First League·
Championship Group - 31·04/25/2026·09:00
CSKA Sofia
CSKA Sofia
WDWWW
1-3
Finished
HT1-2
Levski Sofia
Levski Sofia
DWDWW
📍 Balgarska Armiya Stadium, Sofia
Season statsFirst League
Sofia30matchesSofia30matches

Every panel below reflects each team's matches in First League.

Coverage varies by leaguetop-tier competitions have richer per-match data; lower divisions and smaller leagues track fewer metrics, so some panels may be sparse or missing entirely.
Pre-match snapshotevery value reflects each team's state going into kick-off — frozen before the match starts, not updated live.

Overall

Overallteam-strength snapshot
72%
Overall

Composite team strength — average of LTQ and Hype.

76%
1660
ELO

Chess-style strength rating going into kick-off.

1647
68%
LTQ

Long-term quality across all competitions.

74%
75%
Hype

Short-term fixture buzz / excitement signal.

78%
2.17
Momentum

Recent goal-scoring trend (weighted goals signal).

2.23

Match Outcome

Match Outcomeresults breakdown
3030
1.87
Points per Game

Average points per match across the sampled games (max 3).

2.33
53%
Win Rate

Share of sampled matches won.

73%
27%
Draw Rate

Share of sampled matches that ended level.

13%
20%
Loss Rate

Share of sampled matches lost (lower is better).

13%
40%
Clean Sheet40%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

40%
27%
Failed to Score

Share of matches where the team didn't score (lower is better).

20%

Goal Scoring

Goal Scoringattacking output
3030
1.43
Avg Goals Scored

Goals scored per match across the sampled games.

2.13
73%
Scored > 0.577%

Share of matches where the team scored at least once.

80%
67%
Over 1.568%

Share of matches with total goals > 1.5.

70%
33%
Over 2.547%

Share of matches with total goals > 2.5.

60%
20%
Over 3.527%

Share of matches with total goals > 3.5 — high-scoring affairs.

33%
40%
BTTS43%

Share of matches where both teams scored.

47%
20%
BTTS & Win

Share of matches won while both teams scored — strong attack with a defensive lapse.

40%
37%
Scored Both Halves37%

Share of matches with a goal in both the 1st and 2nd half.

37%

Defensive Solidity

Defensive Soliditygoals & shots conceded
3030
0.77
Avg Goals Conceded

Goals conceded per match (lower is better).

0.73
7.13
Avg Shots Conceded

Total shots faced per match — defensive pressure (> 17.5/match is heavy siege).

8.25
8/308/30
2.00
Avg SoT Conceded

Shots on target faced per match — quality of chances given up (> 5.5 is severe).

3.50
8/308/30
1.50
Avg Saves

Goalkeeper saves per match (> 4.5 means the keeper is doing heavy lifting).

2.63
8/308/30
75%
Save %75%

Share of opponent shots on target stopped by the keeper.

75%
8/308/30
40%
Clean Sheet40%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

40%

xG Trends

xG TrendsEWMA-smoothed performance
3030
1.60
EWMAxG For

Smoothed expected goals created per match — top attacks hit > 2.5/match, mid-table sits around 1.4.

1.93
0.88
EWMAxG Against

Smoothed expected goals conceded per match — elite defenses < 1.0, struggling sides > 2.0.

0.80
0.72
EWMAxG Diff

Net xG: attack minus defense. ±1 is dominant/poor; ±2 is title-contender or crisis-level.

1.13
-0.05
EWMAFinishing Edge

Goals scored minus xG. +0.3 is clinical, −0.3 is wasteful; ±1 is statistical outlier.

0.07
0.10
EWMAxG per Shot

Average chance quality per attempt — 0.10 is mid, 0.15+ means the team only shoots from dangerous spots.

0.13

Shots Quality

Shots Qualityvolume & accuracy
3030
16.25
Avg Shots

Total shots per match — pure attacking volume (> 16.5/match is elite).

