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Away Favored
Jun 9, 2026, 08:00 PM
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This friendly clash sees Saudi Arabia and Senegal fine-tuning their squads in a final warm-up before their respective World Cup campaigns. Expect Senegal to dominate proceedings, leveraging their superior recent form and attacking prowess against a Saudi Arabia side looking to avoid further pre-tournament setbacks.
Home Motivation
Low
Saudi Arabia's motivation is low as this is a friendly match, serving solely as preparation for the upcoming World Cup.
Away Motivation
Low
Senegal's motivation is low as this is a friendly match, primarily for World Cup preparation and for players like Koulibaly and Gueye to regain match fitness.
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The Evidence
Betting Edge
Key Metrics
Home
Metric
Away
0.99
Goals scored per game
All comps (EWMA)
1.85
Senegal's recent-form average of 1.85 goals per game is nearly double Saudi Arabia's 0.99, highlighting a significant attacking disparity for this friendly.
1.06
Goals conceded per game
All comps (EWMA)
0.37
Senegal's defense is trending incredibly tight, conceding just 0.37 goals per game on a recent-form basis compared to Saudi Arabia's 1.06, indicating defensive dominance.
4.23
Shots on target per game
All comps (EWMA)
7.45
Senegal puts 7.45 shots on target per game in recent form, significantly more than Saudi Arabia's 4.23, suggesting greater offensive accuracy and threat.
2.27
Corners won per game
All comps (EWMA)
6.38
Senegal wins 6.38 corners per game on a recent-form basis, more than double Saudi Arabia's 2.27, which points to sustained pressure in offensive areas.
53%
Possession %
All comps (EWMA)
61%
Senegal commands 61% possession in recent matches, out-controlling Saudi Arabia's 53%. This midfield dominance will likely dictate the pace of the game.
Form & Streaks
Saudi Arabia have lost 6 of their last 10 matches across all competitions (4W,0D,6L in 10).
Senegal are in strong form across all competitions, winning 8 of their last 10 matches and drawing once (8W,1D,1L in 10).
In their last 10 away matches across all competitions, Senegal have won 5, drawn 3, and lost 2 (5W,3D,2L in 10).
Tactical Overview
Senegal comes into this fixture with far stronger momentum, boasting 8 wins and just 1 loss in their last 10 matches across all competitions, a stark contrast to Saudi Arabia's 4 wins and 6 losses in the same period. This translates directly to their offensive output; Senegal is trending at 1.85 goals scored per game on a recent-form basis, nearly double Saudi Arabia's 0.99. Defensively, Senegal is also significantly tighter, conceding just 0.37 goals per game in recent form compared to Saudi Arabia's 1.06. Without Kalidou Koulibaly and Idrissa Gueye (both doubts) in defense and midfield respectively, Senegal will need players like Moussa Niakhaté to maintain their strong defensive record, while Sadio Mané and Nicolas Jackson lead the attack. For Saudi Arabia, the likes of Salem Al Dawsari and Sultan Mandash will be crucial in carving out chances, but their challenge is clear given their opponents' form.
Match Context
Lineup Updates
Based on reports
Key Players
For Saudi Arabia, Salem Al-Dawsari is a key attacking threat, capable of creating chances from the flank. Midfielder Mohamed Kanno will be crucial in controlling the tempo of the game. Up front, Sultan Mandash has been in good form, scoring in recent matches and showing a strong work rate. Defensively, Mohammed Al-Owais is expected to start in goal, providing experience and stability.
Absences
Nawaf Al-Aqidi
undisclosed injury
Home
Key Players
For Saudi Arabia, Salem Al-Dawsari is a key attacking threat, capable of creating chances from the flank. Midfielder Mohamed Kanno will be crucial in controlling the tempo of the game. Up front, Sultan Mandash has been in good form, scoring in recent matches and showing a strong work rate. Defensively, Mohammed Al-Owais is expected to start in goal, providing experience and stability.
Absences
Nawaf Al-Aqidi
undisclosed injury
Away
Key Players
Senegal's attack is spearheaded by Sadio Mané, who remains a dangerous forward and has recently scored two goals in a single outing. Nicolas Jackson provides dynamic movement and pressing upfront, stretching defenses. In midfield, Krépin Diatta is important for controlling the tempo and creating opportunities, while Moussa Niakhaté forms a reliable presence in central defense.
Absences
Kalidou Koulibaly
thigh injury
Idrissa Gueye
muscle injury
Lineup info is never 100% confirmed until matchday. Additional players may be unavailable.
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