Suomen Cup·
Round of 16·05/26/2026·03:00 PM
VPS
VPS
WDWDW
4-0
Finished
HT1-0
Haka
Haka
WDWWL
📍 Lemonsoft Stadion, Vaasa

Stats below use each team's main league —VeikkausliigaFinland·YkkösliigaFinland

Last 10Suomen Cup
VPS10matchesHaka10matches

Not in either team's main domestic league — every panel below reflects each team's most recent matches across all competitions.

Coverage varies by leaguetop-tier competitions have richer per-match data; lower divisions and smaller leagues track fewer metrics, so some panels may be sparse or missing entirely.
Pre-match snapshotevery value reflects each team's state going into kick-off — frozen before the match starts, not updated live.

Overall

Overallteam-strength snapshot
74%
Overall

Composite team strength — average of LTQ and Hype.

72%
1388
ELO

Chess-style strength rating going into kick-off.

1348
63%
LTQ

Long-term quality across all competitions.

71%
84%
Hype

Short-term fixture buzz / excitement signal.

72%
3.95
Momentum

Recent goal-scoring trend (weighted goals signal).

3.26

Match Outcome

Match Outcomeresults breakdown
1010
2.10
Points per Game

Average points per match across the sampled games (max 3).

2.10
60%
Win Rate

Share of sampled matches won.

60%
30%
Draw Rate

Share of sampled matches that ended level.

30%
10%
Loss Rate

Share of sampled matches lost (lower is better).

10%
40%
Clean Sheet50%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

60%
20%
Failed to Score

Share of matches where the team didn't score (lower is better).

20%

Goal Scoring

Goal Scoringattacking output
1010
3.50
Avg Goals Scored

Goals scored per match across the sampled games.

2.70
80%
Scored > 0.580%

Share of matches where the team scored at least once.

80%
70%
Over 1.570%

Share of matches with total goals > 1.5.

70%
50%
Over 2.555%

Share of matches with total goals > 2.5.

60%
40%
Over 3.545%

Share of matches with total goals > 3.5 — high-scoring affairs.

50%
50%
BTTS40%

Share of matches where both teams scored.

30%
30%
BTTS & Win

Share of matches won while both teams scored — strong attack with a defensive lapse.

10%
30%
Scored Both Halves40%

Share of matches with a goal in both the 1st and 2nd half.

50%

Defensive Solidity

Defensive Soliditygoals & shots conceded
1010
0.70
Avg Goals Conceded

Goals conceded per match (lower is better).

0.70
7.50
Avg Shots Conceded

Total shots faced per match — defensive pressure (> 17.5/match is heavy siege).

2/100/10
2.50
Avg SoT Conceded

Shots on target faced per match — quality of chances given up (> 5.5 is severe).

2/100/10
1.50
Avg Saves

Goalkeeper saves per match (> 4.5 means the keeper is doing heavy lifting).

2/100/10
60%
Save %

Share of opponent shots on target stopped by the keeper.

2/100/10
40%
Clean Sheet50%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

60%

xG Trends

xG TrendsEWMA-smoothed performance
1010
3.03
EWMAxG For

Smoothed expected goals created per match — top attacks hit > 2.5/match, mid-table sits around 1.4.

2.24
0.97
EWMAxG Against

Smoothed expected goals conceded per match — elite defenses < 1.0, struggling sides > 2.0.

1.02
2.06
EWMAxG Diff

Net xG: attack minus defense. ±1 is dominant/poor; ±2 is title-contender or crisis-level.

1.24
-0.51
EWMAFinishing Edge

Goals scored minus xG. +0.3 is clinical, −0.3 is wasteful; ±1 is statistical outlier.

-0.23
0.33
EWMAxG per Shot

Average chance quality per attempt — 0.10 is mid, 0.15+ means the team only shoots from dangerous spots.

0.23

Shots Quality

Shots Qualityvolume & accuracy
1010
7.00
Avg Shots

Total shots per match — pure attacking volume (> 16.5/match is elite).

