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Away Favored
Jun 3, 2026, 12:01 PM
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Underdogs Viggbyholms IK host higher-tier Sollentuna in a historic Svenska Cupen semi-final that pits home-field ambition against divisional superiority. While the hosts are fueled by the magnitude of the occasion, they must overcome a defensive record that has seen them lose seven of their last ten matches at their own ground.
Home Motivation
High
Viggbyholms IK has a high level of motivation as they are one match away from a major cup final in a knockout format where they hold home advantage.
Away Motivation
High
Sollentuna's motivation is high as they seek to reach the cup final, although they face a league fixture in four days which may necessitate minor rotation.
Market Picks
Portal Pulse
The Evidence
Betting Edge
Key Metrics
Home
Metric
Away
2.14
Goals conceded per game
All comps (EWMA)
1.25
Viggbyholms IK is trending at a much higher concession rate in recent form compared to the visitors.
0.5
PPG (3/1/0)
Home/Away split
1.4
Sollentuna's average points per game in their last 10 away matches is nearly triple the home average for Viggbyholms IK.
70%
Loss rate %
Last 10 matches
30%
Viggbyholms IK has lost 70% of their last 10 matches across all competitions, indicating a severe lack of momentum.
90%
Over 2.5 %
Home/Away split
20%
A major clash of styles: 90% of Viggbyholms IK home games go over, while 80% of Sollentuna away games go under.
1265
Elo rating
Season avg
1299
The divisional gap is reflected in the Elo ratings, favoring the superior-tier visitors.
Form & Streaks
Viggbyholms IK has lost 7 of their last 10 matches at home (1W, 2D, 7L).
Sollentuna is undefeated in 8 of their last 10 away matches across all competitions (3W, 5D, 2L).
Viggbyholms IK has failed to record a clean sheet in any of their last 10 home matches.
Tactical Overview
This knockout tie highlights a stark contrast in defensive stability and division pedigree. Sollentuna travels as the favorite, trending at 1.25 goals conceded per game in recent form (weighted toward recent matches) compared to the 2.14 conceded by Viggbyholms IK. The hosts have struggled significantly at home, recording a 70% loss rate in their last ten matches at their venue, including a 2-4 defeat against Täby. In contrast, Sollentuna has proven difficult to break down on the road, losing only two of their last ten away matches and recently grinding out a 0-0 draw at IF Karlstad. Viggbyholms IK is expected to sit in a deep block to negate the superior-division threat, but their lack of a clean sheet in their last ten home matches suggests they will struggle to maintain that resistance for 90 minutes. Furthermore, the hosts face schedule congestion with only three days of rest, while the visitors benefit from a more standard four-day turnaround.
Match Context
Lineup Updates
Based on reports
Key Players
No current information is available about specific key players for Viggbyholms IK for this match that meets the freshness criteria.
Absences
Absence information is not yet available. Check back closer to kickoff for confirmed lineups.
Home
Key Players
No current information is available about specific key players for Viggbyholms IK for this match that meets the freshness criteria.
Absences
Absence information is not yet available. Check back closer to kickoff for confirmed lineups.
Away
Key Players
No current information is available about specific key players for Sollentuna for this match that meets the freshness criteria.
Absences
Absence information is not yet available. Check back closer to kickoff for confirmed lineups.
Lineup info is never 100% confirmed until matchday. Additional players may be unavailable.
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