First League·
Relegation Group - 36·05/18/2026·12:30
Beroe
Beroe
DWDWW
0-1
Finished
HT0-0
Septemvri Sofia
Septemvri Sofia
WDLDD
📍 Stadion Beroe, Stara Zagora
Season statsFirst League
Beroe35matchesSofia35matches

Every panel below reflects each team's matches in First League.

Coverage varies by leaguetop-tier competitions have richer per-match data; lower divisions and smaller leagues track fewer metrics, so some panels may be sparse or missing entirely.
Pre-match snapshotevery value reflects each team's state going into kick-off — frozen before the match starts, not updated live.

Overall

Overallteam-strength snapshot
65%
Overall

Composite team strength — average of LTQ and Hype.

54%
1410
ELO

Chess-style strength rating going into kick-off.

1338
56%
LTQ

Long-term quality across all competitions.

47%
73%
Hype

Short-term fixture buzz / excitement signal.

61%
2.19
Momentum

Recent goal-scoring trend (weighted goals signal).

1.90

Match Outcome

Match Outcomeresults breakdown
3535
0.97
Points per Game

Average points per match across the sampled games (max 3).

0.91
20%
Win Rate

Share of sampled matches won.

23%
37%
Draw Rate

Share of sampled matches that ended level.

23%
43%
Loss Rate

Share of sampled matches lost (lower is better).

54%
37%
Clean Sheet30%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

23%
43%
Failed to Score

Share of matches where the team didn't score (lower is better).

37%

Goal Scoring

Goal Scoringattacking output
3535
0.80
Avg Goals Scored

Goals scored per match across the sampled games.

0.86
57%
Scored > 0.560%

Share of matches where the team scored at least once.

63%
60%
Over 1.567%

Share of matches with total goals > 1.5.

74%
49%
Over 2.550%

Share of matches with total goals > 2.5.

51%
23%
Over 3.524%

Share of matches with total goals > 3.5 — high-scoring affairs.

26%
43%
BTTS46%

Share of matches where both teams scored.

49%
6%
BTTS & Win

Share of matches won while both teams scored — strong attack with a defensive lapse.

9%
6%
Scored Both Halves7%

Share of matches with a goal in both the 1st and 2nd half.

9%

Defensive Solidity

Defensive Soliditygoals & shots conceded
3535
1.37
Avg Goals Conceded

Goals conceded per match (lower is better).

1.80
20.67
Avg Shots Conceded

Total shots faced per match — defensive pressure (> 17.5/match is heavy siege).

15.40
3/355/35
6.33
Avg SoT Conceded

Shots on target faced per match — quality of chances given up (> 5.5 is severe).

7.00
3/355/35
6.00
Avg Saves

Goalkeeper saves per match (> 4.5 means the keeper is doing heavy lifting).

3.80
3/355/35
95%
Save %75%

Share of opponent shots on target stopped by the keeper.

54%
3/355/35
37%
Clean Sheet30%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

23%

xG Trends

xG TrendsEWMA-smoothed performance
3535
1.19
EWMAxG For

Smoothed expected goals created per match — top attacks hit > 2.5/match, mid-table sits around 1.4.

0.98
1.44
EWMAxG Against

Smoothed expected goals conceded per match — elite defenses < 1.0, struggling sides > 2.0.

1.49
-0.26
EWMAxG Diff

Net xG: attack minus defense. ±1 is dominant/poor; ±2 is title-contender or crisis-level.

-0.52
-0.29
EWMAFinishing Edge

Goals scored minus xG. +0.3 is clinical, −0.3 is wasteful; ±1 is statistical outlier.

-0.17
0.17
EWMAxG per Shot

Average chance quality per attempt — 0.10 is mid, 0.15+ means the team only shoots from dangerous spots.

0.13

Shots Quality

Shots Qualityvolume & accuracy
3535
7.00
Avg Shots

Total shots per match — pure attacking volume (> 16.5/match is elite).

7.60
3/355/35
2.33
Avg Shots on Target

Shots on target per match — strikes the keeper had to handle (> 5.5/match is heavy).

