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Jun 4, 2026, 02:01 PM
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Spain returns to the Riazor for a final pre-World Cup rehearsal, aiming to maintain their high-scoring momentum against an Iraq side preparing for a historic tournament return. While the hosts are heavy favorites, the absence of their two most electric young wingers creates a tactical puzzle for Luis de la Fuente.
Home Motivation
Low
Spain has no competitive stakes as this is a friendly exhibition match ahead of the World Cup.
Away Motivation
Low
Iraq is playing a non-competitive friendly as part of their final training camp in Spain before the World Cup.
Market Picks
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The Evidence
Betting Edge
Key Metrics
Home
Metric
Away
9.01
Shots on target per game
All comps (EWMA)
2.68
Spain's recent-form average is more than triple that of Iraq, suggesting a heavy offensive tilt.
91%
Pass accuracy %
All comps (EWMA)
76%
A massive technical gap allows Spain to dictate the tempo and exhaust defensive blocks in recent matches.
80%
Over 2.5 %
Last 10 matches
30%
Spain matches frequently see high scoring totals compared to Iraq's more conservative outcomes.
67%
Possession %
All comps (EWMA)
45%
Spain's ability to maintain the ball in recent form (weighted toward most recent) will likely pin Iraq in their own half.
3.42
Goals scored per game
All comps (EWMA)
1.11
The hosts are trending at more than triple the scoring output of the visitors in recent form.
Form & Streaks
Spain is undefeated in their last 10 matches (7W, 3D, 0L) across all competitions.
Iraq has lost 4 of their last 10 away matches across all competitions.
Spain has won 7 of their last 10 matches at the Riazor (7W, 3D, 0L).
Tactical Overview
Spain enters this fixture trending at an impressive 3.42 goals scored per game in recent form, underscored by a dominant 70% win rate across their last 10 matches. They have been virtually untouchable at home, including high-scoring results like the 5-4 win over France and a 3-0 dispatching of Serbia. Defensively, they remain disciplined, allowing only 0.88 goals per game on a recent-form basis while suffocating opponents with 67% possession. Iraq arrives with a resilient record of six wins in their last 10 games, but their away form tells a different story with four losses in their last 10 trips, including recent defeats to Algeria and Jordan. Tactically, Iraq will likely retreat into a low block, as seen in their 10% Over 2.5 goals rate in away matches, hoping Merchas Doski can anchor a backline that faces a staggering 21.22 shots per game against Spain in recent form. Without Lamine Yamal and Nico Williams, expect Spain to lean heavily on Rodri to control the central zones and Ferran Torres to provide the necessary width.
Match Context
Lineup Updates
Based on reports
Key Players
Spain will rely on the experience of midfielder Rodri to dictate play and maintain control. In attack, Mikel Oyarzabal is expected to lead the line and provide a goal-scoring threat, while Ferran Torres can offer pace and creativity on the wing.
Absences
Pedri
undisclosed injury
Lamine Yamal
hamstring injury
Nico Williams
hamstring injury
Víctor Muñoz
muscle injury
Mikel Merino
ankle injury
Home
Key Players
Spain will rely on the experience of midfielder Rodri to dictate play and maintain control. In attack, Mikel Oyarzabal is expected to lead the line and provide a goal-scoring threat, while Ferran Torres can offer pace and creativity on the wing.
Absences
Pedri
undisclosed injury
Lamine Yamal
hamstring injury
Nico Williams
hamstring injury
Víctor Muñoz
muscle injury
Mikel Merino
ankle injury
Away
Key Players
Iraq's defensive solidity will be important, with Merchas Doski expected to play a key role in the backline. Midfielder Amir Al-Ammari will be vital in central areas, contributing to both defense and attack. Upfront, Aymen Hussein is anticipated to lead the charge, with Ali Al Hamadi also pushing for a prominent attacking role.
Absences
Absence information is not yet available. Check back closer to kickoff for confirmed lineups.
Lineup info is never 100% confirmed until matchday. Additional players may be unavailable.
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