2/100/10
3.50
Avg Shots on Target

Shots on target per match — strikes the keeper had to handle (> 5.5/match is heavy).

2/100/10
5.50
Avg Shots in Box

Shots taken from inside the penalty area — proximity to goal (> 8.5/match means consistent box presence).

2/100/10
79%
Box Shot %

Share of shots taken from inside the box — chance-selection quality. Mid sits ~60%, elite > 75%.

2/100/10
50%
On-Target %

Share of shots that hit the target — striking accuracy. Mid ~33%, elite > 40%.

2/100/10
14%
Shot Conversion

Goals per shot taken — clinical efficiency. ~10% is league average, > 15% is elite finishing.

2/100/10

Possession & Passing

Possession & Passingball control
1010
43%
Avg Possession

Share of match time with the ball. > 55% is dominant, < 40% is reactive.

2/100/10
69%
Pass Accuracy

Share of passes completed — distribution quality. Mid sits ~80%, elite > 88%.

2/100/10
266.00
Avg Passes

Total passes attempted per match — distribution volume. Top sides > 550, bottom sides < 400.

2/100/10
-0.02
EWMAPossession Trend

Smoothed possession differential — team minus opponent. ±0.1 is normal, ±0.2 is strong dominance.

-0.12

HT / FT Patterns

HT / FT Patternshalf-time vs full-time outcomes
1010
60%6/10
Leading at HT55%

Share of matches the team led at halftime — fast-start signal.

50%5/10
30%3/10
Level at HT

Share of matches level at halftime — balanced or low-tempo openings.

30%3/10
10%1/10
Trailing at HT

Share of matches the team trailed at halftime — slow starts (lower is better).

20%2/10
70%7/10
HT/FT Same Outcome75%

Share of matches where the W/D/L state at halftime matched the full-time result — game-state stability.

80%8/10
83%5/6
Led at HT → Won92%

Of matches led at HT, share converted into a full-time win — closing strength.

100%5/5
100%1/1
Trailed at HT → Recovered75%

Of matches trailing at HT, share rescued to a draw or win — comeback resilience.

50%1/2

Goal Timing

Goal Timingwhen goals happen
events 10/1010/101010
20%
0-15'14%

Hot starts — share of the team's goals scored in the opening 15 minutes.

7%
23%
16-30'17%

Early control — share scored between the 16th and 30th minute.

11%
20%
31-45'16%

Pre-HT push — share scored in the run-up to halftime.

11%
3%
46-60'7%

Restart wave — share scored in the first 15 minutes after HT.

11%
14%
61-75'20%

Game-state shift — share scored between minutes 61 and 75.

26%
20%
76-90+'27%

Late-game finishers — share scored from the 76th minute onwards (incl. stoppage time).

33%

First-Goal Edge

First-Goal Edgewho strikes first
events 10/1010/101010
67%6/9
Scored First61%

Share of matches where the team opened the scoring — fast-start signal.

56%5/9
33%3/9
Conceded First

Share of matches where the team conceded the opening goal (lower is better).

44%4/9
67%4/6
Win when Scoring First83%

Of matches the team scored first, share converted into a win — closing strength after the opener.

100%5/5
67%2/3
Win when Conceding First46%

Of matches conceding first, share rescued into a win — comeback strength.

25%1/4
13'
Avg Min. 1st Goal Scored

Average minute of the team's first goal — earlier means faster starters.

24'
31'
Avg Min. 1st Goal Conceded

Average minute of the first goal conceded — later is better (defense holds longer).

23'

Late-Game Strength

Late-Game Strengthafter the 75th minute
events 10/1010/101010
40%4/10
Scored after 75'55%

Share of matches with a late goal scored by the team — late finishers signal.

70%7/10
0%0/10
Conceded after 75'

Share of matches the team conceded a late goal — late-game vulnerability (lower is better).

10%1/10
100%5/5
Lead Saved after 75'100%

Of matches leading at 75', share closed out for a win — closing strength.

