First League·
Championship Group - 33·05/09/2026·11:45
Levski Sofia
Levski Sofia
WWDWD
0-1
Finished
HT0-0
Ludogorets
Ludogorets
LDLLL
📍 Vivacom Arena Georgi Asparuhov, Sofia
Season statsFirst League
Sofia32matchesLudogorets32matches

Every panel below reflects each team's matches in First League.

Coverage varies by leaguetop-tier competitions have richer per-match data; lower divisions and smaller leagues track fewer metrics, so some panels may be sparse or missing entirely.
Pre-match snapshotevery value reflects each team's state going into kick-off — frozen before the match starts, not updated live.

Overall

Overallteam-strength snapshot
79%
Overall

Composite team strength — average of LTQ and Hype.

44%
1756
ELO

Chess-style strength rating going into kick-off.

1686
74%
LTQ

Long-term quality across all competitions.

59%
84%
Hype

Short-term fixture buzz / excitement signal.

29%
2.39
Momentum

Recent goal-scoring trend (weighted goals signal).

1.67

Match Outcome

Match Outcomeresults breakdown
3232
2.38
Points per Game

Average points per match across the sampled games (max 3).

1.88
75%
Win Rate

Share of sampled matches won.

53%
13%
Draw Rate

Share of sampled matches that ended level.

28%
13%
Loss Rate

Share of sampled matches lost (lower is better).

19%
41%
Clean Sheet47%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

53%
19%
Failed to Score

Share of matches where the team didn't score (lower is better).

22%

Goal Scoring

Goal Scoringattacking output
3232
2.13
Avg Goals Scored

Goals scored per match across the sampled games.

1.81
81%
Scored > 0.580%

Share of matches where the team scored at least once.

78%
69%
Over 1.570%

Share of matches with total goals > 1.5.

72%
59%
Over 2.555%

Share of matches with total goals > 2.5.

50%
34%
Over 3.527%

Share of matches with total goals > 3.5 — high-scoring affairs.

19%
47%
BTTS44%

Share of matches where both teams scored.

41%
41%
BTTS & Win

Share of matches won while both teams scored — strong attack with a defensive lapse.

16%
38%
Scored Both Halves41%

Share of matches with a goal in both the 1st and 2nd half.

44%

Defensive Solidity

Defensive Soliditygoals & shots conceded
3232
0.72
Avg Goals Conceded

Goals conceded per match (lower is better).

0.72
8.25
Avg Shots Conceded

Total shots faced per match — defensive pressure (> 17.5/match is heavy siege).

5.56
8/329/32
3.50
Avg SoT Conceded

Shots on target faced per match — quality of chances given up (> 5.5 is severe).

2.33
8/329/32
2.63
Avg Saves

Goalkeeper saves per match (> 4.5 means the keeper is doing heavy lifting).

1.56
8/329/32
75%
Save %71%

Share of opponent shots on target stopped by the keeper.

67%
8/329/32
41%
Clean Sheet47%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

53%

xG Trends

xG TrendsEWMA-smoothed performance
3232
1.99
EWMAxG For

Smoothed expected goals created per match — top attacks hit > 2.5/match, mid-table sits around 1.4.

1.97
0.76
EWMAxG Against

Smoothed expected goals conceded per match — elite defenses < 1.0, struggling sides > 2.0.

0.78
1.23
EWMAxG Diff

Net xG: attack minus defense. ±1 is dominant/poor; ±2 is title-contender or crisis-level.

1.19
-0.02
EWMAFinishing Edge

Goals scored minus xG. +0.3 is clinical, −0.3 is wasteful; ±1 is statistical outlier.

-0.27
0.14
EWMAxG per Shot

Average chance quality per attempt — 0.10 is mid, 0.15+ means the team only shoots from dangerous spots.

0.12

Shots Quality

Shots Qualityvolume & accuracy
3232
15.00
Avg Shots

Total shots per match — pure attacking volume (> 16.5/match is elite).

