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May 28, 2026, 10:01 AM
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A high-stakes survival battle defines this play-out final as FK Kukesi fights to maintain their 1st Division status against promotion-hungry Butrinti Sarandë. With both clubs describing the fixture as having 'vital' value, the neutral Arena Egnatia will host a clash where the weight of history meets the pressure of the future.
Home Motivation
High
FK Kukesi faces a winner-takes-all survival match at a neutral venue to maintain their professional league status.
Away Motivation
High
Butrinti Sarandë is one win away from promotion to the 1st Division after a successful campaign in the Kategoria e Dytë.
Market Picks
Portal Pulse
The Evidence
Betting Edge
Key Metrics
Home
Metric
Away
1.40
Goals conceded per game
All comps (EWMA)
2.00
Kukesi is much tighter defensively in recent form, conceding 1.40 per game compared to Butrinti's 2.00.
20%
Loss rate %
Last 10 matches
50%
Butrinti has lost half of their last 10 matches, while Kukesi has been much harder to beat at just 20%.
1.6
Points Per Game
Last 10 matches
1.1
Kukesi has maintained a higher points return across their last 10 matches compared to the promotion candidates.
50%
Win rate (League at Venue)
Home/Away split
10%
Kukesi won half of their last 10 league home matches, whereas Butrinti won only 1 of 10 on the road.
1.16
Goals scored per game
All comps (EWMA)
1.00
Kukesi maintains a slight offensive edge, trending at 1.16 goals per game on a recent-form basis.
Form & Streaks
FK Kukesi has lost only 2 of their last 10 matches across all competitions (4W, 4D, 2L).
Butrinti Sarandë has lost 7 of their last 10 league matches when playing away from home.
FK Kukesi has kept a clean sheet in 40% of their last 10 matches, outperforming the visitors' 30% rate.
Tactical Overview
FK Kukesi enters this decisive match with significant stability, having lost just 2 of their last 10 matches across all competitions. Their defensive structure is notably stronger, trending at 1.40 goals conceded per game on a recent-form basis compared to the 2.00 average for their opponents. While the neutral venue in Rrogozhinë might dampen their traditional home dominance, FK Kukesi remains effective at finding results, highlighted by their 5 wins in the last 10 league matches designated as the home side. Butrinti Sarandë arrives with significant concerns regarding their away form, having suffered 7 losses in their last 10 league matches played as the visitor. Furthermore, the visitors have struggled with consistency, posting a 50% loss rate in their last 10 outings overall. With FK Kukesi maintaining a higher PPG of 1.6 against the 1.1 of Butrinti Sarandë in recent form, the 1st Division side holds a clear technical advantage.
Match Context
Lineup Updates
Based on reports
Key Players
No specific information on key players for FK Kukesi is available from fresh sources. Rosters and player form for this specific match were not detailed in the search results.
Absences
Absence information is not yet available. Check back closer to kickoff for confirmed lineups.
Home
Key Players
No specific information on key players for FK Kukesi is available from fresh sources. Rosters and player form for this specific match were not detailed in the search results.
Absences
Absence information is not yet available. Check back closer to kickoff for confirmed lineups.
Away
Key Players
No specific information on key players for Butrinti Sarandë is available from fresh sources. Rosters and player form for this specific match were not detailed in the search results.
Absences
Absence information is not yet available. Check back closer to kickoff for confirmed lineups.
Lineup info is never 100% confirmed until matchday. Additional players may be unavailable.
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