Primera División - Apertura·
Regular Season - 1·02/07/2026·15:00
Progreso
Progreso
WDWDD
0-3
Finished
HT0-2
Central Espanol
Central Espanol
DDWWL
📍 Parque Abraham Paladino, Montevideo

Stats below use each team's main league —Primera División - AperturaUruguay·Segunda DivisiónUruguay

Last 10Primera División - Apertura
Progreso10matchesEspanol10matches

Not in either team's main domestic league — every panel below reflects each team's most recent matches across all competitions.

Coverage varies by leaguetop-tier competitions have richer per-match data; lower divisions and smaller leagues track fewer metrics, so some panels may be sparse or missing entirely.
Pre-match snapshotevery value reflects each team's state going into kick-off — frozen before the match starts, not updated live.

Overall

Overallteam-strength snapshot
65%
Overall

Composite team strength — average of LTQ and Hype.

66%
1344
ELO

Chess-style strength rating going into kick-off.

1426
55%
LTQ

Long-term quality across all competitions.

68%
75%
Hype

Short-term fixture buzz / excitement signal.

64%
2.23
Momentum

Recent goal-scoring trend (weighted goals signal).

1.19

Match Outcome

Match Outcomeresults breakdown
1010
1.50
Points per Game

Average points per match across the sampled games (max 3).

1.80
40%
Win Rate

Share of sampled matches won.

50%
30%
Draw Rate

Share of sampled matches that ended level.

30%
30%
Loss Rate

Share of sampled matches lost (lower is better).

20%
40%
Clean Sheet45%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

50%
20%
Failed to Score

Share of matches where the team didn't score (lower is better).

50%

Goal Scoring

Goal Scoringattacking output
1010
1.10
Avg Goals Scored

Goals scored per match across the sampled games.

0.80
80%
Scored > 0.565%

Share of matches where the team scored at least once.

50%
70%
Over 1.555%

Share of matches with total goals > 1.5.

40%
40%
Over 2.535%

Share of matches with total goals > 2.5.

30%
30%
Over 3.515%

Share of matches with total goals > 3.5 — high-scoring affairs.

0%
50%
BTTS40%

Share of matches where both teams scored.

30%
10%
BTTS & Win

Share of matches won while both teams scored — strong attack with a defensive lapse.

30%
20%
Scored Both Halves21%

Share of matches with a goal in both the 1st and 2nd half.

22%

Defensive Solidity

Defensive Soliditygoals & shots conceded
1010
1.40
Avg Goals Conceded

Goals conceded per match (lower is better).

0.60
40%
Clean Sheet45%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

50%

xG Trends

xG TrendsEWMA-smoothed performance
1010
1.26
EWMAxG For

Smoothed expected goals created per match — top attacks hit > 2.5/match, mid-table sits around 1.4.

0.60
1.54
EWMAxG Against

Smoothed expected goals conceded per match — elite defenses < 1.0, struggling sides > 2.0.

0.36
-0.28
EWMAxG Diff

Net xG: attack minus defense. ±1 is dominant/poor; ±2 is title-contender or crisis-level.

0.24
-0.22
EWMAFinishing Edge

Goals scored minus xG. +0.3 is clinical, −0.3 is wasteful; ±1 is statistical outlier.

0.43

HT / FT Patterns

HT / FT Patternshalf-time vs full-time outcomes
1010
50%5/10
Leading at HT31%

Share of matches the team led at halftime — fast-start signal.

11%1/9
40%4/10
Level at HT

Share of matches level at halftime — balanced or low-tempo openings.

67%6/9
10%1/10
Trailing at HT

Share of matches the team trailed at halftime — slow starts (lower is better).

22%2/9
70%7/10
HT/FT Same Outcome68%

Share of matches where the W/D/L state at halftime matched the full-time result — game-state stability.

67%6/9
80%4/5
Led at HT → Won90%

Of matches led at HT, share converted into a full-time win — closing strength.

100%1/1
0%0/1
Trailed at HT → Recovered0%

Of matches trailing at HT, share rescued to a draw or win — comeback resilience.

0%0/2

Goal Timing

Goal Timingwhen goals happen
events 10/107/101010
18%
0-15'17%

Hot starts — share of the team's goals scored in the opening 15 minutes.

