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Away Favored
Jun 3, 2026, 06:03 AM
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This J1 League clash sees two relegation-battling sides meet just days after a thrilling 2-2 draw, with JEF United Chiba desperate to reverse their dismal home form against a resilient Avispa Fukuoka outfit.
Home Motivation
High
JEF United Chiba is highly motivated as they are currently in 20th place, within the relegation zone, and are fighting to avoid relegation from the J1 League.
Away Motivation
High
Avispa Fukuoka is highly motivated as they are currently in 18th place, within the relegation zone, and are fighting to avoid relegation from the J1 League.
Market Picks
Portal Pulse
The Evidence
Betting Edge
Key Metrics
Home
Metric
Away
-0.76
xG difference
All comps (EWMA)
-0.02
Avispa Fukuoka's recent-form xG difference (-0.02) is significantly better than JEF United Chiba's (-0.76), indicating they create and concede far more efficiently.
1.87
xG conceded per game
All comps (EWMA)
0.99
JEF United Chiba is trending at 1.87 xG conceded per game in recent form, nearly double Avispa Fukuoka's 0.99, highlighting a major defensive vulnerability for the hosts.
1.88
Goals conceded per game
All comps (EWMA)
1.33
On a recent-form basis, JEF United Chiba concedes 1.88 goals per game, significantly more than Avispa Fukuoka's 1.33, indicating their defense is struggling to keep goals out.
5.52
Shots on target against
All comps (EWMA)
3.42
Avispa Fukuoka concedes only 3.42 shots on target per game in recent form, showcasing a much more resilient defense compared to JEF United Chiba's 5.52.
0.5
PPG (3/1/0)
J1 League ONLY (last 10 matche
1.2
In their last 10 J1 League matches, Avispa Fukuoka has nearly double the points per game (1.2) of JEF United Chiba (0.5), reflecting superior recent league form.
10%
Win rate %
All competitions (last 10 matc
20%
Avispa Fukuoka has a 20% win rate across all competitions in their last 10 matches, double JEF United Chiba's 10%, indicating better ability to secure wins.
Form & Streaks
JEF United Chiba have won only 1 of their last 10 matches across all competitions (1W,2D,7L in 10).
Avispa Fukuoka have drawn 6 of their last 10 J1 League matches (2W,6D,2L in 10).
Avispa Fukuoka remains unbeaten against JEF United Chiba in recent J1 League encounters, including a 2-2 draw just four days ago.
JEF United Chiba has a dreadful home record in the J1 League, with only 2 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses in their last 9 matches at their venue.
Tactical Overview
Just four days after a 2-2 stalemate, these two relegation candidates square off again with both needing points to escape the drop zone. JEF United Chiba are in dire form, trending at a staggering 1.87 xG conceded per game in recent form, which is well above the league average. Their home record in the J1 League is particularly concerning, with only 2 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses in their last 9 at Fukuda Denshi Arena. The absence of Taguchi and Ueda will force JEF United Chiba to adjust their approach, particularly in ball retention. On the other side, Avispa Fukuoka arrives with slightly better momentum, picking up 1.2 PPG in their last 10 league matches compared to JEF United Chiba's 0.5. Their defensive metrics are significantly stronger, conceding just 0.99 xG per game and 3.42 shots on target against in recent form, showcasing a much tighter unit than their hosts. While they tend to draw, their ability to stifle opposition could be key.
Match Context
Lineup Updates
Based on reports
Key Players
JEF United Chiba will rely on goalkeeper Suárez to provide a solid base, with defenders Takahashi, Kuboniwa, Kawano, and Hidaka forming a key part of their defensive unit. In midfield, Tsukui and Mae are expected to be influential in dictating play and transitioning from defense to attack. Attacking threats include Carlinhos Junior and Ishikawa who will look to create scoring opportunities.
Absences
Taguchi
shoulder injury
Ueda
meniscus injury
Home
Key Players
JEF United Chiba will rely on goalkeeper Suárez to provide a solid base, with defenders Takahashi, Kuboniwa, Kawano, and Hidaka forming a key part of their defensive unit. In midfield, Tsukui and Mae are expected to be influential in dictating play and transitioning from defense to attack. Attacking threats include Carlinhos Junior and Ishikawa who will look to create scoring opportunities.
Absences
Taguchi
shoulder injury
Ueda
meniscus injury
Away
Key Players
Avispa Fukuoka's defensive stability will be crucial, with goalkeeper Fujita and defenders Kamijima, Tsujioka, and Oka expected to play important roles. In the midfield, Miki, Maejima, Shiihashi, and Fujimoto will be key in both breaking up play and initiating attacks. Upfront, Nago, Usui, and Shigemi will lead the charge in seeking goals.
Absences
Absence information is not yet available. Check back closer to kickoff for confirmed lineups.
Lineup info is never 100% confirmed until matchday. Additional players may be unavailable.
Insider Intel