Svenska Cupen·
Semi-finals·05/26/2026·04:00 PM
Olympic
Olympic
LLLWL
5-3
Finished
HT2-2
AFC Malmo
AFC Malmo
WLWWW

Stats below use each team's main league —Ettan - SödraSweden

Last 10Svenska Cupen
Olympic10matchesMalmo9matches

Not in either team's main domestic league — every panel below reflects each team's most recent matches across all competitions.

Coverage varies by leaguetop-tier competitions have richer per-match data; lower divisions and smaller leagues track fewer metrics, so some panels may be sparse or missing entirely.
Pre-match snapshotevery value reflects each team's state going into kick-off — frozen before the match starts, not updated live.

Overall

Overallteam-strength snapshot
37%
Overall

Composite team strength — average of LTQ and Hype.

66%
1302
ELO

Chess-style strength rating going into kick-off.

1268
46%
LTQ

Long-term quality across all competitions.

63%
27%
Hype

Short-term fixture buzz / excitement signal.

68%
3.00
Momentum

Recent goal-scoring trend (weighted goals signal).

2.82

Match Outcome

Match Outcomeresults breakdown
109
1.20
Points per Game

Average points per match across the sampled games (max 3).

1.67
40%
Win Rate

Share of sampled matches won.

44%
0%
Draw Rate

Share of sampled matches that ended level.

33%
60%
Loss Rate

Share of sampled matches lost (lower is better).

22%
20%
Clean Sheet27%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

33%
20%
Failed to Score

Share of matches where the team didn't score (lower is better).

22%

Goal Scoring

Goal Scoringattacking output
109
1.40
Avg Goals Scored

Goals scored per match across the sampled games.

1.78
80%
Scored > 0.579%

Share of matches where the team scored at least once.

78%
80%
Over 1.584%

Share of matches with total goals > 1.5.

89%
70%
Over 2.563%

Share of matches with total goals > 2.5.

56%
40%
Over 3.537%

Share of matches with total goals > 3.5 — high-scoring affairs.

33%
60%
BTTS52%

Share of matches where both teams scored.

44%
20%
BTTS & Win

Share of matches won while both teams scored — strong attack with a defensive lapse.

11%
20%
Scored Both Halves38%

Share of matches with a goal in both the 1st and 2nd half.

56%

Defensive Solidity

Defensive Soliditygoals & shots conceded
109
1.60
Avg Goals Conceded

Goals conceded per match (lower is better).

1.11
20%
Clean Sheet27%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

33%

xG Trends

xG TrendsEWMA-smoothed performance
109
1.86
EWMAxG For

Smoothed expected goals created per match — top attacks hit > 2.5/match, mid-table sits around 1.4.

2.32
2.26
EWMAxG Against

Smoothed expected goals conceded per match — elite defenses < 1.0, struggling sides > 2.0.

1.14
-0.41
EWMAxG Diff

Net xG: attack minus defense. ±1 is dominant/poor; ±2 is title-contender or crisis-level.

1.19
-0.32
EWMAFinishing Edge

Goals scored minus xG. +0.3 is clinical, −0.3 is wasteful; ±1 is statistical outlier.

-0.43

HT / FT Patterns

HT / FT Patternshalf-time vs full-time outcomes
109
40%4/10
Leading at HT42%

Share of matches the team led at halftime — fast-start signal.

44%4/9
10%1/10
Level at HT

Share of matches level at halftime — balanced or low-tempo openings.

33%3/9
50%5/10
Trailing at HT

Share of matches the team trailed at halftime — slow starts (lower is better).

22%2/9
80%8/10
HT/FT Same Outcome79%

Share of matches where the W/D/L state at halftime matched the full-time result — game-state stability.

78%7/9
75%3/4
Led at HT → Won88%

Of matches led at HT, share converted into a full-time win — closing strength.

100%4/4
0%0/5
Trailed at HT → Recovered25%

Of matches trailing at HT, share rescued to a draw or win — comeback resilience.

50%1/2

Goal Timing

Goal Timingwhen goals happen
events 9/109/9109
23%
0-15'18%

Hot starts — share of the team's goals scored in the opening 15 minutes.

13%
23%
16-30'18%

Early control — share scored between the 16th and 30th minute.