100%6/6
0%0/5
Lead Lost after 75'

Of matches leading at 75', share dropped to a draw or loss — late-game collapse risk.

0%0/6
0%0/10
Any Goal in Stoppage Time

Share of matches with any goal in stoppage time (90+) — late-drama frequency.

10%1/10

Set Pieces

Set Piecespenalty / own-goal share
events 10/1010/101010
94%33/35
Open-Play Share95%

Of the team's scored goals, share from open play — non-set-piece scoring quality.

96%26/27
6%2/35
Penalty Share

Of the team's scored goals, share from penalty kicks — penalty dependency.

4%1/27
0%0/35
Opp Own-Goal Bonus

Of the team's scored goals, share that were opponent own-goals — pressure / fortune.

0%0/27
14%1/7
Penalty Conceded Share

Of conceded goals, share from opponent penalties — defensive discipline (lower is better).

0%0/7
0%0/7
Own-Goal Cost

Of conceded goals, share that were the team's own goals — pressure-induced errors (lower is better).

0%0/7

Corners

Cornersset-piece pressure
1010
4.50
Avg Corners For

Average corners won per match — attacking territorial pressure (> 5.5 is heavy).

2/100/10
4.00
Avg Corners Against

Average corners conceded per match — territorial pressure faced (lower is better).

2/100/10
53%
Corner Share

Share of total corners in the team's matches that went to the team — territorial dominance ratio.

2/100/10
0.48
EWMACorners Diff

Smoothed corner differential per match — long-term territorial advantage (±2 is strong).

-2.36
50%1/2
Match Corners > 8.5

Share of matches with total corners > 8.5 (Over 8.5 line) — high-tempo encounter signal.

0/0
2/100/10
50%1/2
Match Corners > 9.5

Share of matches with total corners > 9.5 (Over 9.5 line).

0/0
2/100/10
50%1/2
Match Corners > 10.5

Share of matches with total corners > 10.5 (Over 10.5 line) — corner-heavy clashes only.

0/0
2/100/10

Cards & Discipline

Cards & Disciplineyellows, reds & fouls
events 10/1010/101010
2.50
Avg Yellow Cards

Yellow cards picked up per match — discipline signal (lower is better).

2/100/10
0%0/2
Red Card Match Rate

Share of matches with at least one red card to the team — sending-off risk.

0/0
2/100/10
13.50
Avg Fouls

Fouls committed per match — aggression / tactical-foul tendency (lower is calmer).

2/100/10
83%5/6
Match Cards > 3.577%

Share of matches with total card points (both teams, yellow=1 / red=2, 2Y→R counted as 2) > 3.5 — Over 3.5 line.

71%5/7
6/107/10
67%4/6
Match Cards > 4.555%

Share of matches with total card points > 4.5 — Over 4.5 line.

43%3/7
6/107/10
76%
Cards in 2nd Half

Share of card events that occur after halftime — late-discipline tendency.

68%

Venue Edge

Venue EdgeVPS at home · Haka on the road
56
2.20
PPG at Venue

Points per match at the venue — home team at home, away team away.

2.17
60%3/5
Win Rate63%

Share of sampled matches won.

67%4/6
0%0/5
Loss Rate

Share of sampled matches lost (lower is better).

17%1/6
2.60
Avg Goals Scored

Goals scored per match across the sampled games.

2.50
0.80
Avg Goals Conceded

Goals conceded per match (lower is better).

0.17
40%2/5
Clean Sheet62%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

83%5/6
60%3/5
BTTS30%

Share of matches where both teams scored.

0%0/6
60%3/5
Over 2.555%

Share of venue matches with total goals > 2.5.

50%3/6
2.18
EWMAAttack xG (EWMA)

Smoothed xG created at venue — long-term attacking strength in this fixture's venue context.

2.17
1.22
EWMADefense xG (EWMA)

Smoothed xG conceded at venue — defensive strength in this fixture's venue context (lower is better).

0.85