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Northern Ireland vs Guinea - 1X2 Stats & Probability Analysis

Win Draw Win Probability Models & Match Outcome Analysis

World

World

Friendlies

Northern Ireland

D
L
W
L
L
W

04 Jun 2026

16:00 (UTC+0)

(1
-
0)

1

-

0

FT

Guinea

L
D
D
W
D
W

ODDS ANALYSIS

Odds & Probability

Fulltime

Home

2.18
-

Draw

3.00
-

Away

3.50
-

1st Half

Home

2.91
-

Draw

1.91
-

Away

4.19
-

2nd Half

Home

2.66
-

Draw

2.17
-

Away

3.76
-

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MATCH EVIDENCE

Form & Performance

All Competitions

All matches

Home only

/

Away only

Last 3

Most recent trend

55%

33%

67%

67%

Home only

Away only

Last 6

Short-term form

44%

58%

75%

61%

Home only

Away only

Last 10

Medium-term form

46%

55%

85%

57%

Home only

Away only

Last 20

Reliable baseline

52%

56%

62%

50%

Home only

Away only

Season

Full season average

65%

25%

-

-

Home only

Away only

Total Goals

average per game

All Competitions

Poor
Attack
Good
Good
Defense
Good

Last 6

Recent form across all competitions

Difference

-0.17
0.67
0.83

Scored

Conceded

1.5
1.17

Difference

+0.33

Home vs Away Last 6

Home games only vs away games only

Difference

+0.83
1.17
0.33

Scored

Conceded

1.17
1

Difference

+0.17

Last 10 (Trimmed)

Average of last 10 — highest & lowest removed

Difference

-0.12
0.88
1

Scored

Conceded

1.38
1.12

Difference

+0.25

Last 20

Larger sample for reliable trends

Difference

+0.05
1.3
1.25

Scored

Conceded

1.15
0.9

Difference

+0.25

Season

Full season averages

Difference

0
1
1

Scored

Conceded

1
1.5

Difference

-0.5

Total Goals Momentum

Normal

Conservative (less goals)

Normal

Epic

Home vs Away Strength

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Total Goals

average per game

All Competitions

Poor
Attack
Good
Good
Defense
Good

Last 6

Recent form across all competitions

Difference

-0.17
0.67
0.83

Scored

Conceded

1.5
1.17

Difference

+0.33

Home vs Away Last 6

Home games only vs away games only

Difference

+0.83
1.17
0.33

Scored

Conceded

1.17
1

Difference

+0.17

Last 10 (Trimmed)

Average of last 10 — highest & lowest removed

Difference

-0.12
0.88
1

Scored

Conceded

1.38
1.12

Difference

+0.25

Last 20

Larger sample for reliable trends

Difference

+0.05
1.3
1.25

Scored

Conceded

1.15
0.9

Difference

+0.25

Season

Full season averages

Difference

0
1
1

Scored

Conceded

1
1.5

Difference

-0.5

Total Goals Momentum

Normal

Conservative (less goals)

Normal

Epic

Form & Performance

All Competitions

All matches

Home only

/

Away only

Last 3

Most recent trend

55%

33%

67%

67%

Home only

Away only

Last 6

Short-term form

44%

58%

75%

61%

Home only

Away only

Last 10

Medium-term form

46%

55%

85%

57%

Home only

Away only

Last 20

Reliable baseline

52%

56%

62%

50%

Home only

Away only

Season

Full season average

65%

25%

-

-

Home only

Away only

Home vs Away Strength

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HEAD TO HEAD

Head to Head

Last 365 days

No Matches

No matches found

All Matches

No Matches

No matches found

Fatigue Calendar

Mon

Tue

Wed

Thu

Fri

Sat

Sun

18/05
19/05
20/05
21/05
22/05
23/05
24/05
25/05
26/05
27/05
28/05
29/05
30/05
31/05
01/06
02/06
03/06

Home

1:0

04/06

05/06
06/06
07/06

Away

?

