous Match Lineup

Avg Changes: 1.89 per game

Low Team Rotation!
Rare lineup changes boost chemistry but may cause fatigue

Pos

Name

Rating

PR

Forwards

9

Marcelo Ryan

7.3
L

23

R. Sato

6.6
L

Midfielders

16

K. Sato

6.3
L

37

K. Koizumi

7.3
H

27

K. Tokiwa

6.3
L

22

K. Endo

6.3
M

Defenders

2

S. Muroya

6.2
L

24

A. Scholz

6.5
L

17

H. Inamura

6.3
L

42

K. Hashimoto

6.2
M

Goalkeepers

1

H. Tanaka

7.7
H

FC Tokyo

Previous Match Lineup

Avg Changes: 1.89 per game

Low Team Rotation!
Rare lineup changes boost chemistry but may cause fatigue

Pos

Name

Rating

PR

Forwards

9

Marcelo Ryan

7.3
L

23

R. Sato

6.6
L

Midfielders

16

K. Sato

6.3
L

37

K. Koizumi

7.3
H

27

K. Tokiwa

6.3
L

22

K. Endo

6.3
M

Defenders

2

S. Muroya

6.2
L

24

A. Scholz

6.5
L

17

H. Inamura

6.3
L

42

K. Hashimoto

6.2
M

Goalkeepers

1

H. Tanaka

7.7
H

Cerezo Osaka

Previous Match Lineup

Avg Changes: 3.67 per game

Pos

Name

Rating

PR

Forwards

11

Thiago Andrade

6.3
M

Midfielders

18

N. Ishiwatari

6.2
M

10

S. Tanaka

7.9
L

48

M. Shibayama

8
L

13

M. Nakajima

6.9
M

14

Y. Yokoyama

6.6
M

Defenders

27

D. Cools

5.9
M

4

R. Inoue

6.6
M

44

S. Hatanaka

7.3
L

66

A. Ohata

6
L

Goalkeepers

23

K. Nakamura

6.6
M

Player Rotation Legend

L

Low

M

Medium

H

High

-

Unknown

  • Low: Regular starter with stable minutes
  • Medium: Plays regularly but role/minutes vary
  • High: Unpredictable role, often rotated or benched.

Odds Movement

All odds shown are the average odds from all bookmakers in our system.

Home

1.87

Draw

3.57

Away

3.84

1.86

Home

1.87

3.56

Draw

3.58

3.84

Away

3.90

Max

Home

1.87

Draw

3.58

Away

3.90

%

1%
1%
2%

Min

Home

1.86

Draw

3.56

Away

3.84

NOTE: Odds are updated every 3 hours.