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Philippines vs Guam | Friendlies - Summary Preview

AI-powered game intelligence with head-to-head stats and data-driven predictions.

Philippines

D
W
W
W
D
W

03 Jun 2026

11:30 (UTC+0)

(3
-
0)

5

-

1

FT

Guam

W
L
L
W
L
L

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Jun 3, 2026, 06:00 AM

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Philippines host Guam in a friendly, looking to build on their strong run of form in Asian Cup qualification, while Guam aims to test their squad against a significantly superior opponent. The home side enters as heavy favorites, with Guam's recent struggles suggesting an uphill battle on the road.

Home Motivation

Low

As an exhibition match in Manila, the primary motivation is squad testing and home-crowd engagement with no competitive stakes.

Away Motivation

Low

Guam enters this fixture with minimal pressure, focused on development rather than competitive advancement.

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The Evidence

Betting Edge

Key Metrics

Home

Metric

Away

2.32

Goals scored per game

All comps (EWMA)

3.14

While Guam's recent-form average of 3.14 looks high due to an outlier 6-0 win, Philippines' 2.32 is a more consistent output against varied opposition, suggesting a reliable attacking threat for the home side.

0.95

Goals conceded per game

All comps (EWMA)

1.90

Philippines is far more defensively sound, conceding 0.95 goals per game compared to Guam's alarming 1.90. This gap highlights Guam's defensive vulnerabilities that Philippines can exploit.

60%

All comps Win rate %

Last 10 matches

20%

The Philippines boasts a 60% win rate in their last 10 matches across all competitions, significantly higher than Guam's 20%. This reflects the vastly different recent form and confidence levels between the two squads.

10%

All comps Loss rate %

Last 10 matches

80%

Philippines has lost only 10% of their last 10 games, a stark contrast to Guam's 80% loss rate in the same period. This massive disparity underscores Guam's poor performance and makes Philippines a strong favorite.

60%

All comps Over 2.5 %

Last 10 matches

80%

Guam has seen Over 2.5 goals in 80% of their last 10 matches, indicating either high-scoring games or heavy defeats. Philippines also trends towards Over 2.5 at 60%, suggesting this could be an open contest with goals.

Form & Streaks

Philippines have an impressive record of 6 wins, 3 draws, and only 1 loss in their last 10 matches across all competitions, indicating strong momentum.

Guam has struggled mightily in recent outings, recording 2 wins, 0 draws, and 8 losses in their last 10 matches across all competitions.

At home, Philippines has been solid with 3 wins and 2 draws in their last 5 fixtures (3W,5D,2L in 10 at venue), remaining undefeated in recent home matches.

Guam has a concerning trend of 8 losses in their last 10 away matches across all competitions (2W,0D,8L in 10), highlighting their struggles on the road.

Tactical Overview

This friendly pits a Philippines side in good shape against a struggling Guam. Under manager Carles Cuadrat, the Philippines have been on a roll, securing 6 wins, 3 draws, and just 1 loss in their last 10 matches across all competitions, showcasing a potent attack that has scored 21 goals in that span. Their recent-form goals scored per game of 2.32 significantly outpaces Guam's 3.14 (inflated by a 6-0 win against American Samoa). Defensively, Philippines have been much tighter, conceding only 0.95 goals per game on a recent-form basis compared to Guam's 1.90. The home side's momentum is clear, with a 3-1 win over Timor-Leste and a 2-2 draw with Tajikistan in recent home Asian Cup qualifiers demonstrating their resilience. Guam, in contrast, has managed only 2 wins in their last 10 competitive outings and has conceded 22 goals in that same period, including a 0-5 loss to Hong Kong. The historical head-to-head also favors Philippines, who have won the last two encounters, including a dominant 3-0 victory four years ago.

Match Context

Lineup Updates

Based on reports

Key Players

No specific key player information is available from fresh sources.

Absences

Neil Etheridge

retired from international duty

OUT

Home

Key Players

No specific key player information is available from fresh sources.

Absences

Neil Etheridge

retired from international duty

OUT

Away

Key Players

No specific key player information is available from fresh sources.

Absences

Absence information is not yet available. Check back closer to kickoff for confirmed lineups.

Lineup info is never 100% confirmed until matchday. Additional players may be unavailable.

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