08/06

09/06
10/06
11/06
12/06
13/06
14/06

Head to Head

Last 365 days

No Matches

No matches found

All Matches

No Matches

No matches found

Fatigue Calendar

Mon

Tue

Wed

Thu

Fri

Sat

Sun

18/05
19/05
20/05
21/05
22/05
23/05
24/05
25/05
26/05
27/05
28/05
29/05
30/05
31/05
01/06
02/06
03/06

Home

1:0

04/06

05/06
06/06
07/06

Away

?

08/06

09/06
10/06
11/06
12/06
13/06
14/06

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Filter by Competition, Period, Teams, and Half-Times for Tailored Analysis

Competition

Period

Side

FT/HT

MATCH EVIDENCE

Goals History

Northern Ireland

Guinea

Last Matches (1X2)

Fulltime

Date
Teams
Odds
Result
World

World | Friendlies

FT

04/06

16:00

Northern Ireland
Guinea
1
0

H

2.18

D

3.00

A

3.50

W
World

World | Friendlies

FT

31/03

18:45

Wales
Northern Ireland
1
1

H

1.74

D

3.60

A

4.52

D
World

World | World Cup - Qualification Europe

FT

26/03

19:45

Italy
Northern Ireland
2
0

H

1.26

D

5.52

A

12.77

L
World

World | World Cup - Qualification Europe

FT

17/11

19:45

Northern Ireland
Luxembourg
1
0

H

1.70

D

3.56

A

5.46

W
World

World | World Cup - Qualification Europe

FT

14/11

19:45

Slovakia
Northern Ireland
1
0

H

2.10

D

3.05

A

3.96

L
World

World | World Cup - Qualification Europe

FT

13/10

18:45

Northern Ireland
Germany
0
1

H

8.33

D

5.13

A

1.36

L
World

World | World Cup - Qualification Europe

FT

10/10

18:45

Northern Ireland
Slovakia
2
0

H

2.51

D

2.88

A

3.17

W
Wins
Draws
Losses
Easy
Average
Hard

Northern Ireland

Date
Teams
Odds
Result
World

World | Friendlies

FT

04/06

16:00

Northern Ireland
Guinea
1
0

H

2.18

D

3.00

A

3.50

W
World

World | Friendlies

FT

31/03

18:45

Wales
Northern Ireland
1
1

H

1.74

D

3.60

A

4.52

D
World

World | World Cup - Qualification Europe

FT

26/03

19:45

Italy
Northern Ireland
2
0

H

1.26

D

5.52

A

12.77

L
World

World | World Cup - Qualification Europe

FT

17/11

19:45

Northern Ireland
Luxembourg
1
0

H

1.70

D

3.56

A

5.46

W
World

World | World Cup - Qualification Europe

FT

14/11

19:45

Slovakia
Northern Ireland
1
0

H

2.10

D

3.05

A

3.96

L
World

World | World Cup - Qualification Europe

FT

13/10

18:45

Northern Ireland
Germany
0
1

H

8.33

D

5.13

A

1.36

L
World

World | World Cup - Qualification Europe

FT

10/10

18:45

Northern Ireland
Slovakia
2
0

H

2.51

D

2.88

A

3.17

W
Wins
Draws
Losses
Easy
Average
Hard

Guinea

Date
Teams
Odds
Result
World

World | Friendlies

FT

04/06

16:00

Northern Ireland
Guinea
1
0

H

2.18

D

3.00

A

3.50

L
World

World | Friendlies

FT

31/03

18:00

Guinea
Benin
0
1

H

2.08

D

3.07

A

3.64

L
World

World | Friendlies

FT

27/03

15:00

Guinea
Togo
2
2

H

2.06

D

3.26

A

3.71

D
World

World | Friendlies

FT

18/11

15:30

Guinea
Niger
1
1

H

2.08

D

3.10

A

3.60

D
World

World | Friendlies

FT

15/11