2.60
3/355/35
2.33
Avg Shots in Box

Shots taken from inside the penalty area — proximity to goal (> 8.5/match means consistent box presence).

3.60
3/355/35
33%
Box Shot %40%

Share of shots taken from inside the box — chance-selection quality. Mid sits ~60%, elite > 75%.

47%
3/355/35
33%
On-Target %34%

Share of shots that hit the target — striking accuracy. Mid ~33%, elite > 40%.

34%
3/355/35
0%
Shot Conversion3%

Goals per shot taken — clinical efficiency. ~10% is league average, > 15% is elite finishing.

5%
3/355/35

Possession & Passing

Possession & Passingball control
3535
41%
Avg Possession

Share of match time with the ball. > 55% is dominant, < 40% is reactive.

50%
3/355/35
76%
Pass Accuracy

Share of passes completed — distribution quality. Mid sits ~80%, elite > 88%.

79%
3/355/35
273.00
Avg Passes

Total passes attempted per match — distribution volume. Top sides > 550, bottom sides < 400.

366.20
3/355/35
-0.18
EWMAPossession Trend

Smoothed possession differential — team minus opponent. ±0.1 is normal, ±0.2 is strong dominance.

0.00

HT / FT Patterns

HT / FT Patternshalf-time vs full-time outcomes
3535
17%6/35
Leading at HT17%

Share of matches the team led at halftime — fast-start signal.

17%6/35
57%20/35
Level at HT

Share of matches level at halftime — balanced or low-tempo openings.

40%14/35
26%9/35
Trailing at HT

Share of matches the team trailed at halftime — slow starts (lower is better).

43%15/35
54%19/35
HT/FT Same Outcome59%

Share of matches where the W/D/L state at halftime matched the full-time result — game-state stability.

63%22/35
33%2/6
Led at HT → Won50%

Of matches led at HT, share converted into a full-time win — closing strength.

67%4/6
22%2/9
Trailed at HT → Recovered18%

Of matches trailing at HT, share rescued to a draw or win — comeback resilience.

13%2/15

Goal Timing

Goal Timingwhen goals happen
events 35/3535/353535
6%
0-15'5%

Hot starts — share of the team's goals scored in the opening 15 minutes.

3%
13%
16-30'15%

Early control — share scored between the 16th and 30th minute.

16%
16%
31-45'21%

Pre-HT push — share scored in the run-up to halftime.

26%
26%
46-60'26%

Restart wave — share scored in the first 15 minutes after HT.

26%
13%
61-75'10%

Game-state shift — share scored between minutes 61 and 75.

6%
26%
76-90+'24%

Late-game finishers — share scored from the 76th minute onwards (incl. stoppage time).

23%

First-Goal Edge

First-Goal Edgewho strikes first
events 35/3535/353535
56%15/27
Scored First47%

Share of matches where the team opened the scoring — fast-start signal.

38%12/32
44%12/27
Conceded First

Share of matches where the team conceded the opening goal (lower is better).

63%20/32
40%6/15
Win when Scoring First45%

Of matches the team scored first, share converted into a win — closing strength after the opener.

50%6/12
8%1/12
Win when Conceding First9%

Of matches conceding first, share rescued into a win — comeback strength.

10%2/20
41'
Avg Min. 1st Goal Scored

Average minute of the team's first goal — earlier means faster starters.

44'
28'
Avg Min. 1st Goal Conceded

Average minute of the first goal conceded — later is better (defense holds longer).

25'

Late-Game Strength

Late-Game Strengthafter the 75th minute
events 35/3535/353535
23%8/35
Scored after 75'20%

Share of matches with a late goal scored by the team — late finishers signal.

17%6/35
26%9/35
Conceded after 75'

Share of matches the team conceded a late goal — late-game vulnerability (lower is better).

34%12/35
71%5/7
Lead Saved after 75'66%

Of matches leading at 75', share closed out for a win — closing strength.