16.56
8/329/32
6.25
Avg Shots on Target

Shots on target per match — strikes the keeper had to handle (> 5.5/match is heavy).

5.56
8/329/32
9.88
Avg Shots in Box

Shots taken from inside the penalty area — proximity to goal (> 8.5/match means consistent box presence).

10.22
8/329/32
66%
Box Shot %64%

Share of shots taken from inside the box — chance-selection quality. Mid sits ~60%, elite > 75%.

62%
8/329/32
42%
On-Target %38%

Share of shots that hit the target — striking accuracy. Mid ~33%, elite > 40%.

34%
8/329/32
23%
Shot Conversion17%

Goals per shot taken — clinical efficiency. ~10% is league average, > 15% is elite finishing.

12%
8/329/32

Possession & Passing

Possession & Passingball control
3232
62%
Avg Possession

Share of match time with the ball. > 55% is dominant, < 40% is reactive.

65%
8/329/32
84%
Pass Accuracy

Share of passes completed — distribution quality. Mid sits ~80%, elite > 88%.

85%
8/329/32
495.75
Avg Passes

Total passes attempted per match — distribution volume. Top sides > 550, bottom sides < 400.

594.22
8/329/32
0.23
EWMAPossession Trend

Smoothed possession differential — team minus opponent. ±0.1 is normal, ±0.2 is strong dominance.

0.32

HT / FT Patterns

HT / FT Patternshalf-time vs full-time outcomes
3232
38%12/32
Leading at HT36%

Share of matches the team led at halftime — fast-start signal.

34%11/32
50%16/32
Level at HT

Share of matches level at halftime — balanced or low-tempo openings.

38%12/32
13%4/32
Trailing at HT

Share of matches the team trailed at halftime — slow starts (lower is better).

28%9/32
56%18/32
HT/FT Same Outcome63%

Share of matches where the W/D/L state at halftime matched the full-time result — game-state stability.

69%22/32
100%12/12
Led at HT → Won100%

Of matches led at HT, share converted into a full-time win — closing strength.

100%11/11
50%2/4
Trailed at HT → Recovered47%

Of matches trailing at HT, share rescued to a draw or win — comeback resilience.

44%4/9

Goal Timing

Goal Timingwhen goals happen
events 32/3232/323232
12%
0-15'8%

Hot starts — share of the team's goals scored in the opening 15 minutes.

4%
8%
16-30'12%

Early control — share scored between the 16th and 30th minute.

16%
15%
31-45'16%

Pre-HT push — share scored in the run-up to halftime.

16%
20%
46-60'22%

Restart wave — share scored in the first 15 minutes after HT.

25%
20%
61-75'16%

Game-state shift — share scored between minutes 61 and 75.

12%
25%
76-90+'26%

Late-game finishers — share scored from the 76th minute onwards (incl. stoppage time).

28%

First-Goal Edge

First-Goal Edgewho strikes first
events 32/3232/323232
73%22/30
Scored First61%

Share of matches where the team opened the scoring — fast-start signal.

48%13/27
27%8/30
Conceded First

Share of matches where the team conceded the opening goal (lower is better).

52%14/27
91%20/22
Win when Scoring First95%

Of matches the team scored first, share converted into a win — closing strength after the opener.

100%13/13
50%4/8
Win when Conceding First39%

Of matches conceding first, share rescued into a win — comeback strength.

29%4/14
39'
Avg Min. 1st Goal Scored

Average minute of the team's first goal — earlier means faster starters.

34'
40'
Avg Min. 1st Goal Conceded

Average minute of the first goal conceded — later is better (defense holds longer).

25'

Late-Game Strength

Late-Game Strengthafter the 75th minute
events 32/3232/323232
38%12/32
Scored after 75'39%

Share of matches with a late goal scored by the team — late finishers signal.

41%13/32
28%9/32
Conceded after 75'

Share of matches the team conceded a late goal — late-game vulnerability (lower is better).

19%6/32
89%17/19
Lead Saved after 75'95%

Of matches leading at 75', share closed out for a win — closing strength.

