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Away Favored
Jun 6, 2026, 08:02 PM
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NY Cosmos are in a must-win situation in this Cup tie, facing a stern test against Hartford Athletic, who have demonstrated impressive defensive resilience on the road. The visitors, having secured a better standing in the historical group stage, can afford to play with a degree of control, while the hosts must break down a compact unit to keep their hopes alive.
Home Motivation
Medium
Away Motivation
Medium
Market Picks
Portal Pulse
The Evidence
Betting Edge
Key Metrics
Home
Metric
Away
1.34
Goals scored per game
All comps (EWMA)
1.66
Hartford Athletic's higher scoring rate (1.66 vs 1.34) indicates greater offensive threat. This matters as NY Cosmos's defence is fragile, having conceded heavily.
2.42
Goals conceded per game
All comps (EWMA)
0.61
Hartford Athletic's exceptional defence (0.61 goals conceded in recent form) is a stark contrast to NY Cosmos's leaky backline (2.42 goals conceded), making this the most critical differential for the match.
30%
Win rate %
All competitions (last 10)
20%
NY Cosmos show a higher win rate (30% vs 20%) over their last 10 matches across all competitions, but this is contradicted by their higher loss rate and points per game.
10%
Clean sheet %
All competitions (last 10)
50%
Hartford Athletic's outstanding clean sheet percentage (50% away) is a significant advantage against a NY Cosmos side that struggles to keep opponents out at home (10% clean sheet rate).
90%
Over 2.5 %
All competitions (last 10)
30%
The stark difference in the Over 2.5% metric (90% for NY Cosmos vs 30% for Hartford Athletic) highlights NY Cosmos's tendency for high-scoring games (often conceding) compared to Hartford Athletic's more controlled, low-scoring affairs.
70%
BTTS %
All competitions (last 10)
20%
NY Cosmos's matches consistently feature Both Teams To Score (70%), indicating their offensive output often comes with defensive vulnerability, a sharp contrast to Hartford Athletic's low 20% BTTS rate.
Form & Streaks
NY Cosmos have lost 3 consecutive home matches.
Hartford Athletic are undefeated in their last 7 away matches across all competitions when going into this fixture (4W, 2D, 1L in 7 matches shown in All Comps venue data - 4W, 2D, 4L total).
NY Cosmos have lost 6 of their last 10 matches across all competitions (3W, 1D, 6L in 10).
Hartford Athletic have drawn 5 of their last 10 matches across all competitions (2W, 5D, 3L in 10).
Tactical Overview
NY Cosmos are struggling for form, having lost six of their last ten matches across all competitions and conceding a concerning 2.42 goals per game on a recent-form basis. Their home record is also shaky, with just two wins in their last five at Hinchliffe Stadium, punctuated by a 0-3 defeat to Brooklyn in this competition. Hartford Athletic arrive with a considerably tighter defence, conceding just 0.61 goals per game in recent form, and boast a strong clean sheet percentage away from home, holding opponents scoreless in 50% of their last 10 away matches across all competitions. While the head-to-head record is dated, Hartford Athletic's superior Elo rating and current form suggest they hold the ascendancy.
Match Context
Lineup Updates
Based on reports
Key Players
NY Cosmos are expected to have a full squad available for this match. Key attacking options include S. Guenzatti, C. Koffi, and N. Zielonka, who will be crucial for creating scoring opportunities. On the defensive end, A. Holt and D. Mason are expected to anchor the backline. Midfielder Ajmeer Spengler has been a significant contributor to the team's offense, known for his dynamic play and passing range, and will be key in connecting defense to attack.
Absences
Absence information is not yet available. Check back closer to kickoff for confirmed lineups.
Home
Key Players
NY Cosmos are expected to have a full squad available for this match. Key attacking options include S. Guenzatti, C. Koffi, and N. Zielonka, who will be crucial for creating scoring opportunities. On the defensive end, A. Holt and D. Mason are expected to anchor the backline. Midfielder Ajmeer Spengler has been a significant contributor to the team's offense, known for his dynamic play and passing range, and will be key in connecting defense to attack.
Absences
Absence information is not yet available. Check back closer to kickoff for confirmed lineups.
Away
Key Players
Hartford Athletic also report no missing players, meaning key players like forwards Sadat Anaku, M. Ngalina, and A. Williams are expected to be available and will be vital in their pursuit of goals. Midfielders such as S. Careaga and B. Coffey provide creativity and control in the center of the park. Emmanual Samadia is cleared for full minutes at left back and will be an important part of their defensive and attacking schemes.
Absences
Samuel Careaga
red card suspension (served against New Mexico)
Lineup info is never 100% confirmed until matchday. Additional players may be unavailable.
Insider Intel