15.00
8/308/30
4.75
Avg Shots on Target

Shots on target per match — strikes the keeper had to handle (> 5.5/match is heavy).

6.25
8/308/30
8.50
Avg Shots in Box

Shots taken from inside the penalty area — proximity to goal (> 8.5/match means consistent box presence).

9.88
8/308/30
52%
Box Shot %59%

Share of shots taken from inside the box — chance-selection quality. Mid sits ~60%, elite > 75%.

66%
8/308/30
29%
On-Target %35%

Share of shots that hit the target — striking accuracy. Mid ~33%, elite > 40%.

42%
8/308/30
10%
Shot Conversion16%

Goals per shot taken — clinical efficiency. ~10% is league average, > 15% is elite finishing.

23%
8/308/30

Possession & Passing

Possession & Passingball control
3030
59%
Avg Possession

Share of match time with the ball. > 55% is dominant, < 40% is reactive.

62%
8/308/30
81%
Pass Accuracy

Share of passes completed — distribution quality. Mid sits ~80%, elite > 88%.

84%
8/308/30
431.88
Avg Passes

Total passes attempted per match — distribution volume. Top sides > 550, bottom sides < 400.

495.75
8/308/30
0.21
EWMAPossession Trend

Smoothed possession differential — team minus opponent. ±0.1 is normal, ±0.2 is strong dominance.

0.23

HT / FT Patterns

HT / FT Patternshalf-time vs full-time outcomes
3030
40%12/30
Leading at HT38%

Share of matches the team led at halftime — fast-start signal.

37%11/30
43%13/30
Level at HT

Share of matches level at halftime — balanced or low-tempo openings.

50%15/30
17%5/30
Trailing at HT

Share of matches the team trailed at halftime — slow starts (lower is better).

13%4/30
60%18/30
HT/FT Same Outcome58%

Share of matches where the W/D/L state at halftime matched the full-time result — game-state stability.

57%17/30
83%10/12
Led at HT → Won92%

Of matches led at HT, share converted into a full-time win — closing strength.

100%11/11
40%2/5
Trailed at HT → Recovered45%

Of matches trailing at HT, share rescued to a draw or win — comeback resilience.

50%2/4

Goal Timing

Goal Timingwhen goals happen
events 30/3030/303030
14%
0-15'13%

Hot starts — share of the team's goals scored in the opening 15 minutes.

12%
5%
16-30'6%

Early control — share scored between the 16th and 30th minute.

8%
23%
31-45'18%

Pre-HT push — share scored in the run-up to halftime.

13%
14%
46-60'18%

Restart wave — share scored in the first 15 minutes after HT.

22%
12%
61-75'16%

Game-state shift — share scored between minutes 61 and 75.

20%
33%
76-90+'29%

Late-game finishers — share scored from the 76th minute onwards (incl. stoppage time).

25%

First-Goal Edge

First-Goal Edgewho strikes first
events 30/3030/303030
64%18/28
Scored First68%

Share of matches where the team opened the scoring — fast-start signal.

71%20/28
36%10/28
Conceded First

Share of matches where the team conceded the opening goal (lower is better).

29%8/28
78%14/18
Win when Scoring First84%

Of matches the team scored first, share converted into a win — closing strength after the opener.

90%18/20
20%2/10
Win when Conceding First35%

Of matches conceding first, share rescued into a win — comeback strength.

50%4/8
37'
Avg Min. 1st Goal Scored

Average minute of the team's first goal — earlier means faster starters.

38'
47'
Avg Min. 1st Goal Conceded

Average minute of the first goal conceded — later is better (defense holds longer).

40'

Late-Game Strength

Late-Game Strengthafter the 75th minute
events 30/3030/303030
40%12/30
Scored after 75'38%

Share of matches with a late goal scored by the team — late finishers signal.

37%11/30
27%8/30
Conceded after 75'

Share of matches the team conceded a late goal — late-game vulnerability (lower is better).

30%9/30
86%12/14
Lead Saved after 75'87%

Of matches leading at 75', share closed out for a win — closing strength.

