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Home Favored
Jun 6, 2026, 04:04 PM
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Second-placed America SP hosts third-placed Tupa in a Paulista Série B clash where home advantage and recent defensive solidity face an opponent boasting a potent attack. This encounter is set to be a tight affair with league positioning on the line.
Home Motivation
Medium
Away Motivation
Medium
Market Picks
Portal Pulse
The Evidence
Betting Edge
Key Metrics
Home
Metric
Away
0.58
Goals conceded per game
All comps (EWMA)
1.42
America SP's recent-form defensive record (0.58 goals conceded per game) is significantly tighter than Tupa's (1.42 goals conceded per game), highlighting a clear edge for the home side.
57%
Clean sheet %
Paulista Série B ONLY
20%
America SP boast a 57% clean sheet rate in Paulista Série B matches, well above Tupa's 20% in the same competition, indicating America SP's greater ability to shut out opponents.
0.94
Goals scored per game
All comps (EWMA)
1.67
On a recent-form basis, Tupa's attack has been more prolific, scoring 1.67 goals per game compared to America SP's 0.94 goals per game.
3.0
PPG (3/1/0)
Paulista Série B AT VENUE
1.00
In Paulista Série B home fixtures, America SP averages an impressive 3.0 points per game, far exceeding Tupa's 1.1 points per game in Paulista Série B away fixtures.
0%
BTTS %
Paulista Série B AT VENUE
100%
The Paulista Série B AT VENUE data shows America SP keeping clean sheets at home (0% BTTS), while Tupa's away games are consistently featuring both teams scoring (100% BTTS).
100%
Win rate %
Paulista Série B AT VENUE
30%
America SP hold a perfect 100% win rate in their limited Paulista Série B home sample, significantly outperforming Tupa's 30% win rate in their away league matches.
Form & Streaks
America SP are undefeated in their last 10 home matches across all competitions (3W, 4D, 3L).
America SP have won all 3 of their Paulista Série B home matches this season, conceding zero goals.
Tupa have lost 5 of their last 10 away matches in Paulista Série B.
Tupa have conceded in 100% of their last 10 Paulista Série B away matches.
Tactical Overview
America SP has built their strong league position on an imperious home record, remaining undefeated in their last 10 home matches across all competitions, conceding just 7 goals and keeping 5 clean sheets in that span. Their Paulista Série B home record is even more commanding, boasting three wins from three, with zero goals conceded. In contrast, Tupa's away form in the league is concerning, losing five of their last ten away matches and conceding a staggering 21 goals. However, Tupa have shown attacking prowess, especially in their recent five away games in all competitions where they've scored 19 goals. They also defeated America SP 2-0 just a month ago in their most recent head-to-head encounter, indicating they can find a way past their hosts. The league standings are tight, with America SP holding a slight edge on points, making this a crucial fixture for both sides.
Match Context
Lineup Updates
Based on reports
Key Players
America SP, currently in second place in the Paulista Série B, will rely on their strong home form where they are currently undefeated. Their recent matches indicate a disciplined defensive approach.
Absences
Absence information is not yet available. Check back closer to kickoff for confirmed lineups.
Home
Key Players
America SP, currently in second place in the Paulista Série B, will rely on their strong home form where they are currently undefeated. Their recent matches indicate a disciplined defensive approach.
Absences
Absence information is not yet available. Check back closer to kickoff for confirmed lineups.
Away
Key Players
Tupa, positioned third in the league, has shown a capable attack in recent outings, scoring nine goals in their last five matches. Ronalt Marques is a player to watch for Tupa, and his inclusion in the starting lineup will be confirmed closer to the match.
Absences
Absence information is not yet available. Check back closer to kickoff for confirmed lineups.
Lineup info is never 100% confirmed until matchday. Additional players may be unavailable.
Insider Intel