100%13/13
11%2/19
Lead Lost after 75'

Of matches leading at 75', share dropped to a draw or loss — late-game collapse risk.

0%0/13
0%0/32
Any Goal in Stoppage Time

Share of matches with any goal in stoppage time (90+) — late-drama frequency.

3%1/32

Set Pieces

Set Piecespenalty / own-goal share
events 32/3232/323232
86%56/65
Open-Play Share86%

Of the team's scored goals, share from open play — non-set-piece scoring quality.

86%49/57
11%7/65
Penalty Share

Of the team's scored goals, share from penalty kicks — penalty dependency.

12%7/57
3%2/65
Opp Own-Goal Bonus

Of the team's scored goals, share that were opponent own-goals — pressure / fortune.

2%1/57
0%0/26
Penalty Conceded Share

Of conceded goals, share from opponent penalties — defensive discipline (lower is better).

0%0/24
19%5/26
Own-Goal Cost

Of conceded goals, share that were the team's own goals — pressure-induced errors (lower is better).

8%2/24

Corners

Cornersset-piece pressure
3232
5.88
Avg Corners For

Average corners won per match — attacking territorial pressure (> 5.5 is heavy).

8.56
8/329/32
2.75
Avg Corners Against

Average corners conceded per match — territorial pressure faced (lower is better).

1.44
8/329/32
68%
Corner Share77%

Share of total corners in the team's matches that went to the team — territorial dominance ratio.

86%
8/329/32
3.19
EWMACorners Diff

Smoothed corner differential per match — long-term territorial advantage (±2 is strong).

7.33
63%5/8
Match Corners > 8.565%

Share of matches with total corners > 8.5 (Over 8.5 line) — high-tempo encounter signal.

67%6/9
8/329/32
50%4/8
Match Corners > 9.553%

Share of matches with total corners > 9.5 (Over 9.5 line).

56%5/9
8/329/32
25%2/8
Match Corners > 10.529%

Share of matches with total corners > 10.5 (Over 10.5 line) — corner-heavy clashes only.

33%3/9
8/329/32

Cards & Discipline

Cards & Disciplineyellows, reds & fouls
events 32/3232/323232
0.88
Avg Yellow Cards

Yellow cards picked up per match — discipline signal (lower is better).

1.60
8/3210/32
0%0/8
Red Card Match Rate

Share of matches with at least one red card to the team — sending-off risk.

10%1/10
8/3210/32
9.88
Avg Fouls

Fouls committed per match — aggression / tactical-foul tendency (lower is calmer).

9.20
8/3210/32
75%21/28
Match Cards > 3.580%

Share of matches with total card points (both teams, yellow=1 / red=2, 2Y→R counted as 2) > 3.5 — Over 3.5 line.

84%21/25
28/3225/32
57%16/28
Match Cards > 4.561%

Share of matches with total card points > 4.5 — Over 4.5 line.

64%16/25
28/3225/32
60%
Cards in 2nd Half

Share of card events that occur after halftime — late-discipline tendency.

62%

Venue Edge

Venue EdgeSofia at home · Ludogorets on the road
1616
2.69
PPG at Venue

Points per match at the venue — home team at home, away team away.

1.75
88%14/16
Win Rate69%

Share of sampled matches won.

50%8/16
6%1/16
Loss Rate

Share of sampled matches lost (lower is better).

25%4/16
2.44
Avg Goals Scored

Goals scored per match across the sampled games.

1.81
0.56
Avg Goals Conceded

Goals conceded per match (lower is better).

0.75
56%9/16
Clean Sheet56%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

56%9/16
38%6/16
BTTS34%

Share of matches where both teams scored.

31%5/16
63%10/16
Over 2.553%

Share of venue matches with total goals > 2.5.

44%7/16
2.13
EWMAAttack xG (EWMA)

Smoothed xG created at venue — long-term attacking strength in this fixture's venue context.

2.03
0.62
EWMADefense xG (EWMA)

Smoothed xG conceded at venue — defensive strength in this fixture's venue context (lower is better).

0.79