88%15/17
14%2/14
Lead Lost after 75'

Of matches leading at 75', share dropped to a draw or loss — late-game collapse risk.

12%2/17
0%0/30
Any Goal in Stoppage Time

Share of matches with any goal in stoppage time (90+) — late-drama frequency.

0%0/30

Set Pieces

Set Piecespenalty / own-goal share
events 30/3030/303030
88%38/43
Open-Play Share88%

Of the team's scored goals, share from open play — non-set-piece scoring quality.

87%52/60
12%5/43
Penalty Share

Of the team's scored goals, share from penalty kicks — penalty dependency.

12%7/60
0%0/43
Opp Own-Goal Bonus

Of the team's scored goals, share that were opponent own-goals — pressure / fortune.

2%1/60
9%2/23
Penalty Conceded Share

Of conceded goals, share from opponent penalties — defensive discipline (lower is better).

0%0/26
0%0/23
Own-Goal Cost

Of conceded goals, share that were the team's own goals — pressure-induced errors (lower is better).

19%5/26

Corners

Cornersset-piece pressure
3030
6.00
Avg Corners For

Average corners won per match — attacking territorial pressure (> 5.5 is heavy).

5.88
8/308/30
2.88
Avg Corners Against

Average corners conceded per match — territorial pressure faced (lower is better).

2.75
8/308/30
68%
Corner Share68%

Share of total corners in the team's matches that went to the team — territorial dominance ratio.

68%
8/308/30
2.65
EWMACorners Diff

Smoothed corner differential per match — long-term territorial advantage (±2 is strong).

3.19
63%5/8
Match Corners > 8.563%

Share of matches with total corners > 8.5 (Over 8.5 line) — high-tempo encounter signal.

63%5/8
8/308/30
63%5/8
Match Corners > 9.556%

Share of matches with total corners > 9.5 (Over 9.5 line).

50%4/8
8/308/30
50%4/8
Match Corners > 10.538%

Share of matches with total corners > 10.5 (Over 10.5 line) — corner-heavy clashes only.

25%2/8
8/308/30

Cards & Discipline

Cards & Disciplineyellows, reds & fouls
events 30/3030/303030
1.50
Avg Yellow Cards

Yellow cards picked up per match — discipline signal (lower is better).

0.88
8/308/30
0%0/8
Red Card Match Rate

Share of matches with at least one red card to the team — sending-off risk.

0%0/8
8/308/30
11.25
Avg Fouls

Fouls committed per match — aggression / tactical-foul tendency (lower is calmer).

9.88
8/308/30
78%21/27
Match Cards > 3.578%

Share of matches with total card points (both teams, yellow=1 / red=2, 2Y→R counted as 2) > 3.5 — Over 3.5 line.

78%21/27
27/3027/30
56%15/27
Match Cards > 4.554%

Share of matches with total card points > 4.5 — Over 4.5 line.

52%14/27
27/3027/30
69%
Cards in 2nd Half

Share of card events that occur after halftime — late-discipline tendency.

60%

Venue Edge

Venue EdgeSofia at home · Sofia on the road
1515
2.27
PPG at Venue

Points per match at the venue — home team at home, away team away.

2.00
67%10/15
Win Rate63%

Share of sampled matches won.

60%9/15
7%1/15
Loss Rate

Share of sampled matches lost (lower is better).

20%3/15
1.73
Avg Goals Scored

Goals scored per match across the sampled games.

1.73
0.60
Avg Goals Conceded

Goals conceded per match (lower is better).

0.87
40%6/15
Clean Sheet33%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

27%4/15
53%8/15
BTTS53%

Share of matches where both teams scored.

53%8/15
40%6/15
Over 2.547%

Share of venue matches with total goals > 2.5.

53%8/15
1.82
EWMAAttack xG (EWMA)

Smoothed xG created at venue — long-term attacking strength in this fixture's venue context.

1.68
0.62
EWMADefense xG (EWMA)

Smoothed xG conceded at venue — defensive strength in this fixture's venue context (lower is better).

0.93