15:30

Guinea
Liberia
2
0
W
World

World | World Cup - Qualification Africa

FT

14/10

16:00

Guinea
Botswana
2
2

H

1.70

D

3.28

A

5.14

D
World

World | World Cup - Qualification Africa

FT

09/10

16:00

Mozambique
Guinea
1
2

H

2.42

D

2.96

A

2.94

W
Wins
Draws
Losses
Easy
Average
Hard

Lineups

Current Lineup

Avg Changes: 3.78 per game

Pos

Name

Rating

PR

Forwards

9

Kieran Morrison

6.2
H

14

Isaac Price

7.3
L

10

Jamie Donley

6
H

Midfielders

11

Paul Smyth

6.9
H

6

Jamie McDonnell

6.6
H

19

Shea Charles

7.3
L

15

Justin Devenny

6.9
M

Defenders

4

Tom Atcheson

7.2
H

3

Ruairi McConville

7.9
H

22

Ciaron Brown

7.3
H

Goalkeepers

1

Pierce Charles

7.5
M

Northern Ireland

Current Lineup

Avg Changes: 3.78 per game

Pos

Name

Rating

PR

Forwards

9

Kieran Morrison

6.2
H

14

Isaac Price

7.3
L

10

Jamie Donley

6
H

Midfielders

11

Paul Smyth

6.9
H

6

Jamie McDonnell

6.6
H

19

Shea Charles

7.3
L

15

Justin Devenny

6.9
M

Defenders

4

Tom Atcheson

7.2
H

3

Ruairi McConville

7.9
H

22

Ciaron Brown

7.3
H

Goalkeepers

1

Pierce Charles

7.5
M

Guinea

Current Lineup

Avg Changes: 6.4 per game

High Team Rotation!
Frequent lineup changes help manage fatigue but may disrupt team chemistry

Pos

Name

Rating

PR

Forwards

9

Abdoul Karim Traoré

5.9
-

Midfielders

17

Mohamed Toure

6.3
-

15

Seydouba Cisse

6
-

18

Ibrahima Sory Bangoura

7.5
-

6

Amadou Diawara

6.9
-

12

Ousmane Camara

6.2
-

Defenders

2

Ibrahima Fofana

6.3
-

4

Mohamed Soumah

7.2
-

20

Mory Konate

7.3
-

21

Sekou Sylla

6.9
-

Goalkeepers

1

Soumaïla Sylla

7.6
-

Note: Missing historical data for 4 matches

Player Rotation Legend

L

Low

M

Medium

H

High

-

Unknown

  • Low: Regular starter with stable minutes
  • Medium: Plays regularly but role/minutes vary
  • High: Unpredictable role, often rotated or benched.

Overall Form

46%
Overall Form
57%
4
Wins
3
1
Draws
5
5
Losses
2

Quality

49%
Team Quality
58%
54%
Avg Opponent Quality
52%

Goals Performance

43%
Goals Performance
54%
1
Scored Goals
1.4
1.1
Conceded Goals
1
-0.1
Goals Difference
(Scored - Conceded)
0.4
2.1
Total Goals
(Scored + Conceded)
2.4

Average Goals per Match

vs

Statistics

Average Statistics per Game

1.05
Expected Goals
Missing Data (8 | 10)
-
8.8
Total Shots
-
2.5
Shots on Goal
-
5.5
Shots Inside Box
-
3.3
Shots Outside Box
-
35%
Possession
-
71%
Passes %
-

Some data is missing for recent matches.

(Home: 0 | Away: 10)

We're working to fill in the gaps!

ODDS ANALYSIS

Odds Movement

All odds shown are the average odds from all bookmakers in our system.

Home

2.18

Draw

3.00

Away

3.50

2.04

Home

2.18

3.00

Draw

3.15

3.43

Away

3.68

Max

Home

2.18

Draw

3.15

Away

3.68

%

7%
5%
7%

Min

Home

2.04

Draw

3.00

Away

3.43

NOTE: Odds are updated every 3 hours.

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