13%
8%
31-45'14%

Pre-HT push — share scored in the run-up to halftime.

20%
23%
46-60'22%

Restart wave — share scored in the first 15 minutes after HT.

20%
15%
61-75'11%

Game-state shift — share scored between minutes 61 and 75.

7%
8%
76-90+'17%

Late-game finishers — share scored from the 76th minute onwards (incl. stoppage time).

27%

First-Goal Edge

First-Goal Edgewho strikes first
events 9/109/9109
56%5/9
Scored First61%

Share of matches where the team opened the scoring — fast-start signal.

67%6/9
44%4/9
Conceded First

Share of matches where the team conceded the opening goal (lower is better).

33%3/9
60%3/5
Win when Scoring First63%

Of matches the team scored first, share converted into a win — closing strength after the opener.

67%4/6
0%0/4
Win when Conceding First0%

Of matches conceding first, share rescued into a win — comeback strength.

0%0/3
15'
Avg Min. 1st Goal Scored

Average minute of the team's first goal — earlier means faster starters.

29'
20'
Avg Min. 1st Goal Conceded

Average minute of the first goal conceded — later is better (defense holds longer).

42'

Late-Game Strength

Late-Game Strengthafter the 75th minute
events 9/109/9109
11%1/9
Scored after 75'22%

Share of matches with a late goal scored by the team — late finishers signal.

33%3/9
22%2/9
Conceded after 75'

Share of matches the team conceded a late goal — late-game vulnerability (lower is better).

22%2/9
75%3/4
Lead Saved after 75'88%

Of matches leading at 75', share closed out for a win — closing strength.

100%3/3
25%1/4
Lead Lost after 75'

Of matches leading at 75', share dropped to a draw or loss — late-game collapse risk.

0%0/3
0%0/9
Any Goal in Stoppage Time

Share of matches with any goal in stoppage time (90+) — late-drama frequency.

0%0/9

Set Pieces

Set Piecespenalty / own-goal share
events 9/109/9109
77%10/13
Open-Play Share85%

Of the team's scored goals, share from open play — non-set-piece scoring quality.

93%14/15
15%2/13
Penalty Share

Of the team's scored goals, share from penalty kicks — penalty dependency.

0%0/15
8%1/13
Opp Own-Goal Bonus

Of the team's scored goals, share that were opponent own-goals — pressure / fortune.

7%1/15
13%2/16
Penalty Conceded Share

Of conceded goals, share from opponent penalties — defensive discipline (lower is better).

11%1/9
6%1/16
Own-Goal Cost

Of conceded goals, share that were the team's own goals — pressure-induced errors (lower is better).

0%0/9

Cards & Discipline

Cards & Disciplineyellows, reds & fouls
events 9/109/9109
63%5/8
Match Cards > 3.556%

Share of matches with total card points (both teams, yellow=1 / red=2, 2Y→R counted as 2) > 3.5 — Over 3.5 line.

50%3/6
8/106/9
38%3/8
Match Cards > 4.519%

Share of matches with total card points > 4.5 — Over 4.5 line.

0%0/6
8/106/9
61%
Cards in 2nd Half

Share of card events that occur after halftime — late-discipline tendency.

71%

Venue Edge

Venue EdgeOlympic at home · Malmo on the road
45
1.50
PPG at Venue

Points per match at the venue — home team at home, away team away.

2.00
50%2/4
Win Rate55%

Share of sampled matches won.

60%3/5
50%2/4
Loss Rate

Share of sampled matches lost (lower is better).

20%1/5
2.00
Avg Goals Scored

Goals scored per match across the sampled games.

2.00
1.50
Avg Goals Conceded

Goals conceded per match (lower is better).

0.80
25%1/4
Clean Sheet43%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

60%3/5
75%3/4
BTTS48%

Share of matches where both teams scored.

20%1/5
75%3/4
Over 2.568%

Share of venue matches with total goals > 2.5.

60%3/5
1.96
EWMAAttack xG (EWMA)

Smoothed xG created at venue — long-term attacking strength in this fixture's venue context.

2.66
1.90
EWMADefense xG (EWMA)

Smoothed xG conceded at venue — defensive strength in this fixture's venue context (lower is better).

0.80