60%6/10
29%2/7
Lead Lost after 75'

Of matches leading at 75', share dropped to a draw or loss — late-game collapse risk.

40%4/10
0%0/35
Any Goal in Stoppage Time

Share of matches with any goal in stoppage time (90+) — late-drama frequency.

3%1/35

Set Pieces

Set Piecespenalty / own-goal share
events 35/3535/353535
84%26/31
Open-Play Share85%

Of the team's scored goals, share from open play — non-set-piece scoring quality.

87%27/31
6%2/31
Penalty Share

Of the team's scored goals, share from penalty kicks — penalty dependency.

10%3/31
10%3/31
Opp Own-Goal Bonus

Of the team's scored goals, share that were opponent own-goals — pressure / fortune.

3%1/31
7%3/45
Penalty Conceded Share

Of conceded goals, share from opponent penalties — defensive discipline (lower is better).

10%6/63
0%0/45
Own-Goal Cost

Of conceded goals, share that were the team's own goals — pressure-induced errors (lower is better).

2%1/63

Corners

Cornersset-piece pressure
3535
2.67
Avg Corners For

Average corners won per match — attacking territorial pressure (> 5.5 is heavy).

3.20
3/355/35
8.00
Avg Corners Against

Average corners conceded per match — territorial pressure faced (lower is better).

6.00
3/355/35
25%
Corner Share30%

Share of total corners in the team's matches that went to the team — territorial dominance ratio.

35%
3/355/35
-5.08
EWMACorners Diff

Smoothed corner differential per match — long-term territorial advantage (±2 is strong).

-2.89
100%3/3
Match Corners > 8.570%

Share of matches with total corners > 8.5 (Over 8.5 line) — high-tempo encounter signal.

40%2/5
3/355/35
67%2/3
Match Corners > 9.553%

Share of matches with total corners > 9.5 (Over 9.5 line).

40%2/5
3/355/35
33%1/3
Match Corners > 10.537%

Share of matches with total corners > 10.5 (Over 10.5 line) — corner-heavy clashes only.

40%2/5
3/355/35

Cards & Discipline

Cards & Disciplineyellows, reds & fouls
events 35/3535/353535
2.50
Avg Yellow Cards

Yellow cards picked up per match — discipline signal (lower is better).

2.60
4/355/35
25%1/4
Red Card Match Rate

Share of matches with at least one red card to the team — sending-off risk.

20%1/5
4/355/35
9.75
Avg Fouls

Fouls committed per match — aggression / tactical-foul tendency (lower is calmer).

11.40
4/355/35
88%29/33
Match Cards > 3.587%

Share of matches with total card points (both teams, yellow=1 / red=2, 2Y→R counted as 2) > 3.5 — Over 3.5 line.

85%29/34
33/3534/35
73%24/33
Match Cards > 4.567%

Share of matches with total card points > 4.5 — Over 4.5 line.

62%21/34
33/3534/35
67%
Cards in 2nd Half

Share of card events that occur after halftime — late-discipline tendency.

68%

Venue Edge

Venue EdgeBeroe at home · Sofia on the road
1718
0.94
PPG at Venue

Points per match at the venue — home team at home, away team away.

0.72
18%3/17
Win Rate17%

Share of sampled matches won.

17%3/18
41%7/17
Loss Rate

Share of sampled matches lost (lower is better).

61%11/18
0.76
Avg Goals Scored

Goals scored per match across the sampled games.

0.78
1.29
Avg Goals Conceded

Goals conceded per match (lower is better).

2.06
41%7/17
Clean Sheet26%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

11%2/18
35%6/17
BTTS43%

Share of matches where both teams scored.

50%9/18
47%8/17
Over 2.551%

Share of venue matches with total goals > 2.5.

56%10/18
1.04
EWMAAttack xG (EWMA)

Smoothed xG created at venue — long-term attacking strength in this fixture's venue context.

1.08
1.65
EWMADefense xG (EWMA)

Smoothed xG conceded at venue — defensive strength in this fixture's venue context (lower is better).

1.89