17%
18%
16-30'9%

Early control — share scored between the 16th and 30th minute.

0%
45%
31-45'39%

Pre-HT push — share scored in the run-up to halftime.

33%
9%
46-60'13%

Restart wave — share scored in the first 15 minutes after HT.

17%
0%
61-75'0%

Game-state shift — share scored between minutes 61 and 75.

0%
9%
76-90+'21%

Late-game finishers — share scored from the 76th minute onwards (incl. stoppage time).

33%

First-Goal Edge

First-Goal Edgewho strikes first
events 10/107/101010
67%6/9
Scored First58%

Share of matches where the team opened the scoring — fast-start signal.

50%3/6
33%3/9
Conceded First

Share of matches where the team conceded the opening goal (lower is better).

50%3/6
67%4/6
Win when Scoring First83%

Of matches the team scored first, share converted into a win — closing strength after the opener.

100%3/3
0%0/3
Win when Conceding First17%

Of matches conceding first, share rescued into a win — comeback strength.

33%1/3
22'
Avg Min. 1st Goal Scored

Average minute of the team's first goal — earlier means faster starters.

34'
16'
Avg Min. 1st Goal Conceded

Average minute of the first goal conceded — later is better (defense holds longer).

33'

Late-Game Strength

Late-Game Strengthafter the 75th minute
events 10/107/101010
10%1/10
Scored after 75'19%

Share of matches with a late goal scored by the team — late finishers signal.

29%2/7
30%3/10
Conceded after 75'

Share of matches the team conceded a late goal — late-game vulnerability (lower is better).

0%0/7
100%4/4
Lead Saved after 75'100%

Of matches leading at 75', share closed out for a win — closing strength.

100%2/2
0%0/4
Lead Lost after 75'

Of matches leading at 75', share dropped to a draw or loss — late-game collapse risk.

0%0/2
10%1/10
Any Goal in Stoppage Time

Share of matches with any goal in stoppage time (90+) — late-drama frequency.

0%0/7

Set Pieces

Set Piecespenalty / own-goal share
events 10/107/101010
91%10/11
Open-Play Share87%

Of the team's scored goals, share from open play — non-set-piece scoring quality.

83%5/6
9%1/11
Penalty Share

Of the team's scored goals, share from penalty kicks — penalty dependency.

17%1/6
0%0/11
Opp Own-Goal Bonus

Of the team's scored goals, share that were opponent own-goals — pressure / fortune.

0%0/6
7%1/14
Penalty Conceded Share

Of conceded goals, share from opponent penalties — defensive discipline (lower is better).

0%0/5
0%0/14
Own-Goal Cost

Of conceded goals, share that were the team's own goals — pressure-induced errors (lower is better).

0%0/5

Cards & Discipline

Cards & Disciplineyellows, reds & fouls
events 10/107/101010
100%10/10
Match Cards > 3.5100%

Share of matches with total card points (both teams, yellow=1 / red=2, 2Y→R counted as 2) > 3.5 — Over 3.5 line.

100%3/3
3/10
80%8/10
Match Cards > 4.557%

Share of matches with total card points > 4.5 — Over 4.5 line.

33%1/3
3/10
61%
Cards in 2nd Half

Share of card events that occur after halftime — late-discipline tendency.

75%

Venue Edge

Venue EdgeProgreso at home · Espanol on the road
37
1.00
PPG at Venue

Points per match at the venue — home team at home, away team away.

1.71
33%1/3
Win Rate38%

Share of sampled matches won.

43%3/7
67%2/3
Loss Rate

Share of sampled matches lost (lower is better).

14%1/7
1.33
Avg Goals Scored

Goals scored per match across the sampled games.

0.71
2.67
Avg Goals Conceded

Goals conceded per match (lower is better).

0.57
33%1/3
Clean Sheet45%

Share of matches with no goals conceded.

57%4/7
33%1/3
BTTS31%

Share of matches where both teams scored.

29%2/7
67%2/3
Over 2.548%

Share of venue matches with total goals > 2.5.

29%2/7
1.58
EWMAAttack xG (EWMA)

Smoothed xG created at venue — long-term attacking strength in this fixture's venue context.

0.63
1.99
EWMADefense xG (EWMA)

Smoothed xG conceded at venue — defensive strength in this fixture's venue context (lower is better).

0.35