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Jun 2, 2026, 10:01 AM
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A battle of contrasting stakes sees Havadar looking to maintain their top-half ambitions against a Navad Urmia side fighting for survival in the relegation zone. With the hosts proving nearly impossible to beat at home but struggling to score, this Tehran clash is likely to be a high-tension defensive grind.
Home Motivation
Low
Havadar is in a stable mid-table position with no immediate threat of relegation or chance for promotion, leading to a lower competitive pressure.
Away Motivation
High
Navad Urmia is in a high-stakes battle to avoid the drop, trailing 15th-placed Shenavarsazi Qeshm by only 1 point.
Market Picks
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The Evidence
Betting Edge
Key Metrics
Home
Metric
Away
0.58
Goals conceded per game
All comps (EWMA)
1.12
Havadar is trending at nearly half the goals conceded per game compared to Navad Urmia in recent form
70%
Clean sheet %
Last 10 matches
20%
Havadar has kept more than triple the number of clean sheets as Navad Urmia in their last 10 matches
1.31
Points Per Game (PPG)
Season avg
0.46
Havadar's season venue performance is significantly stronger than Navad Urmia's output on the road
10%
Loss rate %
Home/Away split
70%
Navad Urmia has lost 7 of their last 10 away matches, while Havadar has only lost 1 of 10 at home
0.63
Goals scored per game
All comps (EWMA)
0.49
Both teams are well below the league average of 1.47 goals, but Havadar maintains a slight offensive edge in recent-form weighting
Form & Streaks
Havadar has drawn 7 of their last 10 league matches (1W, 7D, 2L).
Navad Urmia has lost 7 of their last 10 away matches across all competitions (0W, 3D, 7L).
Havadar has kept a clean sheet in 7 of their last 10 matches.
Tactical Overview
Havadar has become the ultimate draw specialist in the Azadegan League, recording 7 draws in their last 10 matches, including three consecutive 0-0 results against Niroye Zamini, Sanat Naft, and Pars Jonoubi JAM. Their defensive solidity is remarkable, maintaining a 70% clean sheet rate in their last 10 league outings, though they are trending at a meager 0.63 goals scored per game in recent form. Navad Urmia manager is treating this as a 'final,' but his side has struggled immensely on the road, losing 7 of their last 10 away matches across all competitions. Defensive mainstays Mostafa Kiani and Mohammad Zeynali will need to stabilize a backline that is surrendering 1.12 goals per game on a recent-form basis, which is nearly double the rate of their hosts. While tactical buzz suggests Havadar may shift to an aggressive 4-3-3 to find a breakthrough, their 10% Over 2.5 rate in the last 10 league games suggests Babak Moradi and the visitors' attack will find very few openings.
Match Context
Lineup Updates
Based on reports
Key Players
There is no current verifiable information about specific key players for Havadar for this match within the freshness cutoff. Rosters change frequently, and detailed player information for this specific fixture from a fresh source is not available.
Absences
Absence information is not yet available. Check back closer to kickoff for confirmed lineups.
Home
Key Players
There is no current verifiable information about specific key players for Havadar for this match within the freshness cutoff. Rosters change frequently, and detailed player information for this specific fixture from a fresh source is not available.
Absences
Absence information is not yet available. Check back closer to kickoff for confirmed lineups.
Away
Key Players
Babak Moradi is a forward for Navad Urmia. Mohammad Gholamreza also plays as a forward. In defense, Mostafa Kiani is a key player. Mohammad Zeynali is another notable defender for Navad Urmia.
Absences
Absence information is not yet available. Check back closer to kickoff for confirmed lineups.
Lineup info is never 100% confirmed until matchday. Additional players may be unavailable.
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